Severe Thunderstorm Warning 335, NWS Goodland, KS

832 
WWUS53 KGLD 140910
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
310 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

COC063-KSC181-199-140945-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0335.000000T0000Z-160714T0945Z/
KIT CARSON CO-WALLACE KS-SHERMAN KS-
310 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON...NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES...

AT 310 AM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTH OF
KANORADO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON...NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 10205 3905 10205 3905 10215 3911 10222
      3930 10188 3907 10160 3896 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0910Z 238DEG 23KT 3910 10202 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

605 
WWUS53 KGLD 140918
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
318 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

COC063-KSC181-199-140945-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0335.000000T0000Z-160714T0945Z/
KIT CARSON CO-WALLACE KS-SHERMAN KS-
318 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON...NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES...

AT 318 AM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTH OF
RULETON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON...NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 10205 3905 10205 3905 10215 3911 10222
      3930 10188 3907 10160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0918Z 251DEG 24KT 3911 10193 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

063 
WWUS53 KGLD 140928
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
328 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

COC063-KSC181-199-140938-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0335.000000T0000Z-160714T0945Z/
KIT CARSON CO-WALLACE KS-SHERMAN KS-
328 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON...
NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3901 10205 3905 10205 3905 10215 3911 10222
      3930 10188 3907 10160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0927Z 250DEG 23KT 3913 10185 

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
139 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 121 AM MDT Thu Jul 14 2016

Latest satellite and upper air analysis indicated nearly zonal flow
over the Central Plains.  Embedded in the zonal flow was an upper
level short wave trough over Eastern Colorado.  Ahead of the short
wave trough a line of strong to severe thunderstorms had developed
along a cold front that was moving south across the Tri-State Area.
Latest storm activity is not as robust as initially thought or as
widespread.  If storm activity does not expand in coverage over the
next few hours, will have to revisit rainfall chances for today.

Today am currently expecting the line of storms from the overnight
hours to continue moving east across the Tri-State Area.  Models
indicate the upper level short wave trough will deepen over the line
of storms early this morning.  Am expecting rainfall chances to end
from west to east starting in the mid morning as the back edge of
the line of storms begins to move into the area followed by
subsidence.  The storm activity should be east of the area by early
afternoon if not before.

During the late afternoon another upper level short wave trough will
develop over the far western part of the area.  This may trigger the
next round of storms for the day.

The storm chances will move over the west half of the Tri-State Area
this evening before the short wave trough fills later in the evening.

Overnight another upper level short wave trough will approach the
Tri-State Area from the north.  This one looks like it will just
graze the northern part of the area, with most of the storm activity
north of the Tri-State Area.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 137 AM MDT Thu Jul 14 2016

Friday chances for storms increase through the day as the upper
level short wave trough to the north moves through the area.  Am
expecting storm activity to increase from northwest to southeast
during the day.

Friday evening another round of storms will move in from the west as
another upper level short wave trough moves through.  Most of the
storm activity with this trough will be south of the Tri-State Area
by midnight.  Overnight the nose of the low level jet develops over
Tri-State Area, with the best elevated CAPE over the eastern 1/3 of
the area.  Expect the best chances for storms over the east due to
the much better CAPE and the stronger lift as an upper level short
wave trough moves over the elevated CAPE field during the overnight
hours.

Saturday morning there maybe some lingering storms in the eastern
part of the Tri-State Area as the upper level short wave trough
departs and the nose of the low level jet dissipates.  During the
afternoon dry air and a cap will prevent any storms from developing
despite the presence of an upper level short wave trough over the
far west and far east parts of the area.

Saturday night a strong upper level short wave trough will move
across Central Nebraska, with lift possibly extending as far south
as the central part of the Tri-State Area.  Any storms that develop
will be east of the area by sunrise Sunday.

There will be a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms each day and
night with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats.

Regarding high temperatures, they will be coolest today then
gradually warm as the upper level ridge moves closer to the Tri-
State Area now through Saturday.

The Sunday through Wednesday period is expected to be primarily
dry and warm/hot across the Tri-State region. As the period
progresses the ridge that has been impacting the region will
strengthen and limit moisture from moving up into the CWA. The
only way for precipitation chances to occur is if moisture from
Arizona and the Gulf of California move into the region, which
looks to be the case Monday night (but only slight chances were
added to the forecast due to the uncertainty). Overall, with the
dominate ridge sitting over the high plains temperatures are
expected to be in the 90s to low 100s through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1000 PM MDT Wed Jul 13 2016

KGLD...vfr conditions expected from 10z through the rest of the
taf period. Winds from the east then southeast 10kts or less. May
have a few showers/thunderstorms in the vicinity but probabilities
too low to include in the forecast. Immediate concern is for
strong to possibly severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall to
impact the terminal from taf issuance through about 09z. Short
range models in a bit better agreement bringing a weather
disturbance across the terminal area through 09z. MVFR/IFR
visibilities possible should heavy rain fall at the airport.
Outflow winds Winds may also gust near/over 45kts.

KMCK...vfr conditions expected through the period. Convection
expected to move northeast reaching the terminal in the 08z-11z
timeframe producing some gusty winds to 35kts and light to
moderate rainfall producing some reduced visibilities. Winds
generally from the east and northeast under 10kts. After 11z winds
generally from the north to east at speeds under 10kts. Could have
a few showers/thunderstorms in the vicinity or at the terminal
during the day but confidence too low to include in forecast at
this time.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...JTL/CLT
AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
145 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-150745-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
145 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016 /245 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH THE
MAIN THREAT BEING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF HIGHWAY 27 THEN NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36. MAIN
HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER
SIZE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

JTL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1048 PM MDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSZ001-013-140500-
CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN KS-
1048 PM MDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHEYENNE AND
NORTHWESTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 1100 PM
MDT/MIDNIGHT CDT/...

AT 1048 PM MDT/1148 PM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTH OF ST. FRANCIS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHEELER.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3944 10190 3960 10202 3976 10171 3949 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 252DEG 23KT 3957 10184

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1206 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

KSZ001-140515-
CHEYENNE KS-
1206 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHEYENNE COUNTY IN
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

AT 1206 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BONNY RESERVOIR TO
13 MILES SOUTH OF ST. FRANCIS. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ST. FRANCIS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3988 10189 3957 10147 3957 10204 3973 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 265DEG 37KT 3969 10199 3958 10172

JRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1252 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 AM     TSTM WND GST     GOODLAND                39.35N 101.71W
07/14/2016  M55 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

&&

CLT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
232 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

KSZ016-140745-
GRAHAM KS-
232 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY UNTIL 245
AM CDT...

AT 231 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF MORLAND...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF HILL
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILL CITY...MORLAND...BOGUE...NICODEMUS AND PENOKEE.

LAT...LON 3936 10010 3952 10008 3954 9960 3927 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0731Z 272DEG 34KT 3944 10000

007

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
246 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

KSZ014-028-029-140815-
LOGAN KS-GOVE KS-THOMAS KS-
246 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GOVE...SOUTHEASTERN
THOMAS AND NORTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

AT 246 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTH OF COLBY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OAKLEY...GRINNELL...MONUMENT AND MINGO.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS NEAR MILE MARKER 52...AND
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 62 AND 85.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 10124 3937 10110 3918 10072 3913 10072
      3913 10062 3891 10083
TIME...MOT...LOC 0746Z 308DEG 33KT 3925 10110

007

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
326 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

KSZ015-029-140900-
GOVE KS-SHERIDAN KS-
326 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN GOVE AND SOUTHERN
SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

AT 326 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GRINNELL...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
QUINTER...GRAINFIELD...GRINNELL...PARK AND ANGELUS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND
108.

LAT...LON 3894 10026 3912 10079 3913 10078 3913 10072
      3930 10072 3919 10019
TIME...MOT...LOC 0826Z 282DEG 42KT 3914 10057

LUNDQUIST