Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 248
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2017, 3:06 PM CDT for Calhoun County, Illinois; 47 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2017, 3:06 PM CDT (20:06 UTC)
- Expired
- May 19, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Calhoun County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 3:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 47 min |
| May 19, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton | 67 min |
| May 19, 3:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dade, Lawrence | 50 min |
| May 19, 4:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade, Greene, Polk | 44 min |
| May 19, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene, Stone, Taney | 64 min |
| May 19, 4:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dallas, Hickory, Polk | 39 min |
| May 19, 5:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Laclede, Webster, Wright | 57 min |
| May 19, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Camden, Miller, Morgan | 1 min |
| May 19, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Maries, Miller, Morgan | 36 min |
| May 19, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage | 45 min |
| May 19, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 51 min |
| May 19, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage | 52 min |
| May 19, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Maries, Phelps | 49 min |
| May 19, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 65 min |
| May 19, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon | 59 min |
| May 19, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln, Montgomery, Warren | 52 min |
| May 19, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas | 39 min |
| May 19, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 57 min |
| May 19, 8:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 6 hr |
| May 19, 8:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 54 min |
| May 19, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 53 min |
| May 19, 9:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Douglas | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright | 61 min |
| May 19, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 51 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 968 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
846 WWUS20 KWNS 192002 SEL8 SPC WW 192002 ILZ000-MOZ000-200300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 248 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 305 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of parts of west central Illinois southwestern into cenral Missouri * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...An evolving area of thunderstorm activity appears likely to organize further and intensify through the late afternoon hours as it spreads across southwestern Missouri into the lower Missouri Valley. Large hail may accompany strongest storms, with an increasing risk for damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Columbia MO to 35 miles southeast of Monett MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 246...WW 247... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Kerr
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 4:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more | 113 min |
| May 19, 4:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more | 3 hr |
| May 19, 6:30 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham and 9 more | 90 min |
| May 19, 6:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun | 86 min |
| May 18, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson and 4 more | 84 min |
| May 18, 9:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar and 18 more | 94 min |
| May 18, 9:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrew, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay and 9 more | 4 hr |
| May 18, 10:58 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Howell, Lawrence and 10 more | 6 hr |
| May 18, 11:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, McDonald, Newton, Stone, Taney | 57 min |
| May 19, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Dade, Douglas, Greene, Howell and 9 more | 92 min |
| May 19, 5:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Stoddard | 117 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.