Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 127, NWS Tulsa, OK

December 26, 2015Osage County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Dec 26, 2015, 2:34 PM CST for Osage County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Dec 28, 2015, 2:53 AM CST. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Dec 26, 2015, 2:34 PM CST (20:34 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 28, 2015, 2:53 AM CST
Expired: Dec 28, 2015, 6:18 PM CST
In force: 15 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Osage County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Bird Creek at Avant (AVTO2).

Action stage: 17 ft
Minor stage: 17 ft
Moderate stage: 21 ft
Major stage: 26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07176500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 26, 10:37 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 10:37 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 12:11 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1211 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1211 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING AND AN
ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

DISCUSSION...
A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
RIVER FLOODING EVENT IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD 4 TO 11
INCH RAINS ARE FORECAST...THE MAJORITY OF WHICH WILL BE RUNOFF
GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR THIS IS OCCURRING. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
STORM AND COLD FRONT WILL ACT TO LIFT AN UNSEASONABLY MOIST
AIRMASS TO BRING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL TO THE REGION.

AN ELEVATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS MAINLY FROM MID-AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EVENING AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS TO NEAR I-40 IN OKLAHOMA
AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE FOCUS FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL MAINLY
BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. THE THREAT WILL END
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.

STRONG NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT WILL BRING GUSTS
IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...
HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY...AS THE THUNDER
CHANCES WANE WITH DECREASING INSTABILITY. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW AS IT LIFTS DIRECTLY ACROSS OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY...TEMPS WILL LIKELY GET COLD ENOUGH OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES TO ALLOW FOR SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST DATA SUGGESTS THAT SOME LIGHT ICING AND
1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THERE. CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES TO
THIS FORECAST.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT...LIKELY LESS THAN AN
INCH.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO BE MINDFUL OF THE
FLOOD THREAT THIS WEEKEND. MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL
FLOOD...SOME MAJOR OR EVEN RECORD...AND SOME WATER RESCUES MAY BE
REQUIRED. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 26, 12:40 PM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Dec 26, 1:03 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Local storm report, Dec 26, 1:17 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special weather statement, Dec 26, 1:42 PM CST, 52 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 25, 9:04 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	9 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	5 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	6 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair	4 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	5 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	64 hr
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	64 hr
Dec 25, 9:36 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	6 days
Dec 25, 9:36 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Choctaw	4 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	8 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	9 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	10 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Muskogee	6 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Creek	4 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	56 hr
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Tulsa	4 days
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	4 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Washington	3 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	5 days
Dec 26, 1:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	42 min
Dec 26, 2:41 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	49 min
Dec 26, 3:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	42 min
Dec 26, 3:13 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	47 min
Dec 26, 3:15 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	45 min
Dec 26, 3:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	33 min
Dec 26, 3:47 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes, Rogers	43 min
Dec 26, 3:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Rogers	46 min
Dec 26, 4:06 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg	39 min
Dec 26, 4:08 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes and 11 more	12 hr
Dec 26, 4:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner	41 min
Dec 26, 4:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	39 min
Dec 26, 4:57 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	33 min
Dec 26, 5:10 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	6 hr
Dec 26, 5:24 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee	51 min
Dec 26, 5:30 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	45 min
Dec 26, 5:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	48 min
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian	10 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Franklin, Johnson, Logan	10 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin	58 hr
Dec 25, 10:55 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Carroll	64 hr
Dec 26, 12:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	50 min
Dec 26, 1:42 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin, Madison	48 min
Dec 26, 3:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton	37 min
Dec 26, 5:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton	29 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.