Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2019
Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Jan 30, 2019, 4:31 PM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 104 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2019, 4:31 PM EST (21:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 30, 2019, 6:15 PM EST
- In force
- 104 min
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1474 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 82 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -299 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -32 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
577
WWUS81 KBUF 302131
SPSBUF
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
431 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
NYZ007-008-302315-
Jefferson-Lewis-
431 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES...
At 421 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour continues from Cape Vincent east to
Harrisville. This band is expected to drift further south during
the remainder of the afternoon. Meanwhile, a weaker band to the
south near Adams is drifting north and merging with the stronger
band over the Black River Valley. Both bands will continue to edge
closer to each other with a single intense band from Watertown east
later this evening. This will produce blizzard conditions with
frequent whiteouts. This will create a dangerous situation for
anyone on both primary and secondary roadways.
Meanwhile, temperatures are only a few degrees above zero and will
drop below zero this evening. This together with increasing winds,
will create windchills that will drop to -25 below zero this
evening. As a result, spending time outside may lead to a life
threatening situation without proper winter gear.
Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Fort Drum,
Stony Point, Carthage, Lowville, West Carthage, Clayton, Adams,
Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Redwood, Henderson
Harbor, and Barnes Corners.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 38 and 51.
Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this band of lake effect snow.
LAT...LON 4440 7583 4439 7584 4410 7517 4371 7512
4365 7577 4369 7579 4371 7602 4367 7602
4368 7618 4365 7615 4360 7626 4378 7629
4383 7636 4387 7635 4384 7645 4387 7650
4396 7644 4396 7634 4410 7643 4419 7632
$$
ZaffWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 30, 3:14 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 3:14 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
314 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Frigid arctic air will pour across our forecast area today and
Thursday...and this will not only help to generate significant lake
effect snow east and northeast of the lakes...but will support
dangerously low wind chill values THROUGHOUT the region. High
pressure passing across the Mid Atlantic region late in the week
will then bring an end to the glacial weather...as day to day
temperatures will steadily climb during the upcoming weekend into
early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
...Blizzard conditions continue across Erie, Genesee, Wyoming,
Jefferson and Lewis counties through 1 AM Thursday...
Winds have rapidly increased this afternoon with frequent gusts
above 35 mph together with zero visibilities within the ongoing
(Erie) and developing (Ontario) lake bands. The strongest winds will
be during the afternoon and evening hours. In addition, with
temperatures dropping below zero, this will create dangerous to life
threatening conditions for anyone outdoors.
Looking at the bigger picture, low pressure is moving into central
Quebec this afternoon. An arctic cold front has moved through
western and north central NY with strong west-southwest winds
filtering into the region from west to east. Temperatures will
continue to fall this afternoon with thermometers dipping to
below zero across western NY and into the single digits east of
Lake Ontario. A mid-level trough is centered across the Great
Lakes with a robust shortwave trough/PV anomaly tracking across
NY/PA this afternoon. Winds of 30-40 mph will continue through
the early evening.
Strong cold air advection with 850mb temperatures falling to -28 to -
25 C across western and north central NY. Breaks in the clouds today
showed ice-free water from Long Point ON to the City of Buffalo on
Lake Erie. Although the lake temperatures are right around 32
degrees, lake induced instability has fed lake effect bands off Lake
Erie. The Lake Ontario band has been setting up today with most of
the band along the northern shore of Lake Ontario. As winds become
more westerly across the Lake this afternoon and tonight, the band
will move into Jefferson and Lewis counties. The strength of this
band can already be seen by the distant kbuf radar.
Back to Lake Erie...a 240 to 250 flow off the lake will keep a lake
band across N Chautauqua, NW Cattaraugus, Erie, Wyoming,
Genesee, Monroe and Livingston counties this afternoon. Winds
have increased to 40kts at 925mb which has caused the band to
spread out and become a dual band across the region. This has
caused a slower progression southward into the Southtowns today.
The strong winds have pushed the band inland as far as Monroe
and Wayne counties which will continue. As we move into the
evening hours, 925mb winds will veer westerly and the northern
edge of the band should move south of the City of Buffalo and
the Northtowns. A mid-level trough axis will track across the
Lake tonight and upstream moisture will decrease some. The band
may weaken some but it will be nearly stationary overnight.
Blizzard conditions will continue across Erie, Wyoming and
Genesee counties as winds 35 mph and falling/blowing snow
continues. These conditions will subside overnight as winds
taper off. Although these blizzard conditions will subside,
Winter Storm Warnings will continue through Thursday. The lake
band will venture north back into the City of Buffalo and KBUF
airport by Thursday afternoon. Elsewhere, expected scattered
snow showers.
Off Lake Ontario...a 260-270 flow will persist across Lake Ontario
this evening into Thursday. A three-lake connection with deep
moisture and sufficient lake induced instability to produce feet of
snow across Jefferson, Lewis and northern Oswego with emphasis on
the Tug Hill. Total snow accumulations of 2-4 feet are expected with
the max amounts on the Tug and tapering off on all sides.
Cold temperatures and wind chills expected through Thursday.
Overnight lows are in the teens to single digits below zero. The
coldest temperatures will likely be across the western Southern
Tier. Wind chill values 30 to 20 below zero are also expected as
westerly winds continue.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure across the mid-Atlantic states will ridge toward
western New York Thursday night. Winds will diminish considerably
across Lake Erie, which will cause lake effect snow to diminish as
the night goes on. This said, a shrinking, but still intense band
will probably linger near the lakeshore in southwestern Erie County.
Winds will be a bit stronger across Lake Ontario, which will
maintain heavy lake effect snow for much of the night.
Lake effect snow will be ongoing Thursday night, but will diminish
as the night. Diminishing winds will cause the band to contract
closer to the lake, with greatest amounts likely to be along the
west-face of the Tug Hill. Snowfall rates of 2 inches per hour may
drop another foot of snow there.
Elsewhere it will just be cold Thursday night, with lows near or
below zero. Winds will diminish, but still run 10 to 20 below which
may require wind chill advisories for some locations.
The high pressure ridge will expand toward the region on Friday,
which will end lake snows off Lake Erie when winds almost go calm.
Lake snows will continue just east of Lake Ontario, but will taper
off in the afternoon as winds drop off further. There may be some
light snow showers across the western Southern Tier with the passage
of a shortwave. Otherwise, temperatures will still be cold, with
highs in the teens.
The surface high will move off the mid-Atlantic coast Friday night
and Saturday. Meanwhile a shortwave will pass to the north, with a
weak cold front dropping across our region Saturday afternoon and
evening. This may spark a few snow showers will minimal
accumulation. Saturday will be notably warmer, with highs in the
upper 20s to lower 30s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A mid level ridge will build into the region Sunday, and sharpen on
Monday. Meanwhile, a warm front will move across the area and stall
across or just north of Lake Ontario on Sunday night. This will
bring some light snow or mixed precipitation to the region. Low
pressure will track near Lake Superior on Monday, with an increasing
southerly flow across our region pushing 850mb temperatures to
around +6C by Monday evening. It will warm considerably, with
temperatures rising into the mid 40s to lower 50s on Monday.
The warm pattern is likely to continue on Tuesday and Wednesday,
with another wave of low pressure expected to track across or pass
just north of the area. There is quite a bit uncertainty in the
exact timing and track of this low, and it is possible that the
North Country will be much cooler if the track of the low shifts
southward. However, it is fairly certain that temperatures will rise
well into the 40s (if not 50s) south of Lake Ontario on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Rainfall amounts from this system should be modest,
generally in the half inch to inch range. The greatest risk is for
ice jams, however rapid snow melt can also cause general flooding
depending on how much rain falls with it.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Blizzard warnings issued for Lake Effect Snow(LES) northeast of Lake
Erie and Ontario which will impact KBUF and KART.
Heavy snow and blowing snow will continue to affect the KBUF
airfield producing near zero visibilities with VLIFR conditions into
tonight. The other area of concern will be the KROC airfield where
reduced VSBYS/CIGS will be possible as the LES band is extending
northeast into Monroe County. The snow and blowing snow at the KROC
airfield will continue to produce IFR/LIFR conditions at times into
tonight.
Off lake Ontario, conditions have deteriorate with lake effect snow
picking up with IFR/LIFR expected to continue into tonight.
Elsewhere, MVFR conditions will be the case at the remaining sites
into tonight, although there will be times of VFR conditions.
Thursday, expect areas of IFR/LIFR conditions with lake effect snows
continuing east and northeast of the lakes. Elsewhere, a mixture of
MVFR/VFR will be the case outside of the Lake effect snows.
Outlook...
Thursday night and Friday...diminishing lake effect snows east and
northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Saturday...A chance of snow
showers/MVFR southeast of Lake Ontario otherwise VFR.
Sunday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of rain and snow showers.
&&
.MARINE...
An areas of low pressure will deepen and slowly lift northeastward
across Quebec Province through Thursday. This will bring an extended
period of high end Small Craft Advisory to Gale Force conditions to
both Lakes Erie and Ontario. The strongest winds (Gales) will be
likely through tonight, with heavy freezing spray also developing
given the very cold temperatures.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A flash flood watch is in effect for addition seiches today and
tonight for parts of northern Erie county and southwestern
Niagara County through 1030 pm. At 1230 PM EST, the Niagara
River Control Center reported high water levels on the Niagara
River due to an ice jam between the NY Power Authority intake
and Cayuga Island. This will result in flooding across low-lying
areas along the Niagara River. Areas susceptible to ice jam
flooding will include Grand Island, Cayuga Island in Niagara
Falls, and the river shoreline between North Tonawanda and
Niagara Falls.
A period of rain will most likely bring between a half an inch to
inch of rain to the area. This combined with snow melt due to warm
temperatures will pose a risk for flooding. The greatest risk is for
ice jams, however the combination of snow melt and rain can also
cause general flooding depending on rainfall amounts. The risk for
flooding will be greatest during the Tuesday and Wednesday
timeframe.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Several surges of arctic air producing bands of lake effect
snow to close out the month of January may bring daily records
for both temperatures and snowfall. Below are the record low
maximum, low minimum and daily record snow for our three primary
climate stations.
Buffalo:
Date Low Maximum Low Minimum Daily Snow
Tuesday 1/29 4/1934 -7/1977 6.0/1894
Wednesday 1/30 8/1948 -3/2003 11.6/1966
Thursday 1/31 5/1920 -11/1920 5.5/1982
Rochester:
Date
Tuesday 1/29 1/1873 -9/1873 8.5/1925
Wednesday 1/30 5/1908 -12/1873 18.0/1966
Thursday 1/31 3/1920 -10/1994 11.7/1878
Watertown:
Date
Tuesday 1/29 1/1952 -17/2000
Wednesday 1/30 7/2010 -24/2010
Thursday 1/31 6/1973 -23/2011
In addition Buffalo will finish the month of January
within the top 10 snowiest on record. Currently through
January 27th the snow total for the month is: 42.4 inches.
Below is a partial list of the top 10 snowiest months of
January on record.
Rank Amount (in) Year
1 68.3 1977
2 65.9 1985
3 65.1 1999
4 56.5 1978
5 53.2 1982
..
10 42.6 1979
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for
NYZ010>012-085.
Wind Chill Warning until 6 PM EST Thursday for NYZ001>006-
010>014-019>021-085.
Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for
NYZ010-019-085.
Blizzard Warning until 1 AM EST Thursday for NYZ007-008-
010>012-085.
Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday for
NYZ007-008.
Wind Chill Warning until 6 PM EST Thursday for NYZ007-008.
Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Friday for NYZ006.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ003.
Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ001-010.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for NYZ019-020.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for NYZ013.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 1 AM EST Friday for LEZ040-
041.
Gale Warning until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Thursday for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for
LOZ030.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 7 PM EST Thursday for
LOZ042>045-062>065.
Gale Warning until 6 PM EST Thursday for LOZ042>045-
062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HSK/RSH
NEAR TERM...HSK/Zaff
SHORT TERM...Apffel
LONG TERM...Apffel/TMA
AVIATION...AR
MARINE...HSK/JJR/Zaff
HYDROLOGY...JJR/Apffel/HSK
CLIMATE...ThomasHazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 12:22 PM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 NYZ001-311730- Niagara- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Flash Flood Watch. Wind Chill Warning. An ice jam remains in place on the Niagara River. There a risk that flooding will develop behind the ice jam today, following an increase in flows due to a lake seiche. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ010-311730- Northern Erie- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Flash Flood Watch. Lakeshore Flood Advisory. Blizzard Warning. Winter Storm Warning. An ice jam remains in place on the Niagara River. There a risk that flooding will develop behind the ice jam today, following an increase in flows due to a lake seiche. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ007-008-311730- Jefferson-Lewis- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Blizzard Warning. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ021-311730- Allegany- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ002-311730- Orleans- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ004-005-014-311730- Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Ontario- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ003-311730- Monroe- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind Chill Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006-311730- Oswego- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Wind Chill Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Storm Warning. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ019-311730- Chautauqua- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Lakeshore Flood Advisory. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ011-012-311730- Genesee-Wyoming- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Blizzard Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ013-311730- Livingston- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind Chill Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind Chill Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ020-311730- Cattaraugus- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ085-311730- Southern Erie- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Lakeshore Flood Advisory. Blizzard Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Chill Warning. Winter Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-311730- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-311730- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-311730- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-311730- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1222 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning. Gale Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 30, 3:24 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM SNOW 1 S LOCKPORT 43.15N 78.70W
01/30/2019 M10.0 INCH NIAGARA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
0300 PM SNOW BUFFALO AIRPORT 42.94N 78.74W
01/30/2019 M16.1 INCH ERIE NY NWS OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900626
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900627
JAMSpecial weather statement, Jan 30, 4:02 PM EST, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
402 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
NYZ010>012-019-085-302300-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-Wyoming-Genesee-Northern Erie-
402 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WYOMING...ERIE...NORTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA AND GENESEE COUNTIES...
At 356 PM EST, two bands of lake effect snow are producing snow fall
rates of up to 2 inches per hour along with visibilities near zero.
Temperatures are below zero with wind chills near -25 degrees below
zero.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
Blinding snow and whiteout conditions are occurring. A casual drive
or trip outside can quickly lead to a life threatening situation
without proper winter gear. Please heed all travel bans.
Two separate bands are occuring east of Lake Erie. One is over
Buffalo and edging into the Northtowns east past Batavia. A second
and stronger band extends from the PA line, across the Boston Hills,
the Southtowns, and into far northwest Wyoming County. These bands
are converging over Genesee County and are producing whiteout
conditions there as well. These bands will move very little
throughout the remainder of the afternoon. Meanwhile, temperatures
will continue to drop further below zero while wind gusts exceed 35
mph at times, producing blizzard conditions at times and dangerous
wind chills.
Locations impacted include...
Buffalo, Cheektowaga, West Seneca, Clarence, Lackawanna, Batavia,
Kenmore, Depew, Amherst, Tonawanda, Dunkirk, Fredonia, Lancaster,
Hamburg, East Aurora, Hilton, Williamsville, Grand Island and Evans.
This includes Interstate 90 between exits 61 and 47.
LAT...LON 4233 7974 4259 7919 4272 7909 4280 7892
4296 7893 4296 7897 4297 7895 4313 7839
4313 7792 4331 7777 4333 7764 4328 7765
4331 7773 4314 7791 4271 7796 4245 7892
4246 7893 4254 7906 4241 7906 4221 7976
ZaffLocal storm report, Jan 30, 4:08 PM EST, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM SNOW 1 N AMHERST 42.99N 78.79W
01/30/2019 M18.0 INCH ERIE NY AMATEUR RADIO
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900628
JAMSpecial weather statement, Jan 30, 4:18 PM EST, 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
418 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
NYZ003-004-013-014-302315-
Ontario-Livingston-Wayne-Monroe-
418 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WAYNE...NORTHERN
LIVINGSTON...MONROE AND NORTHERN ONTARIO COUNTIES...
At 415 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow is producing snow fall
rates of around an inch per hour along with visibilities down to a
quarter of a mile at times. Temperatures are near zero with wind
chills near -20 degrees below zero.
Expect significant blowing and drifting snow to continue for the
remainder of this afternoon, particularly south and west of
Rochester. This will create hazardous driving conditions. In
addition, spending time outside can lead to a life threatening
situation without proper winter gear.
Lake effect snow bands will move very little into this evening.
Meanwhile, temperatures will continue to drop to and then below zero
while wind gusts exceed 35 mph at times, producing blizzard
conditions at times along with dangerous wind chills.
Locations impacted include...
Rochester, Greece, Irondequoit, Chili, Canandaigua, Geneseo, East
Rochester, Webster, Fairport, Brighton, Gates-North Gates, Letchworth
State Park, Ontario, Henrietta, Penfield, Newark, Williamson, Marion,
Lyons and Spencerport.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 390 between exits 8 and 12.
Interstate 90 between exits 46 and 42.
LAT...LON 4290 7796 4295 7791 4304 7791 4304 7795
4313 7791 4314 7798 4330 7758 4328 7754
4332 7738 4333 7717 4331 7697 4301 7694
4301 7696 4294 7696 4271 7795
ZaffLocal storm report, Jan 30, 4:30 PM EST, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM SNOW KENMORE 42.96N 78.87W
01/30/2019 M17.0 INCH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1900629
THOMASSpecial weather statement, Jan 30, 4:31 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
431 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
NYZ007-008-302315-
Jefferson-Lewis-
431 PM EST WED JAN 30 2019
...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES...
At 421 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 to 3 inches per hour continues from Cape Vincent east to
Harrisville. This band is expected to drift further south during
the remainder of the afternoon. Meanwhile, a weaker band to the
south near Adams is drifting north and merging with the stronger
band over the Black River Valley. Both bands will continue to edge
closer to each other with a single intense band from Watertown east
later this evening. This will produce blizzard conditions with
frequent whiteouts. This will create a dangerous situation for
anyone on both primary and secondary roadways.
Meanwhile, temperatures are only a few degrees above zero and will
drop below zero this evening. This together with increasing winds,
will create windchills that will drop to -25 below zero this
evening. As a result, spending time outside may lead to a life
threatening situation without proper winter gear.
Locations impacted include...
Watertown, Sandy Island Beach State Park, Fort Drum,
Stony Point, Carthage, Lowville, West Carthage, Clayton, Adams,
Dexter, Glen Park, Herrings, Adams Center, Redwood, Henderson
Harbor, and Barnes Corners.
This includes Interstate 81 between exits 38 and 51.
Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this band of lake effect snow.
LAT...LON 4440 7583 4439 7584 4410 7517 4371 7512
4365 7577 4369 7579 4371 7602 4367 7602
4368 7618 4365 7615 4360 7626 4378 7629
4383 7636 4387 7635 4384 7645 4387 7650
4396 7644 4396 7634 4410 7643 4419 7632
ZaffThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 7:05 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans | 85 min |
| Jan 29, 10:12 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Niagara, Orleans | 63 min |
| Jan 29, 10:37 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 8 hr |
| Jan 30, 6:52 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 11 hr |
| Jan 30, 8:10 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 110 min |
| Jan 30, 9:55 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie | 110 min |
| Jan 30, 11:03 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 117 min |
| Jan 30, 12:03 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 117 min |
| Jan 30, 12:12 PM EST | Blizzard Warning | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Wyoming | 13 hr |
| Jan 30, 12:12 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 1 more | 43 hr |
| Jan 30, 12:36 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 10 hr |
| Jan 30, 1:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Lewis | 88 min |
| Jan 30, 2:12 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 2 hr |
| Jan 30, 2:45 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Monroe | 105 min |
| Jan 30, 2:48 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson | 117 min |
| Jan 30, 4:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 118 min |
| Jan 30, 4:18 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Monroe, Wayne | 117 min |
| Jan 30, 6:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 118 min |
| Jan 30, 6:09 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis | 111 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in New York, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.