Flash Flood Warning 45, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

473 
WGUS72 KGSP 150157
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
957 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCC011-023-027-111-121-199-150330-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0045.000000T0000Z-141015T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVERY NC-MITCHELL NC-YANCEY NC-MCDOWELL NC-CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-
957 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN BURKE...WESTERN
CALDWELL...MCDOWELL...EASTERN YANCEY...MITCHELL AND AVERY COUNTIES
UNTIL 1130 PM EDT...

AT 952 PM EDT...YANCEY COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS AND AREA STREAMGAGES 
INDICATED AREAS OF FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH TOE BASIN AND IT/S 
TRIBUTARIES. IN ADDITION...HIGH WATER CONDITIONS WAS BEING OBSERVED
IN PARTS OF AVERY COUNTY...ESPECIALLY AS CONTINUED RUNOFF RESULTS IN 
THE NORTH TOE COMING OUT OF IT/S BANKS.   

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
BURNSVILLE...MARION...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...ASHFORD...
BAKERSVILLE...BANNER ELK...BUSICK...COLLETTSVILLE...DYSARTSVILLE...
GLENWOOD...GLOBE...INGALLS...JONAS RIDGE...LAKE JAMES...LINVILLE...
LINVILLE FALLS...MICAVILLE...OLD FORT...PATTERSON AND SEVEN DEVILS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3628 8189 3621 8190 3619 8184 3612 8181
      3613 8155 3608 8145 3554 8190 3555 8201
      3552 8217 3561 8229 3571 8228 3575 8234
      3581 8235 3601 8232 3605 8229 3610 8220
      3609 8215 3613 8204 3629 8192

$$

CSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
818 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
THEN OFFSHORE BY TOMORROW NIGHT. AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY MOVES
BACK INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...DRIER
WEATHER WILL RETURN AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
800 PM UPDATE...AN ORGANIZED LINE OF INTENSE CONVECTION WITH
SLIGHTLY BOWING SEGMENTS HAS FORMED ALONG THE FRONT AND IS NOW
MOVING THRU THE GSP METRO AND AREAS DUE NORTH AND SOUTH. SBCAPE FROM
SPC MESOANALYSIS REMAINS ON THE ORDER OF 200-500 J AHEAD OF THIS
LINE...CONCURRENT WITH 40-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. SOME PORTIONS OF
THE LINE HAVE EXHIBITED ROTATION AND WE WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE
EYE ON IT AS IT CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER UNSTABLE AIR. DISCRETE MINOR
CONVECTION HAS FORMED AHEAD OF THIS LINE AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE
AS LLVL FLOW INCREASES NOCTURNALLY AND NEARER THE FRONT. ACTIVITY
ALSO IS GROWING AT THE SRN END OF THE LINEAR FEATURE POSSIBLY AIDED
BY THE STRENGTHENING FLOW. HOWEVER BEHIND THIS LINE POPS WILL
QUICKLY DROP OFF. WE WILL TRIM OUT COUNTIES FROM THE TORNADO AND/OR
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AS IT PASSES.

AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...RATHER POTENT UPPER TROF AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT THE NEAR TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST.  LATEST DAY ONE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM SPC CONSUMES THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK REGION...WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 5 PERCENT AREA FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES.  THIS COINCIDES
WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING
LONGWAVE TROF...UPPER JET...AND BACKED FLOW AT THE SURFACE.IMPROVED
UPPER SUPPORT BACKED BY AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE IMPULSE AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER JET MAX WILL PROVIDE AMPLE DIVERGENCE/LIFT IN THE
MID/UPPER LEVELS TO AID CONVECTION THIS EVENING...AND THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT DESPITE HEATING LOSS. LONG RIGHT TURNING HODOGRAPHS IN THE
WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ARE INDICATIVE OF IMPRESSIVE
SHEAR THROUGH THE PROFILE.  BACKED FLOW AT THE SURFACE COULD SUPPORT
TORNADOGENESIS WITHIN THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.
THUS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE ISOLATED AND
SHORT LIVED TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

IN ADDITION...CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WILL
PROVIDE SUPPORTIVE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING
WITHIN AND ADJACENT TO ANY OF THE STRONGER CELLS THROUGH THE FIRST
12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT.  WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN WILL LIKELY
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES
BEHIND THE FROPA OVERNIGHT.  CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER DAYBREAK
AS THE FRONT SLIDES INTO CENTRAL NC AND THE MIDLANDS OF SC.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RATHER STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FEATURED IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...A DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO BE
CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WED EVENING. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NE AND WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR ZONAL FLOW TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CAROLINAS AND NE GA BY LATE WEEK.

AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES NE WED NIGHT THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED DPVA WILL CONTINUE TO
TRIGGER SOME SCT SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN NC. THE SHOWERS WILL
BE MOST NUMEROPUS IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WHERE NW FLOW WILL
ENHANCE LIFT. A FEW NW FLOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THU MORNING OVER
THE NC MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NW WITH CLEARING COMMENCING DURING THU. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
CONTROL THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL RUN BELOW NORMAL ON THURSDAY...WARMING TO NEAR
CLIMO ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD NEAR NORMAL BY
CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN WILL FALL BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS DEVELOPING.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 215 PM EDT TUESDAY...A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. EARLY IN THE WEEKEND AND THEN TRANSITION
EASTWARD ALLOWING FOR ZONAL FLOW TO DEVELOP BY LATE SUNDAY. ANOTHER
UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES EARLY NEXT
WEEK AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY.

AT THE SURFACE A DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CP HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE OVER THE AREA SAT INTO
SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL EAST TO THE COAST ON MONDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE MONDAY NIGHT FRONT
MAY TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR
CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SHRA WILL PRECEDE A LATE EVENING
FROPA...WITH INTENSE TSRA EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ITSELF.
THE VERY STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW ALOFT IMPLIES SOME THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THESE TSRA. BRISK SWLY GUSTS ARE LIKELY EVEN
OUTSIDE TSRA UNTIL AFTER THE FROPA. THE FRONT/S PARENT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS OCCLUDED AND THE WIND SHIFT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL ONLY BE
SUBTLE...AND NOT IMMEDIATELY BRINGING DRYING/CLEARING. IN FACT WITH
A MIDLEVEL INVERSION AN MVFR LEVEL DECK IS LIKELY TO REMAIN TRAPPED
AND PERSIST THRU DAYBREAK. WET SOILS AND LIGHTER WINDS NEAR DAYBREAK
ARE LIKELY TO ALLOW SOME LIGHT FOG TO FORM. IF WINDS CALM MORE THAN
ANTICIPATED NEAR DAYBREAK DENSE FOG OR LOW STRATUS IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THRU THE DAY AS
WRAPAROUND MOISTURE FROM THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FILLS BACK IN ACRS
THE AREA.

ELSEWHERE...INTENSE CONVECTION INVOF COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE
SITES THIS EVENING EXCEPT AT KAND WHERE THE LINE HAS ALREADY PUSHED
THROUGH. AS AT KCLT...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A WIND SHIFT OR
SUBSTANTIAL DRYING POST FROPA. THE TSRA WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS IFR VSBY...WITH LOW VFR TO MVFR CIGS
RETURNING AFTER THEY DEPART. SOME MVFR FOG LIKELY ACRS THE AREA NEAR
DAYBREAK...THOUGH KAVL IS EXPECTED TO GO LIFR. CIGS SHOULD LIFT TO
VFR AND POSSIBLY BREAK UP IN PLACES...BUT INCREASING CLOUDINESS IS
EXPECTED LATE IN THE PERIOD AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE DEPARTING
OCCLUDED LOW.

OUTLOOK...GRADUAL DRYING WILL DEVELOP MID TO LATE WEEK AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-24Z
KCLT       HIGH  88%     HIGH  84%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  90%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  84%     HIGH  85%     MED   79%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  94%     MED   79%     HIGH  82%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH  89%     MED   76%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH  86%     MED   74%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NCZ033-048>050-
     053-064-065-501>506.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>065-501-503-505.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR SCZ002.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...CDG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...WIMBERLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-152015-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND
HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ507-509-152015-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY
RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-SCZ001-002-152015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND
HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ003>014-
019-152015-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...AS
WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ502-504-506-152015-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND
HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
719 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCZ065-509-SCZ002-003-005-006-010-150000-
ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER PICKENS-GREENVILLE
MOUNTAINS-HENDERSON-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
719 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN PICKENS...NORTHERN
GREENVILLE...WESTERN POLK...NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN
HENDERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

AT 716 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MARIETTA TO I-85 AT HIGHWAY 81...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON...NORTHEASTERN PICKENS...NORTHERN
GREENVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN HENDERSON AND WESTERN POLK COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

EASLEY...POWDERSVILLE...MARIETTA...I-85 AT I-185...FURMAN
UNIVERSITY...TRAVELERS REST...HIGHWAY 25 AT HIGHWAY 11...DOWNTOWN
GREENVILLE...CHERRYDALE POINT AND TIGERVILLE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3502 8262 3541 8229 3532 8226 3529 8229
      3520 8226 3519 8222 3498 8222 3460 8257

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
742 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

SCZ006-007-010>012-019-150030-
ABBEVILLE-ANDERSON-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREENWOOD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-
742 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE...WESTERN
SPARTANBURG...NORTHWESTERN LAURENS...NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD...EASTERN
ANDERSON AND ABBEVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM EDT...

AT 739 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WILLIAMSTON TO 5
MILES WEST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEOPLE IN ABBEVILLE...EASTERN ANDERSON...NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD...
NORTHWESTERN LAURENS...SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE AND WESTERN
SPARTANBURG COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

WILLIAMSTON...BELTON...PIEDMONT...DUE WEST...HONEA PATH...DONALDSON
CENTER...I-85 AT AUGUSTA RD...HAYWOOD MALL...MAULDIN AND SHOPS AT
GREENRIDGE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3514 8205 3453 8202 3412 8250 3453 8267
      3468 8252

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
758 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCZ508>510-SCZ003-006-007-150030-
EASTERN POLK-GREATER GREENVILLE-GREATER RUTHERFORD-GREENVILLE
MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-SPARTANBURG-
758 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN GREENVILLE...WESTERN
RUTHERFORD...POLK AND NORTHWESTERN SPARTANBURG COUNTIES THROUGH 830
PM EDT...

AT 756 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TRYON TO GREER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN GREENVILLE...NORTHWESTERN SPARTANBURG...POLK
AND WESTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

GREER...LAKE ROBINSON...TRYON...COLUMBUS...LANDRUM...INMAN...LAKE
ADGER...LAKE BOWEN AND RUTHERFORDTON...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3553 8204 3536 8196 3514 8197 3482 8233
      3519 8236

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
809 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 E BREVARD             35.24N 82.63W
10/14/2014                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   OTHER FEDERAL

            WATER WAS COVERING A PORTION OF CASCADE LAKE ROAD

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
830 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCZ506>508-510-SCZ007-150100-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-EASTERN POLK-GREATER RUTHERFORD-RUTHERFORD
MOUNTAINS-SPARTANBURG-
830 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...EASTERN
POLK...SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL AND NORTH CENTRAL SPARTANBURG COUNTIES
THROUGH 900 PM EDT...

AT 828 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THERMAL CITY TO LAKE BOWEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...EASTERN POLK...NORTHERN SPARTANBURG
AND SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

LAKE BOWEN...THERMAL CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...GLENWOOD...SPINDALE...
FOREST CITY...DYSARTSVILLE AND BOSTIC...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3571 8186 3548 8180 3528 8179 3499 8210
      3544 8220 3553 8211 3554 8208 3560 8203
      3560 8204 3574 8190

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
833 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

NCZ508-SCZ007-008-012-150115-
CHEROKEE-GREATER RUTHERFORD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-
833 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...
SPARTANBURG...WESTERN LAURENS AND WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES THROUGH
915 PM EDT...

AT 831 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM INMAN TO LAURENS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...SPARTANBURG...WESTERN CHEROKEE
AND WESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

REIDVILLE...GRAY COURT...LYMAN...DUNCAN...LAURENS...WOODRUFF...I-85
AT I-26...WESTGATE MALL...BOILING SPRINGS SC AND ENOREE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3436 8212 3499 8214 3544 8172 3531 8172
      3518 8177 3518 8172 3491 8172 3483 8179
      3460 8185

MOORE