Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 272
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2016, 10:20 PM CDT for 25 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 18, 2016, 10:20 PM CDT (03:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2016, 6:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 25 counties
Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Towner County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Divide, McKenzie, Williams | 62 min |
| Jun 19, 12:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Mountrail, Williams | 61 min |
| Jun 19, 2:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Renville, Ward | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 2:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Pierce | 58 min |
| Jun 19, 3:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Cavalier, Ramsey, Towner | 67 min |
| Jun 19, 4:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Pembina, Ramsey, Towner, Walsh | 38 min |
| Jun 19, 4:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Pembina, Ramsey, Walsh | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1492 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -39 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1273 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 122 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 3.8
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 9:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Cavalier, Divide, McHenry and 10 more | 62 min |
| Jun 19, 1:46 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benson, McHenry, Pierce, Ramsey, Towner, Walsh and 1 more | 89 min |
| Jun 19, 4:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Grand Forks, Ramsey, Walsh | 95 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.