Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 95
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2017, 3:40 PM CDT for 18 counties in Oklahoma; 39 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2017, 3:40 PM CDT (20:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2017, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 57 counties
Beckham County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Carter County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Love County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Childress County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Montague County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
64 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 4:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher | 43 min |
| Mar 28, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 4:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Hall, Motley | 35 min |
| Mar 28, 4:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Nolan, Taylor | 35 min |
| Mar 28, 4:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Dickens, Kent, King, Stonewall | 36 min |
| Mar 28, 4:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 4:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Cottle, Dickens, Motley | 26 min |
| Mar 28, 4:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Jones, Taylor | 37 min |
| Mar 28, 4:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Hall | 36 min |
| Mar 28, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | King, Stonewall | 34 min |
| Mar 28, 4:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Cottle, Dickens, King | 23 min |
| Mar 28, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Floyd, Motley | 34 min |
| Mar 28, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 40 min |
| Mar 28, 5:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Cottle, King | 37 min |
| Mar 28, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | King, Stonewall | 33 min |
| Mar 28, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cottle, King | 31 min |
| Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Hall | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Jones, Shackelford | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Motley | 23 min |
| Mar 28, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Foard, Knox | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 5:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell | 52 min |
| Mar 28, 5:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Haskell, Jones, Shackelford | 34 min |
| Mar 28, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell, Jones | 48 min |
| Mar 28, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | King, Stonewall | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cottle, Hall, Motley | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Foard, Hardeman, Knox | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 5:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Foard, Hardeman | 31 min |
| Mar 28, 6:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Haskell, Jones | 37 min |
| Mar 28, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Wilbarger | 44 min |
| Mar 28, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Greer, Harmon | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 6:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Haskell | 40 min |
| Mar 28, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jackson, Tillman | 49 min |
| Mar 28, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Baylor, Knox | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 7:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Baylor, Knox | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman and 1 more | 39 min |
| Mar 28, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Canadian | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Baylor, Knox | 50 min |
| Mar 28, 7:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Kiowa, Washita | 4 hr |
| Mar 28, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell | 44 min |
| Mar 28, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger | 39 min |
| Mar 28, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer, Grady and 3 more | 41 min |
| Mar 28, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell | 21 min |
| Mar 28, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Kent | 19 min |
| Mar 28, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Knox | 45 min |
| Mar 28, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton, Tillman | 47 min |
| Mar 28, 8:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, Kingfisher and 3 more | 47 min |
| Mar 28, 9:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Nolan | 24 min |
| Mar 28, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke, Concho, Runnels, Tom Green | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Baylor, Foard, Knox, Wilbarger | 50 min |
| Mar 28, 9:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 9:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Nolan | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 9:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Cotton, Tillman | 49 min |
| Mar 28, 9:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Grady, Stephens | 52 min |
| Mar 28, 9:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Runnels | 49 min |
| Mar 28, 9:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor | 64 min |
| Mar 28, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jackson, Tillman | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Cotton | 46 min |
| Mar 28, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Callahan, Haskell, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor, Throckmorton | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 10:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma | 6 hr |
| Mar 28, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Wilbarger | 50 min |
| Mar 28, 11:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Comanche, Cotton, Tillman | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 772 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 229 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 245 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.5
The text
As transmitted.
485
WWUS20 KWNS 282038
SEL5
SPC WW 282038
OKZ000-TXZ000-290400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest and south-central Oklahoma
western North Texas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...As a warm front continues to spread northward and
low-level moisture continues to increase, the potential for
tornadoes should increase in addition to increasing risks for large
hail and damaging winds across western North Texas into southwest
and eventually south-central Oklahoma. These will be initially via
semi-discrete supercells, with a more linear mode and widespread
damaging wind risk later this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Fort Sill
OK to 35 miles west of Brownwood TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...WW 94...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21030.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 9:30 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Texas | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 2:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Love and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 2:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 5:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Comanche, Cotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Kiowa, Stephens and 1 more | 89 min |
| Mar 28, 12:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Cottle and 23 more | 67 min |
| Mar 28, 12:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 34 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 28, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Glasscock, Howard and 8 more | 95 min |
| Mar 28, 1:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Borden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 24 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 28, 6:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Burnet, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble and 7 more | 116 min |
| Mar 28, 6:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Crockett, Glasscock, Howard, Irion, Mitchell and 4 more | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.