Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 242

May 18, 20177 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 18, 2017, 9:41 PM CDT for 7 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2017, 9:41 PM CDT (02:41 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2017, 1:51 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Miami49 min
May 18, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte40 min
May 18, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Clinton35 min
May 18, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Leavenworth29 min
May 18, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte45 min
May 18, 10:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte3 hr
May 18, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJackson, Lafayette, Ray47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2055 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2055 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1439 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Chase, Clay, Coffey, Dickinson and 23 more84 min
May 18, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Johnson, Linn, Miami94 min
May 19, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 4 more92 min
May 19, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 9 more4 hr
May 19, 6:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 10 more60 min
May 18, 10:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Howell, Lawrence and 10 more6 hr
May 18, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, McDonald, Newton, Stone, Taney57 min
May 19, 4:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallaway, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln and 9 more113 min
May 19, 4:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson, Lincoln and 9 more3 hr
May 19, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Dade, Douglas, Greene, Howell and 9 more92 min
May 19, 3:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Barry, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 41 more7 hr
May 19, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Stoddard117 min
May 19, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Barry, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 47 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.