Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Springfield, MO

710 
WWUS53 KSGF 201045
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
545 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSC021-MOC097-119-145-201115-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-180520T1115Z/
Cherokee KS-Newton MO-McDonald MO-Jasper MO-
545 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT
FOR CHEROKEE...NEWTON...MCDONALD AND JASPER COUNTIES...

At 544 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Columbus to near Saginaw to Lanagan, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Joplin...                         Carthage...
Neosho...                         Webb City...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Carl Junction...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Oronogo...
Seneca...                         Granby...
Anderson...                       Carterville...
Noel...                           Duquesne...
Dodge...                          Sarcoxie...
Goodman...                        Duenweg...

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 30.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 55.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9482 3735 9409 3677 9407 3650 9443
      3650 9462 3700 9462 3706 9487 3709 9496
      3714 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1044Z 224DEG 27KT 3719 9477 3700 9450 3662 9447 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lindenberg

710 
WWUS53 KSGF 201113
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
613 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSC021-MOC097-119-145-201122-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-180520T1115Z/
Cherokee KS-Newton MO-McDonald MO-Jasper MO-
613 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHEROKEE...NEWTON...MCDONALD
AND JASPER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 615 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
of 40 to 50 mph will remain possible with the line of storms as they 
push east northeast.

LAT...LON 3734 9482 3735 9409 3677 9407 3650 9443
      3650 9462 3700 9462 3706 9487 3709 9496
      3714 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1112Z 224DEG 55KT 3719 9477 3700 9450 3662 9447 

$$

Lindenberg

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
320 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

Several clusters of convection were ongoing from central Missouri
back to the southwest into southern Kansas and central Oklahoma.
The largest area of convection was centered in Oklahoma within a
better instability axis and stronger llj. MU capes in our area
were generally around 1000-1500j/kg with the highest values in far
southern missouri where that area has been missed from the bulk of
the precip. Surface low pressure was over Central Kansas with a
trailing boundary into Oklahoma as well as extending up into
northwest Missouri.

Expect convection to continue to develop and move into and through
the area this morning. Just enough instability and shear exists
for a marginal severe threat with large hail and damaging winds
the main threats this morning. PW values are around 1.2-1.5in and
we have seen heavy precip rates therefore some flash flooding is
possible with any training storms, especially across locations
that have already seen heavy rainfall from the last 24 hours.

High res guidance indicates that the bulk of this precip will move
through the morning with a potential lull around mid day. By the
afternoon and evening, more shortwave energy will move into the
region and interact with the remaining front over our area. Our
atmosphere may be pretty worked over by then, however if the
atmosphere can destabilize, then storms that develop could become
severe. RAP forecasts for late afternoon into the evening show
about 2000j/kg of ML cape with 30kts of 0-6km bulk shear. Mid
level lapse rates dont look to be nearly as impressive as
yesterday therefore not currently expecting quite the episode we
experienced yesterday however some damaging winds and large hail
would be possible during the afternoon and evening hours across
the entire area if this instability materializes. With high PW
values forecast, locally heavy rainfall and flooding could also
occur. Precip will end from west to east during the early
overnight hours. Lastly, high temperatures today will vary quite a
bit and be dependent on the amount of cloud cover.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

Monday and Tuesday both look primarily dry other than a scattered
storm or two across far southern missouri. Height rises are
occuring both days and not seeing a strong trigger for storms at
this point. Temperatures will remain very warm.

Several shortwaves embedded in the flow approach by midweek with
rainfall chances lingering into the end of the week. Temps will
remain above average.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Will monitor showers and thunderstorms that develop in Kansas and
Oklahoma tonight. They will attempt to move in from the west
overnight. Currently have VCTS at the sites. Outside of
thunderstorms, VFR conditions are expected. Winds will remain out
of the southeast. Additional showers and storms are possible
during the day Sunday however coverage is uncertain at this
juncture.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Burchfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
339 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-210845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
339 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Clusters of showers and thunderstorms will move through during
the morning hours from Kansas and Oklahoma. A few of these storms
could be severe with winds up to 60 mph and hail up to the size
of quarters. Frequent cloud to ground lightning will occur. Flash
flooding could develop where storms train over the same areas.

 Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
across the area during the afternoon and evening hours. If enough
instability can develop then a few severe thunderstorms would be
possible with large hail to the size of quarters and damaging
winds in excess of 60 mph. Flash flooding is also possible in the
heavier thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms should come to an
end during the late evening and overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

 Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible Monday and
Tuesday mainly across far southern Missouri. Severe thunderstorms
are not expected at this time.

Additional thunderstorm chances will occur from mid week into the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be possible across the area today and
tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Burchfield

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
221 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             2 E SQUIRES             36.86N 92.59W
05/19/2018  E2.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURES OF HAIL AT LEAST
            2.00IN IN DIAMETER.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
233 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HAIL             SEYMOUR                 37.14N 92.76W
05/19/2018  E1.25 INCH       WEBSTER            MO   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURES OF HAIL SLIGHTLY
            LARGER THAN QUARTERS.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
250 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE NEWBURG            37.92N 91.89W
05/19/2018                   PHELPS             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER LINES DOWN ON HIGHWAY T NORTH OF
            NEWBURG.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             SAGINAW                 37.02N 94.47W
05/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA VIDEO OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN
            SAGINAW.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
405 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNE STOCKTON          37.74N 93.78W
05/19/2018                   CEDAR              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            3 MILES NORTH OF STOCKTON J HWY 9 TO 14"
            TREE DOWN WITH SEVERAL SMALL TREES DOWN.

&&

BURCHFIELD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
429 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSZ073-097-101-201015-
Cherokee KS-Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-
429 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BOURBON...
NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 515 AM CDT...

At 429 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mccune, or 13 miles southwest of Girard, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Frontenac...
Girard...                         Arma...
Cherokee...                       Sherman...
Scammon...                        Mccune...
Franklin...                       Walnut...
West Mineral...                   Hepler...
Roseland...                       Beulah...
Carona...                         Farlington...
Brazilton...                      Sherwin...
Porterville...                    Greenbush...

LAT...LON 3771 9509 3776 9508 3767 9462 3715 9489
      3724 9507 3738 9507 3739 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0929Z 208DEG 27KT 3736 9500

Lindenberg