Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

532 
WWUS54 KMAF 232116
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
416 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC015-TXC109-232145-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180523T2145Z/
Eddy NM-Culberson TX-
416 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM
CDT/345 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY AND NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON
COUNTIES...

At 416 PM CDT/316 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 13 miles
south of Whites City, or 25 miles east of Pine Springs, moving north
at 25 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad Caverns National Park, Whites City and Malaga. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3163 10419 3157 10459 3224 10458 3222 10404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 187DEG 23KT 3199 10439 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

29

766 
WWUS54 KMAF 232131
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
431 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC015-TXC109-232145-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180523T2145Z/
Eddy NM-Culberson TX-
431 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM
CDT/345 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY AND NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON
COUNTIES...

At 431 PM CDT/331 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located near
Whites City, or 23 miles south of Carlsbad, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad Caverns National Park, Whites City and Malaga. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3172 10417 3157 10459 3224 10458 3222 10404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 180DEG 21KT 3208 10439 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

29

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
317 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018

.UPDATE...Severe Thunderstorm Watch #118 has been issued for
Southeast New Mexico and Far West Texas thru 03Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 239 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:00 PM CDT Wednesday...if you like very or
extremely hot weather than this weekend and next week is for you.

Have a strong storm over the Davis Mtns at this time. Some more
storms are starting to form over the Guadalupe Mtns. These storms
will continue to increase in coverage and intensity this
aftn/evening over SE NM and West Texas as moisture is banked
against the mtns in combination with intense heating and upslope
flow. These storms will (should) dissipate before reaching the
central PB tonight since they will be moving into the ridge and BL
stabilization. Have followed the 12Z NAM NEST since it seems to
have a good handle on the pattern. Storms could have gusty
winds...large hail...and very heavy rains. Even though CAPE's will
be in excess of 3000 J with little CIN in SE New Mexico and West
Texas the limiting factor will be weak vertical shear.

Storms will be on the decrease late tonight then dry weather is
expected thru the weekend as ridging builds over the southern
Plains. With the H85 ridge edging closer and the the low level
moisture mixing temps will rise to record levels over the weekend.
Expect temps 100-105 over the PB...around 105 in the Trans
Pecos...and 110+ possible over the Rio Grande. Temps will be
similar on Monday.

Ridging will remain entrenched over the southern Plains next week.
Have kept the CWA mainly dry...but there could be enough moisture
trapped under the ridge combined with intense heating for an
isolated storm. But the main story will be the extremely hot
temperatures. With H85 temps exceeding 30C...and as hot as 34C
from Tue thru Thursday it's possible we can break the all-time
high temperature record for the month of May at Midland Intl Air
and Space Port (the current all-time record for May at MAF is 108
degrees set in 1989 and 2000). For now...have high temps Tue and
Wed around 105 in the PB...up to 110 in the Trans Pecos...and up
to 115 along the Rio Grande. It's entirely possible that high
temps could be as much as five degrees hotter than the current
forecast.

The temperatures next week will be dangerously hot. Remember to
wear loose clothing and drink plenty of water (stay away from
caffeine and alcohol since that will dehydrate you). Do not leave
children...the elderly...and pets unattended in vehicles! Remember
to stay hydrated!

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     69  93  72  98 /  10   0  10  10
Carlsbad                       63  92  67  99 /  40  10  10   0
Dryden                         70  94  72  97 /  20   0  10  10
Fort Stockton                  67  92  70  98 /  40  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 62  85  68  90 /  30  10  10   0
Hobbs                          62  91  65  96 /  40   0  10   0
Marfa                          60  87  63  91 /  30  30  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           69  93  71  98 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         68  93  71  98 /  20   0   0   0
Wink                           68  94  70 100 /  40   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
118 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241830-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
118 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018 /1218 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening mainly across
southeast New Mexico southward to the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains.
A few storms will also be possible across the far western and
northwestern Permian Basin south to the Big Bend area. Storms could
become strong with a few severe, large hail, damaging winds, and
locally heavy rain being the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms, some strong, are possible Thursday mainly in the
Davis Mountains area. Strong winds and heavy rain will be the main
threats. A few storms will possible on Friday across the eastern
areas.

The weather is expected to turn unusually hot starting Saturday and
will gain momentum through the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
259 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARLSBAD                32.40N 104.24W
05/22/2018                   Eddy               NM   PUBLIC

            TIN ROOF ON TOP OF SEARS STORE IN CARLSBAD WAS RIPPED
            APART BY THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

&&

MATT.SALERNO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
338 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 PM     HAIL             7 NNE QUEEN             32.28N 104.70W
05/23/2018  E1.50 INCH       Eddy               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MATT.SALERNO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
339 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ057-258-232130-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-Guadalupe Mountains TX-
339 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CULBERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM CDT/330 PM MDT/...

At 339 PM CDT/239 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 20 miles southeast of Salt Flat, or 21 miles south of
Pine Springs, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Culberson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ for southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3187 10474 3176 10452 3170 10449 3146 10475
      3155 10491 3158 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 214DEG 14KT 3158 10480

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
340 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ057-058-074-232130-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
340 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN REEVES...NORTH
CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND SOUTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM
CDT...

At 340 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Kent, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kent.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 164 and 195.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 0 and 4.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3135 10420 3105 10392 3085 10434 3094 10440
      3094 10441 3103 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 232DEG 16KT 3101 10432

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
344 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ058-074-075-232130-
Pecos TX-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
344 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PECOS...SOUTH CENTRAL
REEVES AND NORTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 344 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Balmorhea Lake, or 26 miles northeast of Fort Davis, moving northeast
at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Balmorhea, Balmorhea Lake, Saragosa, Balmorhea State Park, Verhalen,
Toyahvale and Star Mountain.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 204 and 235.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3058 10369 3089 10396 3116 10360 3087 10318
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 236DEG 9KT 3093 10370

29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
348 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

TXZ080-232130-
Marfa Plateau TX-
348 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Big Bend Ranch State Park, moving north at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Casa Piedra.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 2957 10415 2961 10418 2986 10421 2986 10388
      2954 10396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 181DEG 7KT 2963 10408

24