Flash Flood Warning 60, NWS Fort Worth, TX

440 
WGUS74 KFWD 021819
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
119 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

TXC143-221-425-021915-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160602T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOOD TX-ERATH TX-SOMERVELL TX-
119 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR
HOOD...ERATH AND SOMERVELL COUNTIES...

AT 100 PM CDT...FLASH FLOODING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS PARTS OF
HOOD...SOMERVELL...AND ERATH COUNTIES. THE WORST OF THE FLOODING WAS
OCCURRING IN THE CITY OF GRANBURY. RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL AT THE
RATE OF 1 INCH PER HOUR ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WHICH IS CAUSING
EXCESSIVE RUN OFF AND RAPID RISES IN WATER ALONG STREAMS...CREEKS
AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
STEPHENVILLE...GRANBURY...DUBLIN...PECAN PLANTATION...GLEN ROSE...LIPAN...
DINOSAUR VALLEY STATE PARK...HUCKABAY...MORGAN MILL...OAK TRAIL SHORES
AND TOLAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3230 9847 3251 9847 3251 9807 3256 9807
      3255 9762 3220 9762 3220 9764 3192 9820
      3198 9825 3194 9833 3226 9855

$$

92

469 
WGUS54 KFWD 021902
FFWFWD
TXC143-221-425-022215-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FF.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160602T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
202 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  HOOD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
  ERATH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
  SOMERVELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 201 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT TWO TO NEARLY FOUR
  INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY
  ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  STEPHENVILLE...GRANBURY...DUBLIN...PECAN PLANTATION...GLEN ROSE...LIPAN...
  DINOSAUR VALLEY STATE PARK...HUCKABAY...MORGAN MILL...OAK TRAIL SHORES
  AND TOLAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

&&

LAT...LON 3230 9847 3251 9847 3251 9807 3256 9807
      3255 9762 3220 9762 3220 9764 3192 9820
      3198 9825 3194 9833 3226 9855

$$

BAIN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1117 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

.UPDATE...
After a much needed reprieve from heavy rainfall yesterday,
widespread rains are impacting much of the region this morning,
and will continue to do so for the remainder of the day and into
the overnight hours. Moisture channel imagery shows a vigorous
upper-level low just about over Del Rio, Texas with the
associated trough axis now beginning to take on a more neutral
tilt. Strong upper-level divergence associated with the
encroaching low has fostered an expansive area of moderate to
embedded heavy rainfall which continues to move into North Central
Texas.

This area of rainfall will continue to march northward through
the remainder of the morning and will impact the Metroplex
shortly. Precipitation amounts have been on the order of one half
to one inch, with some isolated amounts in excess of 2 inches over
the past three hours. With our saturated soils, this is all it's
taking to cause flooding issues.

As the upper level low gradually tracks eastward, the main
precip shield should begin to pivot towards the west, which means
that many locations in our CWA will remain under the gun for
continued bouts of rainfall through the day. Overnight, there are
still hints from model guidance of a consolidating warm core low
impacting a portion of our region, but pinning its ultimate
location down is not possible at this time. The important point
here is that these types of nocturnally-enhanced systems can be
exceptional rainfall producers over a highly localized area--and
isolated rainfall amounts in excess of six inches are not out of
the question.

Finally, current indications are that flooding rains may linger
longer than initially anticipated across our central and western
zones, and for this reason we have extended the Flash Flood Watch
to cover all of North and Central Texas until 1 PM tomorrow.

Carlaw

&&

.AVIATION...

/ISSUED 1215 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016/
/06Z TAFs/

Convection is slowly increasing in areal coverage across the
region tonight and expect slow moving isolated to scattered
showers and storms to continue through the night. Will carry VCSH
through the night but an isolated thunderstorm or two could impact
any of the TAF sites overnight. In addition, MVFR and IFR cigs
will return and persist through most of the valid TAF period.

An upper level low will slowly move east across the western
portions of the state tonight and Thursday. This will help to
increase the lift across the region and increase rain chances on
Thursday. There will likely be a break in the rain Thursday
morning but widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to
spread across the region Thursday afternoon and persist through
the end of the valid TAF period. Will carry SHRA VCTS after 17-18Z
tomorrow as this large area of rain persists. There may be brief
breaks but high-res guidance suggests a nearly continuous feed of
rain during this time. One inhibiting factor may be a convective
complex moving across South and Southeast Texas interfering with
the moisture influx into the region.

In association with the upper level trough, a surface low will
move into the region also aiding the lift for convection. The low
will turn the surface winds to the northeast and possibly north
during the day tomorrow. Winds will remain below 10 kts.

JLDunn

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 704 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016/
The approach of an upper level low and a weak front have created
bouts with showers and a plethora of cloud layers across North and
Central Texas. It seemed that ceilings were holding out in the
MVFR category for the entire shift, until in the past half hour
when sites in the Metroplex suddenly began reporting IFR. So we
will indicate IFR cigs during the morning hours with improvement
back to MVFR by mid day. Meanwhile, the weak winds along the
front have already begun to back to a more northeasterly
direction, and should become due north this evening with speeds
remaining well below 10 KT. Thunderstorms will become more likely
this afternoon as the upper low encroaches on Central TX during
peak heating hours. Storms should decrease in coverage late this
evening, though isolated activity will continue overnight.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    79  67  78  68  85 / 100  80  60  50  50
Waco                79  66  78  65  82 / 100  70  60  50  50
Paris               77  66  76  67  80 / 100  80  70  50  50
Denton              78  65  76  65  84 /  90  70  60  40  40
McKinney            78  66  77  66  82 /  90  80  70  50  40
Dallas              80  68  78  68  84 / 100  80  60  50  50
Terrell             79  67  77  67  82 / 100  80  70  50  50
Corsicana           78  68  77  68  81 / 100  80  70  50  60
Temple              77  66  77  65  81 / 100  70  60  50  60
Mineral Wells       78  65  76  65  83 / 100  70  60  40  40

&&

.FWD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

15/90

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
431 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-031100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
431 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS...DUE TO A SLOW MOVING
FRONT AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A FEW STORMS WILL BE
STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT HEAVY RAIN AND
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

STORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO END LATE SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
SOUTH OF THE AREA. LINGERING MOISTURE MAY LEAD TO AN ISOLATED
STORM OR TWO ACROSS THE SOUTHERN-MOST COUNTIES ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
RELAY REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
850 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TEMPLE                  31.10N  97.35W
06/02/2016                   BELL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BELL CO OEM REPORTED A FEW WATER RESCUES WERE ONGOING
            ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF TEMPLE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1037 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1031 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW HAMILTON           31.68N  98.14W
06/02/2016                   HAMILTON           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ALONG PECAN
            CREEK SW OF HAMILTON. IN ADDITION---FLOODING
            WAS REPORTED ALONG FM 221 AND 218. FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY
            84 NEAR EVANT WAS ALSO REPORTED.