Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Springfield, MO

242 
WWUS53 KSGF 190742
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
242 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

MOC043-067-077-153-213-225-229-190751-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-170519T0745Z/
Ozark MO-Webster MO-Douglas MO-Wright MO-Christian MO-Taney MO-
Greene MO-
242 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OZARK...WEBSTER...DOUGLAS...
WESTERN WRIGHT...EASTERN CHRISTIAN...EASTERN TANEY AND EASTERN GREENE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 245 AM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with these thunderstorms.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 600 AM CDT for south central
and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9289 3666 9289 3680 9295 3707 9323
      3710 9330 3742 9331 3742 9308 3748 9268
      3747 9248 3719 9249 3678 9211 3650 9212
TIME...MOT...LOC 0741Z 247DEG 40KT 3755 9254 3718 9256 3675 9221 

$$

Cramer

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1201 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

An upper level low is slowly pushing east across the Rockies
region this afternoon as an associated area of surface low
pressure is located across northwestern Texas. A warm front
extends from the surface low across southern Kansas into central
Missouri. A dry line extends south of the low across western
Oklahoma and Texas. Supercells are currently developing along the
dry line and will continue to develop along the dry line this
afternoon. Storms will also begin to develop farther to the north
across Kansas into northern Missouri this afternoon near the warm
front.

These storms will lift to the northeast and the cold pools should
congeal with line segments forming as they approach the area.
Will have to watch exactly where the lines develop to see
exactly what areas are affected. The storms that develop across
Kansas will likely lift northeast into northern Missouri north of
the area. We may need to watch any lines that form across
Oklahoma and Texas to track northeast into the area.

An unstable air mass will remain in place across the area this
evening and tonight so expect any line of storms that can develop
to likely maintain themselves as the track to the northeast across
the region. The storms will likely start to push into
southeastern Kansas and western Missouri between 8 and 10pm then
spread east into the overnight hours. Winds in excess of 60 mph
and hail to the size of quarters are expected with the strongest
storms. Late this evening into the overnight hours low level shear
will increase and if any line segments can surge to the northeast
there will be a meso vort potential with a tornado risk.

As the upper level energy lifts off the main low later tonight
additional storms will likely develop across Kansas and spread
east into the area late tonight into early Friday. The severe risk
with these storms will be lower but a few strong storms will still
be possible. These storms will linger into Friday before spreading
off to the northeast by Friday evening.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

The upper level low will spread into the Plains Friday
afternoon/evening with additional storms developing across
Oklahoma and Kansas again. These storms will once again form into
a line or line segments and spread into the area later Friday
evening into Friday night. These storms will spread across the
area into Saturday. Winds up to 70mph will be possible with these
storms and hail up to quarters with the strongest updraft. Low
level shear will once again increase Friday evening and night and
will lead to the potential of meso vorts and a tornado risk with
any lines that can surge to the northeast.

The storms will end from west to east on Saturday. Widespread 1
to 3" of rainfall with locally heavier amounts are expected from
tonight through Saturday with the heaviest occurring across
southeastern Kansas and Western Missouri. With multiple rounds for
rain expected we did issue a Flash Flood Watch for southeastern
Kansas and Western Missouri tonight into Saturday morning.

Cooler conditions will then occur Sunday into the first part of
next week and the region will be in a northwest flow pattern. May
have to watch for a couple waves riding the northwest flow and
creating shower and storm chances for the area Monday night into
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

A line of strong thunderstorms will move through the region
overnight and impact all area terminals. Where storms do occur,
visibilities and potentially ceilings will fall to MVFR. Heavy
rainfall, very gusty surface winds in excess of 60 mph will occur
as the strongest storms impact the regions Aerodromes. Hail may
also occur with these storms.

Showers and storms are expected to continue through much of the
day Friday with improving flight conditions and storms ending
during the evening hours.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for MOZ055-066>068-
     077-078-088-089-093-101.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
923 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200230-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
923 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Thunderstorms will impact portions of extreme southeast Kansas
  and the Missouri Ozarks through the overnight hours. Winds up
  to 70 mph and hail up to the size of quarters will be possible
  with this activity. There will also be an isolated tornado
  risk with any line segments that can surge to the northeast
  generally along and west of Highway 65.

  Areas of heavy rain is likely tonight. Any training of storms
  may lead to localized flooding due to high water tables from
  previous excessive rainfall over the past couple of weeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Thunderstorms are expected to linger into early Friday and
  dissipate by late morning.

  Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Friday
  evening into the overnight hours. Damaging wind gusts and large
  hail will be the primary risks with these storms as they
  continue into Saturday.

  Storms should come to an end from Saturday night into Sunday
  morning with storm total rainfall area wide of 1 to 3 inches.
  The heaviest rainfall amounts and better flooding potential is
  expected to occur over southeast Kansas and west central
  Missouri.

  Additional thunderstorms will return Monday night into Tuesday
  as another storm system moves in from the northwest.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed through the overnight hours.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Cramer

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
144 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W BRANSON             36.64N 93.26W
05/19/2017                   TANEY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 INJ ***
            RELAYED REPORT FROM LEO, SHINGLES BLOWN OF
            THE CAMDEN HOTEL. FENCE BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE
            TANGER MALL. ONE PERSON REPORTED WITH A HEAD
            INJURY AT THE CAMDEN HOTEL.

&&

FEH