Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 277

May 27, 201749 counties in Kentucky; 7 counties in Ohio; 32 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2017, 4:11 PM EDT for 49 counties in Kentucky; 7 counties in Ohio; 32 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2017, 4:11 PM EDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2017, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 88 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boone County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMenifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Powell48 min
May 27, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Scioto42 min
May 27, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Lee, Powell, Wolfe56 min
May 27, 4:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLPowell3 hr
May 27, 4:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNAdams3 hr
May 27, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLewis, Upshur29 min
May 27, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLee, Morgan, Wolfe24 min
May 27, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee23 min
May 27, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis49 min
May 27, 4:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis3 hr
May 27, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Owsley30 min
May 27, 5:10 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis3 hr
May 27, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBraxton, Lewis, Upshur29 min
May 27, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe33 min
May 27, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle26 min
May 27, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnott, Perry34 min
May 27, 5:49 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski26 min
May 27, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski33 min
May 27, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCarter37 min
May 27, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnott, Letcher, Perry35 min
May 27, 6:13 PM EDTTornado WarningILNPike, Scioto20 min
May 27, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott32 min
May 27, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnox, Laurel, Whitley31 min
May 27, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCarter31 min
May 27, 6:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXCarter3 hr
May 27, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott31 min
May 27, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXKanawha, Roane28 min
May 27, 7:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLPulaski6 hr
May 27, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLKnox, Laurel33 min
May 27, 7:28 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXJackson, Mason, Putnam3 hr
May 27, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle30 min
May 27, 7:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Harlan28 min
May 27, 8:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel26 min
May 27, 8:36 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLLaurel3 hr
May 27, 9:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBell, Harlan6 hr
May 27, 9:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGrant, Owen13 min
May 27, 10:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBell, Knox, Whitley3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 794 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
794 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
711 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 4:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton2 hr
May 27, 5:19 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFulton6 hr
May 27, 7:12 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton2 hr
May 27, 10:13 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Clinton, Cumberland and 12 more92 min
May 27, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 88 more85 min
May 27, 2:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more59 min
May 27, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Bourbon and 65 more7 hr
May 27, 4:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Boyle and 53 more85 min
May 27, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCAllen, Ballard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle and 22 more7 hr
May 26, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Darke, Preble3 hr
May 26, 10:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Darke, Greene, Hamilton, Miami, Montgomery and 2 more92 min
May 27, 6:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Monroe, Summers64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.