Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 112, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 30, 2015Comal County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 30, 2015, 9:29 AM CDT for Comal County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 30, 2015, 9:51 AM CDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 30, 2015, 9:29 AM CDT (14:29 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 30, 2015, 9:51 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 31, 2015, 3:30 AM CDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Comal County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Guadalupe River near Spring Branch (SRGT2). The gauge peaked at 30.06 ft at Oct 30, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203010/3010/3111/01
Action stage
25 ft
Minor stage
30 ft
Moderate stage
36 ft
Major stage
39 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08167500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

342 
WGUS44 KEWX 301429
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River...Plum Creek...San Marcos River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-310829-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0112.151030T1725Z-151031T0830Z/
/SRGT2.1.ER.151030T1725Z.151030T1900Z.151030T2030Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* From Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 30.5 feet during by Friday evening.The river will fall below flood stage 
  by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding rises into the flood plain at 
  Guadalupe River State Park damaging tables, trash cans and camping equipment. 
  Swimming and any recreation in the river is extremely dangerous with 
  turbulence, trees and trash in the water.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Spring Branch      25   30   23.1   Fri  9 AM   6.5   6.5   4.1   3.8   3.7


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

TXC091-187-310829-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-151031T1634Z/
/GBCT2.3.ER.151030T1401Z.151030T2000Z.151031T0434Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal.
* Until Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and rise to
  near 27.4 feet by Friday afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday night.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Disastrous flooding reaches many lowest homes in New 
  Braunfels downstream to Seguin. River recreational areas are severely flooded 
  and life threatening below Canyon Dam to Seguin. All roads near the river will
  become life threatening as the flood wave moves downstream.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Blo Comal       13   13   11.8   Fri 09 AM  11.7  10.2  10.0  10.0   9.9


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC187-310829-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0113.151030T1931Z-151031T1945Z/
/SEGT2.2.ER.151030T1931Z.151031T0000Z.151031T0745Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At Seguin.
* From Friday afternoon to Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 1.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 23.7 feet friday evening.The river will fall below flood stage Saturday monring.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens homes in the Glen 
  Cove Subdivdision in Seguin. Roads and low bridges near the river are flooded 
  and dangerous. Runoff down Walnut Branch northwest of downtown Seguin 
  threatens lowest homes and apartments.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Seguin              4   19    1.0   Fri 07 AM  11.8   1.8   1.7   1.6   1.6


&&

LAT...LON 2952 9801 2958 9797 2956 9772 2952 9746
      2944 9746 2949 9773             

$$

TXC055-177-310829-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0114.151030T2031Z-151103T1848Z/
/LLGT2.3.ER.151030T2031Z.151031T1800Z.151103T0648Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the San Marcos River below Luling.
* from Friday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 35.5 feet by early Saturday afternoon.The river will fall below flood 
  stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Palmetto State Park is under water except for the 
  headquarters building. The pavillion has six feet of water in it. Much of the 
  golf course in Luling is underwater. Lowest homes northeast of the golf course
  are threatened. The Warm Springs rehabilitation hospital in Ottine has several
  feet of water in it.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             11   20    5.2   Fri 09 AM  35.0  33.1  29.0  16.7  10.3


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-310828-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0115.151031T0241Z-151101T1648Z/
/LULT2.3.ER.151031T0241Z.151031T1200Z.151101T0448Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Plum Creek near Luling.
* from Friday evening to Sunday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 26.9
  feet by Saturday morning.The river will fall below flood stage Saturday  
  late evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Major flooding, flow in Plum Creek is seventy five to 
  one hundred yards wide in most areas with many secondary roads and low bridges
  flooded. Livestock in low areas of the flood plain may be cut off and 
  drowned.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             20   23    5.0   Fri 09 AM  26.9  21.2   8.1   5.6   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-310828-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0116.151031T1621Z-151103T1622Z/
/GNLT2.2.ER.151031T1621Z.151101T1800Z.151103T0422Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* from Saturday morning to Tuesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Saturday late morning and continue to 
  rise to near 41.7 feet by Sunday early afternoon.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Monday before midnight.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Major flooding closes Highways 183, 97 and Farm to 
  Market 108. Runoff down Tinsley Creek in Gonzales added to the Guadalupe River
  backwater can flood lowest homes near the creek. Secondary roads and streets 
  near the river are flooded and dangerous to motorists.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Gonzales           17   31   12.2   Fri 09 AM  25.7  41.3  39.4  25.5  14.4


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-310828-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0117.151101T2320Z-000000T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.151101T2320Z.151103T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* from Sunday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 32.1 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Moderate flooding threatens lowest homes 10 miles 
  downstream near Thomaston. Most primary roads and low bridges near Cuero flood
  in lowest areas. Livestock should be moved from the flood plain immediately.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Cuero              19   24    9.0   Fri 08 AM   9.4  20.6  27.8  31.8  28.8


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
4 follow-up statements
655 
WGUS44 KEWX 301445
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
945 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-310845-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0112.151030T1451Z-151031T0954Z/
/SRGT2.2.ER.151030T1451Z.151030T1700Z.151030T2154Z.NO/
945 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 36.4 feet by Friday afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by late
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and 
  low bridges in the flood plain. Recreationists should evacuate the river banks
  because of dangerous turbulent flow. Low sections of Guadalupe River State 
  Park have tables, trash cans, and equiment damaged. Lowest homes in Kendall 
  County to Canyon Lake flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Spring Branch      25   30   27.0   Fri  9 AM  20.4   8.8   4.5   4.0   3.8


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

TXC091-310626-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0118.151030T1708Z-151031T0626Z/
/STLT2.1.ER.151030T1708Z.151030T1800Z.151030T1826Z.NO/
945 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At Sattler.
* until Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 9.2 feet by Friday afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding approaches the lowest sections
  of River Road downstream below Sattler.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Sattler             8    9    8.3   Fri  9 AM   4.4   4.4   4.4   4.4   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 2984 9820 2989 9818 2985 9814 2974 9809
      2972 9812 2978 9818             

$$

TXC091-187-310845-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0103.151030T1440Z-151031T1055Z/
/NBRT2.3.ER.151030T1353Z.151030T1600Z.151030T2255Z.NO/
945 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday morning and continue to rise to near
  25.4 feet by early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by late 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Disastrous life threatening flooding occurs below 
  Canyon Dam to below Seguin. Roads near the river flood severely and are 
  extremely dangerous to motorists. Campgrounds along River Road flood. Much of 
  River Road is impassable and extremely dangerous for auto traffic. Visitors 
  should not evacuate in cars on River Road. Evacuate on foot directly away from
  the river up canyon walls. Lowest homes in New Braunfels flood severely.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Abv Comal        6    7    5.1   Fri  9 AM   4.1   2.2   2.2   2.1   2.1


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$
443 
WGUS84 KEWX 301652
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1152 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch Affecting Comal County
  Blanco River At Wimberley Affecting Hays County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-311052-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151031T1522Z/
/SRGT2.1.ER.151030T2100Z.151030T2300Z.151031T0322Z.NO/
1152 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* At 11:31 AM Friday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Another rise above flood stage by late Friday afternoon and crest 
  near 33.8 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Spring Branch      25   30   25.9   Fri 12 PM   8.2   4.7   3.7   3.4   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

TXC209-311052-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-151101T0300Z/
/WMBT2.3.ER.151030T1305Z.151031T0000Z.151031T1500Z.NO/
1152 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* At 10:45 AM Friday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river may have a secondary crest near 27.5 feet by Friday
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Many lowest homes in the Blanco River flood plain near
  Wimberley flood. Lowest homes and businesses in the Cypress Creek flood plain 
  flood by backwater from the Blanco River and any runoff down Cypress Creek. 
  Lowland flooding downstream in the lower Blanco and San Marcos Rivers severely
  floods lowest homes, roads and bridges near San Marcos. Livestock in the 
  Blanco River flood plain above Blanco to the San Marcos River confluence are 
  cut off and potentially drowned.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Wimberley          10   13   25.6   Fri 11 AM  14.7   6.5   5.0   4.7   4.6


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$
475 
WGUS84 KEWX 301934
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch Affecting Comal County
  Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At Seguin Affecting Guadalupe County
  Blanco River At Wimberley Affecting Hays County
  San Marcos River below Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Plum Creek near Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Guadalupe River at Gonzales Affecting Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero Affecting De Witt County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-311334-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151031T1545Z/
/SRGT2.1.ER.151030T2211Z.151030T2300Z.151031T0345Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* At  2:00 PM Friday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...a second rise above flood stage by late Friday afternoon is possible. The river      
  will crest just above flood stage at 33.8 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday night.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Spring Branch      25   30   17.8   Fri 02 PM  11.4   5.5   4.3   3.9   3.7


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

TXC091-187-311152-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-151031T1152Z/
/NBRT2.3.ER.151030T1356Z.151030T1730Z.151030T2352Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. The river has crested 
  and will continue to fall to below flood stage Friday evening. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...The Common Street bridge floor over the Guadalupe 
  River floods. Lowest homes are threatened. Much of River Road floods. Sleeping
  campers, autos and gear on the Guadalupe River banks can wash downstream.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Abv Comal        6    7   18.4   Fri 02 PM   4.6   2.2   2.0   1.9   1.9


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-310524-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-151031T0524Z/
/NBCT2.2.ER.151030T1416Z.151030T1700Z.151030T2324Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Comal River.
* At  2:01 PM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall and fall below flood
  stage Friday evening. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate flooding threatens lowest businesses in the 
  vicinity of San Antonio Street. Numerous secondary roads and streets in the 
  Comal River flood plain are flooded in New Braunfels.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Comal               9   11   17.3   Fri 02 PM   6.5   5.3   4.9   4.8   4.7


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-151031T1840Z/
/GBCT2.3.ER.151030T1408Z.151030T1715Z.151031T0640Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested and will continue to fall to below flood stage  
  Friday evening. .
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Major flooding is extremely dangerous upstream along 
  River Road to below New Braunfels. Homes and businesses flood in New 
  Braunfels. RV parks and homes near the river on Lake Dunlap are threatened. 
  Roads near the river below Canyon Dam to Lake Dunlap are very dangerous to 
  motorists.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Blo Comal       13   13   22.5   Fri 02 PM  12.4  10.4  10.1  10.0   9.9


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC187-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-151031T1524Z/
/SEGT2.3.ER.151030T1826Z.151031T0000Z.151031T0324Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Seguin.
* At  1:57 PM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by Friday evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage late Friday night.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Several homes in low areas of the flood plain in 
  Seguin are destroyed. Several structures are washed downstream. Nearly all of 
  Treasure Island at Lake McQueeny is under water with homes severely flooded 
  and damaged. Livestock in the flood plain above Seguin to below Cuero are cut 
  off and potentially drowned.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Seguin              4   19   20.0   Fri 02 PM   3.1   1.6   1.4   1.4   1.4


&&

LAT...LON 2952 9801 2958 9797 2956 9772 2952 9746
      2944 9746 2949 9773             

$$

TXC209-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-151031T1415Z/
/WMBT2.3.ER.151030T1305Z.151030T1515Z.151031T0215Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river crested and will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water recreation in the Blanco river is dangerous from
  above Blanco to the San Marcos river confluence. Secondary roads and bridges 
  in the flood plain are flooded and dangerous. Much of Dudley Johnson park at 
  Five Mile Dam is flooded.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Wimberley          10   13   15.1   Fri 02 PM   8.6   6.1   5.8   5.2   5.0


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0114.151030T2336Z-151102T1408Z/
/LLGT2.3.ER.151030T2336Z.151031T1800Z.151102T0208Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Marcos River below Luling.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to rise to near
  35.8 feet by Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Palmetto State Park is under water except for the 
  headquarters building. The pavillion has six feet of water in it. Much of the 
  golf course in Luling is underwater. Lowest homes northeast of the golf course
  are threatened. The Warm Springs rehabilitation hospital in Ottine has several
  feet of water in it.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             11   20    5.2   Fri 02 PM  34.9  28.6  14.0  10.1   9.5


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0115.151031T0745Z-151101T1952Z/
/LULT2.3.ER.151031T0745Z.151031T1800Z.151101T0752Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Plum Creek near Luling.
* At  2:00 PM Friday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by after midnight Friday night and continue to 
  rise to near 26.9 feet by Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Major flooding, flow in Plum Creek is seventy five to 
  one hundred yards wide in most areas with many secondary roads and low bridges
  flooded. Livestock in low areas of the flood plain may be cut off and 
  drowned.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             20   23    4.9   Fri 02 PM  25.4  20.8   7.2   5.6   5.2


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0116.151031T2147Z-151103T1453Z/
/GNLT2.2.ER.151031T2147Z.151102T0000Z.151103T0253Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At  2:16 PM Friday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 41.9 feet by Sunday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Major flooding closes Highways 183, 97 and Farm to 
  Market 108. Runoff down Tinsley Creek in Gonzales added to the Guadalupe River
  backwater can flood lowest homes near the creek. Secondary roads and streets 
  near the river are flooded and dangerous to motorists.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Gonzales           17   31   12.4   Fri 02 PM  19.1  40.5  40.6  22.1  14.9


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-311333-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0117.151102T1232Z-000000T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.151102T1232Z.151103T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 32.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Moderate flooding threatens lowest homes 10 miles 
  downstream near Thomaston. Most primary roads and low bridges near Cuero flood
  in lowest areas. Livestock should be moved from the flood plain immediately.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Cuero              19   24    8.9   Fri 01 PM   9.0  16.4  24.2  32.4  28.3


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
874 
WGUS84 KEWX 310152
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch Affecting Comal County
  Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
  Blanco River At Wimberley Affecting Hays County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Marcos River below Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Plum Creek near Luling Affecting Caldwell and Gonzales Counties
  Guadalupe River at Gonzales Affecting Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero Affecting De Witt County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC091-310222-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-151031T1545Z/
/SRGT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested and will remain below bankfull unless more heavy rain is  
  observed.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Spring Branch      25   30    6.9   Fri 08 PM   8.2   5.5   4.1   3.6   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

TXC091-187-310222-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-151031T1152Z/
/NBRT2.3.ER.151030T1356Z.151030T1730Z.151030T2114Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Abv Comal.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 3.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and remain below bankfull unless more heavy    
  rainfall is observed.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Abv Comal        6    7    3.5   Fri 08 PM   3.2   2.4   2.1   2.0   2.0


&&

LAT...LON 2972 9812 2974 9809 2971 9809 2969 9812


$$

TXC091-177-187-310222-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-151031T0524Z/
/NBCT2.2.ER.151030T1416Z.151030T1700Z.151030T2150Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Comal River.
* At  8:01 PM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and remain below bankfull unless more heavy  
  rainfall is observed.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Comal               9   11    7.2   Fri 08 PM   5.9   5.1   5.0   4.9   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-310222-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-151031T1840Z/
/GBCT2.3.ER.151030T1408Z.151030T1715Z.151030T2236Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and remain below bankfull unless heavy rainfall 
  unless heavy rainfall is observed.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 NB Blo Comal       13   13   12.0   Fri 08 PM  11.2  10.7  10.3  10.2  10.1


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

TXC209-310222-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-151031T1415Z/
/WMBT2.3.ER.151030T1305Z.151030T1515Z.151030T2002Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Blanco River At Wimberley.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and remain below bankfull unless more heavy 
  rainfall is observed.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Wimberley          10   13    7.4   Fri 08 PM   5.8   4.9   4.6   4.5   4.3


&&

LAT...LON 2995 9812 3002 9813 3001 9791 2969 9768
      2963 9775 2994 9797             

$$

TXC055-177-311951-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-151102T1545Z/
/LLGT2.3.ER.151031T0417Z.151031T1800Z.151102T0345Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Marcos River below Luling.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage late Friday night and continue to rise to near 35.9
  feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Palmetto State Park is under water except for the 
  headquarters building. The pavillion has six feet of water in it. Much of the 
  golf course in Luling is underwater. Lowest homes northeast of the golf course
  are threatened. The Warm Springs rehabilitation hospital in Ottine has several
  feet of water in it.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             11   20    5.6   Fri 08 PM  34.7  28.7  14.4   8.8   8.8


&&

LAT...LON 2963 9775 2969 9768 2964 9755 2952 9746
      2950 9752 2956 9760             

$$

TXC055-177-311951-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0115.151031T0839Z-151101T2138Z/
/LULT2.3.ER.151031T0839Z.151031T1800Z.151101T0938Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Plum Creek near Luling.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Saturday and continue to rise to 
  near 27.1 feet by Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood 
  stage Sunday morning.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Luling             20   23    4.9   Fri 08 PM  25.4  21.8   7.0   5.7   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 2975 9765 2975 9756 2964 9755 2966 9763


$$

TXC177-311951-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0116.151031T2251Z-151103T1704Z/
/GNLT2.2.ER.151031T2251Z.151102T0600Z.151103T0504Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Saturday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 41.9 feet by early Monday morning. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Monday before midnight.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Major flooding closes Highways 183, 97 and Farm to 
  Market 108. Runoff down Tinsley Creek in Gonzales added to the Guadalupe River
  backwater can flood lowest homes near the creek. Secondary roads and streets 
  near the river are flooded and dangerous to motorists.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Gonzales           17   31   12.4   Fri 08 PM  18.5  39.0  41.1  23.9  14.7

&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-311951-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0117.151102T1353Z-000000T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.151102T1353Z.151103T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 32.7 feet by Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet...Moderate flooding threatens lowest homes 10 miles 
  downstream near Thomaston. Most primary roads and low bridges near Cuero flood
  in lowest areas. Livestock should be moved from the flood plain immediately..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Cuero              19   24    8.6   Fri 08 PM   8.8  16.4  23.6  32.3  28.8


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 30, 7:04 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 7:04 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
704 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

.AVIATION.../12Z TAFS/
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE I-35
TAF SITES ALONG AND NORTH OF A NW-SE ORIENTED WARM FRONT. THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF SAT/SSF WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS TO END TSRA BY 13-14Z...WHILE TSRA SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH
16Z AT AUS WHERE THE BOUNDARY WILL TAKE LONGER TO MOVE THROUGH.
CIGS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN MVFR AT SAT/SSF FOR THE REST OF THE
DAY...BUT CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE MORE VARIABLE AT AUS THROUGH 16Z
ALLOWING FOR TEMPORARY IFR CONDITIONS TO MIX BEFORE THEN. TSRA ARE
NOT EXPECTED AT DRT THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...BUT MVFR CIGS
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SITE.

A RELATIVE LULL IN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS REMAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF
THIS PACIFIC MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE...BUT ISOLATED TSRA WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AFTER 21-22 AT SAT/SSF. BASED ON HI-RES
MODEL TRENDS AND A GENERALLY FASTER PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM...A
LINE OF TSRA IS EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING AFTER 23Z AT DRT AND
3-4Z AT THE I-35 TAF SITES. OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND FUTURE MODEL
RUNS SHOULD HELP REFINE THESE TIMES WITH THE NEXT AFD. RAPID
CLEARING BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD END TSRA CHANCES BY
SUNRISE WITH NW WINDS FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
ANOTHER SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING HIGH CHANCES OF
RAIN TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FIRST ROUND OF RAINS ARE WELL
UNDERWAY AND WILL BE IMPACTING THE METRO CITIES DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE. PWAT VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES STACKING UP OVER THE I-35
CORRIDOR THIS MORNING MEANS THAT SOME OF THE CONVECTION WILL
BECOME VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. NEGATING FACTOR IS THAT THE
FIRST ROUND OF CONVECTION IS CRUISING AT 30 MPH TO THE NORTHEAST
WITH ONLY MINIMAL AREAS OF TRAINING EXPECTED. CURRENTLY EXPECT 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN TO PASS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TODAY WITH
ANOTHER ROUND EXPECTED TO FIRE OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL
COUNTRY FOR THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. HOWEVER...A SECONDARY ROUND
OF HEAVY RAIN COULD FORM IN AN UPSTREAM PROPAGATION REGION BY
DAYBREAK AND LEAD TO HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS SUFFICIENT FOR A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT. WILL WANT TO MONITOR RADAR TRENDS FOR ANOTHER COUPLE
HOURS BEFORE CONSIDERING A FFA. STORM TOTAL EXPECTED AMOUNTS FOR
NOW REMAIN AT 2-4...ISOLATED 6...WITH SOME OF THE RAIN FALLING
EARLY THIS MORNING AND OUTSIDE THE EFFECTIVE FORECAST PERIOD.

IN TERMS OF THE MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK SEVERE THREAT...THE
MORNING ACTIVITY HAS THE LOOK OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS BASED ON ELEVATED
DYNAMICS AND LOW LEVEL JET WITHOUT MUCH INFLUENCE FROM SURFACE
FEATURES. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL HELICITY VALUES ARE HIGH THIS
MORNING...AND SOME ROTATING STORMS HAVE ALREADY BEEN NOTED OVER
THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. EXPECT THE BULK OF THE SEVERE THREAT TO
OCCUR TOWARD MIDDAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS BULK SHEAR INCREASES
40-55 KNOTS AND CAPES EXCEED 1000 J/KG.

THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD CLEAR TO THE EAST OF THE AREA TOWARD
SATURDAY MORNING...ALTHOUGH POPS REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH OVER OUR FAR
EASTERN COUNTIES IN THE DAYTIME SATURDAY. TYPICALLY THIS PATTERN
WOULD FAVOR AN MCS THAT WILL PUSH EAST OF I-35 IN THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS WITH THE COOL OUTFLOW SURGING THE CONVECTIVE LINE EAST INTO
SOUTHEAST TX BY DAYBREAK. THUS PRIMARY CONCERNS FOR FLOODING IN
OUR FORECAST AREA ARE EXPECTED TO END AT AROUND DAYBREAK.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE DEPARTING SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH LEAVES ANOTHER COUPLE
OF MILD AND DRY DAYS TO RECOVER...BUT BY LATE TUESDAY MOISTURE
BEGINS RACING ONSHORE IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH. THIS
SYSTEM WILL ALSO CONTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY DOWNPOURS...BUT
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO PASS FARTHER NORTH OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. WILL TAKE THE HIGH PWAT VALUES SHOWN BY THE GFS WITH SOME
DEGREE OF SKEPTICISM...BUT CONTINUE TO RUN SEVERAL PERIODS OF
CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              77  66  78  57  77 /  80  90  40  10  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  78  66  79  54  77 /  80  90  40  10  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     79  67  82  56  79 /  80  90  40  10  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            75  62  74  54  75 /  90  90  30  10  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           81  61  79  53  82 /  70  70  20  -    0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        76  65  76  54  75 /  90  90  40  10  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             80  65  83  54  80 /  90  80  30  -    0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        78  67  80  57  77 /  80  90  40  10  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   79  70  80  58  76 /  70  80  70  20  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       80  67  82  57  80 /  90  90  30  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           81  68  84  58  80 /  80  80  30  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...
GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...
MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...LH
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...OAKS
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 8:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
811 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-311315-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
811 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY FOR MOST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. THE FIRST ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING THIS
MORNING...AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON LOCAL TIME
ALONG AND EAST OF KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL. A SECOND ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 2-4
INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO 6 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

CHANCES OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY MORNING ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL. HEAVY RAINFALL
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT
BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENTLY LIGHTNING WILL ALSO EXIST WITH
THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH BY THE AFTERNOON WHEN SKIES CLEAR
OUT BEHIND THE FRONT. A STORM SYSTEM PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH BY WEDNESDAY BUT NO WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 30, 6:36 AM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
636 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SAN ANTONIO             29.43N  98.49W
10/30/2015                   BEXAR              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT LEAST 10 STREETS CLOSED ACROSS THE CITY OF SAN
            ANTONIO DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500823
Local storm report, Oct 30, 6:41 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
641 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FLORESVILLE             29.14N  98.16W
10/30/2015                   WILSON             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTS DAMAGE ON THE NW SIDE OF FLORESVILLE. TIN
            SCATTERED ABOUT PARKING LOTS. A CHAINLINK FENCE HAS BEEN
            BLOWN OVER. NO STRUCTURAL DAMAGE OBSERVED. POWER IS OUT
            ACROSS THE TOWN. MOST OF THE DAMAGE IS NEAR HWY 181 AND
            HWY 97. 45 TO 50 MPH WIND GUST OBSERVED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500824
Local storm report, Oct 30, 7:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
745 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FLORESVILLE             29.14N  98.16W
10/30/2015                   WILSON             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SOCIAL MEDIA AND THE EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS DAMAGE
            TO THE HIGH SCHOOL IN FLORESVILLE. PICTURES SHOW A HOLE
            IN THE WALL WITH DAMAGE WHERE THE ROOF MEETS THE WALLS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500825
Local storm report, Oct 30, 8:47 AM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
847 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 AM     TORNADO          3 ENE HUNTER            29.82N  97.98W
10/30/2015                   HAYS               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM CONFIRMED MODERN WOOD-FRAME HOUSE HAS
            MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DEBRIS PATTERN INDICATIVE OF
            TORNADO...FORMAL STORM SURVEY TBD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500826

LJH
Local storm report, Oct 30, 9:01 AM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
901 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WIMBERLEY               30.00N  98.10W
10/30/2015                   HAYS               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RAPID-MOVING WATER OVER SH 12 BRIDGE AT CYPRESS CREEK
            IN WIMBERLEY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500827

LJH
Local storm report, Oct 30, 9:14 AM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
914 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW PILOT KNOB        30.18N  97.75W
10/30/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTS TWO HIGH WATER RESCUES ON
            STASSNEY LN PALO BLANO LN AND ON PLEASANT VALLEY RD NEAR
            ONION CREEK DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500828

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 30, 3:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde38 min
Oct 30, 3:09 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXZavala23 min
Oct 30, 3:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde45 min
Oct 30, 3:48 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina42 min
Oct 30, 4:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGillespie52 min
Oct 30, 4:13 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXMedina35 min
Oct 30, 4:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays51 min
Oct 30, 4:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchEWXAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 18 more29 hr
Oct 30, 4:40 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXHays50 min
Oct 30, 4:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera18 min
Oct 30, 4:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Kendall4 hr
Oct 30, 4:53 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie, Kerr3 hr
Oct 30, 5:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall4 hr
Oct 30, 5:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilson46 min
Oct 30, 5:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe, Wilson3 hr
Oct 30, 5:34 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar, Wilson26 min
Oct 30, 5:41 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde4 hr
Oct 30, 5:58 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar, Wilson12 min
Oct 30, 6:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBlanco45 min
Oct 30, 6:05 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Llano, Travis, Williamson3 hr
Oct 30, 6:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilson32 min
Oct 30, 6:22 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXWilson38 min
Oct 30, 6:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGuadalupe54 min
Oct 30, 6:51 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXGuadalupe39 min
Oct 30, 6:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays, Travis3 hr
Oct 30, 7:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Comal41 min
Oct 30, 7:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe, Hays83 min
Oct 30, 7:18 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe, Hays27 min
Oct 30, 7:43 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe, Hays26 min
Oct 30, 7:46 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBurnet, Llano, Travis, Williamson3 hr
Oct 30, 7:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe16 hr
Oct 30, 8:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Gonzales, Guadalupe20 hr
Oct 30, 8:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe20 hr
Oct 30, 8:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Hays53 min
Oct 30, 8:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXComal, Hays52 min
Oct 30, 8:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXCaldwell, Comal, Hays, Travis54 min
Oct 30, 8:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXHays38 hr
Oct 30, 8:43 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXBexar, Comal, Hays8 hr
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar27 hr
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar46 hr
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar31 hr
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson51 hr
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes4 days
Oct 30, 8:48 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXCaldwell, Hays, Travis27 min
Oct 30, 8:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Hays, Travis, Williamson13 hr
Oct 30, 9:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Kendall5 hr
Oct 30, 9:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis61 min
Oct 30, 9:17 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXTravis28 min
Oct 30, 9:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGuadalupe29 hr
Oct 30, 9:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales4 days
Oct 30, 9:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales50 hr
Oct 30, 9:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGonzales4 days
Oct 30, 9:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt5 days
Oct 30, 9:45 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal16 hr
Oct 30, 9:48 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Lee13 hr
Oct 30, 9:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBlanco52 min
Oct 30, 10:16 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXTravis6 hr
Oct 30, 10:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis29 min
Oct 30, 10:32 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Travis13 min
Oct 30, 10:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Lee, Travis65 min
Oct 30, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco22 hr
Oct 30, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis31 hr
Oct 30, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis29 hr
Oct 30, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBastrop58 hr
Oct 30, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Guadalupe28 hr
Oct 30, 10:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXCaldwell49 min
Oct 30, 11:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXLee44 min
Oct 30, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee40 min
Oct 30, 12:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilliamson39 min
Oct 30, 12:30 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe, Hays3 hr
Oct 30, 1:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Kendall, Llano3 hr
Oct 30, 2:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXFayette43 min
Oct 30, 2:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis16 hr
Oct 30, 3:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXWilliamson29 hr
Oct 30, 3:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes4 days
Oct 30, 4:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilliamson24 min
Oct 30, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde65 min
Oct 30, 6:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde44 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.