Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 94

March 28, 201730 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 28, 2017, 1:51 PM CDT for 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2017, 1:51 PM CDT (18:51 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

61 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Upton53 min
Mar 28, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett21 min
Mar 28, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry66 min
Mar 28, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Mitchell59 min
Mar 28, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan, Upton61 min
Mar 28, 3:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Nolan, Runnels, Taylor44 min
Mar 28, 3:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell, Scurry33 min
Mar 28, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTRunnels, Taylor52 min
Mar 28, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell, Scurry65 min
Mar 28, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Reagan34 min
Mar 28, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher43 min
Mar 28, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones38 min
Mar 28, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTNolan, Taylor35 min
Mar 28, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTFisher, Jones30 min
Mar 28, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock25 min
Mar 28, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling52 min
Mar 28, 4:38 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTJones, Taylor37 min
Mar 28, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor40 min
Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTJones, Shackelford30 min
Mar 28, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell52 min
Mar 28, 5:41 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSJTHaskell, Jones, Shackelford34 min
Mar 28, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Jones48 min
Mar 28, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Reagan62 min
Mar 28, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde59 min
Mar 28, 6:08 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatSJTHaskell, Jones37 min
Mar 28, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling47 min
Mar 28, 6:35 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTHaskell40 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEctor, Glasscock, Martin, Midland, Upton33 min
Mar 28, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson, Howard, Martin68 min
Mar 28, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde64 min
Mar 28, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan, Upton55 min
Mar 28, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WarningMAFGlasscock, Midland, Reagan, Upton25 min
Mar 28, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Martin, Midland29 min
Mar 28, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson50 min
Mar 28, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Midland46 min
Mar 28, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell25 min
Mar 28, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney52 min
Mar 28, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell44 min
Mar 28, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Reagan43 min
Mar 28, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Menard, Sutton23 min
Mar 28, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Irion, Sterling, Tom Green44 min
Mar 28, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell55 min
Mar 28, 8:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTIrion22 min
Mar 28, 8:14 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTSterling31 min
Mar 28, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos, Terrell45 min
Mar 28, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett, Irion23 min
Mar 28, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell21 min
Mar 28, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Real64 min
Mar 28, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Irion, Sterling, Tom Green41 min
Mar 28, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett, Irion, Schleicher, Sutton, Tom Green48 min
Mar 28, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Real66 min
Mar 28, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor51 min
Mar 28, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningMAFMitchell18 min
Mar 28, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell, Scurry31 min
Mar 28, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTNolan24 min
Mar 28, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Concho, Runnels, Tom Green38 min
Mar 28, 9:16 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTNolan29 min
Mar 28, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real35 min
Mar 28, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor30 min
Mar 28, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Runnels49 min
Mar 28, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1482 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1482 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-151 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
784 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 9:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Deaf Smith, Donley and 16 more3 hr
Mar 28, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Cottle and 23 more67 min
Mar 28, 12:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 34 more8 hr
Mar 28, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Glasscock, Howard and 8 more95 min
Mar 28, 2:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Eastland, Fisher and 19 more3 hr
Mar 28, 2:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth and 21 more2 hr
Mar 28, 3:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Childress, Clay and 33 more7 hr
Mar 28, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Jack, Montague, Palo Pinto and 7 more89 min
Mar 28, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Burnet, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble and 7 more116 min
Mar 28, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Crockett, Glasscock, Howard, Irion, Mitchell and 4 more90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.