Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 22, 201817 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 22, 2018, 11:13 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Jul 23, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2018, 11:13 PM MDT (05:13 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 23, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 24, 2018, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2018-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 58 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2018-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2133 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
316 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

568 
WGUS65 KPUB 230513
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1113 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

...Flash Flood Watch has been issued for burn scars in the Sangre
de Cristo and Wet mountains Monday afternoon and evening....

.Monsoon moisture combined with upslope flow will lead to an
enhanced risk for thunderstorms capable of producing flash
flooding for the area burn scars in the Sangre de Cristo and wet
mountains Monday afternoon and evening. 

COZ072>075-078>080-087-231315-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0004.180723T1800Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, 
Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Silver Cliff, 
Westcliffe, Rye, and Walsenburg
1113 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for area burn scars in the Sangre de Cristo
  and Wet mountains including Junkins, Spring and Hayden Pass burn
  scars.  

* From Monday afternoon through Monday evening

* Upslope flow and monsoon moisture will result in scattered to
  numerous showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening
  across the eastern mountains. Locally heavy rainfall will be
  possible with newer burn scars most at risk for experiencing
  flash flooding should a thunderstorm impact these areas.  

* Dangerous flash flooding and debris flows will be possible in or
  near recent burn scars. Flash flooding can occur with as little
  as 0.30 inches of rain in a short period of time.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
955 
WGUS65 KPUB 231000
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
400 AM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for burn scars in the 
Sangre de Cristo and Wet mountains this afternoon and evening....

.Monsoon moisture combined with upslope flow will lead to an
enhanced risk for thunderstorms capable of producing flash
flooding for the area burn scars in the Sangre de Cristo and wet
mountains this afternoon and evening.

COZ072>075-078>080-087-231800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0004.180723T1800Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, 
Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Silver Cliff, 
Westcliffe, Rye, and Walsenburg
400 AM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeast Colorado, including the following 
  areas, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, 
  Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Wet Mountain Valley, and 
  Wet Mountains. 

* From noon MDT today through this evening

* Upslope flow and monsoon moisture will result in scattered to
  numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening
  across the eastern mountains. Locally heavy rainfall will be
  possible with the newer burn scars most susceptible for  
  experiencing flash flooding should a thunderstorm impact these 
  areas. 

* Dangerous flash flooding and debris flows will be possible in 
  or near recent burn scars. Flash flooding can occur with as 
  little as 0.30 inches of rain in a short period of time. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
524 
WGUS65 KPUB 231615
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1015 AM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...Flash Flood Watch in effect for the southern mountains and
eastern plains...

.Monsoon moisture combined with upslope flow will lead to an
enhanced risk for thunderstorms capable of producing flash
flooding across all of the southern mountains and plains this
afternoon and evening.

COZ076-077-081>086-088-089-093>099-240015-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FF.A.0004.180723T1800Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
Including the cities of Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, 
Swissvale, Texas Creek, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, 
Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, 
Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, 
Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, 
and Walsh
1015 AM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of central Colorado, 
  east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado, including the 
  following areas, in central Colorado, Fremont County, Pikes 
  Peak above 11000 feet, and Teller County and the Rampart 
  Range. In east central Colorado, Northern El Paso County and 
  Southern El Paso County. In southeast Colorado, Baca County, 
  Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las 
  Animas County, Otero County, Prowers County, Pueblo County, 
  Western Kiowa County, and Western Las Animas County. 

* Through this evening

* Upslope flow and monsoon moisture will result in scattered to
  numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening
  across the region. Locally very heavy rainfall will be possible.
  Urban areas and burn scars will be most susceptible to flash
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

COZ072>075-078>080-087-240015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0004.180723T1800Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, 
Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Silver Cliff, 
Westcliffe, Rye, and Walsenburg
1015 AM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southeast Colorado, including the following 
  areas, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, 
  Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Wet Mountain Valley, and 
  Wet Mountains. 

* Through this evening

* Upslope flow and monsoon moisture will result in scattered to 
  numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening 
  across the eastern mountains. Locally heavy rainfall will be 
  possible with the newer burn scars most susceptible for 
  experiencing flash flooding should a thunderstorm impact these 
  areas. 

* Dangerous flash flooding and debris flows will be possible in 
  or near recent burn scars. Flash flooding can occur with as 
  little as 0.30 inches of rain in a short period of time. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Hodanish
631 
WGUS65 KPUB 232344
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
544 PM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...Flash Flood Watch in effect for the southern mountains and
eastern plains...

.Monsoon moisture combined with upslope flow will lead to an
enhanced risk for thunderstorms capable of producing flash
flooding across all of the southern mountains and plains through
this evening. Flash flooding is already occurring across Teller
and El Paso Counties. Remember, turn around, don't drown.

COZ072>089-093>099-240600-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, 
Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, 
Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, 
Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, 
Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg,
Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, 
Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, 
and Walsh
544 PM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and 
  southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central 
  Colorado, Fremont County, Pikes Peak above 11000 feet, and 
  Teller County and the Rampart Range. In east central Colorado, 
  Northern El Paso County and Southern El Paso County. In 
  southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, 
  Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano 
  County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County, 
  Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo 
  Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County, 
  Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. 

* Until midnight MDT tonight

* Upslope flow and monsoon moisture will result in scattered to
  numerous showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall will
  be possible with the newer burn scars most susceptible for 
  experiencing flash flooding should a thunderstorm impact these 
  areas. 

* Dangerous flash flooding and debris flows will be possible in 
  or near recent burn scars. Flash flooding can occur with as 
  little as 0.30 inches of rain in a short period of time. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
139 
WGUS65 KPUB 240556
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1156 PM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018


COZ072>089-093>099-240700-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-180724T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, 
Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, 
Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, 
Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, 
Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg,
Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, 
Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, 
and Walsh
1156 PM MDT Mon Jul 23 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Colorado, east
central Colorado, and southeast Colorado will expire at midnight
MDT tonight. Areas of light rain will continue for the next
several hours, but the flash flood threat has diminished.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 22, 3:31 PM MDT, 7 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 3:31 PM MDT, 7 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
331 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 325 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

...Heavy rain likely tomorrow...

Currently...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms were noted over the
high terrain and extended eastward along the I-25 corridor. Areas
east of the I-25 corridor were generally mostly clear. Winds were
generally N-NE over the plains as a boundary has moved south across
the region.

Temperatures were quite warm again at 2 pm as readings of 101 were
noted in KPUB with 97 to 100F readings along the rest of the lower
ark rvr valley and 90s over the rest of the plains. Exception was
over El Paso county were showers have moved through cooling temps
down into the 80s. Valleys and mtns were cooler due to the cloud
cover and showers, and readings were in the 60s/70s to mid 80s
(valleys).

Rest of today into tonight...

Showers will continue to intensify as they move east off the mtns
and onto the plains. Although temps were very warm and dwpts in the
50s and 60s at the lower elevations, not much CAPE was noted as
temps aloft are so warm. Over far eastern CO some CAPE was being
realized with 1500 J/KG on the KS border. Shear was noted, but it
was marginal, about 25-30 knots.

High res guidance at this time is not showing any strong signals
about heavy rain potential in the near term. It has been consistent
regarding indicating an area of heavier rain developing over the
Baca/E Las Animas county region later this evening, but other areas
it is just showing TSRA moving steadily east over the plains. What
the guidance is showing that has been different of late is that
multiple rounds of the precip are likely over the region the rest of
this afternoon, and into the evening. Some showers and storms will
also be possible late tonight, especially over far eastern plains.

As typically the case in these situations, burn scars will have to
be watched carefully.

Will likely see lots of clouds on the plains tonight, and some low
cigs will be possible in some areas.

Tomorrow...

Guidance continues to indicate showers will be rather numerous over
the region tomorrow, and the possibility of heavier rain developing
over the eastern mtns late is still being indicated. Temps aloft
will be a degree or two cooler and there will be plenty of moisture
available (1500 CAPE east of the S mtns), and marginal shear will be
in place, so a few strong storms could also occur. If these trends
continue, flash flood watches may be needed, especially for the new
burn scar areas. WPC has the area outlooked for slight risk of
flash flooding. The overall greatest threat will be the east
facing slopes of the mtns and the I-25 corridor region. Soundings
are quite saturated tomorrow, and warm rain processes will be
possible. \/Hodanish

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 325 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

...Continued chances of diurnal thunderstorms with heavy rain...

Little change in the models for the extended period. Initially the
upper level high is centered over New Mexico. The high is forecast
to shift westward to AZ/southern NV through the week. This shift
will allow for increasing northwest flow aloft over Colorado.

Latest run of the GFS seem to be focusing best precipitation chances
Monday evening over the southern Sangres. Area of greatest QPF then
shifts south into New Mexico by late Monday night.

On Tuesday, airmass will be a little drier, but there will be more
instability on the plains. The lack of an upper level shortwave
should limit the amount of convection, so anticipate fewer
thunderstorms overall, but can't rule out thunderstorms altogether.
Any thunderstorm that develops could contain some hail and heavy
rain. The best chances for thunderstorms will be along and east of
the mountains.

For Wednesday, thunderstorm activity should increase across
southeast Colorado with next frontal boundary forecast to move
through the southeast plains during the afternoon and evening hours.
CAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg over the far eastern plains in the
GFS. GFS appears to be faster with the front and has more QPF across
the area Wednesday.

Thunderstorm chances continue Thursday through Saturday and slightly
drier conditions expected Sunday. GFS continues to show another
front moving through the eastern plains Saturday with thunderstorms
developing behind the front and continuing into the evening hours.

Temperatures through the period should remain warm with highs on the
plains generally in the mid 80s to lower 90s. The warmest day will
be Wednesday with highs at the lower elevations in the mid 80s to
mid 90s. Stark

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 325 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

TSRA will be possible at each of the TAF sites this afternoon and
early evening. Strong gusty winds will be possible with brief
periods of MVFR.

Later this evening into tonight some light tsra will be possible,
especially KCOS and KPUB. Low cigs may also develop, especially at
KCOS prior to sunrise.

For tomorrow, thunderstorms will be likely along the I-25 corridor
region affecting KPUB and KCOS, especially during the late afternoon
and early evening time period. Strong winds and heavy rain is
anticipated.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...STARK
AVIATION...HODANISH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 11:29 AM MDT, 11 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1129 AM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

COZ058>089-093>099-231730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1129 AM MDT Sun Jul 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop over
the mountains through the early afternoon, with storms expected to
move east across the adjacent plains and through the far southeast
Plains late this afternoon and evening. The main threats from storms
will be lightning, locally heavy rain and gusty winds up to 40 mph.
Small hail and gusty outflow winds in excess of 50 mph may also be
possible with a few of the stronger storms across the southeast
Plains. Localized flash flooding will continue to be a concern
today, especially if locally heavy rainfall occurs over the newer
burn areas across south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A moist airmass will remain over the region throughout the
week, and thunderstorms will be possible each day, At this time
the best chance for more widespread heavy rain will be tomorrow
and Thursday. The main threats from these storms will be locally
heavy downpours, small hail, and lightning. There will the
potential for flash flooding each day, especially on recent burn
scars. By late week, some severe thunderstorms may be possible as
winds aloft increase over the eastern plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon and tonight.

Hodanish

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 8:54 PM MDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
854 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

COZ094-099-230330-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Eastern Las Animas County CO-
854 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BACA AND SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM MDT...

At 851 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pritchett, or 10 miles west of Springfield, moving east at 45 mph.
ASOS at Springfield reported a 57 mph gust

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Walsh, Pritchett, Vilas, Campo, Two Buttes, Stonington
and Two Buttes Reservoir.

LAT...LON 3700 10331 3764 10303 3764 10204 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 272DEG 39KT 3736 10279

KTS
Local storm report, Jul 22, 8:57 PM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
857 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LAMAR AIRPORT           38.07N 102.69W
07/22/2018  M69 MPH          PROWERS            CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION LAA, LAMAR AIRPORT.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 22, 8:59 PM MDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
859 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S SPRINGFIELD         37.28N 102.61W
07/22/2018  M58 MPH          BACA               CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION SPD, 8 S SPRINGFIELD.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 22, 9:01 PM MDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
901 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S SPRINGFIELD         37.28N 102.61W
07/22/2018  M61 MPH          BACA               CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION SPD, 8 S SPRINGFIELD.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 22, 9:10 PM MDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
910 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S SPRINGFIELD         37.28N 102.61W
07/22/2018  M61 MPH          BACA               CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION SPD, 8 S SPRINGFIELD.

0843 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S SPRINGFIELD         37.28N 102.61W
07/22/2018  M58 MPH          BACA               CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION SPD, 8 S SPRINGFIELD.

0843 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LAMAR AIRPORT           38.07N 102.69W
07/22/2018  M69 MPH          PROWERS            CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION LAA, LAMAR AIRPORT.

0733 PM     HAIL             3 W LAS ANIMAS          38.07N 103.28W
07/22/2018  M0.88 INCH       BENT               CO   PUBLIC

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 SSW BLENDE            38.14N 104.63W
07/22/2018  M65 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   PUBLIC

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     12 NE COLORADO CITY     38.07N 104.69W
07/22/2018  E65 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0310 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 NE BLENDE             38.29N 104.49W
07/22/2018  M63 MPH          PUEBLO             CO   ASOS

            PUEBLO ASOS.

&&
Special weather statement, Jul 22, 10:27 PM MDT, 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1027 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

COZ099-230515-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-
1027 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BACA COUNTY UNTIL
1115 PM MDT...

At 1027 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Stonington, or 20 miles southeast of Springfield,
moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Walsh, Vilas, Campo and Stonington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10262 3738 10259 3746 10204 3700 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 276DEG 18KT 3723 10232

kam

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 6:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCrowley52 min
Jul 22, 6:21 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas39 min
Jul 22, 6:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBKiowa51 min
Jul 22, 6:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas30 min
Jul 22, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa29 min
Jul 22, 6:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas24 min
Jul 22, 7:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent43 min
Jul 22, 7:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBKiowa44 min
Jul 22, 7:31 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBKiowa2 hr
Jul 22, 7:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent39 min
Jul 22, 7:40 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas50 min
Jul 22, 8:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Prowers36 min
Jul 22, 8:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca45 min
Jul 22, 8:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBent46 min
Jul 22, 8:53 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBBent, Prowers114 min
Jul 22, 8:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca36 min
Jul 22, 8:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Prowers33 min
Jul 22, 9:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca26 min
Jul 22, 9:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca62 min
Jul 22, 10:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca48 min
Jul 23, 1:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache27 min
Jul 23, 1:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBFremont34 min
Jul 23, 1:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache44 min
Jul 23, 2:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont44 min
Jul 23, 2:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache51 min
Jul 23, 2:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster49 min
Jul 23, 2:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCuster, Fremont32 min
Jul 23, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBTeller40 min
Jul 23, 2:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUB37 min
Jul 23, 2:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller52 min
Jul 23, 2:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUB31 min
Jul 23, 3:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller51 min
Jul 23, 3:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano31 min
Jul 23, 3:42 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso, Teller3 hr
Jul 23, 3:48 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller27 min
Jul 23, 4:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller3 hr
Jul 23, 4:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller46 min
Jul 23, 4:21 PM MDTRiver Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 23, 4:22 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCostilla, Huerfano3 hr
Jul 23, 4:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller26 min
Jul 23, 4:47 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 23, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo49 min
Jul 23, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo46 min
Jul 23, 5:20 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo25 min
Jul 23, 5:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont64 min
Jul 23, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero, Pueblo49 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.