Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8

January 22, 201627 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 22, 2016, 9:49 AM EST for 27 counties in Florida. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2016, 9:49 AM EST (14:49 UTC)
Expired
Jan 22, 2016, 2:32 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 10:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia29 min
Jan 22, 10:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPinellas26 min
Jan 22, 10:37 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXFlagler23 min
Jan 22, 11:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough15 min
Jan 22, 11:46 AM ESTTornado WarningMLBVolusia26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 463 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
820 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
463 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
539 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 7:53 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 9 more10 hr
Jan 21, 9:38 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Holmes, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Walton2 hr
Jan 22, 12:33 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Santa Rosa57 min
Jan 22, 2:56 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more2 hr
Jan 22, 5:51 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gadsden, Jefferson, Leon, Liberty, Madison and 2 more84 min
Jan 22, 8:37 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Hardee and 13 more2 hr
Jan 22, 1:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough and 13 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Florida, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.