Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 15

February 20, 201413 counties in Alabama; 7 parishes in Louisiana; 43 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 20, 2014, 6:05 PM CST for 13 counties in Alabama; 7 parishes in Louisiana; 43 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2014, 6:05 PM CST (00:05 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 1:00 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 63 counties

Bibb County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 6:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLincoln55 min
Feb 20, 6:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke40 min
Feb 20, 6:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana67 min
Feb 20, 6:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana33 min
Feb 20, 6:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington31 min
Feb 20, 6:48 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington27 min
Feb 20, 6:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa63 min
Feb 20, 7:12 PM CSTTornado WarningJANMarion63 min
Feb 20, 7:12 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWalthall18 min
Feb 20, 7:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington64 min
Feb 20, 7:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster44 min
Feb 20, 7:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw51 min
Feb 20, 7:55 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBClarke, Washington35 min
Feb 20, 7:58 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion62 min
Feb 20, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha52 min
Feb 20, 8:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke, Wilcox63 min
Feb 20, 8:27 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANMarion3 hr
Feb 20, 8:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMarion32 min
Feb 20, 8:32 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jones58 min
Feb 20, 8:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes51 min
Feb 20, 8:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar45 min
Feb 20, 8:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Evangeline, Saint Landry39 min
Feb 20, 8:52 PM CSTTornado WarningJANLowndes23 min
Feb 20, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar63 min
Feb 20, 9:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana27 min
Feb 20, 9:22 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLowndes, Oktibbeha98 min
Feb 20, 9:26 PM CSTTornado WarningJANJones49 min
Feb 20, 9:34 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANLawrence, Lincoln116 min
Feb 20, 9:39 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar3 hr
Feb 20, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne78 min
Feb 20, 9:46 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWalthall14 min
Feb 20, 10:07 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANJefferson Davis3 hr
Feb 20, 10:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Marion50 min
Feb 20, 10:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar57 min
Feb 20, 10:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott, Smith46 min
Feb 20, 10:31 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClarke, Jasper29 min
Feb 20, 10:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMarion37 min
Feb 20, 10:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWalthall20 min
Feb 20, 10:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Washington78 min
Feb 20, 11:08 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANMarion3 hr
Feb 20, 11:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar64 min
Feb 20, 11:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Perry61 min
Feb 20, 11:51 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Lamar114 min
Feb 21, 12:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington80 min
Feb 21, 12:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXTuscaloosa26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2014-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 384 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2014-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 226 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
384 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1582 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
261 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

098 
WWUS20 KWNS 210006
SEL5  
SPC WW 210006
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-210700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
  SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
  A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MC COMB MISSISSIPPI. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 11...WW 13...WW
14...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING ALONG LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE WELL IN
ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT MIDWEST SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH THROUGH LATER THIS
EVE AS REGION IS GLANCED BY THE IMPULSE. ADEQUATE ENVIRONMENT FOR
TORNADOES ATTM...GIVEN 00Z JAN RAOB...PLUS LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME
INCREASE IN WIND FIELD THROUGH TNGT...SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND/HAIL. WITH TIME...SOME INCREASE
IN STORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG EXISTING CONFLUENCE BAND NOW EXTENDING
FROM NW MS SWWD INTO W CNTRL LA. THIS ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT WRN PARTS
OF WW 15 LATER TNGT WITH A RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 6:49 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 25 more6 hr
Feb 20, 8:01 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 5 more89 min
Feb 20, 9:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Clarke, Greene, Hale, Marengo and 6 more2 hr
Feb 20, 11:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 42 more62 min
Feb 21, 12:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 40 more7 hr
Feb 21, 3:33 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston and 2 more87 min
Feb 20, 6:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Catahoula, East Carroll and 14 more95 min
Feb 20, 7:22 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 32 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2014Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.