Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 15
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 20, 2014, 6:05 PM CST for 13 counties in Alabama; 7 parishes in Louisiana; 43 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 20, 2014, 6:05 PM CST (00:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2014, 1:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Bibb County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 6:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lincoln | 55 min |
| Feb 20, 6:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke | 40 min |
| Feb 20, 6:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana | 67 min |
| Feb 20, 6:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana | 33 min |
| Feb 20, 6:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Washington | 31 min |
| Feb 20, 6:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Washington | 27 min |
| Feb 20, 6:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 63 min |
| Feb 20, 7:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Marion | 63 min |
| Feb 20, 7:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 18 min |
| Feb 20, 7:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa, Washington | 64 min |
| Feb 20, 7:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster | 44 min |
| Feb 20, 7:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw | 51 min |
| Feb 20, 7:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Washington | 35 min |
| Feb 20, 7:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 62 min |
| Feb 20, 8:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha | 52 min |
| Feb 20, 8:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Clarke, Wilcox | 63 min |
| Feb 20, 8:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Marion | 3 hr |
| Feb 20, 8:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Marion | 32 min |
| Feb 20, 8:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jones | 58 min |
| Feb 20, 8:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 51 min |
| Feb 20, 8:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lamar | 45 min |
| Feb 20, 8:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Avoyelles, Evangeline, Saint Landry | 39 min |
| Feb 20, 8:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 23 min |
| Feb 20, 9:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 63 min |
| Feb 20, 9:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana | 27 min |
| Feb 20, 9:22 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lowndes, Oktibbeha | 98 min |
| Feb 20, 9:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jones | 49 min |
| Feb 20, 9:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lawrence, Lincoln | 116 min |
| Feb 20, 9:39 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 3 hr |
| Feb 20, 9:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 78 min |
| Feb 20, 9:46 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 14 min |
| Feb 20, 10:07 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis | 3 hr |
| Feb 20, 10:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Marion | 50 min |
| Feb 20, 10:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 57 min |
| Feb 20, 10:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott, Smith | 46 min |
| Feb 20, 10:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clarke, Jasper | 29 min |
| Feb 20, 10:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Marion | 37 min |
| Feb 20, 10:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 20 min |
| Feb 20, 10:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Washington | 78 min |
| Feb 20, 11:08 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Marion | 3 hr |
| Feb 20, 11:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 64 min |
| Feb 20, 11:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Greene, Perry | 61 min |
| Feb 20, 11:51 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 114 min |
| Feb 21, 12:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 80 min |
| Feb 21, 12:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Tuscaloosa | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 384 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1582 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 226 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 261 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
098 WWUS20 KWNS 210006 SEL5 SPC WW 210006 ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-210700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 605 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM UNTIL 100 AM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MC COMB MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 11...WW 13...WW 14... DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING ALONG LOW-LVL CONFLUENCE WELL IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT MIDWEST SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH THROUGH LATER THIS EVE AS REGION IS GLANCED BY THE IMPULSE. ADEQUATE ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADOES ATTM...GIVEN 00Z JAN RAOB...PLUS LIKELIHOOD FOR SOME INCREASE IN WIND FIELD THROUGH TNGT...SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND/HAIL. WITH TIME...SOME INCREASE IN STORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG EXISTING CONFLUENCE BAND NOW EXTENDING FROM NW MS SWWD INTO W CNTRL LA. THIS ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT WRN PARTS OF WW 15 LATER TNGT WITH A RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 6:49 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 25 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 20, 8:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colbert, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 5 more | 89 min |
| Feb 20, 9:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bibb, Choctaw, Clarke, Greene, Hale, Marengo and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 20, 11:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 42 more | 62 min |
| Feb 21, 12:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 40 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 21, 3:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston and 2 more | 87 min |
| Feb 20, 6:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Catahoula, East Carroll and 14 more | 95 min |
| Feb 20, 7:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 32 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2014Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.