Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

721 
WWUS54 KMAF 232221
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
421 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXC109-232229-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-180523T2245Z/
Culberson TX-
421 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3201 10410 3201 10444 3247 10446 3238 10399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 188DEG 3KT 3235 10412 

$$

NMC015-232245-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-180523T2245Z/
Eddy NM-
421 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY...

At 419 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Loving, or 7
miles southeast of Carlsbad, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad east and Otis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Stay away from windows.

This is a dangerous storm. People outside should move to a shelter.

Very heavy rain rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead 
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded 
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3201 10410 3201 10444 3247 10446 3238 10399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 188DEG 3KT 3235 10412 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

49

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
317 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018

.UPDATE...Severe Thunderstorm Watch #118 has been issued for
Southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas thru 03Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 239 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday...if you like very or
extremely hot weather than this weekend and next week is for you.

Have a strong storm over the Davis Mtns at this time. Some more
storms are starting to form over the Guadalupe Mtns. These storms
will continue to increase in coverage and intensity this
aftn/evening over SE NM and West Texas as moisture is banked
against the mtns in combination with intense heating and upslope
flow. These storms will (should) dissipate before reaching the
central PB tonight since they will be moving into the ridge and BL
stabilization. Have followed the 12Z NAM NEST since it seems to
have a good handle on the pattern. Storms could have gusty
winds...large hail...and very heavy rains. Even though CAPE's will
be in excess of 3000 J with little CIN in SE New Mexico and West
Texas the limiting factor will be weak vertical shear.

Storms will be on the decrease late tonight then dry weather is
expected thru the weekend as ridging builds over the southern
Plains. With the H85 ridge edging closer and the the low level
moisture mixing temps will rise to record levels over the weekend.
Expect temps 100-105 over the PB...around 105 in the Trans
Pecos...and 110+ possible over the Rio Grande. Temps will be
similar on Monday.

Ridging will remain entrenched over the southern Plains next week.
Have kept the CWA mainly dry...but there could be enough moisture
trapped under the ridge combined with intense heating for an
isolated storm. But the main story will be the extremely hot
temperatures. With H85 temps exceeding 30C...and as hot as 34C
from Tue thru Thursday it's possible we can break the all-time
high temperature record for the month of May at Midland Intl Air
and Space Port (the current all-time record for May at MAF is 108
degrees set in 1989 and 2000). For now...have high temps Tue and
Wed around 105 in the PB...up to 110 in the Trans Pecos...and up
to 115 along the Rio Grande. It's entirely possible that high
temps could be as much as five degrees hotter than the current
forecast.

The temperatures next week will be dangerously hot. Remember to
wear loose clothing and drink plenty of water (stay away from
caffeine and alcohol since that will dehydrate you). Do not leave
children...the elderly...and pets unattended in vehicles! Remember
to stay hydrated!

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     69  93  72  98 /  10   0  10  10
Carlsbad                       63  92  67  99 /  40  10  10   0
Dryden                         70  94  72  97 /  20   0  10  10
Fort Stockton                  67  92  70  98 /  40  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 62  85  68  90 /  30  10  10   0
Hobbs                          62  91  65  96 /  40   0  10   0
Marfa                          60  87  63  91 /  30  30  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           69  93  71  98 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         68  93  71  98 /  20   0   0   0
Wink                           68  94  70 100 /  40   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
118 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241830-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
118 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018 /1218 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening mainly across
southeast New Mexico southward to the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains.
A few storms will also be possible across the far western and
northwestern Permian Basin south to the Big Bend area. Storms could
become strong with a few severe, large hail, damaging winds, and
locally heavy rain being the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms, some strong, are possible Thursday mainly in the
Davis Mountains area. Strong winds and heavy rain will be the main
threats. A few storms will possible on Friday across the eastern
areas.

The weather is expected to turn unusually hot starting Saturday and
will gain momentum through the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
348 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ080-232130-
Marfa Plateau TX-
348 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Big Bend Ranch State Park, moving north at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Casa Piedra.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 2957 10415 2961 10418 2986 10421 2986 10388
      2954 10396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 181DEG 7KT 2963 10408

24

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
409 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ074-232200-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
409 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN REEVES AND CENTRAL
JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 409 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles south of Kent, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Davis, Bloys Camp, McDonald Observatory, Davis Mountains State
Park, Black Mountain, Star Mountain, Buffalo Trail Scout Camp, Indian
Lodge and Fort Davis National Historical Site.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 193 and 196.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3107 10394 3064 10368 3047 10418 3075 10438
      3081 10438
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 222DEG 22KT 3084 10424

29

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
421 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             QUEEN                   32.19N 104.75W
05/23/2018  E1.75 INCH       EDDY               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PAT.VESPER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
422 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ080-081-232215-
Big Bend Area TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
422 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND EAST
CENTRAL PRESIDIO COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

At 422 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 23
miles northeast of Big Bend Ranch State Park, moving northeast at 15
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Casa Piedra.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 2963 10396 2974 10419 3015 10398 3003 10371
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 206DEG 15KT 2984 10399

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
432 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND GST     21 W ORLA               31.83N 104.27W
05/23/2018  M55.00 MPH       Culberson          TX   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
437 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     HAIL             6 WSW WHITES CITY       32.14N 104.47W
05/23/2018  E1.75 INCH       Eddy               NM   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            GOLF BALL HAIL IN CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL PARK

&&

MATT.SALERNO