Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 28, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Oct 8, 2016, 2:28 PM EDT for Chatham County, Lee County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 8, 2016, 9:30 PM EDT. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 8, 2016, 2:28 PM EDT (18:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 8, 2016, 9:30 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2016, 9:05 AM EDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Chatham County, NC, Lee County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Deep River near Moncure (MONN7). The gauge peaked at 11.44 ft at Oct 9, 2016, 3:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 8 ft
- Minor stage
- 9 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 18 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02102000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
989
WGUS42 KRAH 081828
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
228 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
...Up to 5 inches of rain has fallen in the past 12 hours and
an additional 3 inches are expected this afternoon and evening...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-090628-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0028.161009T0952Z-161011T1305Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.161009T0952Z.161010T0000Z.161011T0105Z.NO/
228 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Deep River At Moncure.
* from late tonight to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 1:45 PM Saturday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage tonight
tomorrow and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet late Sunday.The river
will fall below flood stage late Monday.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, flooding is likely upstream of the gage site
along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 in Lee county, and
on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham county. At the
gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river gage housing,
but is confined to woods and pasture immediately adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 4.1 Sat 02 PM 9.3 9.7 7.3 4.8 3.4
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$4 follow-up statements
666
WGUS82 KRAH 090134
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
934 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County
Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-091334-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0028.161009T0130Z-161010T0000Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.161008T2206Z.161009T0600Z.161009T1200Z.NO/
934 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning continues for the Deep River At Moncure.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Flooding is likely upstream of the gage site
along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 in Lee county,
and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham county. At
the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river gage
housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately adjacent
to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 10.3 Sat 09 PM 9.0 6.8 5.9 4.3 2.7
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Moncure: 150.00
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC085-091334-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161010T1855Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.161008T2151Z.161009T0600Z.161010T0655Z.NO/
934 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 9:15 PM Saturday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet after midnight
tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage early Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are
inundated.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Lillington 14 17.9 Sat 09 PM 19.8 12.9 9.6 7.0 4.4
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Lillington 104.60
&&
LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
3532 7877 3543 7892
$$
NCC051-091334-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-161012T2020Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.161008T2147Z.161009T1800Z.161012T0820Z.NO/
934 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning continues for the Cape Fear River At
Fayetteville.
* At 9:00 PM Saturday the stage was 41.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 55.8 feet by tomorrow
early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday
morning.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Fayettevil 35 41.8 Sat 09 PM 53.3 52.4 41.6 33.9 26.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Fayetteville: 20.52
&&
LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
3514 7890 3526 7876
$$670
WGUS82 KRAH 090917
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
517 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County
Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-092117-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-161010T1851Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.161008T2206Z.161009T0645Z.161010T0651Z.NO/
517 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 4:45 AM Sunday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road, just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road, north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 11.2 Sun 05 AM 11.4 8.4 6.0 4.1 3.1
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 150.00
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC085-092117-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161010T2236Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.161008T2151Z.161009T0646Z.161010T1036Z.NO/
517 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 4:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are
inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside
Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and
wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Lillington 14 19.3 Sun 05 AM 19.4 13.4 7.7 3.5 2.0
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 104.60
&&
LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
3532 7877 3543 7892
$$
NCC051-092117-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-161013T0130Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.161008T2147Z.161010T0000Z.161012T1330Z.NO/
517 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 4:00 AM Sunday the stage was 51.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 56.4 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Major flood stage. The right bank widens to
several hundred feet and there is serious flooding of downstream
structures.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left
bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant
lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking
lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are
flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cape Fear
Fayetteville 35 51.1 Sun 04 AM 53.5 52.5 43.2 35.5 26.7
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 20.52
&&
LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
3514 7890 3526 7876
$$
26998
WGUS82 KRAH 091343
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
942 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County
Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-100142-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-161010T0452Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.161008T2206Z.161009T0645Z.161009T1652Z.NO/
942 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river crested at 11.5 feet at 0345 AM EDT this morning.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall below flood stage
this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 10.1 Sun 09 AM 6.7 5.4 4.3 3.7 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC085-100142-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161011T0840Z/
/LLLN7.2.ER.161008T2151Z.161009T0646Z.161010T2040Z.NO/
942 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 9:31 AM Sunday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river crested at 19.4 feet at 0345 AM EDT this morning.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, The storm drains on the north bank are
inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water threatens homes upstream on Riverside
Hills Drive.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp and
wooden deck at Howards Barbeque are flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Lillington 14 18.8 Sun 10 AM 15.1 11.1 7.2 5.6 9.8
&&
LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
3532 7877 3543 7892
$$
NCC051-100142-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-161013T0227Z/
/FAYN7.2.ER.161008T2147Z.161010T0000Z.161012T1427Z.NO/
942 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 55.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising slowly to near 56.9 feet this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Major flood stage. The right bank widens to
several hundred feet and there is serious flooding of downstream
structures.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left
bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The upper parking areas
at Riverside Bait and Tackle are flooded. There is significant
lowland flooding downstream.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking
lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are
flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Fayetteville 35 55.0 Sun 09 AM 53.9 45.2 35.9 27.3 25.5
&&
LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
3514 7890 3526 7876
$$074
WGUS82 KRAH 091747
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
147 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-091817-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-161010T0452Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.161008T2206Z.161009T0645Z.161009T1625Z.NO/
147 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 12:45 PM Sunday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at 12:25 PM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.7 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 8.9 Sun 01 PM 6.7 5.4 4.3 3.7 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 8, 2:00 PM EDT, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 2:00 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 200 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Hurricane Matthew will move slowly northeast along the Carolina coast through tonight, then track offshore to the east on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 1030 AM Saturday... UPDATE: Portions of the wind advisory in the Sandhills and SE Coastal Plain (Scotland, Hoke, Cumberland, Sampson and Wayne counties) were upgraded to a high wind warning at 841 AM EDT this morning based on recent trends, i.e. rapid pressure falls spreading north of the NC/SC border attendant the center of Hurricane Matthew tracking NE along the South Carolina coast. As of 14Z, a ~10mb pressure gradient was noted between Raleigh (KRDU) and Laurinburg (KMEB), a distance of 70 nm. See the latest NPWRAH product for detailed information on expected wind gusts/impacts. Sustained winds of 30-40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph are largely expected to be confined to the high wind warning area. -Vincent Flash flood watch has been extended west and north to cover all of central NC, except Forsyth County in the far NW. The far NW part of the Triad, specifically the Winston- Salem/Forsyth County area, should have the lowest probability of flooding and we may leave them out. We will decide with the WPC/NWS QFP conference call at 215 AM. Most models have come even more northward and northeastward with the track of Matthew, and thus the heavy rain bands are now forecast to eventually encompass much of central NC. There is expected to be a very tight QPF gradient with possibly the NW Piedmont in the gradient instead of the NE Piedmont (as the heavier rains continue to spread west with the past few model runs). Current data (radar/satellite) included also suggests that the models more north and northeast track before the turn east tonight may verify better. The eyewall of Hurricane Matthew is now open with the northern portion of the eyewall the only portion remaining in tact. The forward motion is still 010 at 10kt with anticipation that the system will turn NE along the SC coast beginning this morning. A 1025 MB surface high pressure was centered just off the New England coast this morning, extending into our Piedmont Damming Region. There continued to be a low level boundary near the coast, with the deep easterly flow north of the storm pulling in PW's in excess of 2 inches as far north as Raleigh and 2.4 inches to near Fayetteville. The ESE flow at H85 was 40-50 KT spreading deep moisture up and over the CAD wedge. Rain and bands of heavy rain has developed/overspread all of central NC. One heavy band was almost into the Greensboro area. Although the SREF and some hi-res models suggest that the QPF of the operational GFS/EC are overdone for our region, we are not buying into that given the current data analysis. We will expand the Flash Flood Watch to be safe to include most of the region, with the far NW left out (Forsyth). QPF of 6-10 inches will still be forecast in the south and east, with 4-7 central, and 2-4 elsewhere. Locally higher totals in the south and east. Less over the NW. The Wind Advisory will remain in place through the duration of the event. Strongest gusts to 40-50 MPH in the south and east zones. Even 40 mph may down some trees given the expected saturation. Conditions will improve rather quickly when the cyclone begins the turn east later tonight and Sunday morning. Our current ending times of the Watches and advisories will remain into Sunday afternoon, and possibly we can end them more quickly if the system moves more quickly per WPC discussion. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 305 AM Saturday... Skies should be clearing or mostly clear with diminishing breezes Sunday evening and overnight. Lows in the 40s/50s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 200 PM Saturday... Cool and dry ridging will build down the east coast...with strong cold air advection producing highs slightly below normal...in the mid to upper 60s Monday after a chilly morning with sunrise temps in the upper 40s to very low 50s. Mins Tuesday morning will be even cooler...45 to 50. Sunny skies will begin to moderate the airmass on Tuesday and highs will reach the upper 60s to lower 70s. Upper ridge over the region will begin to breakdown and shift east of the area by mid to late week, allowing a dry cold front to approach the area from the nw late Thursday. Airmass will undergo slow modification in advance of this front, warming back up to seasonable readings Wednesday and Thursday, with temps potentially cooling back down to below normal Friday and into the weekend. && .AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 740 AM Saturday... A large shield of moderate to heavy rain, to the N and NW of the center of Hurricane Matthew, will continue to translate NWD across central NC today, as the hurricane tracks generally parallel to the SC coast. Widespread, mainly IFR ceilings will continue through this evening, then edge EWD with a resultant lifting and scattering to MVFR or VFR from W to E tonight, as the hurricane and associated rain shield likewise move E. NELY winds will also steadily increase from S to N and peak this afternoon and early evening - highest with gusts between 40-50 kts at FAY and RWI. While the rain and sub-VFR ceilings will steadily move E and out of our area later tonight, a strong NLY wind will continue throughout the night and linger into the day Sunday, as a continental polar (cool and dry)air mass rushes into our region in the wake of Matthew. Outlook: After VFR conditions in high pressure Sun-Mon, NELY low level flow around that high may promote the occurrence of MVFR ceilings Tue-Wed, mainly at ERN TAF sites. && .HYDROLOGY... As of 200 PM Saturday... Widespread life-threatening flash flooding this afternoon will linger well into tonight...perhaps for much of Sunday as well...as several additional inches of rain are expected this afternoon into the evening. Details can be found in the latest flash flood warning products. Final rainfall totals will be eye-popping...10+ inches in the southeast...producing moderate to major flooding at a nearly every river flood forecast point. The Little River at Manchester will rise above its all time record, which was set only last week. Widespread river flooding on the lower reaches of the Neuse and Cape Fear rivers will continue well into next week. For details, see www.weather.gov/ahps2 . && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Wind Warning until 6 PM EDT Sunday for NCZ078-085-086-088- 089. Flash Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for NCZ007>011- 022>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089. Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT Sunday for NCZ011-026>028-041>043- 073>077-083-084. && SYNOPSIS...VINCENT NEAR TERM...VINCENT SHORT TERM...BADGETT LONG TERM...mlm AVIATION...MWS HYDROLOGY...MLM
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 9:28 AM EDT, 5 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>077-083-084-091330- HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY- MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND- 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FORWARD REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES... POWER LINES...PROPERTY DAMAGE...OR MEASURED WIND GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH. NCZ007>010-022>025-038>040-091330- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM- DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ021-091330- FORSYTH- 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ078-085-086-088-089-091330- WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FORWARD REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES... POWER LINES...PROPERTY DAMAGE...OR MEASURED WIND GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 8, 2:11 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
211 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0203 PM TROPICAL STORM POPE AFB 35.17N 79.01W
10/08/2016 CUMBERLAND NC AWOS
POPE AIR FORCE BASE (KPOB) REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 35 MPH GUSTING TO 58 MPH
AT 203 PM EDT.
&&
VINCENTLocal storm report, Oct 8, 2:17 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
217 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE WILSON 35.72N 77.92W
10/08/2016 WILSON NC EMERGENCY MNGR
HIGHWAY 301 IN WILSON IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.
&&
NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Oct 8, 2:18 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
218 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0217 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW ROANOKE RAPIDS 36.46N 77.65W
10/08/2016 HALIFAX NC EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED IN HALIFAX COUNTY DUE
TO FLOODING.
&&
NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Oct 8, 2:23 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
223 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0222 PM TROPICAL STORM 2 NE FUQUAY-VARINA 35.61N 78.78W
10/08/2016 WAKE NC AMATEUR RADIO
DOWNED TREE BLOCKING LEFT LANE OF SUNSET
LAKE ROAD NEAR MCLAURIN ROAD.
&&
NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Oct 8, 2:26 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
226 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0225 PM TROPICAL STORM 5 S NEW HOPE 35.74N 78.54W
10/08/2016 WAKE NC AMATEUR RADIO
THREE TREES DOWN.
&&
NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Oct 8, 2:27 PM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
227 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0214 PM TROPICAL STORM 4 ENE HOPE MILLS 34.99N 78.89W
10/08/2016 CUMBERLAND NC ASOS
PEAK WIND GUST OF 56 MPH REPORTED AT THE
FAYETTEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT (KFAY) AT 214
PM EDT.
&&
VINCENTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 10:09 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Harnett | 4 days |
| Oct 7, 10:09 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland | 6 days |
| Oct 7, 10:12 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Johnston | 3 days |
| Oct 7, 10:12 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Johnston | 5 days |
| Oct 7, 10:12 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Wayne | 11 days |
| Oct 7, 10:18 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe | 7 days |
| Oct 7, 10:18 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe | 12 days |
| Oct 8, 8:01 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Anson, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 8:37 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 8:41 AM EDT | High Wind Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Hoke, Sampson, Scotland, Wayne | 18 hr |
| Oct 8, 9:13 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Anson, Stanly | 26 hr |
| Oct 8, 10:22 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Durham, Johnston, Wake, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 11:32 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Hoke, Sampson | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 12:09 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham | 48 hr |
| Oct 8, 1:09 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Durham, Johnston, Wake, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 1:21 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Orange and 2 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 1:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Anson, Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 2:04 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Warren, Wilson | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 2:32 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Alamance, Granville, Orange, Person, Vance | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 2:37 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Franklin | 69 hr |
| Oct 8, 3:47 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Alamance | 37 hr |
| Oct 8, 3:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 3:54 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe, Halifax, Nash | 5 days |
| Oct 8, 5:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Hoke, Sampson | 8 hr |
| Oct 8, 6:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Durham, Edgecombe, Johnston, Nash, Wake, Wayne and 1 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 8, 7:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 1 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.