Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Des Moines, IA

864 
WWUS53 KDMX 070047
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
647 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

IAC033-070100-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Cerro Gordo IA-
647 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST
FOR EASTERN CERRO GORDO COUNTY...

At 647 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Rudd, or 13
miles east of Mason City, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters reported quarter sized hail with 
         this storm. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Mason City, Nora Springs, Rockwell, Rock Falls, Dougherty and
Portland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for north central
Iowa.

LAT...LON 4325 9302 4291 9303 4291 9321 4315 9320
      4326 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 232DEG 55KT 4310 9295 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Curtis

350 
WWUS53 KDMX 070051
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
651 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

IAC033-070101-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-170307T0100Z/
Cerro Gordo IA-
651 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CERRO GORDO COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for north central
Iowa.

LAT...LON 4325 9302 4291 9303 4291 9321 4315 9320
      4326 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 232DEG 55KT 4313 9289 

$$

Curtis

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
544 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight/
Issued at 312 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Confidence:  Medium to High

Main concerns ongoing wind and severe weather.  Strong winds will
into the evening hours over the west/central and relax late evening.
As front moves east tonight winds will increase over the west and
northwest areas through the overnight hours. Severe threat already
well spelled out with watch covering the entire area through late
evening.  Fast moving storms...damaging thunderstorm winds and hail
as well as potential for isolated tornadoes due to either quasi
linear bowing segments or initially a few discrete cells.  Activity
over western Iowa may weaken with strong shear this evening with
another area of development taking place over Missouri and moving
into southeast Iowa around and after 00z...mainly from I35 east.
With a fast moving and fluid evolution of storms anticipated...
confidence on coverage over the entire area still limited.  May be
more scattered in nature at times...with one or more lines of storms
during the event.  Winds briefly drop off a bit late tonight only to
increase again on Tuesday over much of the region.

.LONG TERM.../Tuesday through Monday/
Issued at 312 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Tuesday the forecast concern revolves around wind. Forecast
soundings mix the atmosphere to around 500mb but slightly lower
than they did yesterday and winds are just a bit less. Further
analysis in BUFKIT shows winds not really reaching high wind
warning criteria...though very close. A wind advisory for high end
wind speeds was issued for Tuesday afternoon across areas North of
a line from Carrol to Waterloo. Strongest winds are expected in
the far Northwest and North near the Minnesota border. There are
also fire weather concerns, discussed in a separate section below.
On Wednesday we will be in strong cold advection in a rather fast
Northwest flow aloft. This will bring in colder temps and once
again create a strong wind scenario. Given the numerous headlines
in place I have opted to not include any mention of strong winds
for Wednesday at this point but they are indeed going to have to
be addressed in later periods.

Beyond Wednesday, the overall pattern has not changed and we
remain in a broad NW flow but a Canadian surface high slides down
bringing a reinforcing shot of cold air. We are still looking at a
couple of weak shortwaves riding through the state Friday
afternoon/night and a stronger one Saturday. Yet another wave
passes through in the series on Sunday/Sunday night. Given the
colder temps, precip...especially at night and early
morning...will likely be snow North, rain South and a mix
somewhere in between. There is the possibility that accumulating
snow will occur across Northern Iowa. This will be the next
concern to watch for after the wind/fire threat.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening/
Issued at 544 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Line of storms moving through with gusty winds and large hail.
CIGS about VFR, briefly could be IFR. Winds to shift around to the
southwest behind the storms, and then west this evening behind a
cold front. Very gusty westerly winds expected Tuesday with VFR
conditions.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 312 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

Very strong wind is expected over the state on Tuesday. Trends
from soundings are just slightly less from yesterday's run but are
still very strong. Areas North of Highway 20 are still going to
see the strongest winds with more marginal wind speeds the further
South you go. Calls were made to observers and core partners
regarding the consideration of a red flag warning. The issue is
that the strongest winds are not co-located with the lowest
relative humidity values and the RH values across the North are 35
to 45% which are pretty high when considering a red flag warning.
Countering that is the fact that these are one hour fuels and the
strength of the wind will dry things out fairly quickly. Observers
confirmed that fuels near the ground are moist and that there is
some green up of cool season grasses as well as some new growth of
warm season grasses beginning. Given the time of year and the
lack of any activity due to the wind, cooler temps and high end
advisory type wind speeds, a fire weather watch was issued. Should
winds be stronger and relative humidity values across the North
drop further, a red flag warning would need to be issued. I'll
leave this for the mid shift to consider when the latest data is
available.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch Tuesday afternoon for IAZ004>007-015>017-
023>028-033>039-044>050-059>062-074-075.

Wind Advisory until midnight CST tonight for IAZ004>007-015>017-
023>026-033>037-044>049-057>061-070>074-081>085-092>096.

Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CST Tuesday for IAZ004>007-
015>017-023>028-033>037-044>047.

&&

SHORT TERM...REV
LONG TERM...FAB
AVIATION...Beerends
FIRE WEATHER...FAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
259 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>026-033>037-044>049-057>061-070>074-
081>084-092>095-072100-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Sac-Calhoun-Webster-Hamilton-
Hardin-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Marshall-Audubon-
Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-
Union-Clarke-Lucas-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
259 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

A Wind Advisory is in effect for the area. Please refer to the
National Weather Service website at weather.gov/desmoines for
further details.

Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and move very quickly
northeast. There is a slight risk of severe storms with the main
threat from damaging winds. Large hail is also possible along
with an isolated tornado. The threat of severe weather will end
later this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Very strong winds are expected on Tuesday across much of the area
with strongest winds in northern Iowa. This will also produce a
very high to extreme fire danger across the area as well during
the day on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and into the
evening.

IAZ027-028-038-039-050-062-075-072100-
Butler-Bremer-Grundy-Black Hawk-Tama-Poweshiek-Mahaska-
259 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Thunderstorms will become likely by early evening and move very
quickly northeast. There is a slight risk of severe storms with
the main threat from damaging winds. Large hail is also possible
along with an isolated tornado. The threat of severe weather will
end later this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong winds are expected on Tuesday across much of the area with
strongest winds in northern Iowa. This will also produce a very
high to extreme fire danger across the area as well during the day
on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later this afternoon and into
the evening.

IAZ085-096-072100-
Monroe-Appanoose-
259 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

A Wind Advisory is in effect for the area. Please refer to the
National Weather Service website at weather.gov/desmoines for
further details.

Thunderstorms will become likely by early evening and move very
quickly northeast. There is an enhanced risk of severe storms with
the main threat from damaging winds. Large hail is also possible
along with tornados. The threat of severe weather will end late
this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Very strong winds are expected on Tuesday across much of the area
with strongest winds in northern Iowa. This will also produce a
very high to extreme fire danger across the area as well during
the day on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and into the
evening.

IAZ086-097-072100-
Wapello-Davis-
259 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Thunderstorms will become likely by early evening and move very
quickly northeast. There is an enhanced risk of severe storms with
the main threat from damaging winds. Large hail is also possible
along with tornados. The threat of severe weather will end later
this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong winds are expected on Tuesday across much of the area with
strongest winds in northern Iowa. This will also produce a very
high to extreme fire danger across the area as well during the day
on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and into the
evening.

REV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
601 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     WEBSTER CITY            42.47N 93.82W
03/06/2017  M69 MPH          HAMILTON           IA   MESONET

            .

&&

MJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
618 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TORNADO          3 ENE HARCOURT          42.28N 94.13W
03/06/2017                   WEBSTER            IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SPOTTER REPORTED SEEING SWIRLING DUST,
            DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE AREA. .

&&

MJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
621 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SW MINBURN            41.75N 94.04W
03/06/2017  E60 MPH          DALLAS             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            .

&&

MJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
623 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEBSTER CITY            42.47N 93.82W
03/06/2017                   HAMILTON           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEMI BLOWN ON ITS SIDE ON HIGHWAY 20 NEAR
            WEBSTER CITY. TIME ESTIMATED, BASED ON
            RADAR.

&&

BF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
625 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEBSTER CITY            42.46N 93.82W
03/06/2017                   HAMILTON           IA   PUBLIC

            THUNDERSTORM WIND TOOK OUT POWER IN WEBSTER
            CITY. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

NWS DES MOINES IA
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
630 PM CST MON MAR 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOXHOLM                 42.18N 94.11W
03/06/2017                   BOONE              IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN.

&&

MJB