Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Springfield, MO

229 
WWUS53 KSGF 192010
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
310 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

MOC119-145-192030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-170519T2030Z/
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
310 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR NEWTON AND MCDONALD COUNTIES...

At 310 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Shoal Creek Drive to near Bella Vista, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Neosho...                         Big Sugar Creek State Park...
Granby...                         Anderson...
Goodman...                        Diamond...
Pineville...                      Loma Linda...
Wheaton...                        Fairview...
Newtonia...                       Stella...
Wentworth...                      Stark City...
Ritchey...                        Powell...
Rocky Comfort...                  Racine...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9437 3689 9462 3698 9462 3705 9406
      3650 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 205DEG 35KT 3699 9453 3650 9428 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Cramer

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1229 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

...Update to Aviation for 18Z TAFS...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1045 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Additional rounds of storms are expected today and tonight across
the Missouri Ozarks and southeastern Kansas. Currently an area of
showers and a few storms are pushing east across far south
central Missouri. Instability is currently weak across the area so
no severe weather will occur with this activity this morning and this
activity will spread east and out of the area by mid day.

Additional storms have developed across central Oklahoma this
morning. These storms will continue to track northeast and
are expected to spread into the area this afternoon. Instability
will increase across the area by this afternoon ahead of these
storms. This will result in a strong to severe risk with hail to
the size of quarters and winds up to 60 mph possible in the strong
storms this afternoon. At this time it appears that locations that
have the greatest potential of being affected by this activity is
along and north of I-44 but a few storms may be able to spread
south of the interstate.

Yet another round of storms will develop across Oklahoma and Texas
this afternoon as an upper level low spreads east into the Plains.
These storms are expected to form into a line then push into the
area this evening. An unstable air mass will remain in place
across the area so a severe risk will occur with this line of
storms. There will be the risk for damaging wind gusts up to 70
mph within the line. In a few of the stronger updrafts, hail to
the size of quarters will also be possible. Low level shear will
increase this evening ahead of the upper level low as the low
level jet increases. As a result there will be a risk for
tornadoes in the line with any surges that can occur to the east
northeast. The line of storms will likely race across the area
this evening into the early overnight hours.

Showers and a few storms will occur behind the line of storms into
Saturday morning, but the severe risk will be with the line of
storms this evening. Will maintain the Flash Flood Watch through
tonight for southeastern Kansas and western Missouri. This risk
will be more localized where training of storms can develop.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

First round of storms that developed Thursday afternoon over the
Central / Southern Plains has moved across most of the forecast
area early this morning. The portion that moved across our
southern tier of counties has produced wind damage from Table Rock
Lake eastward into Christian/Taney/Douglas counties. Storms
crossing the central and northern portion of the forecast area
have mainly produced heavy rain, small hail and wind gusts around
40-50 mph.

Next round of storms developing over north central OK will
gradually weaken through the morning but may hold together long
enough to affect our western counties with sub-severe convection
through mid to late morning.

Will be trimming the tornado watch through the early morning as
strongest storms move eastward across south central MO. Otherwise
expect another round of strong to severe storms to develop from
central OK to eastern Kansas this afternoon and affect our region
this evening and during the overnight hours.

With potentially two more rounds of rain affecting the region,
will go ahead and keep the flash flood watch going over our
western counties and have included Barry/Stone/Lawrence counties.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 244 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

Expect storms to be ongoing early Saturday morning and into the
afternoon as the surface front shifts eastward with the approach
of the main upper level trough. Dry slot associated with upper
trough passage should overspread the region sometime between late
Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening. As a strong surface high
builds into the region on Sunday,still looks like we will see
below normal temperatures with some location possibly dropping
into the upper 40s Sunday morning.

Low precipitation chances return on Monday as a clipper type
system drops across the region from the northwest. Otherwise it
looks pretty dry and relatively cool through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: Showers and storms have
developed across northeaster Oklahoma and will track northeast
across the area this afternoon. This activity is expected to
remain just north of the KBBG area but will likely affect the KJLN
and KSGF sites this afternoon. This activity will spread east of
the TAF sites by late this afternoon. IFR visibilities will be
possible with any storm.

Additional storms are expected to develop across the area this
evening, likely in the form of a line. There will be a risk for
strong winds within this line of storms. IFR conditions will also
be possible with any storm this evening. Showers and a few storms
will remain possible over night as a storm system tracks east
across the region.

Ceilings are expected to lower into the MVFR and possibly the IFR
range Saturday morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for MOZ055-066>068-
     077-078-088-089-093-094-101>103.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1155 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1155 AM CDT Fri May 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Thunderstorms are currently moving northeast across
  northeastern Oklahoma late this morning. This activity is
  expected to continue to track to the northeast and into the
  area this afternoon, affecting portions of southeastern Kansas
  and the Missouri Ozarks generally north of I-44. The stronger
  storms with this activity will have the potential of producing
  hail to the size of quarters and winds up to 60 mph.

  Later this afternoon yet another round of storms are expected
  to develop across Oklahoma and Texas and lift to the
  northeast. A line of storms is expected to develop and spread
  east across the area this evening into tonight. Winds to
  70 mph and hail up to the size of quarters will be the risk
  with the storms. There will also be a tornado risk with any
  surges in the line to the northeast.

  There will also be a risk for flooding as multiple rounds of
  rain are expected today and tonight especially where training
  of storms can develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Storms should come to an end on Saturday, with storm total
  rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches. The heaviest rainfall
  amounts and higher flooding potential is expected to occur over
  southeast Kansas and west central Missouri.

  Additional thunderstorms will return Monday as another storm
  system moves in from the northwest.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed this evening into tonight
  across southeastern Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1046 AM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     TORNADO          3 W BRANSON             36.64N 93.26W
05/19/2017                   TANEY              MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            *** 1 INJ ***
            EF-0 TORNADO WITH WINDS UP TO 75MPH CAUSED
            DAMAGE TO A MOTEL. ONE PERSON SUFFERED
            INJURIES.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1205 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1148 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LIBERAL                 37.56N 94.52W
05/18/2017                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEDIUM SIZE TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES DOWN
            NEAR LIBERAL. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.

&&

JLR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1232 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 AM     TORNADO          3 SE SHELL KNOB         36.60N 93.60W
05/19/2017                   BARRY              MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            EF-0 TORNADO UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES AND
            DAMAGED DOCKS SOUTHEAST OF SHELL KNOB. OTHER
            DAMAGE OCCURRED ACROSS THE LAKE BUT COULD
            NOT DETERMINE SEVERITY.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1254 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     TORNADO          1 S CHADWICK            36.92N 93.06W
05/19/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            EF-0 TORNADO WITH 85 MPH WINDS UPROOTED
            NUMEROUS TREES AND TWO HOMES HAD DAMAGE DUE
            TO TREES FALLING ON THEM.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
111 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ROGERSVILLE             37.12N 93.06W
05/19/2017                   WEBSTER            MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN IN
            ROGERSVILLE. PICTURES WERE FROM SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW BENNETT SPRINGS   37.72N 92.88W
05/19/2017                   DALLAS             MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND BRANCHES WERE BLOWN
            DOWN 3 MILES NE OF WINDYVILLE OR 1 MILE WEST
            OF BENNETT SPRING STATE PARK. PICTURES FROM
            SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME WAS ESTIMATED.

&&

MG