Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 282

May 27, 201738 counties in North Carolina; 33 counties in Tennessee; 17 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2017, 6:55 PM EDT for 38 counties in North Carolina; 33 counties in Tennessee; 17 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2017, 6:55 PM EDT (22:55 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2017, 3:32 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 88 counties

Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Bland County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Norton, VA, Floyd County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Wythe County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 7:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXRussell, Scott, Washington, City of Bristol59 min
May 27, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe58 min
May 27, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLee26 min
May 27, 8:08 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKGrayson, Smyth4 hr
May 27, 8:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningMRXLee, Russell, Scott, Wise3 hr
May 27, 9:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Morgan, Rhea, Roane, Scott, Sequatchie65 min
May 27, 10:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Knox, Union60 min
May 27, 10:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Bradley, Hamilton, Loudon, McMinn, Marion and 2 more67 min
May 27, 10:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell73 min
May 27, 10:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Grainger, Hamblen, Jefferson, Sevier59 min
May 27, 10:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCherokee, Clay55 min
May 27, 10:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGraham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain50 min
May 27, 11:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hawkins66 min
May 27, 11:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Hamblen31 min
May 27, 11:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Madison, Transylvania and 1 more53 min
May 27, 11:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPJackson, Macon, Transylvania47 min
May 27, 11:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Unicoi, Washington31 min
May 27, 11:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, Mitchell31 min
May 28, 12:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson, McDowell, Polk, Rutherford57 min
May 28, 12:21 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey54 min
May 28, 12:54 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPMitchell, Yancey3 hr
May 28, 12:55 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell, Rutherford59 min
May 28, 1:05 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Rutherford40 min
May 28, 1:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCatawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln55 min
May 28, 2:05 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Davie, Iredell, Mecklenburg, Rowan70 min
May 28, 2:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 299 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-544 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1610 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 4:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton2 hr
May 27, 5:19 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFulton6 hr
May 27, 7:12 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton2 hr
May 27, 10:13 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Clinton, Cumberland and 12 more92 min
May 27, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 88 more85 min
May 27, 2:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more59 min
May 27, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Bourbon and 65 more7 hr
May 27, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boone, Boyd, Bracken, Breathitt and 43 more6 hr
May 27, 4:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Boyle and 53 more85 min
May 27, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCAllen, Ballard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 22 more7 hr
May 27, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Granville, Halifax, Northampton, Person, Rockingham and 2 more89 min
May 27, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 11 more5 hr
May 27, 6:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 14 more64 min
May 27, 6:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 13 more93 min
May 27, 8:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 12 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.