Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 286

June 22, 201634 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 16 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 22, 2016, 6:11 PM CDT for 34 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 16 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 22, 2016, 6:11 PM CDT (23:11 UTC)
Expired
Jun 23, 2016, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 55 counties

Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 22, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNWhiteside60 min
Jun 22, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee42 min
Jun 22, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee47 min
Jun 22, 7:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLee30 min
Jun 22, 7:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee46 min
Jun 22, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry31 min
Jun 22, 7:33 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau27 min
Jun 22, 7:38 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Whiteside52 min
Jun 22, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry21 min
Jun 22, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle39 min
Jun 22, 7:59 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTLaSalle46 min
Jun 22, 8:04 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTDeKalb, LaSalle56 min
Jun 22, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage49 min
Jun 22, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Putnam56 min
Jun 22, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle41 min
Jun 22, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage45 min
Jun 22, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWill25 min
Jun 22, 8:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTGrundy, Kendall, LaSalle5 hr
Jun 22, 9:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTGrundy, LaSalle29 min
Jun 22, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall38 min
Jun 22, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle, Livingston48 min
Jun 22, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake, Porter39 min
Jun 22, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall10 min
Jun 22, 9:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLaSalle, Livingston33 min
Jun 22, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTJasper, Porter25 min
Jun 22, 10:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLivingston31 min
Jun 22, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois56 min
Jun 22, 10:22 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTLivingston38 min
Jun 22, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois64 min
Jun 22, 10:47 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTFord, Iroquois, Livingston43 min
Jun 22, 10:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLivingston39 min
Jun 22, 11:21 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLOTIroquois39 min
Jun 22, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, LaSalle, Livingston31 min
Jun 22, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXVermilion45 min
Jun 22, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston52 min
Jun 23, 12:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2016-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2016-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -264 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
677 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-264 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

446 
WWUS20 KWNS 222308
SEL6  
SPC WW 222308
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-230600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 286
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN IOWA
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
  NORTHWESTERN INDIANA
  LAKE MICHIGAN

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
    POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...GRADUALLY DEEPENING CONVECTION NOW ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO SUPERCELLS THREATENING
EVERY FORM OF SEVERE WEATHER...THEN AFTER A FEW HOURS...INTO A
COMPLEX OF STORMS WITH MOSTLY A DAMAGING-WIND RISK.  AN
ORGANIZED...DERECHO-PRODUCING SYSTEM ULTIMATELY MAY DEVELOP FROM
THIS ACTIVITY TONIGHT.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF CEDAR RAPIDS
IOWA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF VALPARAISO INDIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.


...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 10:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Fulton and 18 more2 hr
Jun 21, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren6 hr
Jun 22, 2:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer119 min
Jun 22, 4:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Cass, Christian, DeWitt, Fulton, Hancock and 14 more2 hr
Jun 22, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt and 15 more3 hr
Jun 22, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb and 32 more97 min
Jun 21, 9:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Ida and 8 more26 min
Jun 21, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Ida, Lyon and 6 more7 hr
Jun 22, 4:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Sioux92 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2016Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2016Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.