Frost Advisory 1, NWS Memphis, TN

Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

064 
WWUS74 KMEG 100934 AAA
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
334 AM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...Seasonably cold temperatures are expected to return to the
Midsouth tonight...

ARZ008-009-017-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-051>055-102200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FZ.W.0001.170311T0900Z-170311T1500Z/
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning, 
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Kennett, Caruthersville, Tiptonville, 
Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, 
Huntingdon, Camden, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, 
Parsons, and Decaturville
334 AM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall near to below
  freezing late tonight with the coldest locations remaining below
  freezing through mid-morning Saturday. The coldest readings may
  fall into the upper 20s. 

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth and plant and tree emergence has 
  occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, bushes and tender 
  vegetation that has sprouted early may be impacted by the 
  freezing temperatures. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-049-MSZ001>009-012>017-TNZ048>050-088>092-
102200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.170311T0900Z-170311T1500Z/
Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-
Lee AR-DeSoto-Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Tunica-
Tate-Prentiss-Panola-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-
Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville, 
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Marianna, Southaven, 
Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, 
Tunica, Senatobia, Booneville, Batesville, Oxford, New Albany, 
Pontotoc, Tupelo, Fulton, Ripley TN, Covington, Brownsville, 
Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, Memphis, Millington, 
Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer, and Savannah
334 AM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall 
  to between 33 and 36 degrees along and south of a line from 
  Jonesboro, Arkansas to Savannah, Tennessee...extending as far 
  South as Tupelo, Mississippi and Marianna, Arkansas. 

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth and plant and tree emergence has 
  occurred across the Midsouth. Tender vegetation that has 
  sprouted early may be impacted by frost. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

808 
WWUS74 KMEG 102120
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
320 PM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...Cold temperatures are expected tonight across the Midsouth...

ARZ008-009-017-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-051>055-111200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FZ.W.0001.170311T0900Z-170311T1500Z/
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning, 
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Kennett, Caruthersville, Tiptonville, 
Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, 
Huntingdon, Camden, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, 
Parsons, and Decaturville
320 PM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall to below
  freezing late tonight with the coldest locations remaining below
  freezing through mid morning Saturday. The coldest readings may
  fall into the upper 20s along the northern Tennessee River
  Valley.

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past few
  week, significant growth including plant and tree budding has
  occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering bushes, and
  tender vegetation that has sprouted early will likely be damaged by
  the freezing temperatures. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-049-MSZ001>009-012>017-TNZ048>050-088>092-
111200-
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.170311T0900Z-170311T1500Z/
Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-
Lee AR-DeSoto-Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Tunica-
Tate-Prentiss-Panola-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-
Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville, 
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Marianna, Southaven, 
Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, 
Tunica, Senatobia, Booneville, Batesville, Oxford, New Albany, 
Pontotoc, Tupelo, Fulton, Ripley TN, Covington, Brownsville, 
Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, Memphis, Millington, 
Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer, and Savannah
320 PM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall
  to between 33 and 36 degrees along and south of a line from
  Jonesboro, Arkansas to Savannah, Tennessee...extending as far
  south as Tupelo, Mississippi, and Marianna, Arkansas. 

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past few
  week, significant growth including plant and tree budding has
  occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering bushes, and
  tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be impacted by
  frost.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

JLH

563 
WWUS74 KMEG 110945
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
345 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...Cold temperatures are expected tonight across the Midsouth...

ARZ008-009-017-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-051>055-111745-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FZ.W.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning, 
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Kennett, Caruthersville, Tiptonville, 
Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, 
Huntingdon, Camden, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, 
Parsons, and Decaturville
345 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a Freeze
Warning, which is in effect from midnight CST tonight to 11 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall to below
  freezing late tonight with the coldest locations remaining below
  freezing through mid morning Saturday. The coldest readings may
  fall into the middle 20s along the northern Tennessee River 
  Valley. 

* TIMING...Midnight to 11 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early will 
  likely be damaged by the freezing temperatures. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-MSZ001>006-009-TNZ048>050-088>092-111745-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FZ.W.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-
DeSoto-Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Prentiss-
Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville, 
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Southaven, Olive Branch, 
Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, Booneville, 
Ripley TN, Covington, Brownsville, Bartlett, Germantown, 
Collierville, Memphis, Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, 
Selmer, and Savannah
345 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a Freeze
Warning, which is in effect from midnight CST tonight to 11 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall to below
  freezing late tonight with the coldest locations remaining below freezing
  through mid morning Saturday. The coldest readings may fall 
  into the upper 20s near the Alabama State line. 

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall 
  to between 33 and 36 degrees along and south of a line from 
  Jonesboro, Arkansas to Savannah, Tennessee...extending as far 
  south as Tupelo, Mississippi, and Marianna, Arkansas. 

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be 
  impacted by frost. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ049-MSZ007-008-012>017-111745-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FR.Y.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
Lee AR-Tunica-Tate-Panola-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-
Itawamba-
Including the cities of Marianna, Tunica, Senatobia, Batesville, 
Oxford, New Albany, Pontotoc, Tupelo, and Fulton
345 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight CST tonight to 11 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall 
  to between 33 and 36 degrees along and south of a line from 
  Jonesboro, Arkansas to Savannah, Tennessee...extending as far 
  south as Tupelo, Mississippi, and Marianna, Arkansas. 

* TIMING...3 AM to 9 AM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be 
  impacted by frost. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

ARZ058-MSZ010-011-020>024-111745-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FR.Y.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
Phillips-Coahoma-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Yalobusha-Calhoun-Chickasaw-
Monroe-
Including the cities of Helena, West Helena, Clarksdale, Marks, 
Charleston, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, Calhoun City, 
Houston, Okolona, Amory, and Aberdeen
345 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight CST tonight to 11 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall
  into the middle 30s late tonight. 

* TIMING...Midnight through 11 AM. 

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be 
  impacted by frost. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

627 
WWUS74 KMEG 111002
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
402 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...Cold temperatures are expected tonight across the Midsouth...

ARZ008-009-017-018-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>022-051>055-111815-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FZ.W.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Dunklin-Pemiscot-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning, 
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Kennett, Caruthersville, Tiptonville, 
Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, 
Huntingdon, Camden, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, 
Parsons, and Decaturville
402 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO
11 AM CDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has cancelled the Freeze
Warning. 

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall to below 
  freezing late tonight with the coldest locations remaining 
  below freezing through mid morning Saturday. The coldest 
  readings may fall into the middle 20s along the northern 
  Tennessee River Valley. 

* TIMING...Midnight to 11 AM CST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early will 
  likely be damaged by the freezing temperatures. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ026>028-035-036-048-MSZ001>006-009-TNZ048>050-088>092-111815-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FZ.W.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-
DeSoto-Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Prentiss-
Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville, 
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Southaven, Olive Branch, 
Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, Booneville, 
Ripley TN, Covington, Brownsville, Bartlett, Germantown, 
Collierville, Memphis, Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, 
Selmer, and Savannah
402 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO
11 AM CDT SUNDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has cancelled the Frost
Advisory. 

*TEMPERATURE...Temperatures are expected to fall to below freezing
 late tonight with the coldest locations remaining below freezing through
 mid morning Saturday. The coldest readings may fall into the 
  upper 20s near the Alabama State line.

* TIMING...Midnight through 11 AM Sunday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past 
  few week, significant growth including plant and tree budding 
  has occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering 
  bushes, and tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be 
  impacted by frost. 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

ARZ049-MSZ007-008-012>017-111815-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170311T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
Lee AR-Tunica-Tate-Panola-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-
Itawamba-
Including the cities of Marianna, Tunica, Senatobia, Batesville, 
Oxford, New Albany, Pontotoc, Tupelo, and Fulton
402 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO
11 AM CDT SUNDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has cancelled the Frost
Advisory. 

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall 
  to between 33 and 36 degrees along and south of a line from 
  Jonesboro, Arkansas to Savannah, Tennessee...extending as far 
  south as Tupelo, Mississippi, and Marianna, Arkansas. 

* TIMING...Midnight through 11 AM Sunday.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past few
  week, significant growth including plant and tree budding has
  occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering bushes, and
  tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be impacted.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

ARZ058-MSZ010-011-020>024-111815-
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0002.170312T0600Z-170312T1600Z/
Phillips-Coahoma-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Yalobusha-Calhoun-Chickasaw-
Monroe-
Including the cities of Helena, West Helena, Clarksdale, Marks, 
Charleston, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, Calhoun City, 
Houston, Okolona, Amory, and Aberdeen
402 AM CST Sat Mar 11 2017

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT TO
11 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...Temperatures are expected to fall 
  into the middle 30s late tonight. 

* TIMING...Midnight through 11 AM.

* IMPACTS...After the unusual warm temperatures over the past few
  week, significant growth including plant and tree budding has
  occurred across the Midsouth. Fruit trees, flowering bushes, and
  tender vegetation that has sprouted early may be impacted.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1154 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

.UPDATE...
Compact but rather potent gust front wave was dropping southeast
through eastern Shelby County TN at 1145 PM. 00Z NAM Duct Function
was progged in excess of 12C this evening, suggestive of sustained
thunderstorm outflow. There will remain a low to moderate severe
threat into north MS into the early morning, before the convection
gradually wanes.

See the 06Z Aviation Forecast Discussion below.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 533 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017/

UPDATE...
Updated to add 00Z Aviation Discussion.

DISCUSSION... /issued Issued by National Weather Service Little
Rock AR/

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday Night

The main concern for the short term period will be the possibility
of strong to severe storms this evening, and then the chances for
some wintry precipitation on Saturday morning and again Saturday
evening/night.

First up, the storms tonight. A cold front across eastern Kansas
through central Missouri. Guidance points to the development of an
MCS in southwestern Missouri, and pushes it southeast through
northern and northeastern Arkansas and western Tennessee through the
evening hours through around or shortly after midnight. By 2-3am it
appears storms will be south of the forecast area so this will be a
quick hitting bout of storms. While some threat of tornadoes does
exist in southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas, the main threats
for our forecast area will be the possibility of damaging winds.
Expect these storms to roll through the Memphis metro area between
10pm-Midnight.

Regarding the wintry weather on Sat morning and then again Sat night
into Sun morning, it appears likely that at least some wintry
precipitation will be seen. Saturday morning will be mainly near
the Missouri and Kentucky state lines, well north of the metro.
The limiting factor there will be the actual presence of
precipitation. Decent dry/cold air maintenance in northeast
surface flow will allow for conditions prime for wet bulb
processes to hold temperatures down to around the freezing mark
for a few hours after daybreak. The most likely precip type would
be sleet. However, models are very limited in the amount of
precipitation they're producing so this doesn't appear to be much
of a worry. It may be more of a situation where there's some
light returns on radar but nothing reaches the ground. The bigger
concern is Saturday night into Sunday morning. A more significant
swath of precipitation should occur in temperatures sufficient for
wintry precipitation, and expect to see around an inch of snow
fall across northeast Arkansas, western Tennessee, and northern
Mississippi. Have foregone the issuance of any headlines at this
time because this is still a couple of days out, and minor changes
in temperature forecasts could result in noticeably different
precipitation types. But it is definitely worth keeping an eye on,
as it would affect a broad area. &&

LONG TERM...Sunday Through Thursday

Dry and colder conditions will start off the period as wintry
precip comes to an end early Sun morning. Sfc high pressure will
settle over the Mid-South to close out the weekend. Highs on Sun
will be in the 40s and 50s. Many locations along and N of the I-40
corridor will likely see sub-freezing temps by Mon morning.

The airmass will briefly modify on Mon ahead of a quick moving
storm sys. Small rain chcs were mentioned over mainly the north
half of the FA Mon and Mon evening. Rain amounts are expected to
be light due to the lack of significant moisture return.

Models are at odds regarding several additional weak weather
systems passing across the area towards the middle of the week.
Included rain chances for Thursday, as the associated system looks
to at least have ample moisture/lift. Temperatures will be warming
by the end of the period, so no concerns for any additional winter
weather.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFs

E/W convective TSRA line at MEM will press quickly south during
the early morning. Some wake outflow may briefly return southerly
winds to the terminal, before wake low exits and northerly winds
from the pressure gradient return toward outbound time.

VFR and gusty north winds to prevail Friday, with diurnal loss of
gusts after 00Z.

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-102330-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Severe storms are possible across the Mid-South tonight,
especially across Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel and
West Tennessee. The primary threats will be damaging winds and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is the potential for accumulating winter precipitation
across northern portions of the Mid South including Eastern
Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and West Tennessee for late
Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.

Freezing temperatures are anticipated over a large portion of the
Midsouth each night from Saturday night through Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed across the Midsouth tonight.

SJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
229 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW BIGBEE             34.03N 88.53W
03/10/2017                   MONROE             MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE DOWN, BLOCKING HIGHWAY 371 ONE MILE NORTH OF
            HIGHWAY 6.

&&

AJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
250 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PARSONS                 35.65N 88.12W
03/09/2017                   DECATUR            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON 4TH STREET AND ALSO ON BEAR CREEK ROAD IN
            PARSONS. TIME IS RADAR ESTIMATED.

&&

AJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
251 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1019 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRYVILLE              35.62N 88.04W
03/09/2017                   DECATUR            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON PERRYVILLE ROAD IN PERRYVILLE.

&&

AJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
300 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1043 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BEMIS                   35.58N 88.83W
03/09/2017                   MADISON            TN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HIGH WATER COVERING ROADWAYS ON D STREET AND ALSO
            RIVERSIDE DRIVE IN BEMIS. ALSO, FLOODED ROADWAY ON BOONE
            LANE IN WESTOVER.

&&

AJC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
318 AM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>009-
TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-102200-
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-
Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-Lee AR-Dunklin-Pemiscot-DeSoto-
Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Tunica-Tate-Prentiss-
Lake-Obion-Weakley-Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Lauderdale-
Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-Madison-Chester-Henderson-Decatur-Shelby-
Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning,
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville,
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Marianna, Kennett,
Caruthersville, Southaven, Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland,
Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka, Tunica, Senatobia, Booneville,
Tiptonville, Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg,
Humboldt, Milan, Huntingdon, Camden, Ripley TN, Covington,
Brownsville, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, Parsons,
Decaturville, Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, Memphis,
Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer, and Savannah
318 AM CST Fri Mar 10 2017

...Accumulating Winter Precipitation Possible Late Saturday...

A developing storm tracking along the Gulf Coast this weekend
will draw in freezing temperatures across the Midsouth counties
Saturday and Saturday night. Overrunning precipitation will
likely start off as a cold rain in Saturday morning, mixing in
with sleet and possibly some snow along the Missouri and Kentucky
by by sunset. A complete changeover to winter precipitation is
anticipated after sunset as freezing air surges in from the
North. Accumulations are possible...generally less than an inch,
with minor accumulations as far south as Northern Mississippi.
Please stay tuned to forecast changes or updates on the potential
for winter weather.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
323 AM CST FRI MAR 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW TISHOMINGO         34.60N 88.28W
03/10/2017                   TISHOMINGO         MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORT OF ROOF DAMAGE TO AN OUTBUILDING NEAR DENNIS
            MCDOUGAL BOAT RAMP. TIME IS RADAR ESTIMATED.

&&

AJC