Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138

May 10, 20145 counties in Illinois; 34 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 10, 2014, 5:16 PM CDT for 5 counties in Illinois; 34 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2014, 5:16 PM CDT (22:16 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2014, 2:21 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Calhoun County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan50 min
May 10, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan47 min
May 10, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Saline48 min
May 10, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon53 min
May 10, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Monroe, Shelby42 min
May 10, 6:59 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXMacon16 min
May 10, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby24 min
May 10, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Saline47 min
May 10, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Shelby33 min
May 10, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Saline32 min
May 10, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Saline24 min
May 10, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Pike, Ralls48 min
May 10, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Saline65 min
May 10, 8:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXPike, Ralls33 min
May 10, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau42 min
May 10, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard22 min
May 10, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike, Ralls50 min
May 10, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe43 min
May 10, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Ralls40 min
May 10, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway52 min
May 10, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun40 min
May 10, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Osage51 min
May 10, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun50 min
May 10, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey47 min
May 10, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway41 min
May 10, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMontgomery, Warren55 min
May 10, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJersey, Macoupin, Madison38 min
May 10, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery42 min
May 10, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison46 min
May 11, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWarren52 min
May 11, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren47 min
May 11, 12:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles43 min
May 11, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWarren50 min
May 11, 1:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Madison43 min
May 11, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 281 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 69 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1734 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 12:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin, Wabash2 hr
May 10, 4:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Jersey, Monroe, Saint Clair64 min
May 10, 12:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 18 more2 hr
May 10, 2:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 20 more8 hr
May 10, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 28 more93 min
May 10, 5:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Chariton, Howard, Lafayette, Ray, Saline55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.