Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273

June 19, 201634 counties in Minnesota; Douglas County, Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2016, 5:21 PM CDT for 34 counties in Minnesota; Douglas County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2016, 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 35 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Benton County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Cook County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lake County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pine County, MN, Pope County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Saint Louis County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Douglas County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 10%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 20%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 60%

Warnings issued inside it

47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 19, 5:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Kittson, Roseau	54 min
Jun 19, 5:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Otter Tail, Wadena	67 min
Jun 19, 5:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Cass	49 min
Jun 19, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Douglas, Pope, Stevens	48 min
Jun 19, 5:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Wadena	30 min
Jun 19, 6:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Itasca, Saint Louis	45 min
Jun 19, 6:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Roseau	44 min
Jun 19, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Cass, Itasca	42 min
Jun 19, 6:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Cass, Crow Wing	50 min
Jun 19, 6:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Itasca	31 min
Jun 19, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	15 min
Jun 19, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Lake of the Woods, Roseau	38 min
Jun 19, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Pope	30 min
Jun 19, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Douglas, Todd	42 min
Jun 19, 6:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Itasca, Saint Louis	52 min
Jun 19, 6:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Itasca, Saint Louis	50 min
Jun 19, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Swift	48 min
Jun 19, 6:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	45 min
Jun 19, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Lake of the Woods, Roseau	31 min
Jun 19, 6:55 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	DLH	Aitkin, Crow Wing	50 min
Jun 19, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca	30 min
Jun 19, 7:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	DLH	Saint Louis	39 min
Jun 19, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Lake, Saint Louis	14 min
Jun 19, 7:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Lac qui Parle	41 min
Jun 19, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	37 min
Jun 19, 7:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Itasca, Saint Louis	29 min
Jun 19, 7:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Stearns	39 min
Jun 19, 7:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Swift	36 min
Jun 19, 7:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	50 min
Jun 19, 7:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Carlton, Pine	47 min
Jun 19, 7:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Stearns	25 min
Jun 19, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Lake, Saint Louis	52 min
Jun 19, 7:55 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Stearns	35 min
Jun 19, 8:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi, Pope, Stearns, Swift	27 min
Jun 19, 8:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Carlton, Pine	51 min
Jun 19, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Lake, Saint Louis	31 min
Jun 19, 8:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Benton, Sherburne, Stearns	45 min
Jun 19, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	28 min
Jun 19, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Saint Louis	33 min
Jun 19, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Aitkin, Carlton, Pine	44 min
Jun 19, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Bayfield, Douglas, Sawyer, Washburn	47 min
Jun 19, 9:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Carlton	41 min
Jun 19, 9:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Cook	36 min
Jun 19, 10:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Pine	49 min
Jun 19, 10:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Cook	17 min
Jun 19, 10:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DLH	Pine	46 min
Jun 19, 10:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	McLeod, Meeker, Renville	39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 548 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -126 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1137 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Kittson, Marshall, Roseau	8 hr
Jun 19, 4:10 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Marshall, Pennington, Red Lake	95 min
Jun 19, 7:46 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Koochiching	89 min
Jun 19, 3:24 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Big Stone, Carlton and 38 more	2 hr
Jun 19, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Big Stone, Lincoln, Lyon, Pipestone, Traverse	5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.