Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2014
Tornado Warning 16, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this tornado warning at Oct 14, 2014, 2:14 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 46 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 14, 2014, 2:14 PM EDT (18:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2014, 3:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Alexander County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2:34 PM EDT | FUNNEL CLOUD | 5 Nw Hickory, NC | LIKELY FUNNEL CLOUD SEEN OVER WAL-MART IN GRANITE FALLS. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 1:59 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 11 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 374 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 491 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 202 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 3.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
706
WFUS52 KGSP 141814
TORGSP
NCC003-023-027-035-141900-
/O.NEW.KGSP.TO.W.0016.141014T1814Z-141014T1900Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
214 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ALEXANDER COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEASTERN BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
WESTERN CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 300 PM EDT
* AT 213 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR ICARD...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HICKORY...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
ICARD...MOUNTAIN VIEW...CONNELLY SPRINGS AND RUTHERFORD COLLEGE.
LONGVIEW...HICKORY AND LAKE RHODHISS.
GRANITE FALLS AND ST. STEPHENS.
LAKE HICKORY AND BETHLEHEM.
ELLENDALE AND KINGS CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON
THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING. PLACE AS MANY FLOORS
AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3604 8103 3556 8139 3557 8153 3561 8162
3604 8137 3600 8132 3603 8127 3604 8121
3603 8108 3605 8105 3605 8103
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 204DEG 32KT 3566 8146
$$
RWH3 follow-up statements
427
WWUS52 KGSP 141836
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
236 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCC023-035-141846-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141014T1900Z/
CATAWBA NC-BURKE NC-
236 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BURKE AND WESTERN CATAWBA
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA.
LAT...LON 3582 8119 3580 8130 3580 8134 3576 8138
3577 8143 3579 8145 3578 8152 3604 8137
3600 8132 3603 8127 3604 8121 3603 8108
3605 8103
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 200DEG 28KT 3582 8139
$$
NCC003-027-141900-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141014T1900Z/
ALEXANDER NC-CALDWELL NC-
236 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND
ALEXANDER COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...
AT 234 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR GRANITE FALLS...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF HICKORY...MOVING
NORTH AT 30 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
ELLENDALE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING OR ALREADY OCCURRING. SEEK SHELTER IN
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING.
PLACE AS MANY FLOORS AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS
POSSIBLE.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3582 8119 3580 8130 3580 8134 3576 8138
3577 8143 3579 8145 3578 8152 3604 8137
3600 8132 3603 8127 3604 8121 3603 8108
3605 8103
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 200DEG 28KT 3582 8139
$$
RWH079
WWUS52 KGSP 141847
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCC003-027-141900-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141014T1900Z/
ALEXANDER NC-CALDWELL NC-
247 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL CALDWELL AND
NORTHWESTERN ALEXANDER COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...
AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ELLENDALE...OR 10 MILES EAST OF
LENOIR...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
ELLENDALE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING OR ALREADY OCCURRING. SEEK SHELTER IN
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING.
PLACE AS MANY FLOORS AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS
POSSIBLE.
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3584 8129 3585 8137 3586 8142 3588 8146
3604 8137 3600 8132 3603 8127 3604 8121
3604 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 200DEG 28KT 3590 8135
$$
RWH986
WWUS52 KGSP 141859
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCC003-027-141909-
/O.EXP.KGSP.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141014T1900Z/
ALEXANDER NC-CALDWELL NC-
259 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CALDWELL AND WESTERN
ALEXANDER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 PM EDT...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THIS AREA.
LAT...LON 3584 8129 3585 8137 3586 8142 3588 8146
3604 8137 3600 8132 3603 8127 3604 8121
3604 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 200DEG 28KT 3599 8131
$$
RWHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 14, 11:30 AM EDT, 2 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 11:30 AM EDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY...CROSSING THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1115 AM EDT TUESDAY...CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH FOR EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE SC UPSTATE IN ADDITION TO LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST
OF THE I77 CORRIDOR ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT. RECENT RADAR TRENDS
HAVE INDICATED SLOWER/WEAKER BANDS OF CONVECTION EMBEDDED WITHIN
BROAD PRECIP SHIELD ACROSS THE CENTRAL UPSTATE WITH RATHER
UNIMPRESSIVE UPDRAFTS ON THE WHOLE. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN AND THE FOOTHILLS WHERE
BEST UPDRAFTS CURRENTLY RESIDE IN ASSOCIATION WITH SHEAR
MAXIMA...THUS THE CONTINUED WW. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE TO INCLUDE
CONVECTIVE ALLOWING MODELS CONTINUES TO INDICATE A SECONDARY BAND OF
CONVECTION JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT SLIDING INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. INCREASING INSTABILITY DUE TO SOUTHEASTERLY ATLANTIC
MOISTURE ADVECTION ALONG WITH HEATING WILL LEAD TO THE RETURN OF
FAVORABLE SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THIS SECONDARY BAND OF
CONVECTION.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
OTHERWISE...DEEP 500 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST THIS
MORNING WITH A SHARPENING TROUGH EXTENDING SWD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MS RIVER. A STRONG FETCH OF MOISTURE IS INVADING THE DEEP SOUTH
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...WITH ONGOING CONVECTION LINED UP FROM
W/CENTRAL GA TO SE TN AND SLOWLY PROGRESSING EWD. THE SFC COLD AIR
DAMMING LAYER IS ALL BUT GONE AT THIS HOUR WITH DEWPOINTS NOW IN THE
UPPER 60S ACROSS THE NRN NC FOOTHILLS. SHOWERS HAVE FILLED OUT ALONG
THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS...NEAR THE INTERSTATE 77
CORRIDOR IN THE BETTER SELY ATLANTIC FETCH...AND THEN JUST UPSTREAM
INTO GA. POPS WILL RAMP UP STEADILY EVERYWHERE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS.
HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS ARE ALREADY SEEING OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40
MPH THIS MORNING AND THESE GUSTS SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
ALONG WITH THE PRES GRADIENT. THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY LOOKS WELL
PLACED AS THE BEST 50 TO 55 KT 850 MB JET CROSSES THE MTNS TODAY
BEFORE MOVING EAST THIS EVENING. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT SOME DOWNED
TREES WITH ANY SHOWERS...BUT WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED WITH THE WARM ADVECTION GRADIENT FLOW ON THE NC SIDE OF THE
SPINE.
AS THE MIDWEST SYSTEM CONTINUES TO OCCLUDE TODAY...THE TRAILING SFC
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD AND FOCUS A SHARPER LINE OF
CONVECTION OVER OUR AREA LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. DEEP QG FORCING
AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE WILL PROVIDE PLENTY OF LIFT FOR WIDESPREAD POPS
THROUGH THE AFTN AND EVENING HOURS...AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES SHOULD GENERATE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. THE FFA HAS BEEN
EXPANDED NWD ALONG THE NC MTN CHAIN...OVER THE NRN NC
FOOTHILLS...AND ALSO IN THE NE GA AND EXTREME WRN SC MTNS. THESE
LOCATIONS HAVE RECEIVED THE MOST RAINFALL THUS FAR THIS MORNING AND
ARE PRIMED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF TRAINING SRLY UPSLOPE GENERATED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. THE PRE/FRONTAL CONVECTIVE LINE
SHOULD BEGIN TO REGENERATE NEAR THE SRN APPALACHIANS THROUGH 18Z
TODAY...PERHAPS STRENGTHENING AS IT TRANSITS THE UPSTATE AND
FOOTHILLS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS IN THE RICH EQUIVALENT POTENTIAL
TEMP AIRMASS...AND THEN MOVE EAST OF INTERSTATE 77 DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS WED. 0 TO 6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES APPROACHING 50 KT AT
TIMES SHOULD BE ABLE TO TAP ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE CONVECTION
TO BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THE CWFA...WITH BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE
NEAR ANY LINGERING BOUNDARIES AND IN SRN TIER SECTIONS WHERE
INSTABILITY WILL BE HIGHEST AND SFC WINDS SLIGHTLY BACKED. ENHANCED
HWO WORDING WILL BE USED THIS MORNING AND SEVERE CONVECTIVE WATCHES
ARE LIKELY LATER ON.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AT 215 AM EDT TUESDAY...ON WEDNESDAY MORNING A DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW
WILL BE OVER THE TN RIVER VALLEY...BETWEEN HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER
RIDGES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND THE PLAINS. THE LOW MOVES TO OH
BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY
NIGHT. AS THE UPPER PATTERN DEAMPLIFIES LATE THURSDAY...FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL.
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE DEPARTING OUR AREA TO THE EAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHILE A DRY SLOT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL EXTEND
FROM GA TO THE SW VA BORDER. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW
WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE DAY...AND
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MOISTURE
DARTS THE AREA TO THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS
THAT INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE COOL POOL ALOFT WILL BE RATHER
LIMITED...BUT SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FORM THE
SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL RUN BELOW NORMAL UNDER CLOUD COVER AND THE
UPPER LOW BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE
HELD NEAR NORMAL BY CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN WILL FALL
BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE COOL POST FRONTAL AIRMASS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 215 AM EDT TUESDAY...ON FRIDAY MORNING A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL
STRETCH FORM THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND...WHILE ZONAL FLOW TO
ITS SOUTH REACHES FROM THE ROCKIES OT THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. BY
SATURDAY THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE GULF
STATES...AND BY SUNDAY THIS TROUGH AXIS PROGRESSES TO THE EAST
COAST. ON MONDAY THE TROUGH AXIS RETROGRADES SLIGHTLY TO THE
APPALACHIANS AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH.
ON TUESDAY THE GFS BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE TROUGH...
MOVING IT THE THE EAST COAST...WHILE THE ECMWF RETROGRADES IT INTO
THE TN RIVER VALLEY.
AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE GULF STATES
AND CAROLINAS EARLY FRIDAY...IN THE WAKE OF A DEPARTING COLD FRONT.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA FROM THE NE ON FRIDAY NIGHT..BUT
WITH VERY LITTLE MOISTURE OR INSTABILITY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER FRONT CROSSES THE AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH SOME MOISTURE ALONG AND BEHIND IT. INSTABILITY AHEAD
OF THIS BOUNDARY APPEARS TO REMAIN SOUTH OF OUR AREA.UPGLIDE OVER
THE BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL...LIMITING THE CHANCE OF POST
FRONTAL PRECIPITATION INTO TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN AROUND
NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...THE EARLIER WEDGE BOUNDARY HAS RETREATED WELL NW OF THE
AIRFIELD THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTY SE WINDS RESULTING. OCCASIONAL
IFR IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE ATLANTIC MOISTURE FETCH RETURNING.
CIGS MAY EVENTUALLY SETTLE OUT INTO THE MVFR RANGE BEFORE ANY HEAVY
SHOWERS/TSRA THROUGH THE PERIOD PROVIDE TEMPO IFR AGAIN. WILL TIME
THE SHRA MAINLY AFTER 12Z...WITH TSRA AFTER 16Z...AND THEN THE
HEAVIEST TSRA TOWARD EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT. GUSTS INTO THE 20S
APPEAR POSSIBLE AT JUST ABOUT ANY POINT THROUGH THE DAY/NIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...SHOWER COVERAGE HAS FILLED IN THROUGHOUT WITH THE ROBUST
WARM ADVECTION...MOISTURE...AND UPGLIDE FLOW RETURNING AHEAD OF THE
CYCLONE AND SFC FRONT TO THE WEST THIS MORNING. MOST LOCATIONS
SHOULD SEE AT LEAST TEMPO IFR DESPITE IMPROVEMENT IN THE SE FLOW
BEHIND THE RETREATING CAD LAYER. ANTICIPATE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
BUILDING THROUGH LATE MORNING...BECOMING HEAVIER THROUGH THE AFTN
AND EVENING HOURS WITH THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND...AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING TO STEADIER SHOWERS FROM THE WEST VERY LATE IN THE
PERIOD. SRLY GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
EARLY WED. GRADUAL DRYING WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
MID TO LATE WEEK.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
15-21Z 21-03Z 03-09Z 09-15Z
KCLT MED 66% MED 66% MED 65% MED 66%
KGSP LOW 56% MED 78% MED 65% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 91% HIGH 85% HIGH 100% MED 70%
KHKY MED 79% MED 71% MED 65% MED 63%
KGMU LOW 56% MED 78% MED 68% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 87% HIGH 82% MED 79% MED 60%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR GAZ010-017.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-
059-062>065-501>506.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>053-
058-059-062>065-501-503-505.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR SCZ001-002.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...CDG/HG
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...HGHazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 11:09 AM EDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 GAZ010-017-NCZ502-504-506-SCZ001-002-151515- RABUN-HABERSHAM-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH 546 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ068-507>510-SCZ003>008-010>013-019-151515- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CLEVELAND-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD- 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...TORNADO WATCH 546 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. NCZ052-053-059-062>065-501-503-505-151515- HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH 546 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. NCZ033-048>051-058-151515- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-GRAHAM- 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. NCZ035>037-056-057-069>072-082-SCZ009-014-151515- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION NC-YORK-CHESTER- 1109 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE. CDG
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 14, 9:03 AM EDT, 5 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
903 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 AM TSTM WND DMG PICKENS 34.88N 82.71W
10/14/2014 PICKENS SC 911 CALL CENTER
ONE TREE DOWN ON ROSEDALE DRIVE.
&&
HGSpecial weather statement, Oct 14, 9:52 AM EDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
952 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ056-068>071-502>508-510-SCZ006>009-012>014-019-141545-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-CATAWBA-CHEROKEE-CHESTER-CLEVELAND-EASTERN
MCDOWELL-EASTERN POLK-GASTON-GREATER BURKE-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER
GREENVILLE-GREATER RUTHERFORD-GREENWOOD-LAURENS-LINCOLN-MCDOWELL
MOUNTAINS-MECKLENBURG-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-SPARTANBURG-UNION-YORK-
952 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL
AFFECT THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON...
AT 950 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAKE LURE TO
ROEBUCK TO CROSS HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE LEADING LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS COULD RANGE AROUND 40 MPH. IN
ADDITION...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND
WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO
FALL.
LAT...LON 3405 8219 3506 8224 3519 8221 3520 8225
3533 8225 3540 8219 3542 8225 3594 8178
3589 8173 3592 8169 3565 8096 3457 8094
3454 8100 3456 8141 3450 8141 3444 8154
3452 8164 3430 8189 3421 8194 3417 8190
NEDLocal storm report, Oct 14, 11:30 AM EDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 AM TSTM WND DMG SIX MILE 34.81N 82.82W
10/14/2014 PICKENS SC PUBLIC
FIVE TREES AND LARGE LIMBS FROM SURROUNDING TREES DOWN.
TIME ASSOCIATED FROM RADAR DATA. REPORT FROM SOCIAL
MEDIA.
&&
NEDSpecial weather statement, Oct 14, 11:50 AM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1150 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ508-510-SCZ006>008-012-013-141630-
CHEROKEE-EASTERN POLK-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER
RUTHERFORD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-UNION-
1150 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RUTHERFORD AND
SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTIES IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...AND EAST
CENTRAL GREENVILLE...NORTHWESTERN UNION...SPARTANBURG...EASTERN
LAURENS AND WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA
THROUGH 1230 PM EDT...
AT 1149 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GREER TO 5 MILES NORTH OF WOODRUFF TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
ENOREE...
INMAN...
I-85 AT I-26...
USC UPSTATE...
CEDAR SPRINGS...
PACOLET...
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3426 8195 3473 8211 3499 8229 3505 8225
3507 8222 3511 8222 3553 8195 3553 8190
3530 8174 3528 8173 3518 8177 3518 8169
3484 8158
RWHLocal storm report, Oct 14, 1:44 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
144 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 AM FUNNEL CLOUD MOORESBORO 35.30N 81.70W
10/14/2014 CLEVELAND NC TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER WITNESSED A FUNNEL CLOUD...APPEARED WELL
OFF THE SURFACE.
&&
NEDLocal storm report, Oct 14, 1:58 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
158 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM FUNNEL CLOUD MOORESBORO 35.30N 81.70W
10/14/2014 CLEVELAND NC TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER WITNESSED A FUNNEL CLOUD...APPEARED WELL
OFF THE SURFACE.
&&
NEDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 10:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Graham, Haywood and 9 more | 27 hr |
| Oct 14, 9:52 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Burke, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln, Polk and 1 more | 113 min |
| Oct 14, 10:45 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Avery, Burke, McDowell, Mitchell | 60 min |
| Oct 14, 10:58 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Buncombe, Henderson, McDowell, Madison, Mitchell, Yancey | 62 min |
| Oct 14, 11:50 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rutherford | 40 min |
| Oct 14, 12:38 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | GSP | Cleveland, Rutherford | 52 min |
| Oct 14, 12:45 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Transylvania | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 1:28 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | GSP | Burke, Catawba, Cleveland, Lincoln, Rutherford | 47 min |
| Oct 14, 3:19 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Henderson, Transylvania | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 4:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Graham, Swain | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 4:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Macon | 2 hr |
| Oct 14, 5:34 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Jackson, Transylvania | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 6:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Transylvania | 4 hr |
| Oct 14, 6:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Transylvania | 33 min |
| Oct 14, 6:43 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Macon | 4 hr |
| Oct 14, 7:04 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Henderson | 4 hr |
| Oct 14, 7:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Graham | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 7:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Polk | 32 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every tornado warning in 2014Tornadoes in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.