Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Chicago, IL
NWS Chicago, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 22, 2016, 8:47 PM CDT for Cook County, DuPage County, Illinois; Lake County, Indiana. It was in force for 45 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 22, 2016, 8:47 PM CDT (01:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 22, 2016, 9:32 PM CDT
- In force
- 45 min
- Issued by
- NWS Chicago, IL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Cook County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Lake County, IN
The radar
The Chicago radar (KLOT), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 9:00 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Midlothian, IL | TREE DOWN ON A HOME AT 147TH AND KEDZIE. POSTED ON NWS CHICAGO FACEBOOK. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. |
| Jun 22, 9:15 PM CDT | FUNNEL CLOUD | Harvey, IL | NEAR 147TH AND I-57. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 6:11 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2491 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1597 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 170 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 406 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.1
- Supercell composite
- 41.8
The text
As transmitted.
181
WUUS53 KLOT 230147
SVRLOT
ILC031-043-INC089-230245-
/O.NEW.KLOT.SV.W.0033.160623T0147Z-160623T0245Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
847 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DUPAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEASTERN COOK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN INDIANA...
* UNTIL 945 PM CDT
* AT 847 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR MEIGS FIELD TO STICKNEY TO WILLOW SPRINGS...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
NAVY PIER AND DOUGLAS PARK AROUND 850 PM CDT.
MEIGS FIELD...BRIDGEPORT AND ENGLEWOOD AROUND 855 PM CDT.
TINLEY PARK...ALSIP...CHATHAM...CRESTWOOD AND HYDE PARK AROUND 900 PM
CDT.
MIDLOTHIAN...OAK FOREST...EVERGREEN PARK AND MERRIONETTE PARK AROUND
905 PM CDT.
HAMMOND...BLUE ISLAND...FLOSSMOOR...POSEN...HARVEY...HOMEWOOD...COUNTRY
CLUB HILLS...HAZEL CREST...MARKHAM AND DIXMOOR AROUND 910 PM CDT.
CALUMET CITY...CHICAGO HEIGHTS...DOLTON...SOUTH HOLLAND...THORNTON AND
PHOENIX AROUND 915 PM CDT.
LANSING...LYNWOOD...WHITING AND BURNHAM AROUND 920 PM CDT.
EAST CHICAGO...MUNSTER AND DYER AROUND 925 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CALUMET PARK...MCCOOK...SOUTH CHICAGO...EAST HAZEL CREST...RIVERDALE...
PALOS HEIGHTS...ROBBINS...HOMETOWN...PALOS PARK AND BRIDGEVIEW.
PEOPLE ATTENDING SOCCER AT SOLDIER FIELD SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4169 8799 4184 8784 4192 8764
4190 8760 4188 8762 4185 8761 4176 8756
4175 8753 4171 8753 4167 8747 4168 8743
4167 8742 4165 8744 4164 8743 4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 287DEG 31KT 4185 8755 4182 8776 4172 8790
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
OEMC ZONES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.
3...4...5...6...7...8...9...10...11...AND 12.
$$
RATZER4 follow-up statements
993
WWUS53 KLOT 230204
SVSLOT
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
904 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
ILC043-230213-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160623T0245Z/
DUPAGE IL-
904 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DUPAGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4165 8791 4177 8778 4188 8762
4185 8761 4176 8756 4175 8753 4171 8753
4167 8747 4168 8743 4167 8742 4165 8744
4164 8743 4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 330DEG 38KT 4172 8755 4167 8767 4160 8775
$$
ILC031-INC089-230245-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160623T0245Z/
COOK IL-LAKE IN-
904 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK AND NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTIES...
AT 903 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHATHAM TO BLUE ISLAND TO OAK FOREST...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HAMMOND...CALUMET CITY...CHICAGO HEIGHTS...EAST CHICAGO...FLOSSMOOR...
WHITING...OLYMPIA FIELDS...BURNHAM...SOUTH HOLLAND AND HOMEWOOD
AROUND 910 PM CDT.
GARY...LANSING AND MUNSTER AROUND 915 PM CDT.
HIGHLAND...GRIFFITH...LYNWOOD...GLENWOOD...DYER...SAUK VILLAGE AND FORD
HEIGHTS AROUND 920 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CALUMET PARK...SOUTH CHICAGO...EAST HAZEL CREST...RIVERDALE...PALOS
HEIGHTS...ROBBINS...HOMETOWN...PALOS PARK AND BRIDGEVIEW.
THIS INCLUDES... PURDUE UNIVERSITY CALUMET...UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO...
WINDY CITY THUNDERBOLTS BASEBALL...MORAINE VALLEY COMMUNITY COLLEGE...
PRAIRIE STATE COLLEGE...SOLDIER FIELD...SOUTH SUBURBAN COLLEGE...US
CELLULAR FIELD...IL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY...MUSEUM OF SCIENCE AND
INDUSTRY...MUSEUM CAMPUS...AND NORTHERLY ISLAND.
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
I-55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 290 AND 294.
I-57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 345 AND 358.
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 152 AND 155.
I-94 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 53 AND 74.
I-294 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 53 AND 74.
INDIANA I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.
INDIANA I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 14.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4165 8791 4177 8778 4188 8762
4185 8761 4176 8756 4175 8753 4171 8753
4167 8747 4168 8743 4167 8742 4165 8744
4164 8743 4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 330DEG 38KT 4172 8755 4167 8767 4160 8775
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
OEMC ZONES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.
6...7...8...9...10...11...AND 12.
$$
BMD064
WWUS53 KLOT 230212
SVSLOT
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
912 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
ILC031-INC089-230245-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160623T0245Z/
COOK IL-LAKE IN-
912 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK AND NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTIES...
AT 911 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM WHITING TO DOLTON TO HOMEWOOD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40
MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HAMMOND...GARY...EAST CHICAGO...LYNWOOD AND WHITING AROUND 915 PM
CDT.
MUNSTER...DYER AND SAUK VILLAGE AROUND 920 PM CDT.
HIGHLAND AND GRIFFITH AROUND 925 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CALUMET PARK...SOUTH CHICAGO...EAST HAZEL CREST...RIVERDALE...PALOS
HEIGHTS...ROBBINS AND PALOS PARK.
THIS INCLUDES... PURDUE UNIVERSITY CALUMET...UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO...
WINDY CITY THUNDERBOLTS BASEBALL...PRAIRIE STATE COLLEGE...SOUTH
SUBURBAN COLLEGE...AND MUSEUM OF SCIENCE AND INDUSTRY.
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
I-57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 345 AND 358.
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 152 AND 155.
I-94 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 60 AND 74.
I-294 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 60 AND 74.
INDIANA I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.
INDIANA I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 14.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4165 8791 4172 8773 4180 8758
4176 8756 4175 8753 4171 8753 4167 8747
4168 8743 4167 8742 4165 8744 4164 8743
4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 294DEG 34KT 4170 8747 4162 8758 4156 8764
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
OEMC ZONES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.
8...9...10...11...AND 12.
$$
BMD455
WWUS53 KLOT 230220
SVSLOT
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
920 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
ILC031-INC089-230245-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160623T0245Z/
COOK IL-LAKE IN-
920 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK AND NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTIES...
AT 920 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM EAST CHICAGO TO HAMMOND TO LYNWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
GARY AND GRIFFITH AROUND 925 PM CDT.
HIGHLAND AROUND 930 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE
CALUMET PARK...EAST HAZEL CREST...RIVERDALE AND ROBBINS.
THIS INCLUDES... PURDUE UNIVERSITY CALUMET...PRAIRIE STATE COLLEGE...
AND SOUTH SUBURBAN COLLEGE.
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
I-57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 346 AND 353.
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 153 AND 155.
I-94 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 65 AND 74.
I-294 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 65 AND 74.
INDIANA I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.
INDIANA I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 14.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4159 8777 4167 8766 4175 8753
4171 8753 4167 8747 4168 8743 4167 8742
4165 8744 4164 8743 4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0220Z 286DEG 31KT 4164 8744 4160 8750 4154 8756
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
OEMC ZONES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.
8...10...AND 12.
$$
BMD216
WWUS53 KLOT 230232
SVSLOT
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
932 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
ILC031-INC089-230241-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160623T0245Z/
COOK IL-LAKE IN-
932 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK AND
NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY INDIANA.
LAT...LON 4148 8758 4159 8777 4167 8766 4175 8753
4171 8753 4167 8747 4168 8743 4167 8742
4165 8744 4164 8743 4162 8732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 287DEG 31KT 4162 8733 4158 8739 4152 8745
$$
BMDWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 22, 8:01 PM CDT, 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 8:01 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
801 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
800 PM CDT
Localized tornado threat along the warm front continues with
supercell storms training along or near this feature from just
east of the Quad Cities to southern DeKalb County/northern LaSalle
County. With the storm that had tracked now into far southwestern
DeKalb / far northern LaSalle County we have received multiple
reports of a tornado with /most recent north of Earlville/ and
has had a more persistent mesocyclone with it. This storm has
taken on a much more HP nature and spotter reports have confirmed
rain-wrapped nature of this low-level mesocyclone.
Other supercell storms to the west-southwest have shown signs of
tornado producers as well. Overall the warm sector winds have
become a bit less gusty and the boundary appears to have become
stationary across northern LaSalle County toward Morris. With
increasing flow on the LOT VWP /25 kt now at 2000 ft/ and
continued turning profiles along the boundary...the tornado
potential should continue in this corridor near the boundary
especially if the storms can maintain a semi-discrete mode.
Parameters remain in place for the possibility of a briefly
stronger tornado.
Further to the north, elevated storms have shown an increase and
are approaching the heart of the Chicago area. These look to move
into the city starting 8:25-8:50 pm. Some of these storms are
starting to congeal and may bring gradually increasing wind gust
potential higher than 35 mph. Certainly lightning and heavy
downpours look like a given.
MTF
&&
.SHORT TERM...
259 PM CDT
Through Tonight...
Elevated thunderstorms have continued to fester over the past
couple hours within the warm air advection across north central
through east central Illinois. However, attention for the main
severe weather episode is still focused on renewed surface based
development expected around 4-6 PM. Although the air mass over
northern Illinois continues to remain in the lower 70s with lower
cloud cover continuing, a very warm and moist air mass resides just
to our south. The latest surface analysis continues to show the warm
front shifting northward over southern Iowa and into central
Illinois. Just south of this boundary, conditions are in the lower
to middle 90s, with dew points in the low 70s. As this air mass
continues to shift northward over the next few hours, expect
conditions to become more supportive of significant convective
development. As mentioned previously, it appears that renewed
development will likely occur in the vicinity of the triple point
most favored over northwestern Illinois/far southwestern WI. This
general scenario continues to be supported by the CAMs (convective
allowing models) and have been for several runs.
The latest VAD wind profile out of KDVN indicates that a strong
veering wind field is already in place. Given that the surface
boundary will likely set up somewhere near the I80 corridor, and
surface winds will be increasingly backed along the boundary, there
still appears to be an enhanced tornado threat, with a strong
tornado or two possible near the front where enhanced helicity will
be present. Additionally, given the super cell storm motion looks
to be nearly parallel to the boundary, this indicates the potential
for a maximum residence time of any supercells if they were to
develop along this boundary, which would locally enhance the tornado
threat and longevity.
In addition to the tornado threat, large hail and damaging winds will
be possible with these storms as they develop. The storms should
begin to build upscale into wind-producing congealed segments or
LEWPs as it moves over the Chicago area and into northwest Indiana.
This will make strong damaging winds, possibly in excess of 70 mph,
the main threat. However, tornadoes will remain
possible...especially in the vicinity of the surface boundary.
These storms will be fairly progressive and thus the severe threat
should end from northwest to southeast by late evening. The rapid
storm motion looks to also limit the magnitude of flash flooding,
especially considering much of the heavy rainfall this morning
stayed west/southwest of the area. However, due to the possibility
of heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches per hour, and them possibly
impacting the urban areas of Chicago, we still find it prudent to
hold onto the going Flash Flood Watch.
KJB
&&
.LONG TERM...
300 PM CDT
Thursday through Wednesday...
The pattern looks quieter in the extended. A vort streamer pushes
south into northern IL Thursday morning. Given the recent rain and
moist conditions, thinking a few isolated showers are possible so
included a slight chance of showers in the forecast through early
Thursday afternoon. North winds will allow a lake breeze to form.
Temps will then vary from the low 80s along and south of I-80 and
70s north of I-80. There may be an elevated risk of rip currents at
the IL and northwest IN beaches Thursday due to high waves. Do not
have enough confidence in exact wave heights to issue a beach
hazards statement at this time.
High pressure builds over the region Thursday night into Friday
leading to a dry forecast. High temps will be in the low 80s;
however, a lake breeze will keep temps along the lake in the low
70s.
The high shifts east Friday afternoon and an upper level shortwave
trough scoots over the region Saturday. Showers and storms will
spread east across the warning area Saturday afternoon. Forecast
soundings feature a decent cap so thinking the severe storms will
occur to our east. Warmer conditions are expected with high temps
in the upper 80s and heat indices in the low to mid 90s.
Showers and storms continue Sunday, some left over convection from
out east the day before. Forecast soundings dry out as the day goes
on so outside of any frisky storms early Sunday, severe weather is
not expected. Forecast high temps are once again forecast to be near
90, but convection may limit warming leading to cooler temps.
Thinking that we will warm quickly behind the storms Sunday;
therefore, kept the warm temps in the forecast.
The early part of next week looks dry with one more warm day Monday.
Temps will be in the mid to upper 80s with heat indices in the upper
80s to low 90s. A cold front pushes south through the region Monday
afternoon and night bringing a break to the heat. High temps Tues
and Wed are forecast to be in the 70s and 80s.
JEE
&&
.AVIATION...
For the 00Z TAFs...
Main concern continues to be shower/thunderstorm activity between
now and about 03-04z. Primary activity has developed towards KRPJ
and points west and is tracking east-southeast. This more intense
activity will continue on a south of east track and should largelypass
south of the terminals toward 01z. Additional weaker activity has
developed north of the heavier activity and is quickly approaching
ORD/MDW. It appears that it will be this weaker type shra/tsra
activity that will impact the terminals between now and about
03/04z. Will continue with prevailing tsra and TEMPO lower vsby.
However, coverage could be more intermittent that implied by the
TAF. RFD should see activity exit by around 02z.
Otherwise, winds will be easterly turning northeasterly at the
terminals through the evening. Cigs will increase later tonight
and lower with a period of IFR looking likely which would continue
through daybreak if not a few hours beyond. Improvement to MVFR is
expected with the lowest clouds scattering into midday with VFR
expected for the afternoon. Confidence in timing of these
improvements is not great but have good confidence in the trends.
MDB
&&
.MARINE...
300 PM CDT
The low over the Missouri River valley passes just south of the lake
tonight and then continues to the east coast. Winds become
northeast tonight and increase to 10-20 kt. High pressure builds
over the lake Thursday night with winds diminishing. The high
shifts east Friday afternoon and evening with winds becoming south
behind it. South winds increase to 15-25 kt as a strong low passes
over Ontario south central Canada this weekend. A cold front then
shifts south down the lake Monday night with winds becoming north
behind it.
JEE
&&
.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Flash Flood Watch...ILZ003-ILZ004-ILZ005-ILZ006-ILZ008-ILZ010-
ILZ011-ILZ012-ILZ013-ILZ014-ILZ019-ILZ020-ILZ021-ILZ022-
ILZ023 UNTIL 1 AM Thursday.
IN...Flash Flood Watch...INZ001-INZ002 UNTIL 1 AM Thursday.
LM...NONE.
&&
VISIT US AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (ALL LOWERCASE)
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSCHICAGOHazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 3:57 PM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
357 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
232100-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
357 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016 /457 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:
EXTREME THUNDERSTORM RISK...WITH AN ASSOCIATED:
SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK.
SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK...UP TO 2 INCHES.
EXTREME THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK...70 MPH OR GREATER.
ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
DISCUSSION:
AN ORGANIZED ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHWEST TO NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE
STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS THEY PROGRESS
QUICKLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND EVEN A FEW SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME IS
ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ROCKFORD TO CHICAGO TO
VALPARAISO. A SLIGHT SHIFT NORTH IN THE WARM FRONT POSITION COULD
HAVE HIGHER IMPACTS ACROSS THE CHICAGO METRO.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...
SIGNIFICANT SWIM RISK.
SATURDAY...
LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.
LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.
SUNDAY...
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM RISK.
LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.
MONDAY...
LIMITED THUNDERSTORM RISK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
&&
LMZ740>745-232100-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
357 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. SOME OF THESE STORMS THIS
EVENING COULD BE SEVERE AND PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.
&&
LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-232100-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
357 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. SOME OF THESE STORMS THIS
EVENING COULD BE SEVERE AND PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50
KT...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.
&&
KJB
VISIT US AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (ALL LOWERCASE)
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSCHICAGOIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:12 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
812 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0811 PM TORNADO 1 S LELAND 41.60N 88.80W
06/22/2016 LA SALLE IL PUBLIC
TORNADO SOUTH OF LELAND.
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:19 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
819 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0812 PM TORNADO 2 SW TROY GROVE 41.44N 89.11W
06/22/2016 LA SALLE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO LIFTED EAST OF CHERRY.
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:29 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
829 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0829 PM FUNNEL CLOUD OTTAWA 41.35N 88.84W
06/22/2016 LA SALLE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
NEAR IL 23 AND IL 52.
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:30 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
830 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0829 PM TORNADO 3 NW SHERIDAN 41.56N 88.73W
06/22/2016 LA SALLE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:31 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
831 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 PM HAIL ROGERS PARK 42.01N 87.67W
06/22/2016 E0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:38 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
838 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0807 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SE BARTLETT 41.97N 88.19W
06/22/2016 E50 MPH DUPAGE IL COCORAHS
TIME ESTIMATED.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Chicago, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 7:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Lee | 30 min |
| Jun 22, 7:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DeKalb, LaSalle, Lee | 46 min |
| Jun 22, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | LaSalle | 39 min |
| Jun 22, 7:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | LaSalle | 46 min |
| Jun 22, 8:03 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | LOT | 87 min | |
| Jun 22, 8:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DeKalb, LaSalle | 56 min |
| Jun 22, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage | 49 min |
| Jun 22, 8:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | LaSalle | 41 min |
| Jun 22, 8:35 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LOT | DeKalb, Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Will | 3 hr |
| Jun 22, 8:45 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LOT | Cook, DuPage | 3 hr |
| Jun 22, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Will | 25 min |
| Jun 22, 8:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle | 5 hr |
| Jun 22, 9:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Grundy, LaSalle | 29 min |
| Jun 22, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | LaSalle, Livingston | 48 min |
| Jun 22, 9:25 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | LOT | 35 min | |
| Jun 22, 9:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | LaSalle, Livingston | 33 min |
| Jun 22, 9:53 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LOT | Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, LaSalle, Livingston | 4 hr |
| Jun 22, 10:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Livingston | 31 min |
| Jun 22, 10:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Ford, Iroquois | 56 min |
| Jun 22, 10:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Livingston | 38 min |
| Jun 22, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Iroquois | 64 min |
| Jun 22, 10:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Ford, Iroquois, Livingston | 43 min |
| Jun 22, 10:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Livingston | 39 min |
| Jun 22, 11:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Iroquois | 39 min |
| Jun 22, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Grundy, Kankakee, LaSalle, Livingston | 31 min |
| Jun 22, 11:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Ford, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston | 52 min |
| Jun 23, 12:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Iroquois | 43 min |
| Jun 23, 1:15 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LOT | Iroquois | 45 min |
| Jun 23, 1:44 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LOT | Ford, Iroquois | 7 hr |
| Jun 23, 3:59 AM CDT | Marine Dense Fog Advisory | LOT | 10 hr | |
| Jun 23, 4:47 AM CDT | Beach Hazards Statement | LOT | Lake | 22 hr |
| Jun 23, 5:05 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LOT | Boone, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane, Kendall and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Jun 22, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Lake, Porter | 39 min |
| Jun 22, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Jasper, Porter | 25 min |
| Jun 23, 1:02 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LOT | Benton | 43 min |
| Jun 23, 1:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LOT | Benton | 43 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.