Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Springfield, MO

051 
WWUS53 KSGF 200136
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
836 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

MOC215-229-200200-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-180520T0200Z/
Wright MO-Texas MO-
836 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL WRIGHT AND CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES...

At 836 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 10 miles west of Licking to 6 miles northwest of
Houston to 12 miles north of Mountain Grove, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Licking...                        Houston...
Raymondville...                   Huggins...
Yukon...                          Bucyrus...
Hazelton...                       Graff...
Prescott...                       Success...
Eunice...                         Bendavis...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 9241 3760 9198 3760 9181 3759 9176
      3721 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 0136Z 258DEG 35KT 3748 9205 3737 9206 3731 9227 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Wise

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
601 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Strong to severe convection continues in the eastern CWA
primarily along and north of a surface warm front and ahead of a
subtle H5 wave currently moving through the area. Meanwhile...boundary
interactions with the surface front is setting off another round
of convection over north central Oklahoma.

As the larger upper level wave moves out of eastern Colorado
toward the Upper Mississippi Valley...low pressure will develop
and move along the front. This will induce more convection along
the front that will move up and into the area during the overnight
hours. Primary threat with these storms will be wind and
hail...but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out especially over
extreme southeast Kansas. This convection will continue into
early Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

The quasi-stationary surface front meanders back and forth across
central Missouri through most of the week. This will keep slight
chance to chance PoPs in the forecast. In the upper levels..a
trough is situated over the southwestern US with a ridge over the
Central States. As small short waves move out of the southwest
trough and up and over the ridge...rain chances over the area
will increase.

Not too much variability in day-to-day temperatures with highs
generally in the low to mid 80s and lows in the low to mid
60s...or about 5-10 degrees above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 453 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Currently...a frontal boundary extends across the area...roughly
from JBR-JLN-PNC...with strong to severe convection occurring
along the boundary. An upper level low...located along the CO/NE
border is forecast to move into eastern SD by the end of the
forecast period. As it does...it will induce an area of low
pressure on the surface front which will move into northeastern
MO by the end of the forecast period.

For the most part...VFR conditions can be expected except in areas
where convection is occurring...which will be MVFR. The convective
activity will affect the KJLN and KSGF terminals most but could
affect KBBG after about 07z. Convection should be out of the
terminal areas by mid to late morning with mainly mid and upper
level clouds present through the remainder of the forecast period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
317 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-202030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
317 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A line of strong to severe storms will continue to track east
  across far south central Missouri late this afternoon. The
  strongest storms will be capable of producing hail to the size
  of ping pong balls and damaging winds gusts over 60 mph. This
  activity will spread east of the area by early this evening.

  Thunderstorms are currently developing across north central
  Oklahoma this afternoon. This activity will track northeast
  towards extreme southeastern Kansas and far western Missouri
  this evening. Hail to the size of golf balls and damaging wind
  gusts will be the main risk. An isolated tornado may also be
  possible. Frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes and
  locally heavy rainfall will also occur with this activity.

  Additional showers and storms may then develop and spread into
  the area from the west later tonight into early Sunday morning.
  Cloud to ground lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be
  the main risk, but a few of the stronger storms could be
  capable of penny size hail and winds in excess of 45 mph.

  With the multiple rounds of storms possible today and tonight,
  there will also be the potential for localized minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Additional thunderstorm are possible on Sunday. A few storms
  may become severe across central Missouri if enough instability
  develops.

Additional thunderstorm chances will occur next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon across south
  central Missouri, then this evening across extreme southeastern
  Kansas and western Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
649 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE PLEASANT HOPE     37.50N 93.26W
05/19/2018                   POLK               MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

AF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE VERDELLA          37.59N 94.40W
05/19/2018                   BARTON             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED OVER ROAD,
            BLOCKING ROADWAY. DAMAGE TO A HOME ALSO
            OCCURRED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
651 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             5 NNE MORRISVILLE       37.54N 93.38W
05/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

AF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
651 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

MOZ055>057-068>070-080-081-090>092-200030-
Dallas MO-Camden MO-Greene MO-Wright MO-Benton MO-Miller MO-
Hickory MO-Laclede MO-Webster MO-Morgan MO-Pulaski MO-
651 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HICKORY...NORTHERN
WEBSTER...DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN BENTON...
MILLER...LACLEDE...WESTERN PULASKI...NORTHEASTERN GREENE...CAMDEN AND
MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 651 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southeast of Lincoln to near Macks
Creek to near Strafford. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Northeastern Springfield...       Lebanon...
Lake of The Ozarks...             Lake of The Ozarks State Park...
Ha Ha Tonka State Park...         Bennett Spring State Park...
Marshfield...                     Eldon...
Osage Beach...                    Camdenton...
Buffalo...                        Versailles...
Strafford...                      Village of Four Seasons...
Richland...                       Lake Ozark...
Morgan...                         Fair Grove...
Crocker...                        Stover...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 80 and 152.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3843 9262 3842 9241 3834 9241 3832 9225
      3833 9220 3801 9220 3727 9245 3722 9326
      3742 9320 3743 9318 3785 9308 3795 9311
      3800 9315 3806 9315 3835 9334 3850 9271
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 257DEG 45KT 3830 9323 3788 9296 3727 9320

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
734 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

MOZ057-058-069>071-081>083-092-200130-
Dent MO-Maries MO-Camden MO-Wright MO-Phelps MO-Miller MO-Laclede MO-
Pulaski MO-Texas MO-
734 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARIES...NORTHERN WRIGHT...
DENT...MILLER...EASTERN LACLEDE...PULASKI...NORTHERN TEXAS...PHELPS
AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

At 734 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hickory Hill to 13 miles north of
Hartville. Movement was east at 60 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Rolla...                          Fort Leonard Wood...
Montauk State Park...             Lake of The Ozarks State Park...
Salem...                          Waynesville...
St. Robert...                     St. James...
Licking...                        Richland...
Dixon...                          Belle...
Crocker...                        Iberia...
Doolittle...                      Vienna...
Newburg...                        Bunker...
Saint Elizabeth...                St. Elizabeth...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 135 and 169, and
between mile markers 171 and 200.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3741 9122
      3742 9164 3740 9165 3735 9264 3843 9249
      3842 9241 3834 9240 3834 9220 3829 9219
      3829 9165 3816 9164 3815 9153 3779 9153
      3779 9131 3770 9130 3769 9115 3759 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 253DEG 53KT 3835 9244 3744 9257

Hatch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
805 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N HALF WAY            37.63N 93.25W
05/19/2018                   POLK               MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN. ALSO HAD NICKEL SIZE
            HAIL.

&&