Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 112, NWS Tulsa, OK

December 25, 2015Choctaw County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Dec 25, 2015, 9:36 PM CST for Choctaw County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Dec 27, 2015, 11:23 AM CST. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 25, 2015, 9:36 PM CST (03:36 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 27, 2015, 11:23 AM CST
Expired: Dec 29, 2015, 7:36 PM CST
In force: 56 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

County Choctaw County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 186 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Red River at Arthur City (ARCT2).

Action stage: 25 ft
Minor stage: 27 ft
Moderate stage: 30 ft
Major stage: 33 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07335500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

486 
WGUS44 KTSA 260337
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
936 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-261136-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T0350Z-151229T2048Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T0350Z.151227T1800Z.151229T1448Z.NO/
936 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers
* from Saturday evening to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Friday, the stage was  6.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late Saturday evening and continue to rise to 
  near 34.9 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Tuesday morning. This forecast is based on
  forecast rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-261135-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151227T1723Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151227T1723Z.151228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Red River at Arthur City
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Friday, the stage was 10.38 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 32.0 
  feet by Monday morning. This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, expect severe flooding of pasturelands 
  between the mouth of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Some barns may
  experience minor flooding and farmsteads may be surrounded by high 
  water. High water will approach and may begin to affect Highway 271
  just north of the Red River bridge. This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

17 follow-up statements

313 
WGUS84 KTSA 260921
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
321 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-261721-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T0357Z-151229T2037Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T0357Z.151227T1800Z.151229T1437Z.NO/
321 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from this evening to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday, the stage was  6.12 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 34.9 feet by
  early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Tuesday morning. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a potentially dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-261720-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151227T1724Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151227T1724Z.151228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
321 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 10.28 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 32.0 
  feet Monday morning. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, expect severe flooding of pasturelands 
  between the mouth of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Some barns may
  experience minor flooding and farmsteads may be surrounded by high 
  water. High water will approach and may begin to affect Highway 271
  just north of the Red River bridge. This is a potentially dangerous 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

Lacy

776 
WGUS84 KTSA 261511
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
911 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-262311-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T0404Z-151229T1952Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T0404Z.151227T1800Z.151229T1352Z.NO/
911 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from this evening to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday, the stage was  6.08 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 34.8 feet by
  early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Tuesday morning.This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-262311-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151227T1719Z-151230T2015Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151227T1719Z.151228T1200Z.151230T1415Z.NO/
911 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 10.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 32.0 
  feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Wednesday morning.This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, expect severe flooding of pasturelands 
  between the mouth of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Some barns may
  experience minor flooding and farmsteads may be surrounded by high 
  water. High water will approach and may begin to affect Highway 271
  just north of the Red River bridge. This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

905 
WGUS84 KTSA 261929
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
129 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-270329-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T0952Z-151229T2224Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T0952Z.151227T1800Z.151229T1624Z.NO/
129 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:30 PM Saturday, the stage was  6.04 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Sunday morning and continue to rise to near
  34.7 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Tuesday morning.The river may crest higher or 
  lower depending on where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue 
  to monitor later updates to this forecast.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-270328-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151227T2115Z-151230T2015Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151227T2115Z.151228T1200Z.151230T1415Z.NO/
129 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from Sunday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 12:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 10.39 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Sunday afternoon and continue to rise to near 31.9 feet
  by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

573 
WGUS44 KTSA 270126
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
726 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015




  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  


  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-270926-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T1350Z-151229T2220Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T1350Z.151228T0000Z.151229T1620Z.NO/
726 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Kiamichi River near Antlers
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Saturday, the stage was  5.99 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 34.9 
  feet by Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-270926-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T0319Z-151230T1923Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T0319Z.151228T1800Z.151230T1323Z.NO/
726 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Red River at Arthur City
* from Sunday evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday, the stage was  9.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late Sunday evening and continue to rise to near 32.1 
  feet by early Monday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, expect severe flooding of pasturelands 
  between the mouth of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Some barns may
  experience minor flooding and farmsteads may be surrounded by high 
  water. High water will approach and may begin to affect Highway 271
  just north of the Red River bridge. This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

176 
WGUS84 KTSA 270127
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
727 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-270927-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T1350Z-151229T2220Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T1350Z.151228T0000Z.151229T1620Z.NO/
727 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Saturday, the stage was  5.99 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 34.9 
  feet by Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-270926-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T0319Z-151230T1923Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T0319Z.151228T1800Z.151230T1323Z.NO/
727 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from Sunday evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Saturday, the stage was  9.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late Sunday evening and continue to rise to near 32.1 
  feet by early Monday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, expect severe flooding of pasturelands 
  between the mouth of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Some barns may
  experience minor flooding and farmsteads may be surrounded by high 
  water. High water will approach and may begin to affect Highway 271
  just north of the Red River bridge. This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

239 
WGUS84 KTSA 270722
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
122 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-271522-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T2105Z-151229T1633Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T2105Z.151228T1200Z.151229T1033Z.NO/
122 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from this afternoon to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:30 AM Sunday, the stage was  5.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  34.7 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-271522-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T0621Z-151230T0738Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T0621Z.151228T1800Z.151230T0138Z.NO/
122 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from late tonight to late Tuesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:00 AM Sunday, the stage was  9.89 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Monday before dawn and continue to rise to near 31.8 
  feet by early Monday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

348 
WGUS84 KTSA 271433
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
833 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-272233-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.151227T2228Z-151229T1517Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.151227T2228Z.151228T1200Z.151229T0917Z.NO/
833 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* from this afternoon to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 11.20 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  34.0 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, widespread flooding occurs along the west 
  bank of the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Buildings on campgrounds 
  become flooded. This will exceed the flooding which occurred on 
  July 3, 2007 when the river crested at 34.51 feet. The City of 
  Antlers is not threatened directly by the Kiamichi flooding but 
  backwater flooding occurs along Beaver Creek closing Ethel Road. 
  This is a dangerous situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-272232-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T1200Z-151230T0142Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T1200Z.151229T0000Z.151229T1942Z.NO/
833 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from Monday morning to Tuesday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 10.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Monday morning and continue to rise to near 30.6 feet 
  by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

487 
WGUS84 KTSA 271917
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
117 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC023-280317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T1051Z-151230T1600Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T1051Z.151229T0000Z.151230T1000Z.NO/
117 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from late tonight to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 12.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Monday morning and continue to rise to near 30.7 
  feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

497 
WGUS84 KTSA 280141
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
741 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-280941-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151229T2141Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151228T1200Z.151229T1541Z.NO/
741 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 30.12 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 38.4 feet Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, numerous structures become flooded along the 
  west bank of Kiamichi River near Moyers. This will exceed the 
  flooding which occurred on April 8, 2002 when the river crested at 
  36.13 feet. The City of Antlers may see backwater flooding that 
  could close Ethel Road near Beaver Creek. This is an extremely 
  dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-280941-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T1031Z-151230T0030Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T1031Z.151229T0000Z.151229T1830Z.NO/
741 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from late tonight to Tuesday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 17.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Monday morning and continue to rise to near 30.6 
  feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

241 
WGUS84 KTSA 280744
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
144 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-281544-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151229T1736Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151228T1800Z.151229T1136Z.NR/
144 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Monday, the stage was 33.97 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 38.5 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, disasterous flooding occurs along the 
  Kiamichi River. Water floods the parking lot of a grocery store 
  near Moyers. Backwater flooding may cause Ethel Road near Beaver 
  Creek to be closed. This will approach the record flood event which
  occurred on May, 4 1990 when the Kiamichi River crested at 40.44 
  feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-281544-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.151228T1103Z-151230T0645Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T1103Z.151229T0000Z.151230T0045Z.NO/
144 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* from early this morning to late Tuesday night, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  1:00 AM Monday, the stage was 22.28 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early this morning and continue to rise to near 30.6 
  feet by this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

Lacy

717 
WGUS84 KTSA 281345
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
745 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-282145-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151229T2130Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151229T0000Z.151229T1530Z.NO/
745 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Monday, the stage was 36.21 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 38.3 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, numerous structures become flooded along the 
  west bank of Kiamichi River near Moyers. This will exceed the 
  flooding which occurred on April 8, 2002 when the river crested at 
  36.13 feet. The City of Antlers may see backwater flooding that 
  could close Ethel Road near Beaver Creek. This is an extremely 
  dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-282145-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T0846Z/
/ARCT2.2.ER.151228T1933Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0246Z.NO/
745 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Monday, the stage was 24.57 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 30.5 feet 
  by Tuesday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, expect moderate flooding of pastureland 
  between the mouth of Blue River and Pecan Point. Land areas may be 
  cut off by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

085 
WGUS84 KTSA 282032
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
232 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-290432-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151230T1800Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151229T0600Z.151230T1200Z.NR/
232 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Monday, the stage was 37.18 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 39.2 feet Tuesday late tonight. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, disasterous flooding occurs along the 
  Kiamichi River. Water floods the parking lot of a grocery store 
  near Moyers. Backwater flooding may cause Ethel Road near Beaver 
  Creek to be closed. This will approach the record flood event which
  occurred on May, 4 1990 when the Kiamichi River crested at 40.44 
  feet. At 37.0 feet, numerous structures become flooded along the 
  west bank of Kiamichi River near Moyers. This will exceed the flooding
  which occurred on April 8, 2002 when the river crested at 36.13 feet.
  The City of Antlers may see backwater flooding that could close Ethel
  Road near Beaver Creek. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-290432-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T1100Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151228T2214Z.151229T1200Z.151230T0500Z.NO/
232 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Monday, the stage was 25.90 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 29.3 
  feet by Tuesday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, expect extensive flooding between the mouth 
  of the Blue River and Pecan Point. Extensive areas become isolated 
  by high water in cutoff channels.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

228 
WGUS84 KTSA 290120
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
719 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-290919-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151230T1725Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151229T0600Z.151230T1125Z.NR/
719 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:30 PM Monday, the stage was 37.37 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 38.8 feet Tuesday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, disasterous flooding occurs along the 
  Kiamichi River. Water floods the parking lot of a grocery store 
  near Moyers. Backwater flooding may cause Ethel Road near Beaver 
  Creek to be closed. This will approach the record flood event which
  occurred on May, 4 1990 when the Kiamichi River crested at 40.44 
  feet. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-290919-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T1000Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151229T0302Z.151229T1800Z.151230T0400Z.NO/
719 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:00 PM Monday, the stage was 26.69 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City is expected to rise above 
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 28.0 feet by early
  Tuesday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  late Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, expect extensive flooding between the mouth 
  of the Blue River and Pecan Point.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

407 
WGUS84 KTSA 290701
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC023-291501-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T0720Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151229T0317Z.151229T1800Z.151230T0120Z.NO/
101 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:00 AM Tuesday, the stage was 27.29 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City will continue rising to 
  near 27.6 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, expect extensive flooding between the mouth 
  of the Blue River and Pecan Point.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

620 
WGUS84 KTSA 291340
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
740 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-292140-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151231T1403Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151229T0000Z.151231T0803Z.NO/
740 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Tuesday, the stage was 36.40 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers will continue rising to 
  near 36.7 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Thursday before dawn .
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, numerous structures become flooded along the 
  west bank of Kiamichi River near Moyers. This will exceed the 
  flooding which occurred on April 8, 2002 when the river crested at 
  36.13 feet. The City of Antlers may see backwater flooding that 
  could close Ethel Road near Beaver Creek. This is an extremely 
  dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-292140-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T0720Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151229T0317Z.151229T1230Z.151230T0120Z.NO/
740 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday, the stage was 27.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, expect extensive flooding between the mouth 
  of the Blue River and Pecan Point.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

134 
WGUS84 KTSA 292008
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
208 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC127-300408-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-151231T1604Z/
/ANTO2.3.ER.151227T2050Z.151229T0000Z.151231T1004Z.NO/
208 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 35.96 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is slowly falling but will
  rise again this evening and crest near 36.7 feet Wednesday before dawn.
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, numerous structures become flooded along the 
  west bank of Kiamichi River near Moyers. This will exceed the 
  flooding which occurred on April 8, 2002 when the river crested at 
  36.13 feet. The City of Antlers may see backwater flooding that 
  could close Ethel Road near Beaver Creek. This is an extremely 
  dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

OKC023-300407-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T0630Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151229T0317Z.151229T1400Z.151230T0030Z.NO/
208 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 27.39 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City will continue falling to 
  below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, expect minor flooding between the mouth of 
  the Blue River and Pecan Point.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

042 
WGUS84 KTSA 300136
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
736 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County. 
  
OKC023-300206-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151230T0630Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.151229T0317Z.151229T1400Z.151229T2315Z.NO/
736 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Red River at Arthur City.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 26.79 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Forecast...The Red River at Arthur City will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, expect minor flooding between the mouth of 
  the Blue River and Pecan Point.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3396 9584 3383 9577 3384 9526 3397 9510 3399 9545

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 25, 5:07 PM CST, 4 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 5:07 PM CST, 4 hours 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
507 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
For the 0Z TAFs, VFR conditions with high clouds will deteriorate
over the next couple of hours. Low clouds will bring prevailing
MVFR ceilings to all sites for the remainder of the overnight
hours. Widespread TSRA and IFR conditions will overspread the
region tomorrow during the day.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
After a nice Christmas Day, with record high temperatures at
McAlester, the weather will go downhill starting later tonight.
The much advertised heavy rainfall event will begin to unfold late
tonight as elevated convection begins to develop across the area.
Precipitation coverage and intensity will increase during the day
Saturday as a cold front moves into the area from the west. This
front will sag slowly southeast across the area Saturday afternoon
and night with the heaviest rainfall focusing near and just behind
the shallow surface frontal boundary. The heaviest rainfall
amounts still look to occur from southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas, but the latest trends also shift heavy rainfall amounts
farther to the northwest. Thus will expand the flash flood watch
to include all but the far northwest part of our forecast area. At
this time, it appears temperatures will remain above freezing
through Sunday in our entire forecast area, but it may be a close
call in western and northern Osage County.

The strong upper low will eject rapidly northeast across our area
later Sunday night and Monday morning. Temperatures aloft will
cool rapidly as this occurs, which may lead to a mix with or
change over to snow in some places despite marginal surface
temperatures. However, a strong dry slot is also likely to
develop, which may greatly limit snowfall coverage and/or
intensity, and in fact may result in drizzle instead of snow,
especially once the low departs during the day Monday. Given the
uncertainty, have kept snow amounts quite light in our area.

Once this system departs, an extended period of below normal
temperatures will follow for the rest of next week. Another upper
level system will sweep across the area late Tuesday night and
Wednesday and may result in some light snow although low level
moisture will be limited. Temperatures may be warm enough in the
southern part of the forecast area for mainly light rain or a
rain/snow mix with this system. Any snow accumulations should be
on the light side.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures through Saturday, with the
temperature forecast Saturday night through Sunday night based
strongly on the NAM12 temperatures, as that model handles shallow
cold air the best.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch from midnight CST tonight through late Sunday
     night for OKZ049-053-055>058-060>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch from midnight CST tonight through late Sunday
     night for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION...06

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 5:55 PM CST, 3 hours 41 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
555 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261200-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
555 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...MAJOR RIVER FLOODING...POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND POTENTIAL
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
	RISK...ELEVATED
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST WAVE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS STAND THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE THRESHOLDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
*THE POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUS AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH
 FLOODING AND MAJOR OR RECORD RIVER FLOODING EXISTS THIS WEEKEND
 INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.*

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL... WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM
5 TO 10 INCHES...IS FORECAST FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-44
THROUGH NOON MONDAY. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A WIDESPREAD AREA...
IN COMBINATION WITH CURRENTLY SATURATED SOILS WILL LEAD TO MAXIMUM
RAINFALL RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL  FOR  FLASH FLOODING. THE RUNOFF
WILL LEAD TO  MAJOR FLOODING ON A NUMBER OF RIVERS & THE POTENTIAL
FOR RECORD FLOODING ON A FEW RIVERS.

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES TO ELEVATED LEVELS SATURDAY FOR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.  ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...INCLUDING A RISK OF TORNADOES.

THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTER WEATHER APPEARS LESS LIKELY THAN EARLIER
FORECASTS INDICATED SINCE THE STORM SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE RAPIDLY
NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE WILL STILL BE JUST A SMALL
THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER FOR OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES MONDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THIS WILL BE A IS A HIGH END FLOOD EVENT.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO BE MINDFUL OF THE
FLOOD THREAT OVER THE WEEKEND.

MOST RIVERS / STREAMS WILL FLOOD... SOME STREAMS AND A FEW RIVERS
TO HISTORIC LEVELS.  WATER RESCUES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 25, 9:04 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	9 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	5 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Ottawa	6 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair	4 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	5 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	64 hr
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	64 hr
Dec 25, 9:36 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	6 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	8 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	9 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	10 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Muskogee	6 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Creek	4 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	56 hr
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Tulsa	4 days
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	4 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Washington	3 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	5 days
Dec 26, 1:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	42 min
Dec 26, 2:34 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage	52 hr
Dec 26, 2:41 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	49 min
Dec 26, 3:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	42 min
Dec 26, 3:13 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	47 min
Dec 26, 3:15 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	45 min
Dec 26, 3:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	33 min
Dec 26, 3:47 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes, Rogers	43 min
Dec 26, 3:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Rogers	46 min
Dec 26, 4:06 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg	39 min
Dec 26, 4:08 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes and 11 more	12 hr
Dec 26, 4:49 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner	41 min
Dec 26, 4:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	39 min
Dec 26, 4:57 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	33 min
Dec 26, 5:10 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	6 hr
Dec 26, 5:24 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee	51 min
Dec 26, 5:30 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	45 min
Dec 26, 5:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	48 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.