Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Paducah, KY

October 13, 20144 counties in Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 13, 2014, 3:23 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 13, 2014, 3:23 PM CDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired: Oct 13, 2014, 4:15 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Union County, IL

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 13, 10:29 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 830 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 305 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 400 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 13, 2:54 PM CDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 2:54 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
254 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 255 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

Very busy with watches, warnings, etc so will make this rather
brief.

Strong cold front will continue to push eastward across our CWA
through the rest of the afternoon and evening, hopefully exiting the
eastern portions of our CWA after midnight.

With the eastward progress of the front, a QLCS line of strong to
severe thunderstorms will continue ahead of the boundary with some
storms becoming capable of producing damaging winds and a few
tornadoes. Locally heavy rainfall will also accompany the stronger
storms.

In the wake of this system, small chances of showers and patches of
drizzle will continue through the remainder of the overnight hours
tonight.

Chances for showers will continue Tuesday, Tuesday night, and
Wednesday with the slow approach and passage of an upper low over
our CWA. Rain chances will finally begin to taper off from the west
Wednesday night in the wake of the upper low.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

On Thursday...the upper level low will finally be departing the Ohio
Valley. Some lingering clouds and even a few showers are
possible...especially in southwest Indiana and the Pennyrile region
of west Kentucky. Temperatures should begin to recover toward more
seasonal levels.

On Friday...mainly sunny skies and seasonably warm temps are
expected as a weak ridge passes overhead.

Over the weekend into early next week...upper level troughing will
gradually settle into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. This
will push a cold front /possibly followed by a secondary cold front/
across our region. The primary cold front appears to be dry...but a
secondary front could bring some showers late in the weekend into
early next week. Temperatures will gradually cool down. The 12z gfs
mos looks too warm. Will trend toward the cooler 00z ecmwf
mos...especially early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1227 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

Numerous showers and thunderstorms will cross the TAF sites from
west to east throughout the first few hours of the period. Some
storms may be severe and will produce locally heavy rainfall. MVFR
cigs/vsbys will prevail will the passage of the storms, however
brief IFR conditions may occur. In the wake of the area of
preciptation, IFR cigs and/or vsbys and patchy drizzle will
prevail through the overnight hours. Conditions should become MVFR
toward the end of the period. Southerly winds at 12-14 knots
gusting to 20-22 knots will drop off to AOB 10 knots overnight,
then pick back up from the south southwest at 10-12 knots with
gusts up to 20 knots after 15-16Z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...JP
LONG TERM/FIRE WX...MY

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 1:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
120 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-141830-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
120 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A VIGOROUS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING REACHING SOUTHWEST INDIANA SOUTHWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN PENNYRILE BETWEEN 6 AND 9 PM. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THIS LINE AS WELL.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WITHIN THE
MAIN LINE OF STORMS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT MAINLY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY WITH THE LINE OF
STORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM ONE AND A HALF TO 3 INCHES. THE GREATEST
AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE LAKES AND
PENNYRILE REGIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY. SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES
WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LINGER INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE PENNYRILE
REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. A FEW MINOR FLOOD PROBLEMS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY EVENING
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, AND LIKELY THEREAFTER OVER SOUTHWEST
INDIANA SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WESTERN KENTUCKY.
SEVERE STORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH
TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 13, 1:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     QULIN                   36.60N 90.25W
10/13/2014                   BUTLER             MO   PUBLIC

            RAIN WRAPPED FUNNEL REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

SMITTY

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 1:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
159 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ILZ092-KYZ001-MOZ086-087-110>112-114-131945-
ALEXANDER IL-BOLLINGER MO-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-FULTON KY-MISSISSIPPI
MO-NEW MADRID MO-SCOTT MO-STODDARD MO-
159 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND
STODDARD...SCOTT...NEW MADRID...MISSISSIPPI...CAPE GIRARDEAU...AND
SOUTHERN BOLLINGER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 155 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARBLE HILL TO ADVANCE TO
RISCO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS. THE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE FOR ABOUT 15 MINUTES AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE LINE OF STORMS.

LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LILBOURN...NEW MADRID...ORAN...
  CHAFFEE...SIKESTON...BENTON...MINER...
  SCOTT CITY...EAST PRAIRIE...CHARLESTON...AND
  DELTA.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3705 8997 3717 9023 3726 9022 3726 8940
      3695 8916 3649 8938 3650 8941 3645 8946
      3645 8948 3649 8951 3641 8954 3641 8970
      3642 8974 3640 8974 3640 8989
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 222DEG 68KT 3736 9007 3714 8982
          3659 8975

Local storm report, Oct 13, 2:31 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
231 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREENBRIER              37.11N 90.03W
10/13/2014                   BOLLINGER          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT RECEVIED REPORTS OF WIDESPREAD TREE
            DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
            OF THE COUNTY NEAR THE COMMUNITIES OF GREENBRIER AND
            ZALMA.SOME ROADS BLOCKED AND SOME MINOR ROOF DAMAGE
            REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 13, 2:47 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
247 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E MARBLE HILL         37.30N 89.93W
10/13/2014                   BOLLINGER          MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LATE REPORT...TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 34 EAST OF MARBLE
            HILL.

&&

SMITTY

Special weather statement, Oct 13, 3:17 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
317 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ILZ075-076-080>082-084>086-088-132100-
FRANKLIN IL-HAMILTON IL-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-PERRY IL-SALINE
IL-UNION IL-WAYNE IL-WILLIAMSON IL-
317 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HAMILTON...FRANKLIN...
SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE...EASTERN PERRY AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN SOUTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
UNION...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN SALINE AND NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES
IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 315 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DU QUOIN TO HURST TO
CAMBRIA TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF CRAINVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PINCKNEYVILLE...CARTERVILLE...DU QUOIN...HERRIN...MARION...
  CHRISTOPHER...JOHNSTON CITY...WEST FRANKFORT...BENTON...REND LAKE
  AREA...MOUNT VERNON...MCLEANSBORO...ROYALTON...CRAINVILLE...
  ZEIGLER...ENERGY...TAMAROA...VALIER...PITTSBURG AND WEST CITY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3836 8860 3825 8859 3802 8850 3758 8906
      3770 8915 3783 8914 3806 8945 3823 8925
      3822 8916 3830 8916 3849 8894 3848 8876
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 219DEG 42KT 3800 8929 3787 8911
          3777 8910 3767 8906

SMITH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 13, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman	45 min
Oct 13, 3:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard	33 min
Oct 13, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Graves, Hickman, McCracken	46 min
Oct 13, 4:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Calloway, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	38 min
Oct 13, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Union	51 min
Oct 13, 5:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	28 min
Oct 13, 5:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	30 min
Oct 13, 5:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Webster	45 min
Oct 13, 5:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Henderson	38 min
Oct 13, 5:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Todd	52 min
Oct 13, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson	44 min
Oct 13, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson	40 min
Oct 13, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Todd	26 min
Oct 13, 1:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Alexander	46 min
Oct 13, 2:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jackson, Perry, Union	40 min
Oct 13, 2:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jackson	19 min
Oct 13, 3:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jackson, Perry	41 min
Oct 13, 3:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Perry, Williamson	43 min
Oct 13, 3:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jefferson	25 min
Oct 13, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jefferson	31 min
Oct 13, 3:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Hamilton, Saline, Wayne	49 min
Oct 13, 4:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Jefferson	11 min
Oct 13, 4:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Wayne	7 min
Oct 13, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Hamilton, Wayne, White	32 min
Oct 13, 10:22 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Carter, Ripley	113 min
Oct 13, 12:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Butler, Stoddard	26 min
Oct 13, 1:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Butler, Stoddard	30 min
Oct 13, 1:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Stoddard	35 min
Oct 13, 2:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry	32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.