Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 61

March 6, 201781 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2017, 1:54 PM CST for 81 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2017, 1:54 PM CST (19:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2017, 10:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 81 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Allamakee County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Linn County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

67 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 2:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona36 min
Mar 6, 2:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMonona35 min
Mar 6, 2:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCherokee, Ida, Woodbury44 min
Mar 6, 3:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie25 min
Mar 6, 3:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby37 min
Mar 6, 3:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Greene, Guthrie50 min
Mar 6, 3:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie28 min
Mar 6, 3:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Crawford, Sac55 min
Mar 6, 4:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby28 min
Mar 6, 4:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas41 min
Mar 6, 4:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie36 min
Mar 6, 4:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Pocahontas, Webster47 min
Mar 6, 4:13 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXEmmet, Kossuth, Palo Alto33 min
Mar 6, 4:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Crawford, Sac41 min
Mar 6, 4:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Webster, Wright46 min
Mar 6, 4:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Calhoun, Carroll, Greene44 min
Mar 6, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHamilton, Humboldt, Webster, Wright49 min
Mar 6, 4:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth, Palo Alto18 min
Mar 6, 4:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth, Winnebago33 min
Mar 6, 4:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont37 min
Mar 6, 4:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page34 min
Mar 6, 4:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Webster, Winnebago, Wright47 min
Mar 6, 5:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Humboldt, Kossuth, Pocahontas, Webster45 min
Mar 6, 5:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page24 min
Mar 6, 5:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Audubon, Cass, Greene, Guthrie68 min
Mar 6, 5:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Calhoun, Greene, Webster50 min
Mar 6, 5:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery26 min
Mar 6, 5:29 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXHamilton, Webster31 min
Mar 6, 5:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Montgomery, Page31 min
Mar 6, 5:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXFranklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Humboldt, Webster, Wright38 min
Mar 6, 5:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery21 min
Mar 6, 5:51 PM CSTTornado WarningOAXPage24 min
Mar 6, 5:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Cass, Ringgold, Taylor, Union52 min
Mar 6, 5:59 PM CSTTornado WarningOAXPage16 min
Mar 6, 6:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Boone, Cass, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie and 1 more42 min
Mar 6, 6:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXFranklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Wright51 min
Mar 6, 6:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Boone, Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and 1 more45 min
Mar 6, 6:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo29 min
Mar 6, 6:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFloyd, Mitchell54 min
Mar 6, 6:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Union51 min
Mar 6, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk, Story53 min
Mar 6, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Franklin, Grundy, Hardin, Marshall37 min
Mar 6, 7:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMarion, Warren48 min
Mar 6, 7:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Howard, Winneshiek62 min
Mar 6, 7:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Monroe54 min
Mar 6, 7:21 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXMarion, Warren24 min
Mar 6, 7:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Wayne59 min
Mar 6, 7:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy58 min
Mar 6, 7:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama54 min
Mar 6, 7:40 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXJasper, Mahaska, Marion22 min
Mar 6, 7:43 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXJasper, Poweshiek32 min
Mar 6, 7:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion54 min
Mar 6, 7:56 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXWayne34 min
Mar 6, 8:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan, Iowa58 min
Mar 6, 8:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNKeokuk56 min
Mar 6, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Lucas, Monroe, Wayne35 min
Mar 6, 8:22 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXAppanoose, Wayne23 min
Mar 6, 8:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Johnson, Linn61 min
Mar 6, 8:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello41 min
Mar 6, 8:40 PM CSTTornado WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello35 min
Mar 6, 8:40 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware38 min
Mar 6, 8:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNKeokuk, Washington74 min
Mar 6, 8:46 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Johnson, Linn22 min
Mar 6, 8:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJefferson, Van Buren81 min
Mar 6, 9:07 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNJones, Linn26 min
Mar 6, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClayton63 min
Mar 6, 9:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJohnson47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 246 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-03-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-03-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 437 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
788 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
437 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
464 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

849 
WWUS20 KWNS 061953
SEL1  
SPC WW 061953
IAZ000-070400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 61
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Much of Iowa

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
  1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms will rapidly progress
east-northeast from the Missouri towards the Mississippi river
during the evening. This activity will likely form into an extensive
line of storms with all severe hazards possible, but damaging winds
as the main risk.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles north of Mason City IA to 50
miles south southwest of Knoxville IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 1:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 52 more3 hr
Mar 6, 3:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone and 57 more115 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.