Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Lincoln, IL

092 
WWUS53 KILX 180127
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
827 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

ILC143-180137-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-170618T0145Z/
Peoria-
827 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PEORIA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
central and north central Illinois.

LAT...LON 4094 8921 4071 8949 4075 8956 4079 8957
      4085 8953 4088 8950 4092 8947 4094 8945
      4097 8945 4097 8964 4101 8964 4101 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 305DEG 26KT 4081 8945 

$$

ILC123-179-203-180145-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-170618T0145Z/
Marshall-Woodford-Tazewell-
827 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN WOODFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL
TAZEWELL COUNTIES...

At 827 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Germantown
Hills, or 9 miles northeast of Peoria, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Peoria, Germantown Hills, Rome, Washburn, Spring Bay, Bay View
Gardens, Peoria Heights, Cazenovia, Hopewell, Low Point and Lawn
Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4094 8921 4071 8949 4075 8956 4079 8957
      4085 8953 4088 8950 4092 8947 4094 8945
      4097 8945 4097 8964 4101 8964 4101 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 305DEG 26KT 4081 8945 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Barnes

780 
WWUS53 KILX 180136
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
836 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

ILC123-179-203-180146-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-170618T0145Z/
Marshall-Woodford-Tazewell-
836 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL...
NORTHWESTERN WOODFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL TAZEWELL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE
AT 845 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain is still possible with this
thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
central and north central Illinois.

LAT...LON 4094 8921 4071 8949 4075 8956 4079 8957
      4085 8953 4088 8950 4092 8947 4094 8945
      4097 8945 4097 8964 4101 8964 4101 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0136Z 305DEG 26KT 4078 8939 

$$

Barnes

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
649 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Cold front lingering to the NW this afternoon moving closer to the
region and will be driving tonights weather and into tomorrow.
Hot and muggy air in the boundary layer is in place over the
region. However, much of the anticipated convection is very
conditional on several elements. Surface based parcels with
dewpoints in the upper 60s/near 70 result in a significant CAPE
close to 2000 J/kg on the 18z special sounding at ILX. However, a
slight alteration to the sounding, mixing those dewpoints a
bit...if only to how dry it is at 50ft AGL, results in a major
loss of CAPE and a far more substantial cap. Shear is delayed with
the wave aloft and the boundary later tonight, as well as rather
bleak lapse rates that the models have had correctly all along.
Models are very split on timing and intensity...both prefrontal as
well as later tonight along the boundary. So much of this
afternoon/evening is highly contingent on a loss of the cap... or
something to turn the boundary layer over in the way of a small
outflow or the front itself. The window for surface based
convection this afternoon will be somewhat limited. That being
said, tonights pops will remain in the likely category as even
weak convergence at front should assist in showers and
thunderstorms, with potential for damaging winds and hail with the
more intense storms. SPC has maintained an Enhanced Risk for much
of Central IL tonight, even with the uncertainty.

Precip will likely run into tomorrow morning...slowly ending west
to east. Air behind the front is not that much cooler and
tomorrows highs are still expected in the upper 70s/lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Beyond Sunday and behind the front, that slightly cooler/drier
airmass will keep Central IL in the upper 70s/lower 80s and
overnight lows in the upper 50s/lower 60s on Monday and Tuesday.
Wednesday the surface flow turns around to more southerly at the
surface in a zonal regime aloft...similar to the pattern of last
week...with occasional precip chances and warming temperatures
through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Convection has fired to the north and northwest this evening.
Timing some of the storms and anticipating for further development
at least through 06z in PIA SPI as well as a right moving trend
in the larger developing complexes, diving south into more
unstable air, if briefly. General use of VCTS throughout the night
in the rest of the sites as the weak front dives into the region.
Wind shift across the boundary is subtle to a more westerly... or
slightly north of westerly shift. Potential for lower cigs right
along and behind the boundary briefly towards dawn. Otherwise,
westerly winds and VFR tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HJS
LONG TERM...HJS
AVIATION...HJS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
330 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>051-180730-
Cass-De Witt-Fulton-Knox-Logan-Marshall-Mason-McLean-Menard-
Morgan-Peoria-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Stark-Tazewell-Woodford-
330 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms this evening.
Current indications suggest the primary time frame for severe
weather will be roughly from 6 pm through 10 pm. Damaging winds,
large hail, isolated tornadoes, along with heavy rainfall, will be
possible with the storms before they shift rapidly to the
southeast later this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

The next chance for thunderstorms will be late Wednesday night
into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed late this afternoon through this
evening. The primary time frame will be from 6 pm until 10 pm.

ILZ044>046-052>057-061-062-066-180730-
Champaign-Christian-Coles-Cumberland-Douglas-Edgar-Effingham-
Macon-Moultrie-Piatt-Shelby-Vermilion-
330 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms this evening.
The primary time frame for severe weather will be roughly from
8 pm until Midnight. Damaging winds, large hail, isolated
tornadoes, along with heavy rainfall will be possible with the
storms before they shift rapidly to the southeast of the area
around Midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A few thunderstorms may linger into early Sunday morning near the
Interstate 70 corridor. None of these storms are expected to be
severe.

The next chance for thunderstorms will be late Wednesday into
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed this evening. At this time it
appears the primary time frame would be from 8 pm until Midnight.

ILZ063-067-068-071>073-180730-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
330 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms later tonight.
Current indications suggest the primary time frame for the strong
thunderstorms will be roughly from 10 pm through 2 am. Damaging
winds, large hail, along with heavy rainfall will be possible
with the storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible into early Sunday
afternoon over parts of southeast Illinois. No severe weather
is expected.

The next chance for thunderstorms over southeast Illinois will be
Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight, roughly from 10 pm
through 2 am.

Bak