Severe Thunderstorm Warning 113, NWS Wakefield, VA

078 
WWUS51 KAKQ 280013
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
813 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

VAC700-280023-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170528T0045Z/
City of Newport News VA-
813 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL CITY OF NEWPORT
NEWS IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, south central, southeastern and east central Virginia.

LAT...LON 3744 7810 3746 7790 3742 7785 3746 7779
      3745 7742 3747 7713 3742 7702 3741 7694
      3738 7694 3740 7691 3735 7692 3737 7688
      3736 7687 3722 7688 3722 7681 3714 7674
      3720 7669 3713 7667 3714 7824 3745 7836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 318DEG 22KT 3731 7736 3734 7828 

$$

VAC007-036-041-049-053-087-135-147-149-181-570-670-730-280045-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170528T0045Z/
City of Colonial Heights VA-Cumberland VA-City of Hopewell VA-
City of Petersburg VA-Nottoway VA-Dinwiddie VA-Chesterfield VA-
Prince Edward VA-Charles City VA-Prince George VA-Henrico VA-
Amelia VA-Surry VA-
813 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...NORTHERN NOTTOWAY...NORTHERN
DINWIDDIE...CHESTERFIELD...EAST CENTRAL PRINCE EDWARD...CHARLES
CITY...PRINCE GEORGE...SOUTHEASTERN HENRICO...AMELIA AND NORTHERN
SURRY COUNTIES...THE CITY OF COLONIAL HEIGHTS...THE CITY OF HOPEWELL
AND THE CITY OF PETERSBURG...

At 813 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Hopewell to near Rice, moving southeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind damage to 
         trees and powerlines. 

These severe storms will be near...
  Petersburg, Hopewell, Colonial Heights, Fort Lee, Virginia State 
  University, Ettrick and Matoaca around 820 PM EDT. 
  Jordans Point around 825 PM EDT. 
  Prince George around 830 PM EDT. 
  Burkeville around 835 PM EDT. 
  Crewe and Garysville around 840 PM EDT. 
  Burrowsville around 845 PM EDT. 

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include North
Wellville, Angola, Chippokes State Park, Wayside, Ammon, Glendale,
Pocahontas State Park, Skinquarter, Beach and Richard Bland College.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 7810 3746 7790 3742 7785 3746 7779
      3745 7742 3747 7713 3742 7702 3741 7694
      3738 7694 3740 7691 3735 7692 3737 7688
      3736 7687 3722 7688 3722 7681 3714 7674
      3720 7669 3713 7667 3714 7824 3745 7836
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 318DEG 22KT 3731 7736 3734 7828 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCALORA

245 
WWUS51 KAKQ 280031
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
831 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

VAC049-087-147-280041-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170528T0045Z/
Cumberland VA-Prince Edward VA-Henrico VA-
831 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...
EAST CENTRAL PRINCE EDWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN HENRICO COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central, south central, southeastern and east central Virginia.

LAT...LON 3737 7824 3744 7818 3746 7790 3742 7785
      3746 7779 3745 7742 3738 7738 3741 7730
      3735 7727 3747 7719 3747 7713 3738 7694
      3740 7691 3722 7688 3722 7681 3714 7674
      3720 7669 3713 7667 3714 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 318DEG 22KT 3724 7728 3727 7820 

$$

VAC007-036-041-053-135-149-181-570-670-730-280045-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0113.000000T0000Z-170528T0045Z/
Chesterfield VA-City of Colonial Heights VA-City of Hopewell VA-
Charles City VA-City of Petersburg VA-Nottoway VA-Prince George VA-
Dinwiddie VA-Amelia VA-Surry VA-
831 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR CHESTERFIELD...CHARLES CITY...NORTHERN NOTTOWAY...PRINCE
GEORGE...NORTHERN DINWIDDIE...AMELIA AND NORTHERN SURRY COUNTIES...
THE CITY OF COLONIAL HEIGHTS...THE CITY OF HOPEWELL AND THE CITY OF
PETERSBURG...

At 831 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Prince George to near Rice, moving southeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind damage to 
         trees and powerlines. 

These severe storms will be near...
  Petersburg, Hopewell, Fort Lee, Prince George and Jordans Point 
  around 835 PM EDT. 
  Garysville around 840 PM EDT. 
  Burrowsville around 845 PM EDT. 

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include North
Wellville, Chippokes State Park, Wayside, Ammon, Pocahontas State
Park, Skinquarter, Beach, Richard Bland College, Meadowville and New
Hope.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 7824 3744 7818 3746 7790 3742 7785
      3746 7779 3745 7742 3738 7738 3741 7730
      3735 7727 3747 7719 3747 7713 3738 7694
      3740 7691 3722 7688 3722 7681 3714 7674
      3720 7669 3713 7667 3714 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 318DEG 22KT 3724 7728 3727 7820 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCALORA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
427 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will sink south through the region this
evening and overnight. The front will drop into the Carolinas
Sunday, and then return north as a warm front Sunday night.
Another cold front approaches from the northwest on Memorial
Day.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Storm complex was ongoing this afternoon across east-central KY
pushing east with the upper wave. Showers and a few storms were
also oriented E-W along the cold front across MD and WV. Dry air
in the mid levels has kept convection at bay thus far evident in
the CU field as clouds develop, but then entrain dry air.

Though convection is being delayed, there is till concern over
the development of showers and storms in the NW flow as the
front drops south and upper wave approaches from the west.
Instability is still lacking this afternoon, but there may still
be a window this evening where things come together mainly along
and south of I-64. Given the thermal profiles if we do see
severe storms the primary threat will be hail and damaging
winds. 0-1km MLCAPE values are still progged to reach 1000-1500
J/kg wither side of the NC/VA border, with a decent mid/upper
level speed max resulting in 0-6km bulk shear of 40-50kt.
Downdraft potential remains rather high if storms can develop
given thermal profiles.

Any showers or storms which develop should push quickly east
and southeast with little to no precip possible in the southeast
after midnight. The chc for showers/tstms diminishes NW- SE
tonight with lows generally in the 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The initial shortwave trough pushes offshore Sunday morning,
with shortwave ridging building over the Mid-Atlantic. The
surface cold front drops into the Carolinas Sunday with N/NE
flow developing across the region in the wake of the mid-level
trough and surface cold front. Variably cloudy with some patchy
morning stratus or fog possible. Cooler over the Ern Shore with
highs in the low/mid 70s. Highs generally in the low/mid 80s
for central/srn VA and interior NE NC.

The surface boundary returns newd into the region late Sunday
aftn into the evening and early overnight hours. This will
combine with another shortwave trough resulting in an increasing
possibility of showers/tstms approaching from the west during
the evening and overnight hours. 0-6km bulk shear rapidly
increases to 35-45kt after 00z resulting in a chc of a few
strong to marginally severe tstms mainly during the evening.
Mostly cloudy with lows in the 60s.

A cold front will be crossing the mountains Monday morning, and
then continue ewd Monday aftn. Additional showers/tstms are
expected Memorial Day aftn/evening. There is some model
disagreement with respect to coverage, so PoPs will remain
30-50%. Increasing WSW flow aloft ahead of a trough digging
across the Great Lakes will yield 0- 6km bulk shear values of
40-50kt. This will combine with 1000-2000 J/kg of 0-1km MLCAPE
resulting in the potential for severe thunderstorms. Partly
sunny then mostly cloudy on Memorial Day with highs ranging
through the 80s, with the potential for near 90 SE, and 70s
along the Atlantic coast of the Ern Shore.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The long term period beginning Tuesday night features near normal
temperatures and generally low chances for precipitation. Weak and
poorly defined frontal boundaries affect the area and confidence in
the details of the precipitation forecast are rather low.
Thunderstorm chances Wednesday were kept relatively low as weak high
pressure builds in. A frontal boundary moves in for Thursday and
settles just off the coast Friday and Saturday. Highest POPs (30 to
40 percent) are currently set for southern portions on Friday
afternoon and evening.

High temperatures are forecast to range from 80 to 85 Wednesday and
Thursday and the upper 70s to around 80 Friday and Saturday.
Readings will be a bit lower near the coast. Lows are expected to
range from 60 to 65.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 17z...conditions were fairly quiet across the area with solid
VFR conditions. River breezes were apparent on the NEXRAD
reflectivity and winds at ORF were out of the northeast off the Bay.
Still expect convection to develop late in the afternoon and have
TEMPO groups for thunderstorms at RIC from 22 to 00Z and at the three
southeast sites from 00 to 02z. These will be updated as needed.
Strong to possibly severe winds gusts (50kt or higher) will be
possible with the thunderstorms.

Model consensus suggest widespread stratus for Sunday morning which
would be reasonable given wet ground conditions from precipitation
limited low level mixing and developing onshore flow. Included
low ceilings at RIC with a broken to overcast sky across the
area through.

OUTLOOK...The chance for showers/tstms returns Sunday evening/night
and again Monday aftn/evening. Minimal chances for aftn/evening
showers/tstms persist into Tuesday through Thursday. Stratus
and patchy fog will be possible each morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Late this aftn, weak low pressure was extending fm the cntrl VA
piedmont westward into the OH valley. Winds were generally SE 5
to 15 kt over the waters, with Waves ~1 foot and seas 1-2 ft.
The low pressure area will move ESE acrs the region and to the
coast this evening into early Sun morning. Winds will become SSW
south of the low and ENE north of the low, as the low moves
thru. Speeds will be arnd 10 kt or less, but stronger in any
tstms. Flow becomes NE or N at 5-15 kt Sun morning, as the low
slides just off the Mid Atlc coast. The low stalls offshore
for the remainder of Sun, as high pressure nudges in fm the
northeast. Flow becomes onshore thru Sun evening at 5-15 kt.
The next area of low pressure lifts over the eastern Great Lakes
region Sun night and into eastern Canada on Memorial Day. A
trailing cold front reaches the waters late Mon into Mon night,
then washing out over NC during Tue, as high pressure slowly
builds in fm the west thru Thu. Winds generally at or below 15
kt.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AJZ/JAO
NEAR TERM...AJZ/JAO
SHORT TERM...AJZ/JAO
LONG TERM...LSA
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...TMG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
449 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-079>090-092-093-
095>098-509>525-280900-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-
Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-
Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-
Virginia Beach-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
449 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 278 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north
central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the area later this
afternoon and into the evening. Some of the storms may produce
strong wind gusts, small hail, and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional thunderstorms are possible each day Sunday evening
through Monday afternoon and evening. There is the potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ075>078-280900-
Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-
449 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia and
eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the area later this
afternoon and into the evening. Some of the storms may produce
strong wind gusts, small hail, and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional thunderstorms are possible each day Sunday evening
through Monday afternoon and evening. There is the potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-280900-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Accomack-Northampton-
449 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, eastern
Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon into the evening. Any
thunderstorms that do develop may produce strong wind gusts and
brief heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional thunderstorms are possible each day Sunday evening
through Monday afternoon and evening. There is the potential for
strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
722 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

VAZ061-068-069-280000-
Powhatan-Amelia-Cumberland-
722 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN CUMBERLAND...
NORTHWESTERN AMELIA AND SOUTHWESTERN POWHATAN COUNTIES...

At 721 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cumberland,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph and nickel size hail are possible with
this storm. Brief heavy downpours are expected.

Locations impacted include...
Cumberland, Tobaccoville, Ballsville, Sunnyside, Morven, Trents Mill,
Ashby, Oak Forest, Rodophil, Giles Mill, Clinton, Paineville,
Whiteville, Grays Siding, Bear Creek Lake State Park, Belona, Lodore,
Truxillo and Trenton Mills.

If you see lightning or hear thunder...you are at risk. Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

LAT...LON 3759 7828 3767 7820 3745 7787 3730 7813
      3753 7833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 315DEG 19KT 3757 7821

GINGRICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
733 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     HAIL             2 SW JETERSVILLE        37.27N 78.13W
05/27/2017  E2.50 INCH       AMELIA             VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL SMASHED WINDSHIELD AND SEVERELY DENTED
            VEHICLE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
743 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

VAZ089-093-280030-
Isle of Wight-Surry-
743 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ISLE OF WIGHT AND SURRY
COUNTIES...

At 742 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cabin Point, or
near Claremont, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible
with this storm. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are
possible with this storm.

This storm will be near...
  Dendron around 755 PM EDT.
  Surry and Elberon around 800 PM EDT.
  Smithfield around 830 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Rushmere, Carsley,
Pons, Spring Grove, Bethel Church, Ellis Fork, Delk Crossroads,
Lawson, Whitley and Central Hill.

Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs...small or weakened trees...and
blowing around trash cans...potted plants...lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3693 7685 3696 7686 3699 7685 3698 7689
      3715 7708 3720 7695 3707 7653 3706 7652
      3687 7678
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 304DEG 23KT 3714 7698

BROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
746 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 PM     HAIL             2 SW DREWRYVILLE        36.70N 77.34W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       SOUTHAMPTON        VA   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL WEST OF
            DREWRYVILLE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
746 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

NCZ012>014-VAZ092-096-280030-
Hertford-Northampton-Gates-Southampton-Suffolk-
746 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON...
WESTERN HERTFORD...NORTHWESTERN GATES...AND SOUTHERN SOUTHAMPTON
COUNTIES AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CITY OF SUFFOLK...

At 745 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Boykins, moving
southeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ahoskie, Murfreesboro, Courtland, Boykins, Chowan University, Gates,
Conway, Winton, Cofield, Newsoms, Como, Roduco, Union, Severn,
Capron, Branchville, Tunis, Earleys, Menola and Chowan Beach.

Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs...small or weakened trees...and
blowing around trash cans...potted plants...lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3654 7738 3655 7730 3656 7733 3655 7736
      3659 7736 3661 7737 3663 7737 3665 7741
      3665 7746 3667 7748 3667 7750 3679 7726
      3653 7666 3625 7702
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 309DEG 33KT 3665 7726

SCALORA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
803 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COATESVILLE             37.88N 77.61W
05/27/2017                   HANOVER            VA   PUBLIC

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR COATSVILLE.

&&