Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Kansas City, MO

May 10, 2014Cooper County, Howard County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2014, 8:38 PM CDT for Cooper County, Howard County, Missouri. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 10, 2014, 8:38 PM CDT (01:38 UTC)
Expired: May 10, 2014, 9:00 PM CDT
In force: 22 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Cooper County, MO, Howard County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 10, 5:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 267 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 691 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1852 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

783 
WUUS53 KEAX 110138
SVREAX
MOC053-089-110200-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0111.140511T0138Z-140511T0200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
838 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN COOPER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  EASTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 835 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM FAYETTE TO NEW FRANKLIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
           TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
           ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN HOWARD COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3909 9251 3900 9256 3897 9255 3894 9253
      3895 9272 3923 9270 3925 9244 3925 9243
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 270DEG 26KT 3920 9262 3901 9263

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

CDB

1 follow-up statement

740 
WWUS53 KEAX 110155
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
855 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

MOC053-089-110205-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-140511T0200Z/
COOPER MO-HOWARD MO-
855 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN HOWARD AND
NORTHEASTERN COOPER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE
WARNED AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3909 9251 3900 9256 3897 9255 3894 9253
      3895 9272 3923 9270 3925 9244 3925 9243
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 270DEG 26KT 3920 9246 3901 9247

$$

CDB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
645 PM CDT Sat May 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 331 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

Primary concern in the next several days will be severe storm
chances across the area. Ongoing convection will expand eastward
this afternoon and this evening, with additional redevelopment
possible in far eastern Kansas by early evening. MUCAPE in the
3000-4000 J/kg range and bulk shear around 50 kts will support
supercellular structures and very large hail. Storm bases are
currently around 5-6 kft, possibly also supporting damaging winds
but decreasing the tornado threat. A warm front currently stretching
southeast from Maryville through Marshall, MO will continue to lift
northeast, and may serve as the only focus for isolated tornado
potential this afternoon.

Storms will begin to weaken after dark as surface-based instability
decreases in the warm sector, and the warm front should lift into
IA. Any ongoing storms will begin to lift back to the north as the
low-level jet increases tonight, and could strengthen slightly
towards daybreak, but are not expected to become severe.

For Sunday, most daytime severe activity should focus along the warm
front in southern Iowa, far southeast Nebraska, and possibly
portions of northeast Kansas. These storms will very likely be
severe along the warm front, but should stay mainly north of the CWA
until the boundary starts pushing southeastward after 00z. The main
hazards should be damaging winds and perhaps some severe hail as the
storms make their southeastward push later in the evening, and the
most likely period for severe weather on Sunday for the majority of
the CWA should be between 8 PM - 2 AM along the cold frontal
boundary.

The boundary may still linger in the far southeastern CWA when it
re-fires on Monday afternoon, but the period for any strong to
severe storms will be rather brief. Afterward, a few post-frontal
showers may linger across central MO, but much quieter and cooler
conditions are expected.

Little to no change to the extended forecast period. The main story
for most of next week will be cooler temperatures and a few small
chances for light rain showers.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 644 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

Isolated thunderstorms will continue across the area for the next few
hours, then should gradually begin to weaken after 03z. Another area
of showers and thunderstorms may develop across eastern Kansas and
west central Missouri, lifting northward between 06z and 12z, but the
uncertainty is too large with this line to add more than VCTS at any
of the TAF sites. Most of the area should be clearing out after 12z
Sunday, and should stay storm-free until after 00z Sunday evening.
Large hail and damaging winds are possible with the isolated storms
this evening, and will be possible again with the storms on Sunday
evening after 00z.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Laflin
AVIATION...Laflin

Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 12:20 PM CDT, 8 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1220 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111730-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1220 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A LINE FROM SOUTHEAST
KANSAS THROUGH NORTHWEST MISSOURI IN THE EARLY TO MID- AFTERNOON HOURS.
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MISSOURI. THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL...SOME DAMAGING
WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AFTER MIDNIGHT AND MAY CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

 SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE
 OUTLOOK AREA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
 WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 7:52 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
752 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND GST     DEARBORN                39.52N 94.77W
05/10/2014  E60 MPH          PLATTE             MO   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH

&&

Local storm report, May 10, 8:01 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
801 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE ANABEL            39.71N 92.33W
05/10/2014                   MACON              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SHINGLES OFF ROOF AND A FEW TREES DOWN...POSSIBLE TORNADO
            DAMAGE

0700 PM     HAIL             3 SSE ANABEL            39.71N 92.33W
05/10/2014  E2.25 INCH       MACON              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DELAYED REPORT

0740 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E MARSHALL            39.12N 93.11W
05/10/2014                   SALINE             MO   STORM CHASER

            ROOF DAMAGE..SHINGLES OFF...AND MULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN
            OR UPROOTED

&&

LAFLIN

Local storm report, May 10, 8:06 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
806 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0753 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE DEARBORN           39.56N 94.73W
05/10/2014  E60 MPH          BUCHANAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH WIND GUST. ALSO PEA TO DIME SIZED
            HAIL.

&&

MELL

Local storm report, May 10, 8:09 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
809 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     TSTM WND GST     STEWARTSVILLE           39.75N 94.50W
05/10/2014  E50 MPH          DEKALB             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MELL

Local storm report, May 10, 8:16 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
816 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE MARSHALL           39.16N 93.15W
05/10/2014                   SALINE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG HWY 240
            BETWEEN MARSHALL AND SLATER

&&

Local storm report, May 10, 8:24 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
824 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     TORNADO          5 SW SLATER             39.17N 93.13W
05/10/2014                   SALINE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS, DEBRIS, AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

MELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 10, 7:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Carroll, Saline	47 min
May 10, 7:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte	43 min
May 10, 7:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EAX	Chariton, Howard, Saline	32 min
May 10, 7:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard, Saline	24 min
May 10, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte	50 min
May 10, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard, Saline	65 min
May 11, 12:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison	34 min
May 11, 1:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Atchison	26 min
May 11, 8:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.