Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 7

January 21, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 21, 2016, 6:53 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2016, 6:53 PM CST (00:53 UTC)
Expired
Jan 22, 2016, 5:00 AM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 63 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 7:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBPerry, Wayne58 min
Jan 21, 7:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw66 min
Jan 21, 7:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEHolmes, Walton24 min
Jan 21, 9:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile47 min
Jan 21, 10:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia37 min
Jan 21, 10:58 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia32 min
Jan 21, 11:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Escambia40 min
Jan 21, 11:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Escambia44 min
Jan 22, 12:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia64 min
Jan 22, 12:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa64 min
Jan 22, 12:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBOkaloosa, Santa Rosa43 min
Jan 22, 12:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAECoffee, Dale, Geneva70 min
Jan 22, 12:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Holmes, Walton, Washington93 min
Jan 22, 1:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBOkaloosa31 min
Jan 22, 1:45 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEHolmes, Walton30 min
Jan 22, 1:48 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedTAEGeneva27 min
Jan 22, 1:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAECoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston80 min
Jan 22, 2:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Walton, Washington59 min
Jan 22, 2:43 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEBay47 min
Jan 22, 3:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEHolmes, Jackson, Washington48 min
Jan 22, 3:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningTAEBay91 min
Jan 22, 3:26 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Calhoun, Gulf, Liberty64 min
Jan 22, 3:41 AM CSTTornado WarningTAECalhoun49 min
Jan 22, 3:53 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEBay, Gulf52 min
Jan 22, 4:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAECalhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson, Leon and 2 more73 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 390 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 305 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
390 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
305 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

110 
WWUS20 KWNS 220051
SEL7  
SPC WW 220051
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-220900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
  WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
  SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
  UNTIL 300 AM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...NNE-SSW ORIENTED SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY...WHILE MORE SCATTERED STORMS FORM AHEAD OF LINE AND MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  SOME OF THE STORMS COULD YIELD TORNADOES...IN ADDITION
TO DAMAGING WIND AND OCCASIONAL HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
TROY ALABAMA TO 25 MILES WEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 8:38 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Geneva and 3 more2 hr
Jan 21, 11:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConecuh, Escambia57 min
Jan 22, 1:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston2 hr
Jan 22, 4:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gadsden, Jefferson, Leon, Liberty, Madison and 2 more84 min
Jan 22, 7:37 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Hardee and 13 more2 hr
Jan 22, 8:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Flagler, Hardee and 21 more5 hr
Jan 22, 12:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough and 13 more119 min
Jan 21, 6:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMorehouse6 hr
Jan 22, 3:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 25 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Tornado Watches in Florida, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.