Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 45

April 13, 201843 counties in Arkansas; 20 parishes in Louisiana; 34 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 13, 2018, 9:53 PM CDT for 43 counties in Arkansas; 20 parishes in Louisiana; 34 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2018, 9:53 PM CDT (02:53 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2018, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 97 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie and 2 more45 min
Apr 13, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Camp, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg, Nacogdoches and 4 more60 min
Apr 13, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 2 more51 min
Apr 13, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White, Woodruff32 min
Apr 13, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 9 more33 min
Apr 13, 11:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur23 min
Apr 13, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMiller45 min
Apr 13, 11:54 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaddo21 min
Apr 14, 12:14 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Caddo31 min
Apr 14, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette, Miller45 min
Apr 14, 12:21 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln25 min
Apr 14, 12:43 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Claiborne, Webster32 min
Apr 14, 12:46 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia29 min
Apr 14, 12:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union46 min
Apr 14, 1:06 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe10 min
Apr 14, 1:08 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVClaiborne, Webster25 min
Apr 14, 1:11 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union34 min
Apr 14, 1:16 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKDrew, Jefferson, Lincoln29 min
Apr 14, 1:28 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union32 min
Apr 14, 1:30 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union33 min
Apr 14, 1:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion75 min
Apr 14, 1:52 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union38 min
Apr 14, 1:56 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Winn34 min
Apr 14, 2:01 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVUnion29 min
Apr 14, 2:08 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Ouachita23 min
Apr 14, 2:26 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVJackson, Winn34 min
Apr 14, 2:27 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVLincoln, Ouachita, Union33 min
Apr 14, 2:31 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVJackson, Lincoln, Ouachita29 min
Apr 14, 2:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln3 hr
Apr 14, 2:51 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, Jackson, Ouachita24 min
Apr 14, 2:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson3 hr
Apr 14, 2:59 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVJackson, Ouachita, Union31 min
Apr 14, 3:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe3 hr
Apr 14, 3:14 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, Ouachita20 min
Apr 14, 3:32 AM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew28 min
Apr 14, 4:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKHot Spring3 hr
Apr 14, 4:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu49 min
Apr 14, 4:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1539 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 238 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1539 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1018 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
13.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

973 
WWUS20 KWNS 140247
SEL5  
SPC WW 140247
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-141100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 45
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Arkansas
  Western and Northern Louisiana
  Far southeast Oklahoma
  East Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 950 PM
  until 600 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Multiple quasi-linear bands of storms will continue to
steadily progress east-northeastward across the region, with
line-embedded circulations and a few semi-discrete supercells ahead
of the convective bands. A moist environment and very strong
low-level shear will continue the tornado risk into the overnight
along with the potential for damaging wind gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Batesville AR to 40
miles south southeast of Lufkin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...WW 43...WW
44...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Montgomery, Yell24 min
Apr 13, 7:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more3 hr
Apr 13, 8:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarland, Howard, Pike54 min
Apr 13, 8:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 47 more66 min
Apr 13, 10:12 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 8 more10 hr
Apr 14, 2:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 3 more2 hr
Apr 14, 6:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 20 more83 min
Apr 14, 6:57 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 22 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Tornado Watches in Texas, 2018Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.