Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 548

October 14, 201459 counties in Georgia; 35 counties in North Carolina; 30 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 14, 2014, 1:59 PM EDT for 59 counties in Georgia; 35 counties in North Carolina; 30 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2014, 1:59 PM EDT (17:59 UTC)
Expired
Oct 15, 2014, 1:00 AM EDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 124 counties

Baldwin County, GA, Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Crawford County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Hart County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Towns County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Union County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, White County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Aiken County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 2:14 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba46 min
Oct 14, 6:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPTransylvania4 hr
Oct 14, 7:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPHenderson4 hr
Oct 14, 8:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAshe, Watauga, Wilkes6 hr
Oct 14, 8:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey3 hr
Oct 14, 9:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland, Lincoln and 1 more42 min
Oct 14, 10:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Wilkes48 min
Oct 14, 10:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell46 min
Oct 14, 10:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany6 hr
Oct 14, 11:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin60 min
Oct 15, 12:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Yadkin59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 381 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
644 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
429 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

523 
WWUS20 KWNS 141804
SEL8  
SPC WW 141804
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-150200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 548
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GEORGIA
  WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
  UPSTATE AND PIEDMONT SOUTH CAROLINA
  SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
ATHENS GEORGIA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CHARLOTTE NORTH
CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 546...WW 547...

DISCUSSION...SETUP MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SPORADIC
INSTANCES OF DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SRN AND CNTRL
APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT/CSTL PLN THIS AFTN AS MODEST SFC
HEATING DESTABILIZES STRONGLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND AHEAD OF
E TN/WRN GA COLD FRONT. STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY FOCUS ALONG THE
FRONT...AND ALONG REMNANT SQLN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ATTM EXTENDING NWD
FROM THE LWR SAVANNAH RVR VLY INTO WRN NC. STRENGTH OF DEEP SLY
FLOW...QUALITY OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1.50-2.00
INCHES/...AND SLIGHTLY BACKED NEAR-SFC FLOW NEAR THE BOUNDARIES
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LOW AMPLITUDE LEWPS/TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS WITH
A RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND MAINLY SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 9:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattahoochee, Chattooga, Cherokee and 29 more2 hr
Oct 13, 11:44 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBartow, Calhoun, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattahoochee, Chattooga and 32 more6 hr
Oct 14, 3:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bartow, Butts, Calhoun, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 54 more83 min
Oct 14, 4:06 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley and 59 more6 hr
Oct 14, 4:27 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 19 more8 hr
Oct 14, 6:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBulloch, Burke, Candler, Columbia, Elbert, Emanuel and 9 more83 min
Oct 14, 6:57 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBulloch, Burke, Candler, Columbia, Effingham, Elbert and 27 more7 hr
Oct 14, 7:23 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDade2 hr
Oct 14, 8:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Colquitt, Cook and 12 more85 min
Oct 14, 11:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Clinch, Cook, Echols, Lanier, Lowndes and 2 more114 min
Oct 14, 11:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brantley and 20 more7 hr
Oct 14, 1:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Clarke and 45 more2 hr
Oct 14, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 7 more32 min
Oct 14, 3:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 6 more6 hr
Oct 14, 6:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Elbert, Franklin, Glascock, Greene, Hancock and 9 more91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2014Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2014Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.