Severe Thunderstorm Warning 326, NWS Wichita, KS

084 
WWUS53 KICT 060531
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1231 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSC001-207-060615-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0326.000000T0000Z-161006T0615Z/
WOODSON KS-ALLEN KS-
1231 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT
FOR WOODSON AND NORTHWESTERN ALLEN COUNTIES...

AT 1230 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR YATES
CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WINDS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
IOLA...YATES CENTER...NEOSHO FALLS...PIQUA AND ROSE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3802 9528 3773 9564 3773 9569 3786 9593
      3804 9578 3804 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 288DEG 17KT 3784 9564 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

ES

677 
WWUS53 KICT 060543
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1243 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

KSC001-207-060551-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0326.000000T0000Z-161006T0615Z/
WOODSON KS-ALLEN KS-
1243 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WOODSON AND NORTHWESTERN ALLEN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL IS
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3802 9528 3773 9564 3773 9569 3786 9593
      3804 9578 3804 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 226DEG 13KT 3787 9560 

$$

ES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1203 AM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening and Tonight)
Issued at 214 PM CDT Wed Oct 5 2016

Isolated to widely scattered storms may develop across southeast KS
late this afternoon and evening as a moist and unstable airmass is
progged to creep northward back into the region.  A moderately
unstable airmass coupled with relatively weak mid level lapse rates
and a lack of support on the synoptic scale with subtle 12-hr H5
rises within a broad mid/upper cyclonic flow regime leads to low
confidence in development of strong/severe storms this evening.
Better chances for marginally strong/severe hailers may arrive
tonight as low level moisture transport ramps up across south
central/southeast KS after midnight and maintained mid pops across
much of south central and southeast KS for this scenario. Areas of
fog should become likely across much of central KS where low level
moisture advects into the area after 04-06z.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Wednesday)
Issued at 214 PM CDT Wed Oct 5 2016

Storms may be ongoing across much of eastern KS during the morning
hours on Thu. A shortwave trough moving into the Central Plains will
drive a strong cold front south across the area during the afternoon
and evening hours bringing increasing chances for deep moist
convection with strong convergence along the front. The activity is
expected to quickly develop into a squall line with deep layer shear
oriented along the anticipated front. Given steep mid-level lapse
rates/strong deep layer shear and high quality low level moisture,
moderate to strong instability will result in severe storms with
damaging winds and large hail across much of south central and
southeast KS during the evening hours. Veered low level flow ahead
of the fropa is expected to limit the tornado threat.

A stable post-frontal regime will arrive across the area on Friday
and Saturday with dry weather conditions and below normal
temperatures. More seasonable temperatures will return on Sunday
into early next week with low probabilities for showers and storms
as a couple of shortwave troughs emerge from the Rockies.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Thu Oct 6 2016

Clusters of TSRA that dvlpd in SE KS ~03Z SE of a NE-SW oriented
stationary front cont to move NE ~25KTS. For now have assigned
"VCTS" to KCNU but further TSRA movg NE from NC OK warrant a
"TEMPO" assignment to the terminal for much of the night. The Nrn
OK TSRA also warrant VCTS assignment to KICT. Areas of BR/FG are
still lkly acrs primarily Cntrl KS thru ~06/14Z NW of the front
but w/ the front undergoing warm frontogenesis all of Cntrl KS
would then scour. TSRA wl redvlp acrs much of the region Thu Aftn
& may be svr. Later issuances wl provide details.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    65  84  48  65 /  40  50  50  10
Hutchinson      61  82  45  65 /  30  30  20  10
Newton          63  80  45  64 /  40  50  40  10
ElDorado        65  82  47  65 /  50  50  70  10
Winfield-KWLD   67  85  50  65 /  50  50  70  10
Russell         54  72  39  65 /  20  20  10   0
Great Bend      55  75  40  66 /  10  10  10   0
Salina          60  79  42  65 /  20  30  20   0
McPherson       61  80  43  65 /  30  30  20  10
Coffeyville     69  86  53  66 /  40  40  80  30
Chanute         67  84  51  64 /  50  60  80  20
Iola            67  83  50  64 /  60  60  80  10
Parsons-KPPF    68  85  52  66 /  50  50  80  20

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...EPS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1022 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-070330-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1022 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL, SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DIME-SIZED HAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. COVERAGE WILL EXPAND AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA WITH HAIL AS LARGE AS NICKELS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH MAY ALSO
OCCUR.

AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...REDUCING VISIBLITIES TO AROUND 1
MILE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A SOUTHEAST ADVANCING
COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HALF DOLLAR-SIZED HAIL
WOULD INITIALLY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...WITH DAMAGING 60 TO 70 MPH
WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY THREAT AS THE THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY
DEVELOP INTO A SQUALL LINE LATER THURSDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAIN IS
ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY
EVENING.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY RETURN TO THE FORECAST EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT
STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
933 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

KSZ099-060300-
MONTGOMERY KS-
933 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 931 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR INDEPENDENCE...MOVING NORTH AT
  25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INDEPENDENCE...CHERRYVALE...BOLTON...SYCAMORE...
  ELK CITY STATE PARK...INDEPENDENCE AIRPORT AND ELK CITY LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9588 3739 9575 3739 9572 3726 9552
      3724 9552 3708 9571
TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 199DEG 22KT 3717 9574

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
956 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

KSZ095-060330-
WILSON KS-
956 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 954 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER FREDONIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FREDONIA...BENEDICT AND NEW ALBANY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 9588 3754 9597 3755 9596 3773 9579
      3774 9577 3762 9555
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 218DEG 33KT 3756 9586

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1040 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

KSZ070-094-060415-
ELK KS-GREENWOOD KS-
1040 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  SOUTH CENTRAL GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1115 PM CDT

* AT 1040 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF HOWARD...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HOWARD...SEVERY...CLIMAX...PIEDMONT...
  FALL RIVER LAKE AND FALL RIVER STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 9652 3750 9653 3781 9621 3754 9600
      3738 9638
TIME...MOT...LOC 0340Z 216DEG 30KT 3748 9642

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1159 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

KSZ071-060530-
WOODSON KS-
1159 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT

* AT 1157 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR YATES CENTER...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  YATES CENTER...ROSE AND BATESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 9580 3773 9584 3785 9596 3804 9572
      3804 9566 3783 9554
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 225DEG 27KT 3783 9583

DARMOFAL