Severe Thunderstorm Warning 332, NWS Wichita, KS

925 
WWUS53 KICT 062130
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSC049-073-205-062215-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0332.000000T0000Z-161006T2215Z/
GREENWOOD KS-WILSON KS-ELK KS-
430 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD...SOUTHWESTERN WILSON AND EASTERN ELK
COUNTIES...

AT 430 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF FALL RIVER...OR 11 MILES EAST OF HOWARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FREDONIA...HOWARD...LONGTON...FALL RIVER...ELK FALLS...NEW ALBANY...
BUXTON AND FALL RIVER STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3742 9633 3768 9616 3750 9567 3739 9589
      3739 9596 3733 9597 3730 9616
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 235DEG 17KT 3753 9607 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

ES

700 
WWUS53 KICT 062152
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
452 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSC049-073-205-062201-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0332.000000T0000Z-161006T2215Z/
GREENWOOD KS-WILSON KS-ELK KS-
452 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD...
SOUTHWESTERN WILSON AND EASTERN ELK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WICHITA.

LAT...LON 3742 9633 3768 9616 3750 9567 3739 9589
      3739 9596 3733 9597 3730 9616
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 232DEG 25KT 3762 9592 

$$

ES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
258 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Thu Oct 6 2016

Forecast highlights: Severe storms and heavy rain this afternoon-
evening, much cooler Friday, quiet weather through Sunday, and
periodic slight chances for showers/storms Sunday night through
next week.

Strong upper shortwave and associated strong cold front
interacting with a very moist and strongly unstable airmass will
support scattered to eventually widespread thunderstorms
developing this afternoon-evening. The greatest threat area will
be generally along/east of a line extending from Lincoln--Lyons--
Kingman--Harper, and generally along/west of the Flint Hills.
Storms are expected to develop by 3-4pm on that western fringe,
reaching Wichita metro around 5-6pm, and southeast Kansas by
7-9pm. Initial activity over central/south-central Kansas
along/west of the Flint Hills will have the greatest severe
potential, with strong instability and deep layer shear supporting
a few supercells capable of very large hail, damaging winds and
possibly a tornado or two. However, given strong cold frontal
forcing, threat should transition to a squall line or line
segments within the first 2-3 hours of initiation, with the
primary threats then becoming straight-line winds and marginally
severe hail, although given strong shear will likely still see
embedded rotating updrafts and isolated occurrences of larger
hail, along with the outside chance of an isolated tornado. Severe
threat should wane even more by 9pm generally east/southeast of
the Flint Hills given diurnal cooling and decreasing instability.
However, given heavy rainfall that already fell over southeast
Kansas this morning into the afternoon, additional heavy rainfall
could aggravate ongoing flooding concerns over southeast Kansas.
Will continue the flood watch over far southeast Kansas overnight.

Otherwise, quiet and cooler weather expected this weekend, as
high pressure settles south across Mid-America. Highs on Friday
will only be in the 60s, with lows Friday night reach around 40
degrees. Consequently, cannot rule out out patchy frost for low-
lying and sheltered area, but thinking coverage will be too sparse
to include in forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Thu Oct 6 2016

A handful of ripples within the zonal flow aloft should support a
periodic chances for showers/storms Sunday night/Monday, and again
Tuesday night/Wednesday. Likely not looking at widespread
activity, and lack of instability will likely preclude severe
storms. Temperatures will be seasonal in the 70s, with overnight
lows in the 40s and 50s this weekend into next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Oct 6 2016

Main Aviation Concerns: Thunderstorm potential, stratus potential,
wind shift behind a cold front.

Scattered thunderstorms may continue into much of the afternoon
over southeast Kansas with 850 moisture/instability transport
occurring to the north of an outflow boundary. Have a VCTS mention
at CNU terminal through 20Z for now.

A cold front and pre-frontal dryline/trough axis will shift into
central/south-central Kansas in the 20Z-00Z time-frame, likely
sparking scattered strong to severe storms with wind and hail
threats. The storms will form into a linear complex as they move
through the Flint Hills/Southeast KS this evening, with a threat
of strong-severe wind gusts. Have included a tempo TSRA group at
ICT and VCTS at CNU, but will likely need to upgrade CNU to a
Tempo TSRA soon. South winds will shift to northwesterly behind
the cold front with gusts around 25 knots expected for several
hours behind the frontal passage. A large stratus shield over
Nebraska and northwest Kansas, should spread into the central
Kansas terminals through this evening, and perhaps further
southeast tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  65  42  71 /  60   0   0   0
Hutchinson      43  64  40  71 /  10   0   0   0
Newton          43  63  41  70 /  40   0   0   0
ElDorado        44  64  41  71 /  80   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   48  65  41  71 /  80  10   0   0
Russell         37  65  39  73 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      38  66  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          42  65  39  72 /  10   0   0   0
McPherson       42  64  39  71 /  10   0   0   0
Coffeyville     52  66  41  73 /  80  20   0   0
Chanute         49  64  41  71 /  90  10   0   0
Iola            49  64  41  70 /  90  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    50  66  41  72 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ093>096-098>100.

&&

SHORT TERM...ADK
LONG TERM...ADK
AVIATION...JMC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
340 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-072045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
340 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SALINA TO HUTCHINSON TO
KINGMAN. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY...CAPABLE OF TWO INCH OR
LARGER HAIL...70 MPH WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES. THE GREATEST
THREAT WILL BE GENERALLY BEFORE 8 PM. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MERGE FAIRLY QUICKLY INTO A SQUALL THIS EVENING WHILE MOVING INTO
THE FLINT HILLS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE MAIN STORM THREATS WILL
THEN TRANSITION TO 60 TO 70 MPH WIND GUSTS...HAIL GENERALLY LESS
THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND HEAVY RAIN...WHICH COULD AGGRAVATE
ONGOING FLOODING CONCERNS OVER FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD
ACTIVITY AND STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...PRIMARILY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY SALINA
TO HUTCHINSON TO KINGMAN.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
235 PM CDT THU OCT 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 ESE WINFIELD          37.26N 96.93W
10/06/2016                   COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
309 PM CDT THU OCT 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     TORNADO          2 WSW CAMBRIDGE         37.31N 96.70W
10/06/2016                   COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
317 PM CDT THU OCT 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TORNADO          2 W CAMBRIDGE           37.32N 96.70W
10/06/2016                   COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS THAT TORNADO WAS PRODUCING
            DEBRIS.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
330 PM CDT THU OCT 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     TORNADO          2 W CAMBRIDGE           37.32N 96.70W
10/06/2016                   COWLEY             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS THAT THERE ARE TREES DOWN AND
            OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED BETWEEN BURDEN AND CAMBRIDGE. TIME
            IS BASED ON RADAR.

&&

VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
332 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSZ070-071-095-062100-
WOODSON KS-WILSON KS-GREENWOOD KS-
332 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 330 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FALL RIVER...OR
  13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EUREKA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TORONTO...FALL RIVER...COYVILLE...TORONTO LAKE...
  CROSS TIMBERS STATE PARK...FALL RIVER STATE PARK...
  BATESVILLE AND FALL RIVER LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3783 9572 3760 9596 3760 9603 3765 9626
      3795 9600
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 223DEG 38KT 3768 9612

CARUSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
346 PM CDT THU OCT 06 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WINFIELD                37.27N 96.97W
10/06/2016  E2.50 INCH       COWLEY             KS   PUBLIC

            A REPORT VIA FACEBOOK OF 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 20 TO
            30 MINUTES.

&&

VJP