Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2018

Tornado Watch 46

April 13, 20186 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 13, 2018, 10:12 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2018, 10:12 PM CDT (03:12 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2018, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 88 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 10:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll3 hr
Apr 13, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot36 min
Apr 13, 10:49 PM CDTTornado WarningJANChicot56 min
Apr 13, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence, Poinsett48 min
Apr 13, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington46 min
Apr 13, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett48 min
Apr 14, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley58 min
Apr 14, 2:54 AM CDTTornado WarningJANMorehouse51 min
Apr 14, 3:02 AM CDTTornado WarningJANAshley28 min
Apr 14, 3:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLee, Phillips3 hr
Apr 14, 3:22 AM CDTTornado WarningJANChicot38 min
Apr 14, 3:30 AM CDTTornado WarningJANChicot49 min
Apr 14, 3:45 AM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar60 min
Apr 14, 3:49 AM CDTTornado WarningJANWashington41 min
Apr 14, 4:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Washington39 min
Apr 14, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall46 min
Apr 14, 4:16 AM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Washington44 min
Apr 14, 4:21 AM CDTTornado WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower54 min
Apr 14, 4:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGPhillips3 hr
Apr 14, 4:46 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Marshall, Union29 min
Apr 14, 4:49 AM CDTTornado WarningJANHumphreys, Leflore, Sunflower46 min
Apr 14, 4:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Tippah51 min
Apr 14, 5:08 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Tippah, Union37 min
Apr 14, 5:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery77 min
Apr 14, 5:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Lee, Pontotoc, Union and 1 more43 min
Apr 14, 5:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Tippah, Tishomingo64 min
Apr 14, 5:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy60 min
Apr 14, 5:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo, Union66 min
Apr 14, 5:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia23 min
Apr 14, 5:44 AM CDTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah18 min
Apr 14, 5:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo, Union58 min
Apr 14, 5:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Yalobusha67 min
Apr 14, 6:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTishomingo32 min
Apr 14, 6:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Union, Yalobusha6 hr
Apr 14, 6:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo51 min
Apr 14, 6:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson61 min
Apr 14, 6:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin, Yazoo52 min
Apr 14, 7:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Lincoln44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1321 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 449 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
449 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
495 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.4
Supercell composite
17.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

035 
WWUS20 KWNS 140310
SEL6  
SPC WW 140310
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-141100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1010 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Arkansas
  Far southern Illinois
  Western Kentucky
  Northeast Louisiana
  Far southeast Missouri
  Mississippi
  Western Tennessee

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1010 PM
  until 600 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe storms will
continue to spread east/northeastward across the region through the
early morning hours. An environment supportive of some tornadoes and
damaging winds will continue to develop eastward of the Mississippi
River overnight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles east northeast of Poplar Bluff
MO to 25 miles southwest of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 43...WW 44...WW 45...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 13, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Montgomery, Yell24 min
Apr 13, 7:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more3 hr
Apr 13, 8:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarland, Howard, Pike54 min
Apr 13, 8:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 47 more66 min
Apr 13, 9:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 37 more8 hr
Apr 14, 2:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 3 more2 hr
Apr 14, 6:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 20 more83 min
Apr 14, 6:57 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 22 more7 hr
Apr 14, 4:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 32 more115 min
Apr 14, 9:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Jackson95 min
Apr 14, 10:36 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCGeorge, Greene, Harrison, Jackson, Perry, Stone and 1 more8 hr
Apr 14, 12:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Jackson94 min
Apr 14, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson94 min
Apr 14, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Jackson118 min
Apr 14, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGeorge, Greene6 hr
Apr 13, 8:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Cole and 33 more63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2018Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2018Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2018Every tornado watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.