Tornado Watch 493

Issued

Oct 6, 2016, 2:12 PM CDT (19:12 UTC)

Expired

Oct 6, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT

In force

7 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

3 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

70%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

40%

Ten or more severe wind reports

20%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

20%

Ten or more severe hail reports

90%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

70%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

95%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1765Oct 6, 11:15 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1766Oct 6, 1:22 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1768Oct 6, 5:12 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1773Oct 6, 7:42 PM CDT

910 
WWUS20 KWNS 061910
SEL3  
SPC WW 061910
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 493
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT THU OCT 6 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWESTERN IOWA
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
  NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
  SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A RAPID INCREASE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.  INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WILL
INCLUDE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS...BEFORE UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SQUALL
LINE OCCURS AHEAD OF A SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE
KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...KERR

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2016Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.