River Flood Warning 52, NWS Tulsa, OK

948 
WGUS84 KTSA 180137
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
837 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-180937-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.150618T1028Z-150620T0240Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1028Z.150619T0000Z.150619T2040Z.NO/
837 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* from late tonight to Friday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 29.0 
  feet Thursday evening. However, additional heavy rainfall
  may cause the river to go higher or stay above flood stage longer
  than currently forecast.  Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, very severe flooding affects rural lands 
  between Sapulpa and Jenks. Many local roads are closed. Some 
  suburban homes are flooded, and others are surrounded by high 
  water. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

018 
WGUS84 KTSA 180731
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
230 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-181530-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T0200Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150619T0000Z.150619T2000Z.NO/
230 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 28.9 
  feet this evening. However, additional heavy rainfall
  may cause the river to go higher or stay above flood stage longer
  than currently forecast.  Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil 
  fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and 
  oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have 
  water in yards.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

913 
WGUS84 KTSA 181436
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
936 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
OKC037-182236-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1140Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1240Z.150619T1200Z.150620T0540Z.NO/
936 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:40 AM Thursday, the stage was 20.00 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa is expected to rise above
  flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 28.8 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Friday night.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil 
  fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and 
  oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have 
  water in yards.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

OKC131-143-182236-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0058.150618T2032Z-150621T0922Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.150618T2032Z.150620T0600Z.150621T0322Z.NO/
936 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* from this afternoon to late Saturday night, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 22.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  28.8 feet by late Friday night. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. Rural 
  roads near the main channel may become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3635 9588 3630 9570 3636 9564 3643 9580

$$

712 
WGUS84 KTSA 181452
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
952 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-182252-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1140Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T1200Z.150620T0540Z.NO/
952 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:51 AM Thursday, the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue rising to 
  near 28.8 feet Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil 
  fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and 
  oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have 
  water in yards.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

966 
WGUS84 KTSA 181953
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
253 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
  Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. 
  
  Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. 
  
  Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. 
  
OKC037-190353-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1052Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0600Z.150620T0452Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:19 PM Thursday, the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue rising to 
  near 27.7 feet late tonight. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Friday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil 
  fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and 
  oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have 
  water in yards.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

OKC113-143-190352-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0060.150619T0215Z-150619T1247Z/
/SPEO2.1.ER.150619T0215Z.150619T0600Z.150619T0647Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bird Creek near Sperry.
* from this evening to Friday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 18.91 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by 
  late tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood stage
  Friday before dawn.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593

$$

OKC143-190352-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.150619T0136Z-150619T1849Z/
/OWSO2.1.ER.150619T0136Z.150619T0600Z.150619T1249Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo.
* from this evening to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 13.74 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 19.1 
  feet by late tonight. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, minor flooding occurs near Mohawk Park. 56th 
  Street North may be impassable near Mingo Road.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570

$$

OKC131-143-190352-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0058.150618T2008Z-150619T1724Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.150618T2008Z.150619T0600Z.150619T1124Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Caney River near Collinsville.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 25.95 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  26.9 feet by late tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood
  stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. County 
  roads north of Collinsville may be covered with water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3635 9588 3630 9570 3636 9564 3643 9580

$$

563 
WGUS44 KTSA 190300
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-191100-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1415Z/
/SPCO2.3.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0600Z.150620T0815Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:20 PM Thursday, the stage was 29.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue rising to 
  near 30.1 feet Friday before dawn. The river will fall below flood 
  stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, very severe flooding affects rural lands 
  between Sapulpa and Jenks. Many local roads are closed. Some 
  suburban homes are flooded, and others are surrounded by high 
  water. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

383 
WGUS84 KTSA 190732
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
232 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-191532-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1603Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T1003Z.NO/
232 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:21 AM Friday, the stage was 29.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, very severe flooding affects rural lands 
  between Sapulpa and Jenks. Many local roads are closed. Some 
  suburban homes are flooded, and others are surrounded by high 
  water. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

505 
WGUS84 KTSA 191420
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
920 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-192220-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1840Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T1240Z.NO/
920 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:48 AM Friday, the stage was 28.55 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil 
  fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and 
  oil field storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have 
  water in yards.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

878 
WGUS84 KTSA 191917
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair County. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
OKC037-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1845Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T1245Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:58 PM Friday, the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate flooding affects pasturelands and 
  suburban roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Livestock barns and other
  outbuildings are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

OKC001-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-150620T1651Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.150619T1428Z.150620T0000Z.150620T1051Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 15.13 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue rising to 
  near 21.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Chewey Bridge. Water will reach the base of the building 
  at River Valley Raceway. Farmlands and permanent camgrounds are 
  inundated. Numerous cabins in the Fidlers Bend area are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9478 3611 9478 3607 9453 3615 9453

$$

OKC021-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150621T2037Z/
/TALO2.2.ER.150619T0822Z.150621T0000Z.150621T1437Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 12.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 16.0 feet Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Chewey Bridge
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff are impassable. Some cabin parks may begin to
  flood. At 17.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from Chewey Bridge 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Some cabin parks may be flooded 
  to a depth of a couple of feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3604 9498 3573 9498 3573 9487 3617 9472 3617 9485

$$

OKC115-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T1025Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1230Z.150620T0425Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 17.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC101-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-150620T0600Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.150619T0636Z.150619T1500Z.150620T0000Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 28.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue falling 
  to below flood stage this evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below action stage of 27 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating 
  marina north of OG&E power plant may be flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9537 3559 9532 3547 9515 3552 9507 3583 9520

$$

915 
WGUS84 KTSA 200058
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
758 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-200858-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1255Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T0655Z.NO/
758 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7 PM Friday, the estimated stage was 23.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate flooding affects pasturelands and 
  suburban roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Livestock barns and other
  outbuildings are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

076 
WGUS84 KTSA 200515
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1215 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
OKC037-200545-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1255Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T0248Z.NO/
1215 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* At 12:03 AM Saturday, the stage was 18.95 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage yesterday late evening.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling and
  remain below flood stage.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
CIGS/VISIBILITY DECREASING WITH RAIN AS REMNANTS TROPICAL
BILL MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. ALL STATIONS BECOMING IFR OR
NEAR IFR 09Z-13Z. LLWS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT AS CIRCULATION
BILL NEARS TAF SITES. TSRA WITHHELD FROM ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT
KFSM DUE TO LOW PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1111 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST ON-TRACK - HEAVY FLOODING RAIN ON THE WAY.

BILL REMNANTS..SPINNING NORTH FROM TEXAS WITH NORTH
EDGE MAJOR PRECIP BAND ALREADY ACROSS THE RED RIVER.
PRECIP MOVING NORTH I-40  ABOUT 1-2 PM AND VICINITY
OF HIGHWAY 412 IN OK ABOUT 430-630 PM..LITTLE LATER
ARKANSAS PORTION OF HIGHWAY 412.

BILL REMNANTS EVENTUALLY INFLUENCED BY MORE WESTERLY
UPPER FLOW THURSDAY &  WILL START TO CURVE NORTHEAST
THEN EAST DIRECTLY ACROSS FORECAST AREA. EXACTLY HOW
THAT TRACK PLAYS OUT..DICTATES WHERE HEAVIEST PRECIP
WILL END UP.  ALL OF EASTERN OK / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
STILL HEAVY RAIN. ARC OF HEAVIEST RAIN IN EASTERN OK
AND NORTHWEST AR MOSTLY LIKELY NORTH OF I-40.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   81  69  77  69 /  80 100  90  50
FSM   85  71  80  70 /  70 100  90  80
MLC   79  71  78  71 / 100 100  90  50
BVO   81  68  77  68 /  60  70  80  40
FYV   81  68  76  69 /  50 100  90  80
BYV   83  68  77  68 /  50 100  90  80
MKO   80  70  78  69 /  90 100  90  70
MIO   81  69  76  68 /  70 100  90  80
F10   80  69  77  70 / 100 100  90  50
HHW   79  71  81  70 / 100 100  70  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
122 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...WIDESPREAD FLOODING/FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY WITH RIVER FLOODING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...MAINLY EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING WILL BECOME AN
INCREASING THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT..ALONG WITH
A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

THE TROPICAL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
BILL WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH OUT OF TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. BANDS OF PRECIPITATION ROTATING
AROUND THAT CIRCULATION WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AS WELL AS THURSDAY.

SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TIGHT
CIRCULATION OF BILL MAY SPAWN SOME SHORT LIVED TORNADOES WITH
A FEW OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL THE PRIMARY AREAS OF CONCERN.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG WITH A SMALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL WILL
BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THURSDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
WORSEN LIFE THREATENING FLOODING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH THE
FLOODING OF MAIN STEAM RIVERS. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS THURSDAY
ARE FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE TROPICAL
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXIT NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
FRIDAY MORNING WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TAPERING OFF
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FROM WEST TO EAST.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES AND GREATER ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT GROUPS SHOULD ANTICIPATE FLOODING OF AT
LEAST THE MAGNITUDE THAT OCCURRED AT THE END OF MAY AND PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ049-053-171845-
CHOCTAW OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CHOCTAW AND SOUTHWESTERN PUSHMATAHA

AT 100 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
GRANT...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HUGO...ORD...GRANT...GAY...GOODLAND...
SAWYER...MESSER...KENT...FALLON...SPEER...APPLE...ANTLERS...DELA...
RATTAN...FINLEY...KELLOND AND HUGO LAKE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3388 9547 3387 9551 3389 9551 3388 9553
      3388 9556 3392 9556 3393 9560 3416 9578
      3420 9579 3425 9578 3435 9543 3388 9531
      3386 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 1800Z 167DEG 31KT 3397 9547