Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 278

May 27, 201717 counties in North Carolina; 65 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2017, 4:43 PM EDT for 17 counties in North Carolina; 65 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2017, 4:43 PM EDT (20:43 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2017, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 82 counties

Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Nottoway, Powhatan, Prince Edward47 min
May 27, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGoochland, Hanover, Henrico, King William, Louisa, City of Richmond47 min
May 27, 5:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Person24 min
May 27, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie, Nottoway, Prince Edward46 min
May 27, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCumberland, Goochland, Powhatan13 min
May 27, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQHanover, Henrico, New Kent, City of Richmond48 min
May 27, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover, Louisa42 min
May 27, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, Prince George, City of Hopewell, City of Richmond47 min
May 27, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Brunswick, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Nottoway and 4 more46 min
May 27, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, King William47 min
May 27, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQChesterfield, Henrico, City of Colonial Heights29 min
May 27, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Prince George, Surry, Sussex, City of Hopewell49 min
May 27, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Southampton, Sussex46 min
May 27, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, Prince George, City of Colonial Heights, City of Hopewell and 1 more44 min
May 27, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Powhatan38 min
May 27, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, Surry, Sussex34 min
May 27, 8:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGates, Hertford, Northampton44 min
May 27, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Charles City, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie, Henrico and 8 more36 min
May 27, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-429 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
989 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Granville, Halifax, Northampton, Person, Rockingham and 2 more89 min
May 27, 6:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 14 more64 min
May 27, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 32 more9 hr
May 27, 6:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 13 more93 min
May 27, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickenson, Lee, Wise, City of Norton85 min
May 27, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.