Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 115, NWS Tulsa, OK

December 25, 2015Crawford County, Arkansas; Sequoyah County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Dec 25, 2015, 10:40 PM CST for Crawford County, Arkansas; Sequoyah County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Dec 26, 2015, 8:48 PM CST. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 25, 2015, 10:40 PM CST (04:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 26, 2015, 8:48 PM CST
Expired
Jan 2, 2016, 1:21 PM CST
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Major

Counties Crawford County, AR, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Lee Creek near Van Buren LCR (VBRA4). The gauge peaked at 26.99 ft at Dec 28, 2015, 3:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderatemajor10020030040012/2612/2712/2812/2912/3012/3101/0101/0201/03
Action stage
399 ft
Minor stage
401 ft
Moderate stage
404 ft
Major stage
405 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07250085, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

096 
WGUS44 KTSA 260441
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1040 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Mulberry River near Mulberry affecting Crawford and Franklin 
  Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-261240-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0113.151227T0202Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T0202Z.151228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1040 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren
* from Saturday evening until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Friday, the stage was 19.76 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Saturday evening and continue to rise to near 
  31.8 feet by Monday before dawn. This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs to industrial 
  businesses in the floodplain around Fort Smith. Flooding occurs in 
  Moffett, Oklahoma. Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks 
  near Lee Creek. Some residential subdivisions in the floodplain 
  around Fort Smith begin to flood. This is an extremely dangerous 
  and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-261240-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0114.151227T0652Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151227T0652Z.151228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1040 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Friday, the stage was 344.6 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Sunday before dawn and continue to rise to near 370.6 feet by 
  early Monday afternoon.This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 288 
  northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater up Six
  Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into Franklin 
  County. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-261240-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T0248Z-151229T0500Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T0248Z.151227T1200Z.151228T2300Z.UU/
1040 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren
* from Saturday evening to Monday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:38 AM Friday, the stage was 392.6 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Saturday evening and continue to rise to near 407.5 feet by Sunday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
  This forecast is based on forecast rainfall. The river may crest
  higher or lower depending on where exactly the heaviest rainfall 
  occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on 
  April 24, 2004. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$

ARC033-047-261240-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0116.151227T1000Z-151228T1304Z/
/MLBA4.2.ER.151227T1000Z.151227T1800Z.151228T0704Z.NO/
1040 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Mulberry River near Mulberry
* from late Saturday night to Monday morning, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:30 PM Friday, the stage was  2.54 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Mulberry River near Mulberry is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Sunday morning and continue to rise to near
  21.4 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Monday before dawn. This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, much of the low lying ground along the 
  Mulberry River within the Arkansas River Valley will be impacted. 
  County roads near the river may be inundated. The river is very 
  swift. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$
31 follow-up statements
045 
WGUS84 KTSA 260856
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Mulberry River near Mulberry affecting Crawford and Franklin 
  Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
ARC033-131-261655-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0113.151227T0157Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T0157Z.151228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* from this evening until further notice.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 19.90 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 31.8 
  feet Monday before dawn. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs to industrial 
  businesses in the floodplain around Fort Smith. Flooding occurs in 
  Moffett, Oklahoma. Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks 
  near Lee Creek. Some residential subdivisions in the floodplain 
  around Fort Smith begin to flood. This is potentially dangerous 
  and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-261655-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.151227T0647Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151227T0647Z.151228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 344.9 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Sunday before dawn and continue to rise to near 370.6 feet by early
  Monday afternoon. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is a potentially dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-261655-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T0308Z-151229T0632Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T0308Z.151227T1200Z.151229T0032Z.UU/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from this evening to late Monday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:38 AM Friday, the stage was 392.6 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  tonight and continue to rise to near 407.5 feet by Sunday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening. 
  This forecast is based entirely on forecast rainfall. The river 
  may crest higher or lower depending on where the heaviest rainfall 
  occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to the forecast.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on 
  April 24, 2004. This is a potentially dangerous and life-threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$

OKC079-261654-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.151227T0300Z-151229T1607Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T0300Z.151228T0600Z.151229T1007Z.NO/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* from this evening to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:45 AM Saturday, the stage was 17.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau is expected to rise above 
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 33.0 feet by 
  Monday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, extremely severe flooding affects pasture 
  lands and county roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of 
  Brazil Creek. The access road to the Robert S Kerr airport may be 
  flooded. This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-261654-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.151226T2248Z-000000T0000Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151226T2248Z.151228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* from this afternoon until further notice.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 22.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 45.0 
  feet Monday before dawn. This forecast is based entirely on forecast
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on where
  the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, very severe agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Numerous county roads are totally impassable. A water treatment 
  facility near Panama is surrounded by high water. This exceeds the 
  flooding that occurred on May 12, 2015 when the river crested at 
  43.5 feet. This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$

ARC033-047-261654-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0116.151227T0955Z-151228T1300Z/
/MLBA4.2.ER.151227T0955Z.151227T1800Z.151228T0700Z.NO/
255 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mulberry River near Mulberry.
* from late tonight to Monday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday, the stage was  2.46 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Mulberry River near Mulberry is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Sunday morning and continue to rise to near
  21.4 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Monday before dawn. This forecast is based entirely 
  on forecast rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on 
  where the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to
  the forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, much of the low lying ground along the 
  Mulberry River within the Arkansas River Valley will be impacted. 
  County roads near the river may be inundated. The river is very 
  swift. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$

Lacy
963 
WGUS84 KTSA 261507
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
907 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-262307-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T0501Z-151230T1732Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T0501Z.151228T1200Z.151230T1132Z.UU/
907 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:41 AM Saturday, the stage was 393.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  tonight and continue to rise to near 419.1 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.This forecast is based on forecast 
  rainfall. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast. 

$$
774 
WGUS84 KTSA 261951
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
151 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Mulberry River near Mulberry affecting Crawford and Franklin 
  Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-270351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0113.151227T0839Z-151231T0800Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T0839Z.151228T0600Z.151231T0200Z.NO/
151 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* from late tonight to late Wednesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 19.73 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren is expected to rise 
  above flood stage Sunday before dawn and continue to rise to near 
  31.9 feet by Monday before dawn . The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday evening.The river may crest higher or
  lower depending on where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue 
  to monitor later updates to this forecast.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs to industrial 
  businesses in the floodplain around Fort Smith. Flooding occurs in 
  Moffett, Oklahoma. Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks 
  near Lee Creek. Some residential subdivisions in the floodplain 
  around Fort Smith begin to flood. This is an extremely dangerous 
  and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-270351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.151227T1508Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151227T1508Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
151 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* from Sunday morning until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 346.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 371.1 feet by early 
  Monday afternoon.The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-270351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T0942Z-151230T1229Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T0942Z.151228T1200Z.151230T0629Z.UU/
151 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from late tonight to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:41 AM Saturday, the stage was 393.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by early
  Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 419.0 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday before 
  dawn. The river may crest higher or lower depending on
  where exactly the heaviest rainfall occurs. Continue to monitor 
  later updates to this forecast.


$$

ARC033-047-270351-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0116.151227T1912Z-151228T2240Z/
/MLBA4.2.ER.151227T1912Z.151228T0600Z.151228T1640Z.NO/
151 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mulberry River near Mulberry.
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was  2.57 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Mulberry River near Mulberry is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Sunday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 21.3 feet by Monday before dawn . The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage late Monday morning. The river may crest
  higher or lower depending on where exactly the heaviest rainfall 
  occurs. Continue to monitor later updates to this forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, much of the low lying ground along the 
  Mulberry River within the Arkansas River Valley will be impacted. 
  County roads near the river may be inundated. The river is very 
  swift. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$
140 
WGUS84 KTSA 270229
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
829 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-271029-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T1222Z-151230T1110Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1222Z.151228T1200Z.151230T0510Z.UU/
829 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from Sunday morning to late Tuesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  5:01 PM Saturday, the stage was 392.5 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Sunday morning and continue to rise to near 417.2 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impacts...At 414 feet...residences approximately one quarter mile
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.
  Resdinces approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The recreational
  campground near Renda Road is severly flooded. Renda Road is
  inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and potentially
  life threating situation.


$$
561 
WGUS84 KTSA 270708
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
108 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-271508-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T1716Z-151230T1011Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1716Z.151228T1200Z.151230T0411Z.UU/
108 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and potentially life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from this morning to late Tuesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:02 PM Saturday, the stage was 392.2 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  this morning and continue to rise to near 415.5 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  potentially life-threatening situation.

$$
942 
WGUS84 KTSA 271438
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Mulberry River near Mulberry affecting Crawford and Franklin 
  Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
ARC033-131-272238-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0113.151227T1818Z-151231T1330Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1818Z.151229T0000Z.151231T0730Z.NO/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* from this afternoon to Thursday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 20.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise to near 32.1 
  feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Thursday before dawn .
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, damaging flooding occurs along the Arkansas 
  River floodplain from Moffett, Oklahoma downstream to Lock and Dam 
  13. The port of Fort Smith and nearby businesses are flooded. 
  Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks next to Lee Creek. 
  Some residential subdivisions around Fort Smith are flooded. This 
  is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-272238-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.151228T0114Z-160101T0216Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0114Z.151229T0600Z.151231T2016Z.NO/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* from this evening to Thursday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 349.7 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this 
  evening and continue to rise to near 371.3 feet by Tuesday before 
  dawn .The river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-272238-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.151227T1800Z-151230T1034Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1800Z.151228T1200Z.151230T0434Z.UU/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* from this afternoon to late Tuesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  6:24 AM Sunday, the stage was 396.9 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 415.7 feet by Monday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.

$$

OKC079-272237-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.151227T2126Z-151229T2117Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T2126Z.151228T1800Z.151229T1517Z.NO/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* from this afternoon to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:01 AM Sunday, the stage was 14.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 32.4 
  feet by early Monday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, extremely severe flooding affects pasture 
  lands and county roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of 
  Brazil Creek. The access road to the Robert S Kerr airport may be 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-272237-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-160101T0153Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151227T1556Z.151229T0000Z.151231T1953Z.NO/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 25.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 45.5 
  feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Thursday afternoon.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$

ARC033-047-272237-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0116.151228T0102Z-151229T0017Z/
/MLBA4.2.ER.151228T0102Z.151228T1200Z.151228T1817Z.NO/
838 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mulberry River near Mulberry.
* from this evening to Monday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was  9.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Mulberry River near Mulberry is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 20.5 
  feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, numerous county roads and bridges are 
  inundated and possibly damaged by swift currents.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$
044 
WGUS84 KTSA 272030
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
230 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-280430-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T1141Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T1200Z.151230T0541Z.UU/
230 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 404.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 416.8 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  evening.

$$
380 
WGUS84 KTSA 280310
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
910 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-281110-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T0224Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0600Z.151229T2024Z.UU/
910 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Tuesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 414.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 415.5 feet by 
  Monday before dawn. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.

$$
695 
WGUS84 KTSA 280840
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Mulberry River near Mulberry affecting Crawford and Franklin 
  Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
ARC033-131-281640-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-160101T0224Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151228T1800Z.151231T2024Z.NO/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Monday, the stage was 30.81 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to 
  near 32.8 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, damaging flooding occurs along the Arkansas 
  River floodplain from Moffett, Oklahoma downstream to Lock and Dam 
  13. The port of Fort Smith and nearby businesses are flooded. 
  Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks next to Lee Creek. 
  Some residential subdivisions around Fort Smith are flooded. This 
  is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-281639-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-160101T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T1200Z.151231T1800Z.NO/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Monday, the stage was 358.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 370.5 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-281639-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151229T2012Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T1200Z.151229T1412Z.UU/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:34 AM Monday, the stage was 417.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 418.5 feet by 
  this morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...Devastating flooding occurs downstream from the Lee
  Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The recreational
  campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena Road is
  inundated by high water. This is an extremely dangerous and life
  threatening situation.


$$

OKC079-281639-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T1854Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until further notice.
* At  2:01 AM Monday, the stage was 31.14 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue rising to 
  near 33.0 feet this afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, extremely severe flooding affects pasture 
  lands and county roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of 
  Brazil Creek. The access road to the Robert S Kerr airport may be 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-281639-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151227T1815Z.151229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until further notice.
* At  1:30 AM Monday, the stage was 39.55 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 45.2 feet this evening then begin falling.
* Impact...Very severe agricultural flooding occurs. Numerous county
  roads are totally impassable. A water treatment facility near 
  Panama is surrounded by high water. This is an extrememly
  dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$

ARC033-047-281639-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-151228T2036Z/
/MLBA4.1.ER.151228T0811Z.151228T1200Z.151228T1436Z.NO/
240 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mulberry River near Mulberry.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Monday, the stage was 17.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Mulberry River near Mulberry is expected to rise 
  above flood stage before dawn and continue to rise to near 19.0 
  feet by this morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage this morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, numerous county roads and bridges are 
  inundated and possibly damaged by swift currents.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$

Lacy
085 
WGUS84 KTSA 281416
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
816 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-282216-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T0124Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.151229T1924Z.UU/
816 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Tuesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:37 AM Monday, the stage was 415.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.

$$
058 
WGUS84 KTSA 281420
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-282220-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday, the stage was 32.70 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to 
  near 33.0 feet this afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, damaging flooding occurs along the Arkansas 
  River floodplain from Moffett, Oklahoma downstream to Lock and Dam 
  13. The port of Fort Smith and nearby businesses are flooded. 
  Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks next to Lee Creek. 
  Some residential subdivisions around Fort Smith are flooded. This 
  is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-282219-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
820 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Monday, the stage was 363.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 370.5 feet by 
  this evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-282219-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T0124Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.151229T1924Z.UU/
820 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Tuesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:37 AM Monday, the stage was 415.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir begin to be impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.

$$
194 
WGUS84 KTSA 282016
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
216 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-290416-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151229T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
216 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Monday, the stage was 33.44 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue slowly 
  rising to near 33.7 feet late tonight. The river will remain
  nearly steady overnight and then begin falling during the morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, damaging flooding occurs along the Arkansas 
  River floodplain from Moffett, Oklahoma downstream to Lock and Dam 
  13. The port of Fort Smith and nearby businesses are flooded. 
  Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks next to Lee Creek. 
  Some residential subdivisions around Fort Smith are flooded. This 
  is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-290415-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-160102T0742Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T0000Z.160102T0142Z.NO/
216 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Monday, the stage was 367.9 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam will continue
  rising to 368.4 feet this evening and then remain nearly steady 
  through late tonight. The river will then slowly begin to fall.
* Impact...At 367.0 feet, Highways 309 and 288 northwest of Paris in 
  Logan County are inundated by backwater up Six Mile Creek. 
  Backwater flooding spreads westward into Franklin County at higher 
  stages. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-290415-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151231T0129Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.151230T1929Z.UU/
216 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:35 AM Monday, the stage was 412.3 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below 405 feet by 
  noon Tuesday and below flood stage by early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir are impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$

ARC033-047-290415-
/O.ROU.KTSA.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLBA4.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
216 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

Forecast information for
  Mulberry River near Mulberry.
* At  1:30 PM Monday, the stage was 14.29 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested early this morning just below
  flood stage and will continue to fall.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, no flooding occurs but the river remains
  swift and dangerous. Backwater from the Arkansas River may affect 
  low lying areas near the first few miles of the Mulberry River.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3545 9406 3561 9404 3562 9394 3557 9400 3546 9403

$$
246 
WGUS84 KTSA 290202
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
802 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-291002-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T0417Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.151229T2217Z.UU/
802 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Tuesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:19 PM Monday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below 405 feet by
  Tuesday morning and below flood stage by late Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 414.0 feet...major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. Residences approximately one quarter mile 
  downstream of the reservoir are impacted by flood water.  
  Residences approximately two-thirds of a mile downstream of the 
  reservoir are inundated to a depth of several feet. The 
  recreational campground near Rena Road is severely flooded. Rena 
  Road is inundated by high water. This is a dangerous and 
  life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
497 
WGUS84 KTSA 290751
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
151 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-291551-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-151230T0400Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.151229T2200Z.UU/
151 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:19 PM Monday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet...major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
001 
WGUS84 KTSA 291504
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
904 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-292304-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T1200Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T0600Z.UU/
904 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and the river is nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will begin to slowly fall this afternoon and
  is forecast to fall below flood stage by Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the Lee
  Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is severely
  flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several residences along
  Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are flooded. This is a 
  dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
043 
WGUS84 KTSA 292012
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
212 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-300412-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T2229Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T1629Z.UU/
212 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:04 PM Tuesday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and the river is nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain nearly steady and then slowly
  begin to fall by early Wednesday morning. The river is expected to
  fall below 405 feet late Thursday evening and continue falling to
  below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
750 
WGUS84 KTSA 300220
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-301020-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T2100Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T1500Z.UU/
820 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:52 PM Tuesday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain nearly steady and then slowly
  begin to fall by early Wednesday morning. The river is expected to
  fall below 405 feet by Thursday night and continue falling
  to below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
811 
WGUS84 KTSA 300725
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
125 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-301525-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T1245Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T0645Z.UU/
125 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:57 PM Tuesday, the stage was 410.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will begin to fall this morning to  
  near 408 feet by Thursday morning. The river is expected to 
  continue falling to below flood stage by Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
350 
WGUS84 KTSA 301406
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
806 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-302206-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T0959Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160104T0359Z.UU/
806 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:38 AM Wednesday, the stage was 410.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
879 
WGUS84 KTSA 302017
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
217 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-310417-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160103T1629Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160103T1029Z.UU/
217 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:38 AM Wednesday, the stage was 410.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
583 
WGUS84 KTSA 310844
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
244 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-311644-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160103T2000Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160103T1400Z.UU/
244 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:37 PM Wednesday, the stage was 410.9 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall to near 407 feet
  Friday morning. The river is expected to continue falling to below 
  flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
719 
WGUS84 KTSA 311331
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
731 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-312131-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160103T2100Z.UU/
731 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:09 AM Thursday, the stage was 410.6 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below 404 feet Friday
  night and to below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
289 
WGUS84 KTSA 311936
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
136 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
OKC101-010336-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-160101T1330Z/
/MKGO2.3.ER.151227T1457Z.151229T2345Z.160101T0730Z.NO/
136 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 29.96 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue falling 
  to below flood stage by Friday before dawn.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, a boating marina north of OG&E power plant is
  flooded. Some agricultural lands are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9537 3559 9532 3547 9515 3552 9507 3583 9520

$$

ARC033-131-010336-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151231T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
136 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 34.17 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue to slowly 
  fall and is expected to fall below 31 feet by Friday evening. The
  river will then fall to near 23.5 feet by Tuesday morning, which
  is still above flood stage.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, very damaging flooding occurs along the 
  Arkansas River floodplain. The port of Fort Smith and nearby 
  businesses are severely flooded. Several residential subdivisions 
  around Fort Smith are flooded. Backwater flooding occurs in the 
  trailer parks next to Lee Creek. This is an extremely dangerous
  and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-010336-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
136 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 368.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and the river is nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested by will only very slowly fall
  through Friday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below
  365 feet by Saturday evening and be near 358 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 367.0 feet, Highways 309 and 288 northwest of Paris 
  in Logan County are inundated by backwater up Six Mile Creek. 
  Backwater flooding spreads westward into Franklin County at higher
  stages. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-010336-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
136 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 410.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and the river is very slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall and be near a
  stage of 405 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall to near
  401.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
860 
WGUS84 KTSA 010147
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
747 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-010947-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
747 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 410.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall and be near a
  stage of 405 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall to near
  401.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
838 
WGUS84 KTSA 010812
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
212 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-011612-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
212 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 410.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and the river is very slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall and be near a
  stage of 405 feet by Saturday evening.  The river will fall to 
  near 401.5 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 411.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
155 
WGUS84 KTSA 011533
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-012333-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151231T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Friday, the stage was 31.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding continues but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  a stage of 28.4 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, damaging flooding occurs along the Arkansas 
  River floodplain from Moffett, Oklahoma downstream to Lock and Dam 
  13. The port of Fort Smith and nearby businesses are flooded. 
  Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks next to Lee Creek. 
  Some residential subdivisions around Fort Smith are flooded. This 
  is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-012333-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Friday, the stage was 368.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and will continue.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue near 368 feet through 
  this afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 370.0 feet, this is the highest stage experienced since 
  the completion of the navigation system in 1969. Highways 309 and 
  288 northwest of Paris in Logan County are inundated by backwater 
  up Six Mile Creek. Backwater flooding spreads westward into 
  Franklin County. This is an extremely dangerous and life 
  threatening situation. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-012333-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T1200Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160104T0600Z.UU/
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:13 AM Friday, the stage was 407.9 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring...but water levels are slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Monday before dawn .
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on 
  April 24, 2004. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$

OKC079-012333-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-160104T1700Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T1854Z.151228T1216Z.160104T1100Z.NO/
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:01 AM Friday, the stage was 27.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe valley flooding affects croplands and 
  county roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil Creek.
  Old Highway 112 may become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-012333-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-160105T1600Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151227T1815Z.151229T0621Z.160105T1000Z.NO/
933 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday, the stage was 37.51 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, extensive flooding of crop and pasturelands 
  occur between Shady Point and Arkoma. Many roads in the floodplain 
  become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$
846 
WGUS84 KTSA 011958
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
157 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-020357-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T2100Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160104T1500Z.UU/
157 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:51 PM Friday, the stage was 406.5 feet.
* Major flooding will continue as the creek slowly falls.  
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on 
  April 24, 2004. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
925 
WGUS84 KTSA 020133
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
733 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-020933-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151231T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
733 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Friday, the stage was 30.06 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  below 26 feet on Sunday and to near 24 feet on Tuesday.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs to industrial 
  businesses in the floodplain around Fort Smith. Flooding occurs in 
  Moffett, Oklahoma. Backwater flooding occurs in the trailer parks 
  near Lee Creek. Some residential subdivisions in the floodplain 
  around Fort Smith begin to flood. This is an extremely dangerous 
  and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-020932-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
733 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Friday, the stage was 366.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall to below 365 feet
  early Sunday morning and to below 363 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 367.0 feet, Highways 309 and 288 northwest of Paris in 
  Logan County are inundated by backwater up Six Mile Creek. 
  Backwater flooding spreads westward into Franklin County at higher 
  stages. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening 
  situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

ARC033-OKC135-020932-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T2100Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160104T1500Z.UU/
733 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:51 PM Friday, the stage was 406.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
804 
WGUS84 KTSA 020740
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
140 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
ARC033-OKC135-021540-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160104T0730Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160104T0130Z.UU/
140 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:51 PM Friday, the stage was 406.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring but the river is slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the 
  Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is 
  severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several 
  residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are 
  flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on 
  April 24, 2004. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
035 
WGUS84 KTSA 021512
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
912 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-022312-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-160104T0224Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T1854Z.151228T1216Z.160103T2024Z.NO/
912 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday, the stage was 26.21 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate valley flooding affects croplands 
  and farm roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil 
  Creek.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-022311-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-160105T1200Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151227T1815Z.151229T0621Z.160105T0600Z.NO/
912 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 35.37 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Tuesday before dawn.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$

ARC033-OKC135-022311-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T2337Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T1737Z.UU/
912 AM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until this afternoon.
* At  7:33 AM Saturday, the stage was 402.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  later today.
* Impact...At 402.0 feet, the access road into Tailwater Park may be 
  impassable due to high water. The recreational vehicle campground 
  near Rena Road is affected by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$
422 
WGUS84 KTSA 021921
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-030321-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.151227T1707Z.151231T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 26.21 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  a stage of 25.1 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, extensive lowland flooding occurs from the 
  I-540 bridge downstream to Vache Grasse Creek. Sand and gravel 
  companies and marine terminals in the floodplain along the river 
  should take precautions. The lowest seating rows of the 
  amphitheater at Kelley Park may be covered by high water.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9454 3531 9454 3531 9422 3539 9422 3549 9439

$$

ARC047-071-083-030320-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OZGA4.3.ER.151228T0404Z.151229T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 364.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding will continue into this evening as the river continues to fall.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to a stage of 363.3 feet
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 365.0 feet, County Roads 228 and 4 south of Coal Hill in
  Johnson County are inundated. Roads northeast of Scranton in Logan 
  County are inundated by backwater up Cane Creek. This is an 
  extremely dangerous and life threatening situation.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

OKC079-030320-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-160104T0051Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.151227T1854Z.151228T1216Z.160103T1851Z.NO/
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:45 PM Saturday, the stage was 25.89 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate valley flooding affects croplands 
  and farm roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil 
  Creek.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$

OKC079-030320-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-160105T1124Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.151227T1815Z.151229T0621Z.160105T0524Z.NO/
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 34.97 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$

ARC033-OKC135-021951-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160102T2337Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.151227T1525Z.151228T0926Z.160102T1841Z.UU/
121 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* At  1:10 PM Saturday, the stage was 400.9 feet.
* The creek fell below flood stage at 12:41 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will continue falling to 398.6 feet by Sunday 
  morning.  This will be the last statement issued for this flood event.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3554 9452 3542 9442 3542 9437 3554 9437

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 25, 9:54 PM CST, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 9:54 PM CST, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
954 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...
00Z upper air and satellite water vapor shows long
wave west of Rockies still in organizational phase
while dropping southeast.   Plume Pacific moisture
channeled our way via  100+ upper jet also evident
in water vapor image.

Expect  precipitation  to rapidly break out during
the six hour 09z-15z period..then continue raining
through the rest of the weekend into Sunday night.
Each  GFS  ECMWF  model run  since LAST Friday has
signaled an  unusually significant flood event for
this weekend.   Now it begins between 09z and 15z.
Be ready.                                       GW

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 507 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
For the 0Z TAFs, VFR conditions with high clouds will deteriorate
over the next couple of hours. Low clouds will bring prevailing
MVFR ceilings to all sites for the remainder of the overnight
hours. Widespread TSRA and IFR conditions will overspread the
region tomorrow during the day.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
After a nice Christmas Day, with record high temperatures at
McAlester, the weather will go downhill starting later tonight.
The much advertised heavy rainfall event will begin to unfold late
tonight as elevated convection begins to develop across the area.
Precipitation coverage and intensity will increase during the day
Saturday as a cold front moves into the area from the west. This
front will sag slowly southeast across the area Saturday afternoon
and night with the heaviest rainfall focusing near and just behind
the shallow surface frontal boundary. The heaviest rainfall
amounts still look to occur from southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas, but the latest trends also shift heavy rainfall amounts
farther to the northwest. Thus will expand the flash flood watch
to include all but the far northwest part of our forecast area. At
this time, it appears temperatures will remain above freezing
through Sunday in our entire forecast area, but it may be a close
call in western and northern Osage County.

The strong upper low will eject rapidly northeast across our area
later Sunday night and Monday morning. Temperatures aloft will
cool rapidly as this occurs, which may lead to a mix with or
change over to snow in some places despite marginal surface
temperatures. However, a strong dry slot is also likely to
develop, which may greatly limit snowfall coverage and/or
intensity, and in fact may result in drizzle instead of snow,
especially once the low departs during the day Monday. Given the
uncertainty, have kept snow amounts quite light in our area.

Once this system departs, an extended period of below normal
temperatures will follow for the rest of next week. Another upper
level system will sweep across the area late Tuesday night and
Wednesday and may result in some light snow although low level
moisture will be limited. Temperatures may be warm enough in the
southern part of the forecast area for mainly light rain or a
rain/snow mix with this system. Any snow accumulations should be
on the light side.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures through Saturday, with the
temperature forecast Saturday night through Sunday night based
strongly on the NAM12 temperatures, as that model handles shallow
cold air the best.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch from midnight CST tonight through late Sunday
     night for OKZ049-053-055>058-060>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch from midnight CST tonight through late Sunday
     night for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   52  63  37  39 /  50 100 100 100
FSM   52  71  58  60 /  60 100 100 100
MLC   58  71  44  46 /  60 100 100  90
BVO   48  61  36  38 /  40 100 100 100
FYV   50  68  46  48 /  60 100 100 100
BYV   47  68  43  45 /  50 100 100 100
MKO   52  68  43  45 /  50 100 100 100
MIO   48  63  38  40 /  50 100 100 100
F10   55  67  39  41 /  50 100 100  90
HHW   58  74  58  60 /  70  80 100 100

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through late Sunday night for OKZ049-053-
     055>058-060>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through late Sunday night for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 5:55 PM CST, 4 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
555 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261200-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
555 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...MAJOR RIVER FLOODING...POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING AND POTENTIAL
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
	RISK...ELEVATED
    AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST WAVE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS STAND THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE THRESHOLDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
*THE POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUS AND POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH
 FLOODING AND MAJOR OR RECORD RIVER FLOODING EXISTS THIS WEEKEND
 INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.*

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL... WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM
5 TO 10 INCHES...IS FORECAST FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-44
THROUGH NOON MONDAY. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A WIDESPREAD AREA...
IN COMBINATION WITH CURRENTLY SATURATED SOILS WILL LEAD TO MAXIMUM
RAINFALL RUNOFF AND THE POTENTIAL  FOR  FLASH FLOODING. THE RUNOFF
WILL LEAD TO  MAJOR FLOODING ON A NUMBER OF RIVERS & THE POTENTIAL
FOR RECORD FLOODING ON A FEW RIVERS.

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES TO ELEVATED LEVELS SATURDAY FOR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.  ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...INCLUDING A RISK OF TORNADOES.

THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTER WEATHER APPEARS LESS LIKELY THAN EARLIER
FORECASTS INDICATED SINCE THE STORM SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE RAPIDLY
NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE WILL STILL BE JUST A SMALL
THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER FOR OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES MONDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THIS WILL BE A IS A HIGH END FLOOD EVENT.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO BE MINDFUL OF THE
FLOOD THREAT OVER THE WEEKEND.

MOST RIVERS / STREAMS WILL FLOOD... SOME STREAMS AND A FEW RIVERS
TO HISTORIC LEVELS.  WATER RESCUES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian10 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAFranklin, Johnson, Logan10 days
Dec 25, 10:40 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin58 hr
Dec 25, 10:55 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACarroll64 hr
Dec 26, 12:40 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSASebastian50 min
Dec 26, 1:42 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAFranklin, Madison48 min
Dec 26, 3:38 PM CSTTornado WarningTSABenton37 min
Dec 26, 4:08 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningTSABenton12 hr
Dec 26, 5:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton29 min
Dec 26, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton48 min
Dec 25, 9:04 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAOkmulgee9 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa5 days
Dec 25, 9:08 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa6 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAAdair4 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee5 days
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee, Delaware64 hr
Dec 25, 9:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee64 hr
Dec 25, 9:36 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAPushmataha6 days
Dec 25, 9:36 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAChoctaw4 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSALeFlore9 days
Dec 25, 10:46 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSALeFlore10 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAMuskogee6 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSACreek4 days
Dec 26, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSATulsa56 hr
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage, Tulsa4 days
Dec 26, 10:17 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSATulsa4 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAWashington3 days
Dec 26, 10:19 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSARogers, Tulsa5 days
Dec 26, 1:03 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner42 min
Dec 26, 2:34 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage52 hr
Dec 26, 2:41 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee49 min
Dec 26, 3:03 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell, Sequoyah42 min
Dec 26, 3:13 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSATulsa47 min
Dec 26, 3:15 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg45 min
Dec 26, 3:27 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware33 min
Dec 26, 3:47 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMayes, Rogers43 min
Dec 26, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Rogers46 min
Dec 26, 4:06 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg39 min
Dec 26, 4:49 PM CSTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner41 min
Dec 26, 4:53 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg39 min
Dec 26, 4:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware33 min
Dec 26, 5:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSAOkmulgee6 hr
Dec 26, 5:24 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee51 min
Dec 26, 5:30 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh45 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2015River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.