Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 7
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 21, 2016, 6:53 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 21, 2016, 6:53 PM CST (00:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2016, 5:00 AM CST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 7:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Perry, Wayne | 58 min |
| Jan 21, 7:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 66 min |
| Jan 21, 7:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Holmes, Walton | 24 min |
| Jan 21, 9:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 47 min |
| Jan 21, 10:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 37 min |
| Jan 21, 10:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 32 min |
| Jan 21, 11:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Escambia | 40 min |
| Jan 21, 11:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Covington, Escambia | 44 min |
| Jan 22, 12:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia | 64 min |
| Jan 22, 12:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 64 min |
| Jan 22, 12:32 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 43 min |
| Jan 22, 12:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee, Dale, Geneva | 70 min |
| Jan 22, 12:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Bay, Holmes, Walton, Washington | 93 min |
| Jan 22, 1:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 31 min |
| Jan 22, 1:45 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Holmes, Walton | 30 min |
| Jan 22, 1:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Geneva | 27 min |
| Jan 22, 1:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 80 min |
| Jan 22, 2:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Bay, Walton, Washington | 59 min |
| Jan 22, 2:43 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Bay | 47 min |
| Jan 22, 3:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Holmes, Jackson, Washington | 48 min |
| Jan 22, 3:14 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Bay | 91 min |
| Jan 22, 3:26 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Gulf, Liberty | 64 min |
| Jan 22, 3:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Calhoun | 49 min |
| Jan 22, 3:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Bay, Gulf | 52 min |
| Jan 22, 4:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson, Leon and 2 more | 73 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 390 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 738 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 305 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 332 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 4.5
The text
As transmitted.
110 WWUS20 KWNS 220051 SEL7 SPC WW 220051 ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-220900- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 630 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM UNTIL 300 AM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...NNE-SSW ORIENTED SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...WHILE MORE SCATTERED STORMS FORM AHEAD OF LINE AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD YIELD TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND AND OCCASIONAL HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TROY ALABAMA TO 25 MILES WEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 8:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Geneva and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 21, 11:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Conecuh, Escambia | 57 min |
| Jan 22, 1:56 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 2 hr |
| Jan 22, 4:51 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Gadsden, Jefferson, Leon, Liberty, Madison and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jan 22, 7:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broward, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Hardee and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 22, 8:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Flagler, Hardee and 21 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 22, 12:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough and 13 more | 119 min |
| Jan 21, 6:05 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Morehouse | 6 hr |
| Jan 22, 3:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 25 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Tornado Watches in Florida, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.