Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
122 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...WIDESPREAD FLOODING/FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY WITH RIVER FLOODING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING WILL BECOME AN
INCREASING THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT..ALONG WITH
A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

THE TROPICAL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH OUT OF TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. BANDS OF PRECIPITATION ROTATING
AROUND THAT CIRCULATION WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AS WELL AS THURSDAY.

SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
CIRCULATION OF BILL MAY SPAWN SOME SHORT LIVED TORNADOES WITH
A FEW OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL THE PRIMARY AREAS OF CONCERN.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG WITH A SMALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL
BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THURSDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
WORSEN LIFE THREATENING FLOODING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH THE
FLOODING OF MAIN STEAM RIVERS. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS THURSDAY
ARE FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE TROPICAL
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXIT NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
FRIDAY MORNING WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TAPERING OFF
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FROM WEST TO EAST.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES AND GREATER ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT GROUPS SHOULD ANTICIPATE FLOODING OF AT
LEAST THE MAGNITUDE THAT OCCURRED AT THE END OF MAY AND PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ049-053-171845-
CHOCTAW OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CHOCTAW AND SOUTHWESTERN PUSHMATAHA

AT 100 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
GRANT...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HUGO...ORD...GRANT...GAY...GOODLAND...
SAWYER...MESSER...KENT...FALLON...SPEER...APPLE...ANTLERS...DELA...
RATTAN...FINLEY...KELLOND AND HUGO LAKE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3388 9547 3387 9551 3389 9551 3388 9553
      3388 9556 3392 9556 3393 9560 3416 9578
      3420 9579 3425 9578 3435 9543 3388 9531
      3386 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 1800Z 167DEG 31KT 3397 9547

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
310 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ071-172045-
MCINTOSH OK-
310 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH

AT 310 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CHECOTAH...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHECOTAH AND RENTIESVILLE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3555 9571 3555 9540 3534 9539 3534 9544
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 158DEG 13KT 3540 9543