Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Raleigh, NC

October 7, 2016Johnston County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Oct 7, 2016, 10:12 PM EDT for Johnston County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 8, 2016, 5:37 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 7, 2016, 10:12 PM EDT (02:12 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 8, 2016, 5:37 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 13, 2016, 4:54 AM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Johnston County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neuse River at Smithfield (SMFN7).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02087570, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

517 
WGUS42 KRAH 080212
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County
  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-081412-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0021.161009T1146Z-161011T1245Z/
/CLYN7.2.ER.161009T1146Z.161010T0600Z.161011T0045Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Neuse River Near Clayton.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Friday the stage was 1.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flooding is forecast and moderate flooding is possible.
* The river is expected to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning 
  and continue to rise to near 14.1 feet by early Monday morning.
  The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Clayton           9   1.6 Fri 09 PM   1.5   9.1  13.0   6.3   3.2      

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Clayton:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-081412-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0022.161009T1520Z-161012T0912Z/
/SMFN7.2.ER.161009T1520Z.161010T1800Z.161011T2112Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Neuse River At Smithfield.
* from Sunday morning to late Tuesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Friday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Flooding is forecast and moderate flooding is possible.
* The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late Sunday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon.The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15   5.2 Fri 09 PM   4.8  14.0  19.2  17.3  11.4      

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-081412-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0023.161010T0339Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.161010T0339Z.161012T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Sunday evening until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Friday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Flooding is forecast and moderate flooding is possible.
* The river is expected to rise above flood stage by Sunday before 
  midnight and continue to rise to near 23.5 feet by Wednesday 
  early afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18   5.7 Fri 09 PM   5.7  10.4  20.3  22.7  23.4      

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95
        
&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
20 follow-up statements
589 
WGUS42 KRAH 081553
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1153 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County
 ...Up to three inches of rain have fallen this morning across the Neuse 
River this morning and several additional inches are expected through the
afternoon. The river has just begun to rise and will rise faster as 
the additional rain is received...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-090353-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.161009T0524Z-161012T1224Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161009T0524Z.161010T1200Z.161012T0024Z.NO/
1153 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neuse River At Smithfield.
* from late tonight to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage around
  midnight and continue to rise steadily to near 20.5 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15   6.8 Sat 11 AM  17.1  20.5  17.8  12.2   8.3



&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-090353-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0023.161009T1409Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161009T1409Z.161012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1153 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Sunday morning until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning and continue to rise steadilky to near 25 feet
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding begins in the village of Seven 
  Springs.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18   6.5 Sat 11 AM  17.1  22.7  24.1  24.9  24.5



&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
837 
WGUS42 KRAH 082140
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
540 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016


...Forecast flooding changed from Major to Record severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County
...Forecast flooding changed from Major to Record severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County
...Forecast flooding changed from Major to Record severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-090940-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1823Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T1800Z.161011T0623Z.NR/
540 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for The Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  on Tuesday.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, The grounds of the pumping station begin to 
  flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  13.7 Sat 05 PM  24.0  20.7   6.1   3.7   3.3

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Clayton:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-090940-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.161008T2137Z-161012T1300Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1200Z.161012T0100Z.NR/
540 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for The Neuse River At Smithfield.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.3 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  17.8 Sat 05 PM  24.2  29.3  21.8  11.5   9.2

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-090940-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0023.161009T0007Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161009T0007Z.161010T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
540 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for The Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this 
  evening and continue to rise to near 30.9 feet by early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the State 
  Route 1915 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  16.1 Sat 05 PM  25.3  30.6  29.7  27.6  26.5

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
927 
WGUS82 KRAH 090159
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
959 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-091359-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1530Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T1800Z.161011T0330Z.NR/
959 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 9:15 PM Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by tomorrow 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, The grounds of the pumping station begin to 
  flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  15.8 Sat 09 PM    23.2  18.6   5.7   1.9   1.3

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Clayton:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-091359-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T0830Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1200Z.161011T2030Z.NR/
959 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 9:15 PM Saturday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by Monday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  20.4 Sat 09 PM    22.8  28.7  20.9   9.0   6.2

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-091359-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161010T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
959 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At 9:15 PM Saturday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.7 feet by early Monday 
  morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  20.5 Sat 09 PM    24.0  29.5  28.4  26.0  25.4

To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
289 
WGUS82 KRAH 090947
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
547 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-092147-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T0915Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T1800Z.161010T2115Z.NR/
547 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  5:15 AM Sunday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.1 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of 
  the bridge on Covered Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu  

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  18.7 Sun 05 AM  22.1   16.1   1.0   1.0   1.0      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 128.41
      
      
&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-092147-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T0007Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T0600Z.161011T1207Z.NR/
547 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  5:15 AM Sunday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.4 feet by 
  after midnight Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The main operations building at the water 
  treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu 

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  23.4 Sun 05 AM  24.4   28.1  15.1   5.1   4.3      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 99.26
       

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-092147-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161010T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
547 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  5:15 AM Sunday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.2 feet by 
  after midnight Monday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding begins in the village of Seven 
  Springs.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu  

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  23.0 Sun 05 AM  24.5   29.7  28.8  26.6  25.8      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 42.95
      

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

26
535 
WGUS82 KRAH 091329
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
929 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..

Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-100129-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1743Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161010T0000Z.161011T0543Z.NR/
929 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of 
  the bridge on Covered Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  19.5 Sun 08 AM  17.5   6.9   3.5   3.0   2.4



&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-100129-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T1142Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T0600Z.161011T2342Z.NR/
929 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet 
  around midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Tuesday.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The main operations building at the water 
  treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  24.2 Sun 08 AM  28.8  19.3  11.0   7.7   6.8

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-100129-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161010T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
929 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet 
  late tonight, and then begin falling, but will remain above 
  flood stage at least into mid week.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding begins in the village of Seven 
  Springs.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  23.3 Sun 08 AM  29.5  28.0  26.5  25.4  25.4

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
496 
WGUS82 KRAH 091745
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
145 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-100545-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1743Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161010T0000Z.161011T0543Z.NR/
145 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  1:15 PM Sunday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage on Tuesday.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the bridge over 
  Covered Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  20.3 Sun 01 PM  17.5   6.9   3.5   3.0   2.4

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-100545-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T1142Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T0600Z.161011T2342Z.NR/
145 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 1:15 PM Sunday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet  
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Tuesday.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The main operations building at the water 
  treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  25.6 Sun 01 PM  28.8  19.3  11.0   7.7   6.8

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-100545-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161010T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
145 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  1:15 PM Sunday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet  
  tomorrow afternoon, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding begins in the village of Seven 
  Springs.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  23.6 Sun 01 PM  29.1  28.4  26.8  26.1  25.7

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
082 
WGUS82 KRAH 100202
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-101402-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1912Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T2045Z.161011T0712Z.NR/
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the bridge over 
  Covered Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  20.3 Sun 09 PM   7.4   2.9   2.4   2.3      


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-101402-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T1638Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T0600Z.161012T0438Z.NR/
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The main operations building at the water 
  treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  27.8 Sun 09 PM  21.1  12.1   7.7   6.8      


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-101402-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.0 feet by 
  early Tuesday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding begins in the village of Seven 
  Springs.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  24.2 Sun 09 PM  28.7  26.5  26.0  26.4      


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC083-131-101401-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-161012T0959Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.161009T1522Z.161011T0000Z.161011T2159Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.7 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, There is widespread flooding on the left 
  banks.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the left
  bank.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Roanoke River
 Scotland Neck    28  28.5 Sun 09 PM  28.6  27.0  26.6  25.8      

&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7721 3608 7727
          3628 7748 3628 7759         

$$
194 
WGUS82 KRAH 100654
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
254 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-101854-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1912Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T2045Z.161011T0712Z.NR/
254 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  2:15 AM Monday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri 

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  19.5 Mon 02 AM    18.1   7.4   2.9   2.4   2.3


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 128.41
        

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-101854-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T1638Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1200Z.161012T0438Z.NR/
254 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  2:15 AM Monday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  28.8 Mon 02 AM    28.9  21.1  12.1   7.7   6.8


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 99.26
       

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-101854-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
254 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  2:15 AM Monday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.0 feet  
  after midnight Tuesday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, The village of Seven Springs is flooded.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri  

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  24.7 Mon 02 AM    26.4  28.7  26.5  26.0  26.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 42.95
       

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

26
459 
WGUS82 KRAH 101148
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
748 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-102348-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161011T1925Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T2045Z.161011T0725Z.NR/
748 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  7:15 AM Monday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  18.2 Mon 07 AM    18.5   7.4   2.8   2.4   2.2


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 128.41
      
      
&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-102348-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T2030Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T0830Z.NR/
748 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  7:15 AM Monday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near crest this morning, then fall later today.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri 

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  29.1 Mon 07 AM    28.9  22.8  13.6   8.3   7.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 99.26
       

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-102348-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
748 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  7:15 AM Monday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, The village of Seven Springs is flooded.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri 

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  25.4 Mon 07 AM    26.0  28.5  26.5  26.0  26.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 42.95
       
&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
339 
WGUS82 KRAH 101413
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1013 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-110213-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161012T0017Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T2045Z.161011T1217Z.NR/
1013 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 9:15 AM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet and falling slowly.
* Major flood stage is 16 feet and moderate flood stage is 13 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and will continue into early afternoon.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall, to below flood stage 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  17.6 Mon 09 AM   9.1   3.0   2.4   2.4   1.9


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-110213-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161012T2304Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T1104Z.NR/
1013 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 9:15 AM Monday the stage was 29.0 feet and near crest.
* Major flood stage is 20 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and major flooding will continue through
  late Tuesday.
* Forecast...The river will fall slowly, finally to below flood stage
  late Wednesday.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Houses on the river side of Front Street 
  flood.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Jaycee Park and North Front Street are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The main operations building at the water 
  treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  29.0 Mon 09 AM  24.1  14.6   8.2   7.0   6.2

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-110213-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1013 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At 9:15 AM Monday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Major flood stage is 24 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and will continue for the remainder
  of the week.
* Forecast...The river rise slowly to near 28.7 feet early tomorrow
  afternoon, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, the water treatment plant floods.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, the north bound lane of SR1915 is impassable, 
  which cuts off access to emergency services to residents south of the 
  city.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, the south bound lane of SR1915 is impassable.  
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, flooding threatens to close US117.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  25.7 Mon 09 AM  28.6  27.3  26.0  26.5  27.0

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
708 
WGUS82 KRAH 110144
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
944 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-111344-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-161012T0115Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.161008T1755Z.161009T2045Z.161011T1315Z.NR/
944 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 PM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  12.2 Mon 09 PM     9.4   3.4   2.4   2.2   1.9

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-111344-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0221Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T1421Z.NR/
944 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Monday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 27.5 feet, Water begins to flow over the dike at the 
  water treatment plant. Flooding threatens the plant's main 
  operations building.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  27.5 Mon 09 PM    24.0  16.1   7.9   6.8   5.9

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-111344-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
944 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  9:15 PM Monday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon, and then begin falling.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  27.6 Mon 09 PM    28.4  27.4  26.0  26.4  27.0

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
181 
WGUS82 KRAH 110828
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
428 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-112028-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0540Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T1740Z.NR/
428 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  3:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall, to below flood stage 
  on Wednesday.
* Impact...At 27.5 feet, Water begins to flow over the dike at the 
  water treatment plant. Flooding threatens the plant's main 
  operations building.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat 

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  26.2 Tue 03 AM    24.4  16.7   8.2   6.8   5.9

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-112028-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161011T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
428 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  3:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by this
  afternoon, and then begin falling.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  28.3 Tue 03 AM    28.5  27.5  26.1  26.4  27.0


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

26
776 
WGUS82 KRAH 111449
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-120249-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0204Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T1404Z.NR/
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* The river crested at a new record stage of 29.09 feet on Monday,
  10/10, at 700 AM.  
* At 9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet and falling steadily.
* Major flood stage is 20 feet, and moderate flood stage is 18 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and will continue through early tonight.
* Forecast...The river will fall below moderate flood stage late
  tonight and below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  24.6 Tue 09 AM  15.9   9.3   7.7   6.3   5.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-120249-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 28.8 feet and rising slowly.
* Major flood stage is 24 feet and moderate flood stage is 20 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.4 feet this
  evening, and then begin falling slowly, but remain in major flood
  through the end of the week.
* The previous record flood was 28.85 feet from hurricane Floyd in 
  1999.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, The water treatment plant is flooded.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, The northbound lane of SR1915 is impassable, 
  which cuts off access to medical facilities for residents south of 
  the city. Emergency services must set up a temporary triage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, The southbound lane of SR1915 is impassable.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding threatens to close US117.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  28.8 Tue 09 AM  28.8  26.6  26.5  26.9  25.5

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
039 
WGUS82 KRAH 112159
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
559 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-120959-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0527Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T1727Z.NR/
559 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  5:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  22.5 Tue 05 PM  17.8   9.3   7.7   6.3   5.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26
        
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-120959-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
559 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  5:31 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, The water treatment plant is flooded.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, The northbound lane of SR1915 is impassable, 
  which cuts off access to medical facilities for residents south of 
  the city. Emergency services must set up a temporary triage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, The southbound lane of SR1915 is impassable.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding threatens to close US117.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  29.4 Tue 06 PM  29.0  26.6  26.5  26.9  25.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
732 
WGUS82 KRAH 120217
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Fishing Creek At Enfield affecting Edgecombe...Halifax and Nash 
  Counties

  Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Tar River At Rocky Mount affecting Edgecombe County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-121416-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0850Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T2050Z.NR/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  21.3 Tue 09 PM    17.9  11.2   9.1  10.2  12.1


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-121416-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Flooding reaches the base of the SR1915 
  bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  29.6 Tue 09 PM    29.4  27.0  26.4  26.2  24.2


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95
       
&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-121416-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161015T0745Z/
/ROKN7.3.ER.161008T2316Z.161010T0415Z.161014T1945Z.NO/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Rocky Mount.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, East Virginia Street floods east of the 
  wastewater plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
  Rocky Moun  21  25.8 Tue 10 PM    25.4  24.4  22.7  16.3   9.2


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Rocky Mount:     52.81
  
&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7761 3594 7780 3588 7786
          3591 7790 3599 7780         

$$

NCC065-121416-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.3.ER.161009T0641Z.161012T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.2 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 34.6 feet, Water reaches the base of the Princeville 
  levee.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  35.4 Tue 09 PM    36.0  35.2  33.8  31.4  26.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Tarboro:         10.37
      

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

NCC051-121416-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-161013T1737Z/
/FAYN7.3.ER.161008T2147Z.161010T0245Z.161013T0537Z.NO/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 50.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the left 
  bank about 2 miles downstream of the NC24 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  50.3 Tue 09 PM    45.8  30.4  24.0  23.9  25.9


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Fayetteville:    20.52

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC065-083-127-121416-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-161014T0636Z/
/EFDN7.2.ER.161009T0145Z.161011T1515Z.161013T1836Z.NO/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fishing Creek At Enfield.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Fishing Creek floods a broad expanse of marsh
  and farmland.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Fishing Creek
  Enfield     16  19.5 Tue 10 PM    18.9  16.9  11.9   7.6   6.0


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Fayetteville:    20.52

&&

LAT...LON 3617 7781 3616 7766 3608 7749 3603 7754
          3610 7767 3611 7783         

$$

NCC051-121416-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-161014T1600Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.161008T1541Z.161010T1130Z.161014T0400Z.NR/
1016 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is 
  flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Lower Little River
  Manchester  18  23.9 Tue 10 PM    22.6  19.7  17.2  15.1  13.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Manchester:     122.16
       

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$
772 
WGUS82 KRAH 120910
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
510 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-122110-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T0850Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161012T2050Z.NR/
510 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall, to below flood stage later
  today.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. The Smithfield town park 
  and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun 

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  19.6 Wed 04 AM    17.9  11.2   9.1  10.2  12.1


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-122109-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
510 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest around 29.7 feet this morning, then
  begin to slowly fall.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, The water treatment plant is flooded. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  29.7 Wed 04 AM    29.7  27.0  26.4  26.2  24.2


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

26
449 
WGUS82 KRAH 121456
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-130256-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T1600Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161013T0400Z.NR/
1056 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet and falling steadily.
* Moderate flood stage is 18.0 feet and minor flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below moderate flood stage early
  this afternoon and below minor flood stage around midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  18.2 Wed 10 AM  13.1   9.4   9.7  11.5  12.7

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-130256-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1056 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 29.7 feet and near crest.
* Major flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will begin to fall slowly, to around
  27.0 feet tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, The Little River backs up and US70 and NC55 
  are closed. The water treatment plant is flooded.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, The northbound lane of SR1915 is impassable, 
  which cuts off access to medical facilities for residents south of 
  the city. Emergency services must set up a temporary triage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, The southbound lane of SR1915 is impassable.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding threatens to close US117.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  29.7 Wed 10 AM  27.1  26.8  27.0  25.6  23.7


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
771 
WGUS82 KRAH 122007
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
407 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-130807-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T1600Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161013T0400Z.NR/
407 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 3:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.2 feet and falling steadily.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  17.2 Wed 03 PM  13.1   9.4   9.7  11.5  12.7


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
748 
WGUS82 KRAH 130039
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
838 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County
  
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-131238-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T2030Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161013T0830Z.NR/
838 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet and falling steadily.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and will continue through tonight.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, flooding begins along the Neuse riverwalk. 
  Water nears the base of the holding tank at the water treatment 
  plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  16.1 Wed 08 PM    14.3  10.4   7.3   5.7   5.2


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-131238-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.3.ER.161008T2226Z.161012T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
838 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.5 feet and slowly falling.
* Major flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to around 27.0 feet 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, The Little River backs up and US70 and NC55 
  are closed. The water treatment plant is flooded.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, The northbound lane of SR1915 is impassable, 
  which cuts off access to medical facilities for residents south of 
  the city. Emergency services must set up a temporary triage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, The southbound lane of SR1915 is impassable.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Flooding threatens to close US117.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  29.5 Wed 08 PM    29.0  27.2  26.8  24.8  22.1


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
662 
WGUS82 KRAH 130854
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
454 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-130924-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-161013T2030Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.161008T1923Z.161010T1100Z.161013T0633Z.NR/
454 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at  2:33 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall, to around 10.0 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  14.7 Thu 04 AM    14.3  10.4   7.3   5.7   5.2


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

26

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 7, 9:40 PM EDT, 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 9:40 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
940 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A moist flow from the southeast into North Carolina will persist
tonight. Hurricane Matthew will track along or just off the coast of
South Carolina and southeast North Carolina through Saturday night.
A cold front will cross our region Sunday night through early
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
As of 940 PM Friday...

The center of Hurricane Matthew was located about 50 miles ESE of
St. Simons Island GA at 9 pm, moving nearly due northward toward the
central coast of SC but expected to take a northeasterly turn as it
approaches the Hilton Head Island area. The fringe effects of the
hurricane have already been felt throughout the day in NC with a
long moist Atlantic fetch and broad deep moist upglide contributing
to widespread light rain or drizzle for much of the day. But the
outer bands of heavier rain associated with Matthew are already
starting to move into southern portions of the forecast area, and
this trend will hold through the night with moderate to heavy
rainfall spreading across central and eastern NC from the south, in
line with the earlier forecast. A focus of the heaviest precip NW of
the center appears increasingly likely with strengthening upper
divergence in a band over the NC Coastal Plain, and if this is as
intense as the ECMWF/GFS depict, we could see isolated extreme
rainfall totals (above the already-concerning expectations of 5-12
inches from Raleigh to the south and east) over the Coastal Plain
and far eastern Piedmont and Sandhills late tonight through mid
afternoon Sat. No change at this time to the flash flood watch or to
the wind advisory, as winds accelerate from the NE with pronounced
widespread gustiness starting late tonight. -GIH

1025 MB surface high pressure was centered across interior New
England this afternoon and ridges southwest into the Mid Atlantic
and Piedmont of Virginia and the Carolinas. A coastal front is
observed across the coastal region of the Carolinas as well. The
easterly flow across the region was pushing a warmer airmass with
temperatures in the upper 70s to near 80 west up and over the CAD
wedge an has generated areas of rain and rain showers. Convection
allowing models indicate that the shower activity should continue
into the evening hours and then become more focused across the
Piedmont region toward midnight. More widespread rain and rain
showers, more directly associated with the tropical cyclone,
will spread north from SC during the predawn hours. Rainfall
amounts though daybreak may approach 2 inches near the SC border
to an inch in most other locations with perhaps a half inch to an
inch to the northeast near Roanoke Rapids.

Steady east to northeast winds at around 10 to 15 MPH with gusts
toward 20 MPH will be the rule for the evening into the overnight.
As Matthew draws closer, the wind field associated with the
tropical cyclone will overspread the area with sustained winds of
20 MPH and gusts to near 35 MPH will move into the Southern
Piedmont and Sandhills region during the predawn hours. Given this
and increasing winds on Saturday, a Wind Advisory has been issued
for the Southern Piedmont, Sandhills, the Coastal Plain and the
eastern Piedmont including Wake County from midnight through
Sunday.

Lows tonight will range in the lower 60s in the Triad to the
around 70 in the Coastal Plain.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 345 PM Friday...

...Threat of life threatening flooding increasing across the
Sandhills and Coastal Plain of NC as ideal setup for enhanced
tropical rain becomes established...

...More northward track of Matthew results in stronger wind gusts
which has increased the threat of power outages...

It is important to note that the explicit impacts from Matthew
regarding precipitation totals and especially wind magnitudes are
highly dependent on the tropical cyclone track. Given that the
guidance from the NHC and NWP continue to trend northward and
wetter today, we have made a notable increase to precipitation
amounts and winds.

The biggest threat and impact arises from the potential for extremely
heavy rain with amounts forecast to exceed 10 inches across the
southeastern and eastern portions of the CWA. The setup for
tremendous rainfall associated with a non-land falling tropical
cyclone are nearly ideal.

The combination of an approaching tropical cyclone with deep
tropical moisture, a coastal front and a cold air damming air mass
in the Piedmont providing an enhance region of ascent northward of
the tropical cyclone and the approach of an upper trough and cold
front that will lead to a left of track precipitation distribution
should lead to storm total rain amounts that range near a foot
across Sampson County. Heavily leaned on WPC QPF guidance to
produce storm total rain amounts of 9-12+ inches across Sampson,
Wayne and Cumberland Counties. Rain amounts will range between 4
and 8 inches across the remainder of the Coastal plain, eastern
Piedmont and Southern Piedmont. A total of 3 to 6 inches can be
expected in the Triangle with a less significant 1 to around 2
inches in the Triad. Given these amounts, the Flash Flood Watch
has been expanded northward to include Wake County and portions of
the northern Coastal Plain and the Southern Piedmont. These rain
fall amounts will likely lead to Flash flooding and river
flooding with dam breaks possible. Additional hydrologic details
are contained in the Hydrology section below.

Given the more northward adjustment to track of Matthew, central
NC is likely to be enveloped by a larger portion of the TC wind
field. Accordingly we have increased the magnitudes of the wind
and wind gusts and issued a Wind Advisory for a portion of the
area. Maximum wind gusts should range around 50 MPH across Sampson
County with wind gusts in excess 40 MPH possible to the southeast
of U.S. 1. Given wet soils and the potential for a prolonged
period of wind gusts that will extend into Sunday afternoon, we
are concerned that a fair number of trees and power lines could
be downed, especially Saturday afternoon and evening. Strong wind
gusts may linger will into Sunday despite clearing and drying as
stronger winds aloft are mixed downward. -Blaes
&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 914 PM Friday...

Underneath shortwave ridging aloft, a strong +1030 mb sfc high will
ridge down the east coast in the wake of Matthew, with associated
strong cold air advection bringing Central NC its first real taste
of fall, as a cool and dry airmass settles into the area for the
first half of the work week. Low-level thicknesses are forecast to
fall to 1340-1350 meters(20 to 30 meters below normal)both Monday
and Tuesday mornings, which historically produces min temps down
into the lower to mid 40s. If this happens it will be the first time
many areas see sub 50 degree readings since early May 2016. Highs
Monday and Tuesday in the mid 60s to lower lower 70s.

Upper ridge over the region will begin to breakdown and shift east
of the area by mid to late week, allowing a dry cold front to
approach the area from the nw late Thursday. Airmass will undergo
slow modification in advance of this front, warming back up to
seasonable readings Wednesday and Thursday, with temps potentially
cooling back down to below normal Friday and into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 751 PM Friday...

Adverse aviation conditions will prevail through the forecast
period.

Easterly upglide atop the low-level cool air wedged east of the
mountains will continue to support IFR to LIFR ceilings across the
area this evening and overnight with periods of light rain and/or
drizzle.

By daybreak, the outer most rainband associated with Hurricane
Matthew will advance north into southern portions of the forecast
area, impacting KFAY first and will then spread north towards KRDU
and KRWI between 15 to 18z. These areas will then see a 12
to 15 hour period of moderate to heavy rainfall across the area,
continuing into the evening before tapering off from west to east
overnight. Expect IFR to LIFR conditions to persist with no
improvement throughout the day. Additionally, NELY winds will begin
to increase during the predawn hours, peaking between 18z Saturday
to 06z Sunday. Expect wind gusts of 30 to 35 kts at KRDU and KRWI,
with the strongest winds at KFAY, potentially gusting as high
as 45 kts.

Both rain and wind intensity will not be as high at KGSO and KINT,
but they will continue to see IFR to LIFR ceilings throughout the
day on Saturday with wind gusts of 20 to 25 kts.

In the wake of Hurricane Matthew moving out into the Atlantic,
breezy, High pressure will build east into the area Sunday and
Sunday night bringing a west to east return to VFR conditions.
Breezy north/northwesterly winds will persist through
Sunday afternoon.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 1220 PM Friday...

Discussion for the southern Coastal Plain, Sandhills, and
southwestern Piedmont:

Antecedent conditions - heavier rain today has been concentrated
mainly over the southwest Piedmont and western Sandhills counties.
Rainfall across this area has ranged up to nearly 1.5 inches,
effectively saturating areas from Raeford west to Albemarle and
Wadesboro. Only a few tenths of an inch have fallen over eastern
Hoke, northern Cumberland, and southern Harnett counties, which
were the areas which received 8 to 10+ inches of rain late last
week.

Rainfall from Matthew late tonight through Saturday night is
expected to range from 6 to 10 inches over these areas, with
perhaps 10+ inches over far southern Cumberland and Sampson
counties. The heavier rainfall is expected during the day
Saturday, and as tropical rainfall rates can exceed 2 inches per
hour, flash flooding could occur quickly, especially in urban
areas. Rainfall will drain quickly into local streams and into low
lying areas, and travel may be hindered by extensive flooding well
into Sunday.

Larger rivers which could reach flood stage include the lower Cape
Fear, Neuse, Black, and possibly the Tar. Of particular concern is
the Little River, which runs across northern Cumberland county.
Flooding is more likely on the Little river and a flood warning has
been issued for the Little river at Manchester, where the river
could exceed moderate flood stage as it is still high from record
flooding last week. A number of dams in Hoke, Cumberland and
southern Harnett county affected by the heavy rain last week also
remain vulnerable due to weakened structures and high water levels.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for NCZ011-026>028-
041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM EDT Sunday for
NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield/BLAES
SHORT TERM...BLAES
LONG TERM...CBL
AVIATION...CBL
HYDROLOGY...MLM
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 3:20 PM EDT, 6 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

NCZ011-026>028-041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-081000-
HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT.

NCZ008>010-023>025-038>040-081000-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
CHATHAM-
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODS OF RAIN... HEAVY AT TIMES... WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS
EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS LIKELY... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE NORTHEAST TO
15 TO 25 MPH WITH PERIODIC GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 MPH... WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO A
FEW DOWNED TREES IN THE SATURATED SOILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT.

NCZ007-021-022-081000-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 7, 10:09 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHHarnett4 days
Oct 7, 10:09 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHCumberland6 days
Oct 7, 10:12 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston3 days
Oct 7, 10:12 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHWayne11 days
Oct 7, 10:18 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe7 days
Oct 7, 10:18 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe12 days
Oct 8, 8:01 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland6 hr
Oct 8, 8:37 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 2 more6 hr
Oct 8, 8:41 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningRAHCumberland, Hoke, Sampson, Scotland, Wayne18 hr
Oct 8, 9:13 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHAnson, Stanly26 hr
Oct 8, 10:22 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHDurham, Johnston, Wake, Wayne6 hr
Oct 8, 11:32 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRAHCumberland, Hoke, Sampson6 hr
Oct 8, 12:09 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham48 hr
Oct 8, 1:09 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRAHDurham, Johnston, Wake, Wayne6 hr
Oct 8, 1:21 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Orange and 2 more8 hr
Oct 8, 1:31 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 3 more6 hr
Oct 8, 2:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Warren, Wilson8 hr
Oct 8, 2:28 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham, Lee67 hr
Oct 8, 2:32 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Granville, Orange, Person, Vance8 hr
Oct 8, 2:37 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHFranklin69 hr
Oct 8, 3:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHAlamance37 hr
Oct 8, 3:50 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph8 hr
Oct 8, 3:54 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash5 days
Oct 8, 5:29 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRAHCumberland, Hoke, Sampson8 hr
Oct 8, 6:55 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRAHDurham, Edgecombe, Johnston, Nash, Wake, Wayne and 1 more7 hr
Oct 8, 7:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 1 more6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.