Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this river flood warning at Oct 14, 2014, 9:16 PM EDT for Henderson County, Transylvania County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 15, 2014, 4:10 AM EDT. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 14, 2014, 9:16 PM EDT (01:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 15, 2014, 4:10 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2014, 4:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Henderson County, NC, Transylvania County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point French Broad River at Grove Bridge Rd, in Blantyre (BLAN7). The gauge peaked at 16.00 ft at Oct 15, 2014, 3:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 16 ft
- Moderate stage
- 19 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03443000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
741
WGUS42 KGSP 150116
FLWGSP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
916 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG
HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...
FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND
TRANSYLVANIA COUNTIES
.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...NIGHTIME MAKES IT
DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE FLOODED AREAS.
THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
NCC089-175-160116-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0004.141015T0810Z-141016T2015Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.141015T0810Z.141015T1800Z.141016T0815Z.NO/
916 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 830 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FARMFIELDS IN LOW LYING AREAS AND A LOCAL
TREE FARM AND GREENHOUSE NEAR GROVE BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE FLOODED.
THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FLOW ACROSS PLEASANT GROVE ROAD BETWEEN
TALLY RD AND CREEKS EDGE DRIVE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE FARMFIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER
AND BREVARD ROAD WILL BE FLOODED. FIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER AND
PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL ALSO BE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO OVERFLOW ITS
BANKS AND WILL APPROACH PARTS OF BIG WILLOW AND RIVER ROADS NEAR
ETOWAH.
&&
LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
3526 8274 3534 82613 follow-up statements
138
WGUS82 KGSP 150536
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
136 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN NORTH CAROLINA...
FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA
COUNTIES.
.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
NCC089-175-160536-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0004.141015T0810Z-141016T2015Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.141015T0810Z.141015T1800Z.141016T0815Z.NO/
136 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 130 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...14.8 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FARMFIELDS IN LOW LYING AREAS AND A LOCAL
TREE FARM AND GREENHOUSE NEAR GROVE BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE FLOODED.
THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FLOW ACROSS PLEASANT GROVE ROAD BETWEEN
TALLY RD AND CREEKS EDGE DRIVE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE FARMFIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER
AND BREVARD ROAD WILL BE FLOODED. FIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER AND
PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL ALSO BE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO OVERFLOW ITS
BANKS AND WILL APPROACH PARTS OF BIG WILLOW AND RIVER ROADS NEAR
ETOWAH.
&&
LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
3526 8274 3534 8261381
WGUS82 KGSP 151511
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1111 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN NORTH CAROLINA...
FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA
COUNTIES.
.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP
PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.
&&
NCC089-175-161200-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141016T1200Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.141015T1622Z.141015T1800Z.141016T0000Z.NO/
1111 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 1045 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.9 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET
* FORECAST...WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY RISE TO 16.1 FEET BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED...FARMFIELDS IN LOW
LYING AREAS AND A LOCAL TREE FARM AND GREENHOUSE NEAR GROVE BRIDGE
ROAD WILL BE FLOODED. PARTS OF PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL BE COVERED
WITH 6 INCHES OF WATER MAINLY ON TALLY ROAD AND NEAR CREEKS EDGE
DRIVE.
&&
LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
3526 8274 3534 8261
$$966
WGUS82 KGSP 161129
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
729 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN NORTH CAROLINA...
FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA
COUNTIES.
.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY AND
GRADUALLY RETURN TO WITHIN ITS BANKS TODAY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP
&&
NCC089-175-161159-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-141016T1200Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.141015T2000Z.000000T0000Z.141015T2000Z.NO/
729 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2014
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE
* AT 715 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.1 FEET
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE FARMFIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER
AND BREVARD ROAD WILL BE FLOODED. FIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER AND
PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL ALSO BE FLOODED.
&&
LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
3526 8274 3534 8261
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 14, 8:18 PM EDT, 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 8:18 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
818 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
THEN OFFSHORE BY TOMORROW NIGHT. AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY MOVES
BACK INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...DRIER
WEATHER WILL RETURN AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
800 PM UPDATE...AN ORGANIZED LINE OF INTENSE CONVECTION WITH
SLIGHTLY BOWING SEGMENTS HAS FORMED ALONG THE FRONT AND IS NOW
MOVING THRU THE GSP METRO AND AREAS DUE NORTH AND SOUTH. SBCAPE FROM
SPC MESOANALYSIS REMAINS ON THE ORDER OF 200-500 J AHEAD OF THIS
LINE...CONCURRENT WITH 40-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. SOME PORTIONS OF
THE LINE HAVE EXHIBITED ROTATION AND WE WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE
EYE ON IT AS IT CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER UNSTABLE AIR. DISCRETE MINOR
CONVECTION HAS FORMED AHEAD OF THIS LINE AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE
AS LLVL FLOW INCREASES NOCTURNALLY AND NEARER THE FRONT. ACTIVITY
ALSO IS GROWING AT THE SRN END OF THE LINEAR FEATURE POSSIBLY AIDED
BY THE STRENGTHENING FLOW. HOWEVER BEHIND THIS LINE POPS WILL
QUICKLY DROP OFF. WE WILL TRIM OUT COUNTIES FROM THE TORNADO AND/OR
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AS IT PASSES.
AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...RATHER POTENT UPPER TROF AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT THE NEAR TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. LATEST DAY ONE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM SPC CONSUMES THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK REGION...WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 5 PERCENT AREA FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES. THIS COINCIDES
WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING
LONGWAVE TROF...UPPER JET...AND BACKED FLOW AT THE SURFACE.IMPROVED
UPPER SUPPORT BACKED BY AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE IMPULSE AND
ASSOCIATED UPPER JET MAX WILL PROVIDE AMPLE DIVERGENCE/LIFT IN THE
MID/UPPER LEVELS TO AID CONVECTION THIS EVENING...AND THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT DESPITE HEATING LOSS. LONG RIGHT TURNING HODOGRAPHS IN THE
WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ARE INDICATIVE OF IMPRESSIVE
SHEAR THROUGH THE PROFILE. BACKED FLOW AT THE SURFACE COULD SUPPORT
TORNADOGENESIS WITHIN THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.
THUS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE ISOLATED AND
SHORT LIVED TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
IN ADDITION...CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WILL
PROVIDE SUPPORTIVE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING
WITHIN AND ADJACENT TO ANY OF THE STRONGER CELLS THROUGH THE FIRST
12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT. WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN WILL LIKELY
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES
BEHIND THE FROPA OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER DAYBREAK
AS THE FRONT SLIDES INTO CENTRAL NC AND THE MIDLANDS OF SC.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RATHER STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FEATURED IN THE FORECAST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...A DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO BE
CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WED EVENING. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NE AND WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR ZONAL FLOW TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CAROLINAS AND NE GA BY LATE WEEK.
AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES NE WED NIGHT THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA. THE ASSOCIATED DPVA WILL CONTINUE TO
TRIGGER SOME SCT SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN NC. THE SHOWERS WILL
BE MOST NUMEROPUS IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WHERE NW FLOW WILL
ENHANCE LIFT. A FEW NW FLOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO THU MORNING OVER
THE NC MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
NW WITH CLEARING COMMENCING DURING THU. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
CONTROL THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL RUN BELOW NORMAL ON THURSDAY...WARMING TO NEAR
CLIMO ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD NEAR NORMAL BY
CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN WILL FALL BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS DEVELOPING.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 215 PM EDT TUESDAY...A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. EARLY IN THE WEEKEND AND THEN TRANSITION
EASTWARD ALLOWING FOR ZONAL FLOW TO DEVELOP BY LATE SUNDAY. ANOTHER
UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT LAKES EARLY NEXT
WEEK AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY.
AT THE SURFACE A DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CP HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SE OVER THE AREA SAT INTO
SUNDAY. THE HIGH WILL EAST TO THE COAST ON MONDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE MONDAY NIGHT FRONT
MAY TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR
CLIMO.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SHRA WILL PRECEDE A LATE EVENING
FROPA...WITH INTENSE TSRA EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ITSELF.
THE VERY STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW ALOFT IMPLIES SOME THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THESE TSRA. BRISK SWLY GUSTS ARE LIKELY EVEN
OUTSIDE TSRA UNTIL AFTER THE FROPA. THE FRONT/S PARENT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS OCCLUDED AND THE WIND SHIFT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL ONLY BE
SUBTLE...AND NOT IMMEDIATELY BRINGING DRYING/CLEARING. IN FACT WITH
A MIDLEVEL INVERSION AN MVFR LEVEL DECK IS LIKELY TO REMAIN TRAPPED
AND PERSIST THRU DAYBREAK. WET SOILS AND LIGHTER WINDS NEAR DAYBREAK
ARE LIKELY TO ALLOW SOME LIGHT FOG TO FORM. IF WINDS CALM MORE THAN
ANTICIPATED NEAR DAYBREAK DENSE FOG OR LOW STRATUS IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THRU THE DAY AS
WRAPAROUND MOISTURE FROM THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FILLS BACK IN ACRS
THE AREA.
ELSEWHERE...INTENSE CONVECTION INVOF COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE
SITES THIS EVENING EXCEPT AT KAND WHERE THE LINE HAS ALREADY PUSHED
THROUGH. AS AT KCLT...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A WIND SHIFT OR
SUBSTANTIAL DRYING POST FROPA. THE TSRA WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS IFR VSBY...WITH LOW VFR TO MVFR CIGS
RETURNING AFTER THEY DEPART. SOME MVFR FOG LIKELY ACRS THE AREA NEAR
DAYBREAK...THOUGH KAVL IS EXPECTED TO GO LIFR. CIGS SHOULD LIFT TO
VFR AND POSSIBLY BREAK UP IN PLACES...BUT INCREASING CLOUDINESS IS
EXPECTED LATE IN THE PERIOD AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE DEPARTING
OCCLUDED LOW.
OUTLOOK...GRADUAL DRYING WILL DEVELOP MID TO LATE WEEK AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
00-06Z 06-12Z 12-18Z 18-24Z
KCLT HIGH 88% HIGH 84% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 90% HIGH 89% HIGH 95% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 84% HIGH 85% MED 79% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 94% MED 79% HIGH 82% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 89% MED 76% HIGH 91% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 86% MED 74% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NCZ033-048>050-
053-064-065-501>506.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>053-
058-059-062>065-501-503-505.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR SCZ002.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...CDG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...WIMBERLEYHazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 4:09 PM EDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-152015- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ507-509-152015- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-SCZ001-002-152015- RABUN-HABERSHAM-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ003>014- 019-152015- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ502-504-506-152015- GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL- 409 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...TORNADO WATCH 548 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AND WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 14, 8:30 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
830 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ506>508-510-SCZ007-150100-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-EASTERN POLK-GREATER RUTHERFORD-RUTHERFORD
MOUNTAINS-SPARTANBURG-
830 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...EASTERN
POLK...SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL AND NORTH CENTRAL SPARTANBURG COUNTIES
THROUGH 900 PM EDT...
AT 828 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THERMAL CITY TO LAKE BOWEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
PEOPLE IN CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...EASTERN POLK...NORTHERN SPARTANBURG
AND SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...
LAKE BOWEN...THERMAL CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...GLENWOOD...SPINDALE...
FOREST CITY...DYSARTSVILLE AND BOSTIC...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3571 8186 3548 8180 3528 8179 3499 8210
3544 8220 3553 8211 3554 8208 3560 8203
3560 8204 3574 8190
MOORESpecial weather statement, Oct 14, 8:33 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
833 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ508-SCZ007-008-012-150115-
CHEROKEE-GREATER RUTHERFORD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-
833 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...
SPARTANBURG...WESTERN LAURENS AND WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES THROUGH
915 PM EDT...
AT 831 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM INMAN TO LAURENS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...SPARTANBURG...WESTERN CHEROKEE
AND WESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
REIDVILLE...GRAY COURT...LYMAN...DUNCAN...LAURENS...WOODRUFF...I-85
AT I-26...WESTGATE MALL...BOILING SPRINGS SC AND ENOREE...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3436 8212 3499 8214 3544 8172 3531 8172
3518 8177 3518 8172 3491 8172 3483 8179
3460 8185
MOORESpecial weather statement, Oct 14, 9:02 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
902 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ033-050-501-503>506-150145-
AVERY-BURKE MOUNTAINS-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER
BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-MITCHELL-
902 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BURKE...
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL...NORTHEASTERN MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL
AND AVERY COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM EDT...
AT 900 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MARION...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.
PEOPLE IN AVERY...NORTHEASTERN MCDOWELL...NORTHWESTERN BURKE...
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MARION...LAKE JAMES...ASHFORD...LINVILLE FALLS...JONAS RIDGE...
LINVILLE AND SEVEN DEVILS...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3620 8188 3620 8185 3616 8182 3612 8181
3613 8162 3612 8158 3563 8188 3569 8215
3622 8191
MOORESpecial weather statement, Oct 14, 9:03 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
903 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
NCZ068-501-502-504-508-150145-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-CLEVELAND-GREATER BURKE-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER
RUTHERFORD-
903 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BURKE...CALDWELL...NORTHEASTERN
RUTHERFORD AND NORTHWESTERN CLEVELAND COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM EDT...
AT 902 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF LAKE
JAMES TO POLKVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
PEOPLE IN BURKE...CALDWELL...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD AND NORTHWESTERN
CLEVELAND COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SALEM...CASAR...MORGANTON...COLLETTSVILLE...VALDESE...GAMEWELL...
RUTHERFORD COLLEGE...LAKE RHODHISS...CONNELLY SPRINGS AND
PATTERSON...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3610 8149 3576 8137 3529 8179 3554 8184
3559 8183 3574 8189 3585 8180 3589 8173
3593 8175 3613 8161 3613 8155
MOORELocal storm report, Oct 14, 9:12 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
912 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NE HENDERSONVILLE 35.38N 82.41W
10/14/2014 HENDERSON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL
CLEAR CREEK OVERRAN ITS BANK AND FLOODED FRUITLAND ROAD.
&&
KRENTZLocal storm report, Oct 14, 9:14 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
914 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S HENDERSONVILLE 35.31N 82.46W
10/14/2014 HENDERSON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
SOUTH KING AND SOUTH GROVE STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
FROM MUD CREEK.
&&
KRENTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 8:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rutherford | 30 min |
| Oct 14, 8:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Avery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey | 3 hr |
| Oct 14, 9:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Avery, McDowell | 43 min |
| Oct 14, 9:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Burke, Caldwell | 42 min |
| Oct 14, 9:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Cleveland | 48 min |
| Oct 14, 9:38 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Rutherford | 112 min |
| Oct 14, 9:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 30 min |
| Oct 14, 9:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Alexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland, Lincoln and 1 more | 42 min |
| Oct 14, 10:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Gaston | 25 min |
| Oct 14, 10:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Alexander, Caldwell, Catawba, Iredell | 46 min |
| Oct 14, 10:59 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Henderson | 2 hr |
| Oct 14, 11:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Gaston, Mecklenburg | 30 min |
| Oct 14, 11:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Iredell | 48 min |
| Oct 14, 11:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Avery, Mitchell | 2 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.