Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 243

May 18, 201727 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 18, 2017, 10:58 PM CDT for 27 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2017, 10:58 PM CDT (03:58 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2017, 4:33 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 43 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Crawford, Washington59 min
May 18, 11:32 PM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton43 min
May 18, 11:34 PM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton41 min
May 18, 11:34 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFMcDonald41 min
May 18, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian42 min
May 18, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian62 min
May 19, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more67 min
May 19, 12:13 AM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton, Carroll47 min
May 19, 12:14 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry, McDonald46 min
May 19, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Scott56 min
May 19, 12:38 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry, Stone52 min
May 19, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Newton65 min
May 19, 1:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell53 min
May 19, 1:16 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney44 min
May 19, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy62 min
May 19, 1:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Van Buren37 min
May 19, 1:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Greene, Ozark, Taney, Webster and 1 more58 min
May 19, 1:56 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney, Webster, Wright49 min
May 19, 2:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone30 min
May 19, 2:28 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright47 min
May 19, 3:01 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFDent, Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2055 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2055 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1439 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

529 
WWUS20 KWNS 190355
SEL3  
SPC WW 190355
ARZ000-MOZ000-190800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 243
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Southwest Missouri

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1100 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A fast-moving bow echo over eastern Oklahoma will track
northeastward across the watch area, posing a risk of relatively
widespread damaging wind gusts.  Isolated tornadoes may also occur
along the leading edge of the line.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles west of Fayetteville AR to 5
miles east southeast of Harrison AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 240...WW 241...WW 242...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Madison and 3 more94 min
May 18, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington57 min
May 19, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 9 more92 min
May 19, 3:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more11 hr
May 19, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 18 more117 min
May 19, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more2 hr
May 18, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson and 4 more84 min
May 18, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay and 9 more4 hr
May 19, 4:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallaway, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln and 9 more113 min
May 19, 4:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson, Lincoln and 9 more3 hr
May 19, 3:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barry, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 41 more7 hr
May 19, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Barry, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 47 more86 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.